2020 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Benintendi	52	243 (191.3)	584 (532.0)	251 (199.0)	240 (187.8)	239 (187.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lorenzo Cain	218	21	197.1
2	Yordan Alvarez	203	9	193.5
3	Isan Díaz	193	22	170.7
4	Starlin Castro	218	63	155.2
5	Mallex Smith	198	47	150.7
6	C.J. Cron	196	52	144.4
7	Dawel Lugo	146	11	135.1
8	Danny Santana	194	63	130.8
9	Óscar Mercado	222	93	128.8
10	Harold Ramírez	135	11	123.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lorenzo Cain	565	21	544.0
2	Starlin Castro	601	63	538.0
3	Yolmer Sánchez	547	21	526.0
4	Ozzie Albies	642	124	518.0
5	Mallex Smith	544	47	497.0
6	Brian Dozier	498	16	482.0
7	Leury García	536	63	473.0
8	Amed Rosario	601	147	454.0
9	Tommy Pham	579	125	454.0
10	Shin-Soo Choo	580	127	453.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	206	9	197.0
2	Isan Díaz	194	22	172.0
3	César Hernández	100	261	161.0
4	Óscar Mercado	244	93	151.0
5	C.J. Cron	201	52	149.0
6	Jake Cronenworth	44	192	148.0
7	Kyle Seager	100	248	148.0
8	Cedric Mullins	6	153	147.0
9	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	85	228	143.0
10	Maikel Franco	100	243	143.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lorenzo Cain	226	21	205.3
2	Yordan Alvarez	192	9	182.6
3	Jake Cronenworth	22	192	169.8
4	Isan Díaz	184	22	162.2
5	C.J. Cron	203	52	151.2
6	Danny Santana	209	63	145.7
7	Nick Markakis	1	141	140.0
8	Luis García Jr.	1	139	138.0
9	Starlin Castro	200	63	137.5
10	Mallex Smith	178	47	131.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Mendick	409	114	295.0
2	Dawel Lugo	224	11	213.0
3	Seth Brown	208	5	203.0
4	Yordan Alvarez	210	9	201.0
5	Cristian Pache	204	4	200.0
6	Jahmai Jones	206	7	199.0
7	Erick Mejia	214	16	198.0
8	Will Craig	202	4	198.0
9	Ian Miller	196	0	196.0
10	Harold Ramírez	204	11	193.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yolmer Sánchez	547	114	21	526.0	93.3	432.7
2	Leury García	536	137	63	473.0	74.3	398.7
3	Ozzie Albies	642	246	124	518.0	121.6	396.4
4	Marcus Semien	642	247	236	406.0	11.3	394.7
5	Rhys Hoskins	626	235	185	441.0	50.0	391.0
6	Brian Dozier	498	113	16	482.0	97.5	384.5
7	Starlin Castro	601	218	63	538.0	155.2	382.8
8	Alex Bregman	627	246	180	447.0	66.4	380.6
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	628	251	202	426.0	49.4	376.6
10	Eduardo Escobar	609	233	222	387.0	10.7	376.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	César Hernández	100	228	261	161.0	32.8	128.2
2	Renato Núñez	100	213	216	116.0	3.3	112.7
3	Kyle Seager	100	206	248	148.0	41.8	106.2
4	Kole Calhoun	100	203	228	128.0	25.0	103.0
5	Adalberto Mondesi	100	203	233	133.0	30.2	102.8
6	Nelson Cruz	100	199	214	114.0	14.7	99.3
7	Aaron Whitefield	100	1	1	99.0	0.0	99.0
8	Didi Gregorius	100	193	237	137.0	43.8	93.2
9	Miguel Cabrera	100	184	231	131.0	47.3	83.7
10	Rafael Marchán	100	1	9	91.0	8.0	83.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis García Jr.	1	110	139	138.0	29.5	108.5
2	Nick Markakis	1	99	141	140.0	42.0	98.0
3	Tim Lopes	39	118	151	112.4	33.2	79.2
4	Leody Taveras	22	97	134	111.6	37.2	74.4
5	Taylor Ward	13	86	102	89.3	15.8	73.5
6	Anderson Tejeda	1	74	77	76.0	2.5	73.5
7	Abraham Toro	24	99	97	73.0	2.3	70.6
8	Derek Dietrich	1	80	75	74.0	4.5	69.5
9	Joey Bart	1	67	111	110.0	44.3	65.7
10	Luis Torrens	6	70	78	72.1	8.0	64.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Danny Mendick	409	161	114	295.0	47.4	247.6
2	Jahmai Jones	206	71	7	199.0	64.0	135.0
3	Abraham Toro	230	99	97	133.0	2.3	130.7
4	Cristian Pache	204	76	4	200.0	72.2	127.8
5	Mickey Moniak	193	66	18	175.0	48.3	126.7
6	Daz Cameron	201	77	59	142.0	17.9	124.1
7	Eli White	189	66	52	137.0	14.3	122.7
8	Daniel Johnson	199	80	13	186.0	66.5	119.5
9	Travis Blankenhorn	185	66	4	181.0	61.6	119.4
10	Jared Oliva	181	63	16	165.0	46.7	118.3

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Yastrzemski	0.4093	0.3163 (22.8)	0.3455 (17.0)	0.3115 (24.2)	0.3169 (22.9)	0.3204 (21.5)
Freddie Freeman	0.4625	0.3932 (20.3)	0.3861 (23.1)	0.3928 (20.8)	0.3915 (21.0)	0.3953 (19.3)
Jose Iglesias	0.4075	0.2988 (17.5)	0.3040 (17.3)	0.2996 (17.6)	0.3002 (17.5)	0.2965 (17.7)
Salvador Perez	0.4103	0.3160 (16.0)	0.3167 (16.4)	0.3156 (16.3)	0.3205 (15.5)	0.3119 (16.4)
Jose Altuve	0.2779	0.3637 (16.3)	0.3729 (17.5)	0.3611 (15.5)	0.3609 (15.5)	0.3692 (17.8)
Wil Myers	0.3996	0.3201 (19.1)	0.3273 (18.3)	0.3167 (20.2)	0.3177 (19.9)	0.3261 (17.5)
Juan Soto	0.4912	0.4081 (17.9)	0.3860 (22.9)	0.4044 (18.9)	0.4065 (18.4)	0.4135 (16.5)
Marcell Ozuna	0.4465	0.3592 (25.5)	0.3459 (30.0)	0.3576 (26.3)	0.3561 (26.6)	0.3639 (23.9)
Javier Báez	0.2560	0.3464 (19.3)	0.3486 (19.0)	0.3474 (19.2)	0.3454 (18.8)	0.3464 (19.7)
José Abreu	0.4122	0.3497 (18.5)	0.3508 (19.2)	0.3585 (16.6)	0.3539 (17.7)	0.3368 (21.5)
J.D. Martinez	0.2950	0.3929 (21.3)	0.4026 (22.7)	0.3974 (22.0)	0.3975 (22.1)	0.3838 (19.5)
Trea Turner	0.4126	0.3470 (19.1)	0.3420 (21.3)	0.3489 (19.0)	0.3493 (18.8)	0.3429 (19.8)
Dominic Smith	0.4118	0.3106 (21.7)	0.3268 (19.2)	0.3113 (21.9)	0.3112 (21.9)	0.3094 (21.7)
Brandon Belt	0.4286	0.3414 (17.1)	0.3306 (19.6)	0.3448 (16.7)	0.3470 (16.3)	0.3323 (18.5)
DJ LeMahieu	0.4286	0.3359 (21.8)	0.3476 (20.0)	0.3372 (21.8)	0.3344 (22.3)	0.3362 (21.4)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lewis	0.2881	0.3494	16.8
2	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3031	0.4693	16.6
3	Gregory Polanco	0.3335	0.2303	16.5
4	Josh Bell	0.3702	0.2937	15.2
5	Dylan Moore	0.2803	0.3677	15.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis d'Arnaud	0.3189	0.3920	15.6
2	Jeimer Candelario	0.3092	0.3731	15.6
3	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3201	0.4693	15.3
4	Manny Machado	0.3487	0.3963	15.1
5	Bryan Reynolds	0.3596	0.2762	14.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.3201	0.4182	23.0
2	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3007	0.4693	16.9
3	Kyle Lewis	0.2895	0.3494	16.8
4	Teoscar Hernández	0.3156	0.3821	15.7
5	Josh Bell	0.3711	0.2937	15.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3036	0.4693	16.6
2	Kyle Lewis	0.2903	0.3494	16.5
3	Gregory Polanco	0.3321	0.2303	16.1
4	Josh Bell	0.3737	0.2937	15.8
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.3165	0.3821	15.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Gallo	0.3852	0.3003	17.6
2	Kyle Lewis	0.2846	0.3494	17.3
3	Donovan Solano	0.2791	0.3569	17.2
4	Gregory Polanco	0.3348	0.2303	17.0
5	Eduardo Escobar	0.3455	0.2648	16.4

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Tucker	0.3091	0.3340	0.3517	12.4	5.9	6.5
2	Tommy Edman	0.3455	0.3158	0.3017	7.3	1.4	5.9
3	Eloy Jiménez	0.3395	0.3609	0.3731	10.2	4.6	5.7
4	Kole Calhoun	0.3179	0.3368	0.3624	12.8	7.7	5.1
5	Alex Verdugo	0.3352	0.3545	0.3634	8.8	3.8	5.1
6	Juan Soto	0.3860	0.4081	0.4912	22.9	17.9	5.1
7	Tim Lopes	0.3240	0.2867	0.2789	5.0	0.0	5.0
8	Maikel Franco	0.3122	0.3278	0.3307	7.3	2.7	4.7
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.3459	0.3592	0.4465	30.0	25.5	4.5
10	Manny Machado	0.3487	0.3617	0.3963	15.1	10.8	4.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nelson Cruz	0.3201	0.3818	0.4182	23.0	9.5	13.5
2	Erik González	0.3201	0.2776	0.2609	9.6	1.7	7.9
3	Michael Brantley	0.3201	0.3462	0.3621	9.6	4.5	5.2
4	Josh Donaldson	0.3201	0.3791	0.3648	5.5	0.6	4.9
5	Tim Lopes	0.3201	0.2867	0.2789	4.8	0.0	4.7
6	Delino DeShields	0.3201	0.2826	0.2711	4.7	0.4	4.3
7	José Barrero	0.3201	0.2569	0.1790	8.9	4.7	4.2
8	Kole Calhoun	0.3201	0.3368	0.3624	11.8	7.7	4.1
9	Sandy León	0.3201	0.2653	0.2593	4.1	0.2	4.0
10	Jeff Mathis	0.3201	0.2376	0.2447	4.5	1.0	3.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Didi Gregorius	0.3211	0.3325	0.3506	9.2	6.2	3.0
2	Luke Voit	0.3390	0.3497	0.3933	14.9	12.1	2.8
3	Kyle Tucker	0.3269	0.3340	0.3517	7.8	5.9	1.9
4	Chris Taylor	0.3137	0.3211	0.3618	12.3	10.4	1.8
5	Brian Goodwin	0.2979	0.3079	0.3075	3.1	1.2	1.8
6	Alex Gordon	0.3258	0.3149	0.2749	7.7	5.9	1.8
7	Raimel Tapia	0.3135	0.3203	0.3330	5.9	4.3	1.7
8	Miguel Cabrera	0.3451	0.3270	0.3242	2.7	1.2	1.4
9	Albert Pujols	0.3181	0.3082	0.2850	3.9	2.5	1.4
10	Bryan Reynolds	0.3453	0.3375	0.2762	12.4	11.1	1.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.3852	0.3659	0.3003	17.6	13.0	4.7
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.3089	0.3270	0.3242	5.1	1.2	3.9
3	Max Muncy	0.3735	0.3593	0.3192	11.8	7.9	3.9
4	Maikel Franco	0.3120	0.3278	0.3307	6.2	2.7	3.5
5	José Abreu	0.3368	0.3497	0.4122	21.5	18.5	3.0
6	Jo Adell	0.3332	0.3118	0.2120	15.1	12.1	3.0
7	Donovan Solano	0.2791	0.2951	0.3569	17.2	14.2	3.0
8	Austin Riley	0.3438	0.3341	0.3085	5.9	3.6	2.3
9	Eric Thames	0.3626	0.3478	0.2793	10.7	8.5	2.3
10	Robinson Canó	0.3067	0.3203	0.3782	14.2	12.0	2.2

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.1911	0.2697 (21.4)	0.2597 (18.7)	0.2695 (20.8)	0.2692 (21.5)	0.2704 (21.2)
Evan White	0.4158	0.2426 (31.6)	0.2343 (33.8)	0.2283 (35.0)	0.2219 (35.6)	0.2775 (24.9)
Kyle Seager	0.1331	0.2009 (21.0)	0.2004 (20.3)	0.2343 (28.6)	0.2058 (22.4)	0.1960 (19.3)
Bryce Harper	0.1762	0.2534 (22.9)	0.2410 (19.3)	0.2502 (21.5)	0.2484 (21.9)	0.2616 (24.5)
Willy Adames	0.3610	0.2473 (19.9)	0.2607 (17.6)	0.2386 (22.2)	0.2424 (20.7)	0.2611 (17.4)
Gregory Polanco	0.3736	0.2357 (21.1)	0.2136 (25.3)	0.2343 (21.8)	0.2282 (22.3)	0.2432 (20.1)
Christian Yelich	0.3077	0.2042 (21.4)	0.2054 (21.7)	0.2033 (22.3)	0.2032 (21.5)	0.2060 (21.4)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jared Walsh	0.3251	0.1389	21.9
2	Tommy La Stella	0.1217	0.0526	19.6
3	Rafael Devers	0.1788	0.2702	18.5
4	Randal Grichuk	0.2746	0.2121	18.3
5	Christian Walker	0.2632	0.2058	18.0
6	Garrett Hampson	0.2120	0.3261	17.9
7	Freddie Freeman	0.1923	0.1412	17.8
8	Trea Turner	0.1899	0.1390	17.5
9	Nicky Lopez	0.1076	0.2135	17.1
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2425	0.1861	16.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy La Stella	0.1432	0.0526	23.9
2	Jo Adell	0.2343	0.4167	22.2
3	Nick Madrigal	0.2343	0.0642	20.1
4	Jake Cronenworth	0.2343	0.1562	17.8
5	Miguel Sanó	0.3385	0.4390	17.7
6	Niko Goodrum	0.2725	0.3855	17.6
7	Trea Turner	0.1912	0.1390	17.2
8	Mitch Garver	0.2300	0.4568	17.2
9	Gary Sánchez	0.2505	0.3596	16.8
10	Freddie Freeman	0.1909	0.1412	16.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Didi Gregorius	0.2343	0.1181	30.9
2	Jared Walsh	0.3333	0.1389	22.5
3	Maikel Franco	0.2343	0.1564	22.4
4	Robinson Canó	0.2343	0.1319	21.2
5	Tommy La Stella	0.1274	0.0526	20.3
6	Christian Walker	0.2687	0.2058	18.7
7	Michael Brantley	0.2343	0.1497	18.5
8	Rafael Devers	0.1821	0.2702	18.3
9	Garrett Hampson	0.2130	0.3261	18.2
10	Niko Goodrum	0.2700	0.3855	18.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jared Walsh	0.3191	0.1389	21.4
2	Tommy La Stella	0.1256	0.0526	20.6
3	Christian Walker	0.2673	0.2058	19.2
4	Rafael Devers	0.1790	0.2702	18.3
5	Freddie Freeman	0.1925	0.1412	18.0
6	Jesús Aguilar	0.2501	0.1852	17.8
7	Garrett Hampson	0.2125	0.3261	17.7
8	Randal Grichuk	0.2702	0.2121	17.4
9	Niko Goodrum	0.2718	0.3855	17.2
10	Nicky Lopez	0.1074	0.2135	17.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jared Walsh	0.3228	0.1389	21.5
2	Rafael Devers	0.1753	0.2702	19.8
3	Trea Turner	0.2000	0.1390	19.7
4	Randal Grichuk	0.2783	0.2121	18.8
5	Garrett Hampson	0.2105	0.3261	18.5
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2511	0.1861	18.5
7	Cavan Biggio	0.2844	0.2302	18.4
8	Jo Adell	0.2643	0.4167	18.1
9	Keston Hiura	0.2578	0.3455	17.9
10	Nicky Lopez	0.1063	0.2135	17.7

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Madrigal	0.2343	0.0522	0.0642	20.1	0.5	19.6
2	Jake Cronenworth	0.2343	0.1756	0.1562	17.8	6.9	10.8
3	Shogo Akiyama	0.2343	0.1745	0.1858	11.5	1.0	10.5
4	Sam Hilliard	0.2339	0.3146	0.3684	13.7	4.2	9.5
5	Bobby Dalbec	0.2343	0.3236	0.4239	16.1	7.7	8.4
6	Donovan Solano	0.2194	0.1765	0.1921	8.5	0.2	8.2
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1921	0.1589	0.1564	12.2	4.7	7.5
8	Alec Bohm	0.2343	0.1721	0.2000	8.8	2.0	6.8
9	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2343	0.2608	0.3216	16.5	10.0	6.5
10	Luis Arraez	0.1360	0.0799	0.0909	7.2	0.7	6.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Didi Gregorius	0.2343	0.1386	0.1181	30.9	8.8	22.1
2	Maikel Franco	0.2343	0.1414	0.1564	22.4	0.4	21.9
3	Albert Pujols	0.2343	0.1359	0.1534	15.5	0.1	15.4
4	Michael Brantley	0.2343	0.1101	0.1497	18.5	4.3	14.2
5	Andrelton Simmons	0.2343	0.0896	0.1260	15.5	2.5	13.0
6	Robinson Canó	0.2343	0.1601	0.1319	21.2	8.2	13.0
7	Kurt Suzuki	0.2343	0.1288	0.1473	13.0	0.2	12.8
8	Yadier Molina	0.2343	0.1498	0.1346	17.8	5.0	12.8
9	José Peraza	0.2343	0.1306	0.1500	11.8	0.3	11.5
10	Daniel Murphy	0.2343	0.1458	0.1591	11.8	0.5	11.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Evan White	0.2219	0.2426	0.4158	35.6	31.6	4.0
2	Franmil Reyes	0.2546	0.2702	0.2863	3.4	0.2	3.3
3	Shogo Akiyama	0.1886	0.1745	0.1858	3.7	1.0	2.7
4	Shed Long Jr.	0.2451	0.2642	0.2891	3.4	1.0	2.4
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2511	0.2608	0.3216	12.0	10.0	2.0
6	Kyle Tucker	0.2396	0.2318	0.2018	12.6	10.7	1.9
7	Didi Gregorius	0.1461	0.1386	0.1181	10.8	8.8	1.9
8	Bobby Dalbec	0.3034	0.3236	0.4239	9.5	7.7	1.8
9	Miguel Sanó	0.3434	0.3517	0.4390	16.0	14.5	1.6
10	Alex Dickerson	0.2097	0.2015	0.1765	8.6	7.1	1.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Franmil Reyes	0.3058	0.2702	0.2863	8.3	0.2	8.2
2	Bo Bichette	0.1658	0.1923	0.2109	3.8	0.2	3.6
3	Cavan Biggio	0.2844	0.2694	0.2302	18.4	14.8	3.5
4	Brett Gardner	0.2343	0.1969	0.2215	4.4	1.3	3.2
5	Andrés Giménez	0.2567	0.2315	0.2121	7.9	4.8	3.1
6	Kyle Lewis	0.3163	0.3020	0.2934	9.2	6.1	3.1
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2830	0.2699	0.2374	15.6	12.7	2.9
8	Byron Buxton	0.2828	0.2600	0.2667	4.2	1.4	2.8
9	Ramón Laureano	0.2727	0.2601	0.2613	5.9	3.5	2.4
10	Brandon Lowe	0.2931	0.2807	0.2589	11.0	8.6	2.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.1718	0.1217 (11.4)	0.1142 (14.1)	0.1216 (12.2)	0.1228 (11.3)	0.1208 (11.5)
Anthony Rendon	0.1638	0.1130 (10.3)	0.1136 (10.8)	0.1136 (10.8)	0.1143 (10.1)	0.1111 (10.6)
Sean Murphy	0.1714	0.0759 (12.5)	0.0897 (10.9)	0.0739 (13.2)	0.0748 (12.7)	0.0789 (12.0)
J.D. Davis	0.1354	0.0804 (11.1)	0.0835 (11.0)	0.0818 (11.5)	0.0829 (10.7)	0.0765 (11.9)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1423	0.0903 (12.2)	0.0896 (13.1)	0.0902 (13.0)	0.0902 (12.4)	0.0905 (12.0)
Jason Heyward	0.1657	0.1030 (10.2)	0.0963 (11.9)	0.1048 (10.4)	0.1031 (10.3)	0.1010 (10.4)
Kyle Lewis	0.1405	0.0706 (15.4)	0.0741 (15.2)	0.0723 (15.6)	0.0732 (14.9)	0.0663 (16.2)
Clint Frazier	0.1562	0.0737 (12.2)	0.0751 (12.4)	0.0750 (12.4)	0.0743 (12.2)	0.0718 (12.4)
Ketel Marte	0.0359	0.0842 (10.7)	0.0898 (11.2)	0.0858 (10.4)	0.0856 (10.8)	0.0812 (10.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1881	0.1033 (15.8)	0.0987 (17.3)	0.1024 (16.6)	0.1030 (16.0)	0.1047 (15.4)
Christian Yelich	0.1862	0.1276 (12.9)	0.1153 (16.6)	0.1298 (13.1)	0.1285 (12.8)	0.1245 (13.5)
Martín Maldonado	0.1636	0.0667 (14.9)	0.0618 (16.2)	0.0641 (15.8)	0.0636 (15.5)	0.0725 (13.9)
Aaron Hicks	0.1943	0.1298 (12.3)	0.1305 (12.7)	0.1297 (12.9)	0.1295 (12.4)	0.1301 (12.1)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1845	0.1452	11.0
2	Mark Canha	0.1017	0.1523	10.7
3	Carlos Correa	0.1137	0.0724	10.5
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.1283	0.0913	10.5
5	Luke Voit	0.1107	0.0726	10.4
6	Jon Berti	0.0807	0.1544	10.0
7	Jean Segura	0.0548	0.1060	9.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Canha	0.1006	0.1523	11.7
2	Bryce Harper	0.1498	0.2008	11.5
3	Juan Soto	0.1476	0.2092	11.3
4	Hunter Dozier	0.0827	0.1452	10.9
5	Kyle Seager	0.0814	0.1290	10.9
6	Mike Yastrzemski	0.0817	0.1333	10.8
7	Luke Voit	0.1146	0.0726	10.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Canha	0.0995	0.1523	12.0
2	Victor Reyes	0.0916	0.0423	11.3
3	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0916	0.0472	11.2
4	Brett Gardner	0.0916	0.1646	11.0
5	Jon Berti	0.0786	0.1544	10.8
6	Hunter Dozier	0.0855	0.1452	10.4
7	Erik González	0.0916	0.0415	10.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Canha	0.1004	0.1523	11.2
2	Mike Trout	0.1853	0.1452	11.1
3	Kyle Seager	0.0820	0.1290	10.2
4	Carlos Correa	0.1125	0.0724	10.2
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.1274	0.0913	10.1
6	Jon Berti	0.0813	0.1544	10.0
7	Luke Voit	0.1094	0.0726	10.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew McCutchen	0.1319	0.0913	11.5
2	Mike Trout	0.1855	0.1452	11.4
3	Luke Voit	0.1141	0.0726	11.3
4	Carlos Correa	0.1156	0.0724	11.1
5	Carson Kelly	0.1223	0.0465	10.7
6	Brett Gardner	0.0916	0.1646	10.4
7	Jean Segura	0.0517	0.1060	10.3

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis García Jr.	0.0916	0.0363	0.0360	8.2	0.9	7.3
2	Andrés Giménez	0.0916	0.0485	0.0530	5.6	0.2	5.3
3	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.0916	0.1171	0.1405	8.4	3.2	5.2
4	Trent Grisham	0.0967	0.1188	0.1230	5.7	0.5	5.2
5	Joey Bart	0.0916	0.0502	0.0270	7.6	3.3	4.3
6	Tyler Naquin	0.0916	0.0625	0.0355	8.4	4.7	3.7
7	Christian Yelich	0.1153	0.1276	0.1862	16.6	12.9	3.7
8	Tim Lopes	0.0967	0.0702	0.0397	9.2	5.6	3.6
9	Bryce Harper	0.1498	0.1616	0.2008	11.5	8.0	3.5
10	Jo Adell	0.0916	0.0624	0.0530	5.6	2.1	3.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Victor Reyes	0.0916	0.0441	0.0423	11.3	1.8	9.5
2	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0916	0.0496	0.0472	11.2	2.0	9.1
3	Erik González	0.0916	0.0438	0.0415	10.4	1.7	8.7
4	Didi Gregorius	0.0916	0.0571	0.0633	7.6	0.1	7.5
5	Luis García Jr.	0.0916	0.0363	0.0360	8.2	0.9	7.3
6	Josh Donaldson	0.0916	0.1505	0.1765	8.3	2.0	6.3
7	Yadier Molina	0.0916	0.0526	0.0385	8.8	3.2	5.6
8	José Peraza	0.0916	0.0450	0.0417	6.4	1.2	5.3
9	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.0916	0.1171	0.1405	8.4	3.2	5.2
10	Austin Romine	0.0916	0.0511	0.0296	8.8	3.8	5.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	César Hernández	0.1020	0.0964	0.0920	4.1	2.8	1.3
2	Maikel Franco	0.0835	0.0780	0.0658	5.7	4.5	1.2
3	Adam Eaton	0.0999	0.0948	0.0682	6.6	5.8	0.8
4	Ian Happ	0.1165	0.1193	0.1299	1.7	1.0	0.8
5	Austin Romine	0.0572	0.0511	0.0296	4.5	3.8	0.8
6	Max Muncy	0.1410	0.1434	0.1573	2.6	1.9	0.7
7	Edwin Encarnación	0.1218	0.1174	0.0884	7.1	6.4	0.7
8	Jake Cronenworth	0.0806	0.0836	0.0938	1.4	0.7	0.7
9	Alex Avila	0.1571	0.1674	0.1774	0.9	0.2	0.7
10	Will Smith	0.0893	0.0937	0.1460	7.0	6.3	0.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.1585	0.1456	0.1283	8.4	5.3	3.1
2	Trent Grisham	0.1302	0.1188	0.1230	3.6	0.5	3.0
3	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.1019	0.1171	0.1405	5.8	3.2	2.7
4	Shogo Akiyama	0.0741	0.0864	0.1366	10.2	8.0	2.1
5	Yoán Moncada	0.0844	0.0915	0.1212	6.9	5.4	1.5
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.0838	0.0901	0.1039	3.0	1.7	1.3
7	José Abreu	0.0549	0.0601	0.0687	1.8	0.6	1.2
8	Tim Anderson	0.0310	0.0370	0.0452	1.6	0.4	1.2
9	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0402	0.0461	0.0881	9.3	8.1	1.2
10	Evan White	0.0578	0.0638	0.0891	4.9	3.8	1.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Willson Contreras	0.0622	0.0164 (9.8)	0.0173 (9.8)	0.0157 (10.2)	0.0160 (10.0)	0.0176 (9.5)
Kyle Seager	0.0282	0.0100 (4.0)	0.0104 (4.1)	0.0123 (3.6)	0.0100 (4.1)	0.0101 (3.9)
Abraham Toro	0.0722	0.0136 (5.5)	0.0119 (5.7)	0.0114 (5.8)	0.0120 (5.7)	0.0174 (5.1)
Keston Hiura	0.0447	0.0183 (6.0)	0.0182 (6.2)	0.0167 (6.6)	0.0160 (6.6)	0.0222 (5.0)
J.D. Davis	0.0306	0.0073 (4.9)	0.0068 (5.1)	0.0084 (4.8)	0.0080 (4.7)	0.0055 (5.2)
Dylan Moore	0.0503	0.0170 (5.0)	0.0233 (4.1)	0.0150 (5.4)	0.0160 (5.2)	0.0199 (4.5)
Bradley Zimmer	0.1000	0.0153 (4.1)	0.0091 (4.5)	0.0200 (3.9)	0.0110 (4.4)	0.0149 (4.1)
Carter Kieboom	0.0410	0.0100 (3.5)	0.0087 (3.8)	0.0104 (3.6)	0.0100 (3.6)	0.0096 (3.5)
Robbie Grossman	0.0260	0.0059 (3.5)	0.0041 (3.9)	0.0060 (3.6)	0.0060 (3.5)	0.0059 (3.4)
Justin Upton	0.0422	0.0074 (5.4)	0.0078 (5.5)	0.0123 (4.8)	0.0090 (5.2)	0.0057 (5.7)
Matt Carpenter	0.0355	0.0113 (3.7)	0.0119 (3.7)	0.0118 (3.8)	0.0120 (3.7)	0.0102 (3.9)
Ramón Laureano	0.0541	0.0147 (8.3)	0.0172 (7.9)	0.0142 (8.6)	0.0140 (8.5)	0.0160 (7.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddy Galvis	0.0047	0.0314	3.9
2	Joey Bart	0.0118	0.0450	3.5
3	Starling Marte	0.0202	0.0360	3.5
4	AJ Pollock	0.0142	0.0000	3.4
5	Jake Cave	0.0114	0.0407	3.3
6	Kole Calhoun	0.0097	0.0263	3.3
7	Andrés Giménez	0.0184	0.0455	3.3
8	Michael Conforto	0.0138	0.0300	3.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddy Galvis	0.0036	0.0314	4.2
2	Andrés Giménez	0.0123	0.0455	4.2
3	AJ Pollock	0.0170	0.0000	3.9
4	Randy Arozarena	0.0138	0.0658	3.8
5	Kole Calhoun	0.0089	0.0263	3.6
6	Starling Marte	0.0200	0.0360	3.6
7	Michael Conforto	0.0134	0.0300	3.5
8	Joey Bart	0.0123	0.0450	3.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chance Sisco	0.0123	0.0496	4.4
2	Starling Marte	0.0183	0.0360	4.1
3	Derek Dietrich	0.0123	0.0667	4.0
4	Victor Robles	0.0254	0.0476	4.0
5	Joey Bart	0.0099	0.0450	3.8
6	Mark Canha	0.0246	0.0412	3.7
7	Andrés Giménez	0.0167	0.0455	3.6
8	Jake Cave	0.0114	0.0407	3.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Canha	0.0230	0.0412	4.0
2	Victor Robles	0.0250	0.0476	3.9
3	Freddy Galvis	0.0050	0.0314	3.9
4	Starling Marte	0.0190	0.0360	3.8
5	Joey Bart	0.0100	0.0450	3.7
6	AJ Pollock	0.0150	0.0000	3.5
7	Andrés Giménez	0.0170	0.0455	3.5
8	Randy Arozarena	0.0200	0.0658	3.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0201	0.0044	4.1
2	Freddy Galvis	0.0044	0.0314	3.9
3	Dominic Smith	0.0054	0.0251	3.5
4	Jeff McNeil	0.0283	0.0144	3.4
5	Avisaíl García	0.0104	0.0290	3.4
6	Jake Cave	0.0110	0.0407	3.4
7	Kole Calhoun	0.0093	0.0263	3.3
8	Michael Conforto	0.0134	0.0300	3.3

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cedric Mullins	0.0153	0.0042	0.0065	1.6	0.1	1.5
2	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.0123	0.0030	0.0054	1.5	0.1	1.5
3	Luis García Jr.	0.0123	0.0030	0.0000	1.9	0.7	1.2
4	Nick Solak	0.0182	0.0126	0.0086	2.6	1.4	1.2
5	Leody Taveras	0.0123	0.0032	0.0000	1.8	0.7	1.1
6	Erik González	0.0103	0.0040	0.0000	2.3	1.2	1.1
7	Andrés Giménez	0.0123	0.0184	0.0455	4.2	3.3	0.9
8	Trent Grisham	0.0167	0.0069	0.0119	1.6	0.7	0.8
9	Evan White	0.0123	0.0079	0.0050	1.8	1.0	0.8
10	Andrew Young	0.0123	0.0342	0.0882	2.5	1.8	0.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0123	0.0470	0.0667	4.0	1.3	2.7
2	Chance Sisco	0.0123	0.0295	0.0496	4.4	2.2	2.2
3	Josh Reddick	0.0123	0.0015	0.0000	2.8	0.7	2.1
4	Rio Ruiz	0.0123	0.0025	0.0000	2.8	0.9	1.8
5	Kurt Suzuki	0.0123	0.0244	0.0310	2.3	0.6	1.7
6	Maikel Franco	0.0123	0.0051	0.0000	3.3	1.7	1.6
7	Tyler Flowers	0.0123	0.0304	0.0375	1.9	0.4	1.5
8	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0123	0.0052	0.0043	2.2	0.7	1.5
9	Erik González	0.0123	0.0040	0.0000	2.6	1.2	1.4
10	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.0123	0.0030	0.0054	1.5	0.1	1.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0370	0.0470	0.0667	2.1	1.3	0.8
2	Victor Robles	0.0250	0.0287	0.0476	3.9	3.2	0.7
3	Erik González	0.0080	0.0040	0.0000	1.9	1.2	0.7
4	Mark Canha	0.0230	0.0256	0.0412	4.0	3.3	0.7
5	Keston Hiura	0.0160	0.0183	0.0447	6.6	6.0	0.6
6	Chance Sisco	0.0250	0.0295	0.0496	2.8	2.2	0.6
7	Edwin Encarnación	0.0120	0.0149	0.0221	1.5	0.9	0.6
8	Yadier Molina	0.0120	0.0153	0.0192	0.8	0.3	0.5
9	Austin Romine	0.0080	0.0040	0.0000	1.3	0.8	0.5
10	Rio Ruiz	0.0050	0.0025	0.0000	1.4	0.9	0.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ty France	0.0377	0.0303	0.0194	3.2	2.0	1.2
2	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0201	0.0160	0.0044	4.1	3.1	1.0
3	Jeff McNeil	0.0283	0.0241	0.0144	3.4	2.5	0.9
4	Pete Alonso	0.0261	0.0227	0.0251	0.8	0.1	0.7
5	J.P. Crawford	0.0050	0.0083	0.0129	1.3	0.6	0.7
6	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0186	0.0160	0.0088	2.8	2.1	0.7
7	José Abreu	0.0211	0.0189	0.0115	3.1	2.5	0.7
8	Raimel Tapia	0.0000	0.0033	0.0097	1.5	0.9	0.6
9	Kolten Wong	0.0269	0.0245	0.0192	2.1	1.5	0.6
10	José Ramírez	0.0045	0.0069	0.0118	1.3	0.7	0.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jesse Winker	0.1154	0.0447 (12.8)	0.0490 (12.1)	0.0484 (12.4)	0.0489 (12.1)	0.0367 (14.1)
AJ Pollock	0.1046	0.0570 (9.8)	0.0550 (10.4)	0.0571 (10.2)	0.0574 (9.8)	0.0566 (9.8)
Joey Gallo	0.0877	0.1506 (14.4)	0.1280 (9.1)	0.1375 (11.0)	0.1385 (11.6)	0.1781 (20.7)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1065	0.0724 (8.9)	0.0635 (11.5)	0.0738 (9.0)	0.0730 (8.9)	0.0705 (9.2)
Luke Voit	0.1375	0.0727 (14.9)	0.0732 (15.0)	0.0689 (16.3)	0.0697 (15.8)	0.0796 (13.2)
Bobby Dalbec	0.1951	0.0773 (10.8)	0.0539 (13.0)	0.0769 (11.0)	0.0780 (10.7)	0.0769 (10.7)
José Abreu	0.1044	0.0655 (10.0)	0.0610 (11.3)	0.0695 (9.4)	0.0678 (9.5)	0.0592 (11.5)
Kole Calhoun	0.1111	0.0641 (10.5)	0.0598 (11.7)	0.0539 (13.2)	0.0640 (10.7)	0.0643 (10.4)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1400	0.0868 (10.6)	0.0827 (11.6)	0.0884 (10.6)	0.0878 (10.5)	0.0843 (11.0)
Byron Buxton	0.1354	0.0538 (10.9)	0.0456 (12.1)	0.0538 (11.1)	0.0538 (11.0)	0.0538 (10.8)
J.D. Martinez	0.0455	0.0899 (10.7)	0.0925 (11.2)	0.0936 (11.2)	0.0938 (11.6)	0.0822 (9.0)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Correa	0.0766	0.0327	9.9
2	Randy Arozarena	0.0372	0.1628	9.5
3	Avisaíl García	0.0596	0.0152	9.4
4	Nick Solak	0.0509	0.0117	9.3
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0781	0.1240	9.3
6	Gleyber Torres	0.0846	0.0278	9.2
7	Franmil Reyes	0.0983	0.0612	9.2
8	DJ Stewart	0.0551	0.1346	8.8
9	José Ramírez	0.0621	0.0960	8.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Duvall	0.0653	0.1168	10.7
2	Nick Solak	0.0546	0.0117	10.0
3	Shogo Akiyama	0.0539	0.0000	9.9
4	Teoscar Hernández	0.0780	0.1240	9.5
5	Nick Castellanos	0.0541	0.0933	9.5
6	Wil Myers	0.0623	0.1056	9.4
7	DJ Stewart	0.0521	0.1346	9.2
8	Brian Anderson	0.0416	0.0815	9.1
9	Jedd Gyorko	0.0457	0.1111	8.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0539	0.1260	15.6
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.0749	0.1240	10.4
3	Carlos Correa	0.0794	0.0327	10.1
4	Randy Arozarena	0.0360	0.1628	9.7
5	Shogo Akiyama	0.0539	0.0000	9.7
6	Nick Solak	0.0533	0.0117	9.5
7	César Hernández	0.0539	0.0169	9.4
8	Avisaíl García	0.0600	0.0152	9.1
9	Wil Myers	0.0651	0.1056	9.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Correa	0.0788	0.0327	10.3
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.0752	0.1240	10.0
3	Nick Solak	0.0539	0.0117	9.9
4	Avisaíl García	0.0601	0.0152	9.4
5	Randy Arozarena	0.0397	0.1628	9.3
6	Nomar Mazara	0.0693	0.0109	8.8
7	DJ Stewart	0.0573	0.1346	8.6
8	Gleyber Torres	0.0811	0.0278	8.6
9	Franmil Reyes	0.0964	0.0612	8.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Franmil Reyes	0.1040	0.0612	10.7
2	Gleyber Torres	0.0920	0.0278	10.5
3	Mark Canha	0.0741	0.0352	9.8
4	Randy Arozarena	0.0357	0.1628	9.5
5	Eric Thames	0.1034	0.0370	9.5
6	Avisaíl García	0.0588	0.0152	9.3
7	DJ Stewart	0.0508	0.1346	9.2
8	José Ramírez	0.0588	0.0960	9.1
9	Carlos Correa	0.0714	0.0327	8.9

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Sanó	0.1048	0.1264	0.1354	6.2	1.7	4.6
2	Luis García Jr.	0.0539	0.0154	0.0190	4.9	0.4	4.5
3	Nick Madrigal	0.0539	0.0128	0.0000	5.9	1.5	4.4
4	Jedd Gyorko	0.0457	0.0691	0.1111	8.8	5.5	3.3
5	Jake Cronenworth	0.0539	0.0175	0.0280	5.0	1.8	3.2
6	Gary Sánchez	0.0909	0.1083	0.1087	3.1	0.1	3.0
7	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.0539	0.0770	0.0741	3.7	0.7	3.0
8	Nico Hoerner	0.0500	0.0256	0.0000	6.3	3.3	3.0
9	Adam Duvall	0.0653	0.0785	0.1168	10.7	7.8	2.9
10	Mauricio Dubón	0.0489	0.0303	0.0320	3.0	0.1	2.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0539	0.1006	0.1260	15.6	5.2	10.4
2	Edwin Encarnación	0.0539	0.0925	0.0935	7.3	0.0	7.3
3	César Hernández	0.0539	0.0269	0.0169	9.4	2.9	6.6
4	Victor Reyes	0.0539	0.0218	0.0255	5.9	0.6	5.3
5	Justin Upton	0.0539	0.0859	0.0857	5.4	0.2	5.2
6	Renato Núñez	0.0539	0.0752	0.0909	8.2	3.2	5.0
7	Tim Lopes	0.0539	0.0197	0.0183	5.2	0.4	4.9
8	Erik González	0.0539	0.0274	0.0224	5.9	1.1	4.8
9	Luis García Jr.	0.0539	0.0154	0.0190	4.7	0.4	4.3
10	Joe Panik	0.0539	0.0223	0.0108	6.0	1.8	4.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Sanó	0.1183	0.1264	0.1354	3.4	1.7	1.8
2	Maikel Franco	0.0564	0.0515	0.0423	3.5	2.5	1.1
3	Brian Goodwin	0.0491	0.0549	0.0652	2.6	1.5	1.0
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.0887	0.0922	0.1136	5.7	4.7	0.9
5	Wilson Ramos	0.0504	0.0442	0.0446	0.9	0.1	0.9
6	Albert Pujols	0.0543	0.0485	0.0469	1.3	0.4	0.9
7	Alex Gordon	0.0397	0.0346	0.0317	1.5	0.7	0.8
8	Luke Voit	0.0697	0.0727	0.1375	15.8	14.9	0.8
9	Jesús Aguilar	0.0681	0.0639	0.0526	3.4	2.6	0.8
10	J.D. Martinez	0.0938	0.0899	0.0455	11.6	10.7	0.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.1781	0.1506	0.0877	20.7	14.4	6.3
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.0250	0.0358	0.0645	8.8	6.4	2.4
3	Max Muncy	0.0965	0.0874	0.0828	3.8	1.4	2.4
4	Eric Thames	0.1034	0.0897	0.0370	9.5	7.5	2.0
5	Manny Machado	0.0659	0.0737	0.0838	4.2	2.3	1.8
6	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0534	0.0610	0.0827	6.3	4.7	1.6
7	Robinson Canó	0.0280	0.0372	0.0676	6.9	5.4	1.6
8	Mark Canha	0.0741	0.0682	0.0352	9.8	8.2	1.6
9	José Abreu	0.0592	0.0655	0.1044	11.5	10.0	1.5
10	Hunter Dozier	0.0667	0.0591	0.0545	2.5	1.0	1.5

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Travis d'Arnaud	0.4112	0.2873 (24.3)	0.2755 (26.9)	0.2865 (24.2)	0.2865 (24.4)	0.2887 (24.2)
Michael Conforto	0.4118	0.2919 (29.8)	0.2974 (29.2)	0.2881 (30.4)	0.2862 (31.2)	0.3016 (27.7)
Jose Iglesias	0.4065	0.2909 (18.6)	0.2985 (17.8)	0.2935 (18.0)	0.2908 (18.6)	0.2885 (19.0)
Salvador Perez	0.3750	0.2652 (18.4)	0.2686 (18.3)	0.2639 (18.4)	0.2681 (17.9)	0.2636 (18.8)
Bryan Reynolds	0.2295	0.3367 (20.6)	0.3587 (24.6)	0.3380 (21.1)	0.3435 (22.0)	0.3285 (18.7)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3907	0.3053 (25.0)	0.3023 (26.5)	0.3026 (25.4)	0.3028 (25.6)	0.3103 (23.8)
Alec Bohm	0.4098	0.2891 (23.2)	0.2901 (23.5)	0.2908 (22.7)	0.2838 (24.1)	0.2925 (22.7)
Jeimer Candelario	0.3721	0.2916 (18.3)	0.2832 (20.5)	0.2880 (18.7)	0.2966 (17.2)	0.2901 (18.7)
Max Muncy	0.2030	0.2867 (18.7)	0.2872 (18.2)	0.2824 (18.0)	0.2864 (18.7)	0.2913 (19.7)
Eugenio Suárez	0.2137	0.2989 (17.8)	0.3116 (20.1)	0.2999 (18.3)	0.2945 (16.8)	0.3023 (18.4)
Willi Castro	0.4432	0.3088 (20.0)	0.3036 (21.0)	0.3046 (20.4)	0.3131 (19.3)	0.3086 (20.1)
Christian Yelich	0.2589	0.3423 (18.5)	0.3450 (18.6)	0.3485 (20.4)	0.3426 (18.7)	0.3357 (16.8)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.3394	0.2292	17.9
2	Edwin Encarnación	0.2596	0.1546	17.5
3	Hunter Renfroe	0.2734	0.1410	17.3
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3021	0.3701	17.1
5	Dominic Smith	0.2903	0.3680	17.1
6	Willy Adames	0.3137	0.3883	17.0
7	Donovan Solano	0.3210	0.3960	16.9
8	Gary Sánchez	0.2607	0.1585	16.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler O'Neill	0.3333	0.1889	21.0
2	Edwin Encarnación	0.2646	0.1546	18.0
3	Alex Verdugo	0.3003	0.3709	18.0
4	Dansby Swanson	0.2931	0.3503	17.9
5	Keston Hiura	0.3556	0.2727	17.7
6	Dominic Smith	0.2900	0.3680	17.7
7	Ty France	0.2879	0.3900	17.5
8	J.D. Martinez	0.3428	0.2585	17.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Encarnación	0.2901	0.1546	23.3
2	César Hernández	0.2901	0.3600	20.0
3	Dominic Smith	0.2845	0.3680	18.0
4	Gary Sánchez	0.2635	0.1585	17.5
5	J.D. Martinez	0.3387	0.2585	17.4
6	Franmil Reyes	0.2907	0.3551	17.2
7	Hunter Renfroe	0.2712	0.1410	17.1
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3012	0.3701	17.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Encarnación	0.2642	0.1546	18.4
2	Dominic Smith	0.2852	0.3680	18.1
3	Hunter Renfroe	0.2730	0.1410	17.2
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.3349	0.2292	17.1
5	Willy Adames	0.3134	0.3883	17.0
6	J.D. Martinez	0.3355	0.2585	16.3
7	Gary Sánchez	0.2582	0.1585	16.3
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3061	0.3701	16.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.3516	0.2292	19.9
2	Donovan Solano	0.3084	0.3960	19.6
3	Tyler O'Neill	0.3146	0.1889	18.3
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2991	0.3701	18.0
5	Hunter Renfroe	0.2762	0.1410	17.5
6	Rougned Odor	0.2824	0.1566	17.3
7	Joey Votto	0.3206	0.2348	17.1
8	Willy Adames	0.3143	0.3883	17.0

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Verdugo	0.3003	0.3227	0.3709	18.0	12.5	5.5
2	Keston Hiura	0.3556	0.3311	0.2727	17.7	12.3	5.4
3	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3598	0.3364	0.3061	11.0	5.7	5.4
4	Tyler O'Neill	0.3333	0.3019	0.1889	21.0	16.4	4.6
5	Shogo Akiyama	0.2901	0.3115	0.3115	5.9	1.5	4.4
6	Tommy Edman	0.3308	0.3082	0.3007	4.4	0.2	4.3
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.3587	0.3367	0.2295	24.6	20.6	4.1
8	Ramón Laureano	0.3356	0.3157	0.2705	12.1	8.2	3.9
9	Ryan Mountcastle	0.2901	0.3144	0.3978	16.6	12.8	3.7
10	Corey Dickerson	0.3285	0.3088	0.2810	7.7	4.1	3.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.2901	0.3210	0.3448	14.3	7.5	6.9
2	César Hernández	0.2901	0.3173	0.3600	20.0	13.3	6.7
3	Albert Pujols	0.2901	0.2512	0.2295	8.8	2.2	6.6
4	Victor Reyes	0.2901	0.3197	0.3399	12.1	6.1	6.0
5	Edwin Encarnación	0.2901	0.2596	0.1546	23.3	17.5	5.8
6	Kyle Seager	0.2901	0.2704	0.2395	10.8	5.6	5.2
7	Jonathan Villar	0.2901	0.3256	0.3106	5.7	1.4	4.3
8	Nelson Cruz	0.2901	0.3097	0.3604	16.5	12.6	3.9
9	Shogo Akiyama	0.2901	0.3115	0.3115	5.2	1.5	3.7
10	Jared Walsh	0.3438	0.3161	0.2564	8.7	5.6	3.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Tucker	0.2778	0.2867	0.3032	7.7	5.7	2.0
2	Freddie Freeman	0.3192	0.3259	0.3659	14.4	12.6	1.7
3	Ian Happ	0.3002	0.3077	0.3145	5.2	3.5	1.7
4	Nick Solak	0.3053	0.3125	0.3195	5.2	3.6	1.6
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3220	0.3155	0.2816	7.8	6.2	1.6
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.3435	0.3367	0.2295	22.0	20.6	1.4
7	Miguel Cabrera	0.3278	0.3218	0.2828	8.5	7.1	1.4
8	Michael Conforto	0.2862	0.2919	0.4118	31.2	29.8	1.3
9	Rhys Hoskins	0.2648	0.2719	0.2755	3.5	2.2	1.3
10	DJ LeMahieu	0.3082	0.3142	0.3697	15.0	13.8	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3587	0.3364	0.3061	11.2	5.7	5.6
2	Alex Verdugo	0.3083	0.3227	0.3709	15.8	12.5	3.3
3	Luke Voit	0.3269	0.3132	0.2681	11.7	8.6	3.1
4	Jo Adell	0.3451	0.3221	0.2576	10.4	7.4	2.9
5	Donovan Solano	0.3084	0.3210	0.3960	19.6	16.9	2.7
6	Nelson Cruz	0.2981	0.3097	0.3604	15.2	12.6	2.6
7	Alex Dickerson	0.2927	0.3070	0.3125	4.9	2.3	2.5
8	Cody Bellinger	0.3099	0.2994	0.2453	13.5	11.1	2.4
9	Dylan Moore	0.2527	0.2669	0.3140	11.1	8.8	2.4
10	Shohei Ohtani	0.3516	0.3394	0.2292	19.9	17.9	2.0

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Travis d'Arnaud	0.3364	0.2188 (22.4)	0.2075 (24.5)	0.2146 (23.0)	0.2148 (23.1)	0.2268 (20.9)
Michael Conforto	0.3235	0.2115 (27.1)	0.2187 (25.5)	0.2074 (27.8)	0.2050 (28.6)	0.2222 (24.6)
Edwin Encarnación	0.1031	0.2024 (17.2)	0.2062 (17.9)	0.2162 (19.9)	0.2007 (16.9)	0.2041 (17.5)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.3441	0.2386 (15.3)	0.2162 (18.5)	0.2422 (14.7)	0.2385 (15.3)	0.2353 (15.8)
Marcell Ozuna	0.2980	0.2331 (18.4)	0.2401 (16.6)	0.2320 (18.5)	0.2327 (18.5)	0.2345 (18.1)
Kyle Lewis	0.3175	0.2257 (23.2)	0.2162 (25.6)	0.2267 (22.7)	0.2225 (24.0)	0.2281 (22.6)
Alec Bohm	0.3197	0.2201 (18.7)	0.2162 (19.4)	0.2211 (18.3)	0.2147 (19.6)	0.2245 (17.9)
Willi Castro	0.3750	0.2312 (20.7)	0.2143 (23.1)	0.2296 (20.8)	0.2357 (20.1)	0.2284 (21.1)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1453	0.2239 (17.2)	0.2404 (20.9)	0.2254 (17.8)	0.2214 (16.6)	0.2248 (17.4)
Raimel Tapia	0.3179	0.2471 (15.4)	0.2375 (17.5)	0.2469 (15.3)	0.2463 (15.6)	0.2481 (15.2)
J.D. Martinez	0.1497	0.2438 (21.3)	0.2493 (22.6)	0.2474 (22.4)	0.2453 (21.7)	0.2388 (20.1)
Nelson Cruz	0.3063	0.2376 (15.6)	0.2323 (16.8)	0.2162 (19.9)	0.2445 (14.1)	0.2308 (17.1)
Teoscar Hernández	0.2832	0.2123 (15.5)	0.2022 (17.7)	0.2143 (14.9)	0.2117 (15.6)	0.2110 (15.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.2482	0.1639	16.7
2	Matt Joyce	0.2016	0.3059	16.0
3	Hunter Renfroe	0.1947	0.0769	15.8
4	Adam Eaton	0.2499	0.1575	15.5
5	Franmil Reyes	0.2242	0.2826	15.1
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.2310	0.1333	14.7
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2503	0.1744	14.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler O'Neill	0.2573	0.1333	18.8
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.2571	0.1639	18.5
3	Jurickson Profar	0.1726	0.2500	16.5
4	Christian Yelich	0.2544	0.1875	15.4
5	Adam Eaton	0.2487	0.1575	15.3
6	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2541	0.1744	15.2
7	Matt Joyce	0.2095	0.3059	14.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.2540	0.1639	18.1
2	Kole Calhoun	0.2162	0.1406	16.5
3	Franmil Reyes	0.2181	0.2826	16.3
4	Hunter Renfroe	0.1964	0.0769	16.2
5	Gregory Polanco	0.2162	0.1236	15.6
6	Christian Yelich	0.2536	0.1875	15.6
7	Gary Sánchez	0.1958	0.1098	14.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.2568	0.1639	18.5
2	Hunter Renfroe	0.1971	0.0769	16.1
3	Matt Joyce	0.2032	0.3059	15.8
4	Franmil Reyes	0.2231	0.2826	15.3
5	Adam Eaton	0.2464	0.1575	14.9
6	Christian Yelich	0.2485	0.1875	14.1
7	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2021	0.2628	14.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler O'Neill	0.2472	0.1333	17.2
2	Matt Joyce	0.2000	0.3059	16.3
3	Adam Eaton	0.2533	0.1575	16.1
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2566	0.1744	15.8
5	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.1966	0.2628	15.3
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1905	0.0769	15.2
7	Randal Grichuk	0.1811	0.2420	15.0

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Chavis	0.2609	0.2283	0.2043	8.2	3.1	5.1
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2720	0.2521	0.2177	12.8	7.8	5.0
3	J.P. Crawford	0.1889	0.2086	0.2485	14.9	10.2	4.7
4	Alex Verdugo	0.2184	0.2384	0.2649	11.2	6.8	4.5
5	Tyler O'Neill	0.2573	0.2310	0.1333	18.8	14.7	4.1
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.2404	0.2239	0.1453	20.9	17.2	3.7
7	Shogo Akiyama	0.2162	0.2360	0.2541	7.7	4.1	3.7
8	Tommy La Stella	0.2400	0.2250	0.1868	11.1	7.8	3.3
9	Yandy Díaz	0.2290	0.2525	0.3158	12.6	9.3	3.3
10	Ryan Mountcastle	0.2162	0.2386	0.3441	18.5	15.3	3.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.2162	0.2552	0.2552	9.7	0.9	8.8
2	César Hernández	0.2162	0.2532	0.2457	8.5	0.9	7.6
3	Jonathan Villar	0.2162	0.2539	0.2727	12.3	4.7	7.6
4	Victor Reyes	0.2162	0.2478	0.2810	14.5	8.0	6.5
5	Kyle Seager	0.2162	0.1951	0.1677	11.3	5.8	5.5
6	Nelson Cruz	0.2162	0.2376	0.3063	19.9	15.6	4.4
7	Jay Bruce	0.2162	0.1760	0.1061	11.0	6.8	4.2
8	Gregory Polanco	0.2162	0.1947	0.1236	15.6	11.7	3.9
9	Eric Hosmer	0.2162	0.2411	0.2407	4.3	0.6	3.7
10	Shogo Akiyama	0.2162	0.2360	0.2541	7.5	4.1	3.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Dickerson	0.2311	0.2191	0.2143	2.2	0.1	2.1
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2456	0.2376	0.1954	11.2	9.3	2.0
3	Todd Frazier	0.1915	0.2028	0.2072	3.4	1.5	1.9
4	Bryan Reynolds	0.2568	0.2482	0.1639	18.5	16.7	1.8
5	Erik González	0.2405	0.2321	0.1832	10.3	8.6	1.6
6	Jonathan Villar	0.2459	0.2539	0.2727	6.4	4.7	1.6
7	Joey Gallo	0.1898	0.1827	0.1635	5.0	3.4	1.6
8	Nick Solak	0.2383	0.2452	0.2604	6.1	4.5	1.6
9	Miguel Sanó	0.2270	0.2197	0.1566	13.6	12.1	1.5
10	Michael Conforto	0.2050	0.2115	0.3235	28.6	27.1	1.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2717	0.2521	0.2177	12.8	7.8	5.0
2	Yoán Moncada	0.2672	0.2525	0.2258	8.6	5.2	3.4
3	Kevin Pillar	0.1908	0.2059	0.2422	12.4	9.0	3.4
4	Jo Adell	0.2606	0.2377	0.1970	7.8	4.8	3.0
5	Kyle Tucker	0.2192	0.2069	0.1871	6.4	3.6	2.8
6	Cedric Mullins	0.1875	0.2057	0.2692	13.1	10.4	2.8
7	Trent Grisham	0.1955	0.2060	0.2292	9.5	6.9	2.7
8	Mark Canha	0.1900	0.2009	0.2044	4.5	1.8	2.7
9	Tyler O'Neill	0.2472	0.2310	0.1333	17.2	14.7	2.5
10	Dylan Moore	0.1758	0.1914	0.2093	6.0	3.5	2.5

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.1402	0.0896 (14.1)	0.0867 (15.3)	0.0885 (14.4)	0.0877 (14.7)	0.0927 (13.4)
Jose Iglesias	0.1382	0.0630 (11.8)	0.0672 (11.4)	0.0627 (11.8)	0.0623 (11.9)	0.0641 (11.6)
Josh Bell	0.0227	0.0797 (12.0)	0.0820 (12.1)	0.0771 (11.4)	0.0791 (11.8)	0.0828 (12.6)
Keston Hiura	0.0331	0.0882 (12.8)	0.0978 (14.7)	0.0883 (12.8)	0.0881 (12.7)	0.0882 (12.7)
César Hernández	0.1143	0.0582 (15.5)	0.0558 (16.5)	0.0681 (12.9)	0.0634 (14.2)	0.0529 (16.9)
Matt Olson	0.0336	0.0789 (10.3)	0.0781 (9.7)	0.0755 (9.5)	0.0793 (10.4)	0.0820 (11.0)
Corey Dickerson	0.0327	0.0849 (10.3)	0.0949 (12.1)	0.0824 (9.8)	0.0834 (9.9)	0.0887 (11.0)
Miguel Sanó	0.1446	0.0883 (12.2)	0.0856 (13.1)	0.0857 (12.7)	0.0875 (12.4)	0.0921 (11.5)
Kyle Lewis	0.0238	0.0758 (11.8)	0.0811 (12.7)	0.0750 (11.6)	0.0736 (11.2)	0.0789 (12.5)
Jason Castro	0.2000	0.0743 (11.9)	0.0773 (11.7)	0.0681 (12.4)	0.0771 (11.6)	0.0714 (12.1)
Nick Markakis	0.1415	0.0705 (10.5)	0.0778 (9.7)	0.0681 (10.8)	0.0735 (10.1)	0.0676 (10.9)
Willy Adames	0.1456	0.0647 (17.3)	0.0634 (17.8)	0.0645 (17.3)	0.0652 (17.2)	0.0643 (17.4)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1279	0.0707 (12.2)	0.0683 (13.0)	0.0695 (12.5)	0.0702 (12.3)	0.0724 (11.9)
Dominic Smith	0.1680	0.0728 (19.6)	0.0800 (18.5)	0.0725 (19.6)	0.0728 (19.6)	0.0732 (19.6)
Ji Man Choi	0.1512	0.0745 (11.6)	0.0780 (11.3)	0.0760 (11.4)	0.0763 (11.3)	0.0714 (12.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cavan Biggio	0.0661	0.1053	11.3
2	Jake Cronenworth	0.0603	0.1079	9.8
3	Andrew Stevenson	0.0537	0.2500	9.4
4	Juan Soto	0.0794	0.1239	9.4
5	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0804	0.0301	9.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcell Ozuna	0.0565	0.0927	11.0
2	Christian Walker	0.0741	0.1098	9.8
3	Juan Soto	0.0806	0.1239	9.4
4	Max Muncy	0.0727	0.0301	9.4
5	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0675	0.0226	9.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cavan Biggio	0.0688	0.1053	10.5
2	Juan Soto	0.0777	0.1239	9.7
3	Andrew Stevenson	0.0513	0.2500	9.5
4	JaCoby Jones	0.0681	0.1525	9.5
5	Jake Cronenworth	0.0631	0.1079	9.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cavan Biggio	0.0679	0.1053	10.8
2	Juan Soto	0.0794	0.1239	9.4
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.0715	0.0276	9.4
4	Jake Cronenworth	0.0635	0.1079	9.2
5	Andrew Stevenson	0.0581	0.2500	9.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cavan Biggio	0.0614	0.1053	12.5
2	Jake Cronenworth	0.0543	0.1079	11.0
3	Hunter Dozier	0.0952	0.0385	9.9
4	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0826	0.0301	9.8
5	Andrew Stevenson	0.0517	0.2500	9.5

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jacob Stallings	0.0534	0.0758	0.0824	4.8	1.4	3.4
2	Marcell Ozuna	0.0565	0.0676	0.0927	11.0	7.6	3.4
3	Anthony Rendon	0.0987	0.0839	0.0738	4.7	1.6	3.1
4	J.P. Crawford	0.0778	0.0634	0.0424	7.1	4.1	3.0
5	Maikel Franco	0.0565	0.0667	0.0884	8.9	6.1	2.8
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.0921	0.0782	0.0492	7.9	5.4	2.6
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.0913	0.0788	0.0593	6.1	3.6	2.5
8	Franmil Reyes	0.0629	0.0710	0.0725	3.5	1.2	2.3
9	Orlando Arcia	0.0500	0.0599	0.0730	5.3	3.1	2.2
10	Mookie Betts	0.0903	0.0803	0.0542	7.7	5.6	2.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Pedro Severino	0.0681	0.0526	0.0431	3.9	1.1	2.8
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0681	0.0407	0.0161	4.0	1.7	2.3
3	Edwin Encarnación	0.0681	0.0561	0.0515	2.4	0.2	2.2
4	Brian Goodwin	0.0681	0.0816	0.1047	6.5	4.3	2.2
5	Victor Reyes	0.0681	0.0599	0.0458	4.1	2.3	1.8
6	Stephen Vogt	0.0681	0.0878	0.0926	2.2	0.7	1.6
7	Jarrod Dyson	0.0681	0.0452	0.0000	4.3	2.8	1.5
8	Brett Gardner	0.0681	0.0588	0.0549	1.6	0.1	1.5
9	Didi Gregorius	0.0681	0.0621	0.0556	2.2	0.8	1.5
10	Mitch Moreland	0.0681	0.0775	0.0957	4.7	3.3	1.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0715	0.0655	0.0276	9.4	8.0	1.4
2	Pedro Severino	0.0582	0.0526	0.0431	2.1	1.1	1.0
3	Edwin Encarnación	0.0611	0.0561	0.0515	1.1	0.2	0.9
4	Austin Romine	0.0753	0.0688	0.0610	1.5	0.6	0.9
5	Ian Happ	0.0751	0.0784	0.0887	3.9	3.1	0.8
6	Matt Kemp	0.0792	0.0731	0.0429	4.3	3.6	0.8
7	Nelson Cruz	0.0748	0.0710	0.0541	3.7	2.9	0.8
8	Rhys Hoskins	0.0749	0.0789	0.0918	3.8	3.0	0.8
9	Jonathan Villar	0.0677	0.0640	0.0379	5.5	4.7	0.7
10	Brian Goodwin	0.0772	0.0816	0.1047	5.1	4.3	0.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kevin Pillar	0.0925	0.0822	0.0745	3.2	1.0	2.3
2	Alex Verdugo	0.0677	0.0776	0.1060	9.2	7.0	2.2
3	Austin Riley	0.0917	0.0812	0.0530	7.3	5.1	2.1
4	Nicky Lopez	0.0417	0.0517	0.0615	4.5	2.5	2.0
5	Hunter Dozier	0.0952	0.0851	0.0385	9.9	8.1	1.9
6	Tommy La Stella	0.0482	0.0558	0.0769	7.3	5.6	1.8
7	Hanser Alberto	0.0424	0.0499	0.0789	9.2	7.5	1.7
8	Joey Gallo	0.1000	0.0924	0.0769	4.4	2.8	1.7
9	Brandon Lowe	0.0909	0.0839	0.0732	3.2	1.7	1.5
10	Jon Berti	0.0460	0.0556	0.0595	2.5	1.1	1.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Yastrzemski	0.0315	0.0111 (4.8)	0.0120 (4.7)	0.0122 (4.5)	0.0124 (4.5)	0.0085 (5.5)
Bryce Harper	0.0146	0.0020 (3.3)	0.0029 (3.2)	0.0031 (2.9)	0.0028 (3.1)	0.0000 (3.9)
Trevor Story	0.0248	0.0123 (3.5)	0.0115 (3.8)	0.0111 (3.7)	0.0112 (3.7)	0.0146 (3.0)
Michael Chavis	0.0215	0.0028 (3.1)	0.0043 (2.9)	0.0041 (2.8)	0.0043 (2.8)	0.0000 (3.6)
Kyle Tucker	0.0387	0.0070 (7.4)	0.0061 (7.8)	0.0073 (7.3)	0.0070 (7.4)	0.0068 (7.6)
Harrison Bader	0.0317	0.0087 (3.0)	0.0075 (3.2)	0.0080 (3.0)	0.0081 (3.0)	0.0099 (2.9)
Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.0205	0.0014 (4.3)	0.0029 (4.1)	0.0058 (3.3)	0.0028 (3.9)	0.0000 (4.7)
Jeimer Candelario	0.0233	0.0087 (3.2)	0.0072 (3.6)	0.0092 (3.0)	0.0093 (3.0)	0.0076 (3.5)
Kevin Pillar	0.0186	0.0043 (3.4)	0.0047 (3.4)	0.0033 (3.5)	0.0038 (3.5)	0.0058 (3.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0182	0.0000	3.9
2	Yoán Moncada	0.0100	0.0242	3.5
3	Cedric Mullins	0.0071	0.0288	3.5
4	Aaron Hicks	0.0025	0.0160	3.0
5	Taylor Ward	0.0020	0.0303	3.0
6	Daulton Varsho	0.0060	0.0308	2.9
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.0105	0.0222	2.8
8	Jorge Polanco	0.0132	0.0000	2.8
9	Matt Chapman	0.0080	0.0253	2.8
10	Whit Merrifield	0.0112	0.0000	2.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Cronenworth	0.0058	0.0216	3.3
2	Brett Phillips	0.0058	0.0588	3.2
3	Joey Bart	0.0058	0.0323	3.1
4	Whit Merrifield	0.0130	0.0000	3.0
5	Daulton Varsho	0.0058	0.0308	3.0
6	Cedric Mullins	0.0114	0.0288	2.9
7	Trent Grisham	0.0109	0.0208	2.9
8	Jay Bruce	0.0040	0.0303	2.9
9	Tommy La Stella	0.0000	0.0110	2.8
10	George Springer	0.0029	0.0142	2.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cedric Mullins	0.0000	0.0288	4.5
2	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0058	0.0207	3.6
3	Daulton Varsho	0.0000	0.0308	3.6
4	Trea Turner	0.0088	0.0214	3.4
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0155	0.0000	3.4
6	Andrés Giménez	0.0000	0.0227	3.1
7	Yoán Moncada	0.0117	0.0242	3.0
8	Brandon Nimmo	0.0098	0.0222	2.9
9	Whit Merrifield	0.0116	0.0000	2.9
10	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0049	0.0169	2.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trea Turner	0.0090	0.0214	3.4
2	Yoán Moncada	0.0108	0.0242	3.3
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0151	0.0000	3.3
4	Cedric Mullins	0.0089	0.0288	3.2
5	Brandon Nimmo	0.0099	0.0222	2.9
6	Taylor Ward	0.0022	0.0303	2.9
7	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0050	0.0169	2.9
8	Jay Bruce	0.0032	0.0303	2.9
9	Whit Merrifield	0.0115	0.0000	2.9
10	Jake Cronenworth	0.0078	0.0216	2.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0242	0.0000	5.2
2	Yoán Moncada	0.0076	0.0242	4.1
3	Aaron Hicks	0.0000	0.0160	3.7
4	Jorge Polanco	0.0172	0.0000	3.6
5	Joey Gallo	0.0167	0.0000	3.5
6	Keston Hiura	0.0147	0.0000	3.3
7	Jonathan Schoop	0.0000	0.0169	3.2
8	Taylor Ward	0.0000	0.0303	3.2
9	Matt Chapman	0.0074	0.0253	2.9
10	Jared Walsh	0.0000	0.0256	2.9

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brett Phillips	0.0058	0.0300	0.0588	3.2	1.7	1.5
2	Trent Grisham	0.0109	0.0160	0.0208	2.9	1.4	1.4
3	Leody Taveras	0.0058	0.0131	0.0137	1.3	0.2	1.1
4	Dylan Carlson	0.0058	0.0156	0.0137	1.1	0.1	1.0
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0147	0.0095	0.0000	2.7	1.8	1.0
6	Ryan McMahon	0.0035	0.0078	0.0102	1.6	0.6	0.9
7	Christian Walker	0.0034	0.0073	0.0061	1.0	0.1	0.9
8	George Springer	0.0029	0.0063	0.0142	2.8	1.9	0.9
9	Max Muncy	0.0069	0.0028	0.0000	1.4	0.5	0.9
10	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.0077	0.0032	0.0000	1.4	0.5	0.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0058	0.0234	0.0207	3.6	0.4	3.2
2	Victor Reyes	0.0058	0.0119	0.0131	1.7	0.4	1.3
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.0058	0.0011	0.0000	1.2	0.1	1.1
4	Renato Núñez	0.0058	0.0010	0.0000	1.1	0.0	1.1
5	Kyle Seager	0.0058	0.0016	0.0000	1.3	0.2	1.1
6	Nelson Cruz	0.0058	0.0011	0.0000	1.1	0.1	1.1
7	Cedric Mullins	0.0000	0.0071	0.0288	4.5	3.5	1.0
8	Andrés Giménez	0.0000	0.0079	0.0227	3.1	2.1	1.0
9	Maikel Franco	0.0058	0.0020	0.0000	1.3	0.3	1.0
10	Roman Quinn	0.0058	0.0171	0.0147	1.1	0.2	0.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trent Grisham	0.0126	0.0160	0.0208	2.3	1.4	0.8
2	Trea Turner	0.0090	0.0121	0.0214	3.4	2.6	0.8
3	Nick Castellanos	0.0053	0.0077	0.0147	2.5	1.9	0.6
4	Garrett Hampson	0.0139	0.0171	0.0283	2.8	2.2	0.6
5	Maikel Franco	0.0039	0.0020	0.0000	0.8	0.3	0.5
6	Mitch Moreland	0.0062	0.0031	0.0000	0.8	0.3	0.5
7	Kyle Seager	0.0033	0.0016	0.0000	0.6	0.2	0.4
8	Max Muncy	0.0044	0.0028	0.0000	0.9	0.5	0.4
9	Carlos Correa	0.0053	0.0035	0.0000	1.0	0.6	0.4
10	Darin Ruf	0.0058	0.0000	0.0000	0.5	0.1	0.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.0167	0.0090	0.0000	3.5	1.8	1.6
2	Hunter Dozier	0.0079	0.0144	0.0192	2.3	1.0	1.3
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0242	0.0182	0.0000	5.2	3.9	1.3
4	Keston Hiura	0.0147	0.0099	0.0000	3.3	2.2	1.1
5	Raimel Tapia	0.0226	0.0173	0.0132	1.6	0.7	1.0
6	Brett Gardner	0.0058	0.0115	0.0110	1.0	0.1	1.0
7	Luke Voit	0.0096	0.0054	0.0000	1.9	1.1	0.9
8	Jorge Polanco	0.0172	0.0132	0.0000	3.6	2.8	0.8
9	Dylan Carlson	0.0229	0.0156	0.0137	0.9	0.1	0.8
10	Miguel Sanó	0.0132	0.0087	0.0000	2.4	1.6	0.8

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.1947	0.1468 (12.1)	0.1485 (12.6)	0.1487 (12.7)	0.1416 (12.8)	0.1500 (11.4)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1946	0.1459 (12.0)	0.1481 (12.4)	0.1443 (13.6)	0.1426 (12.3)	0.1509 (10.9)
Jonathan Villar	0.0628	0.1236 (13.0)	0.1316 (13.8)	0.1254 (12.4)	0.1195 (12.6)	0.1277 (13.6)
Tim Anderson	0.2036	0.1344 (14.9)	0.1331 (16.0)	0.1385 (15.0)	0.1320 (14.9)	0.1327 (15.4)
Dansby Swanson	0.1856	0.1200 (16.8)	0.1178 (18.4)	0.1217 (17.6)	0.1144 (17.7)	0.1238 (16.0)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2277	0.1636 (12.6)	0.1624 (13.6)	0.1635 (13.5)	0.1569 (13.5)	0.1705 (11.3)
Francisco Lindor	0.1128	0.1571 (12.3)	0.1527 (10.1)	0.1596 (11.8)	0.1520 (11.6)	0.1597 (12.8)
J.D. Martinez	0.0928	0.1526 (14.6)	0.1570 (14.7)	0.1544 (14.0)	0.1591 (16.7)	0.1441 (12.4)
Willie Calhoun	0.0278	0.1291 (11.1)	0.1295 (10.8)	0.1228 (10.0)	0.1322 (11.7)	0.1324 (11.4)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lewis	0.0942	0.1529	13.8
2	Mike Yastrzemski	0.1171	0.1733	12.2
3	Joey Gallo	0.1476	0.1018	10.8
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.1489	0.1070	10.6
5	Alex Bregman	0.1613	0.1056	10.4
6	Jeff McNeil	0.1382	0.0909	10.3
7	Hanser Alberto	0.1058	0.1515	10.1
8	Manny Machado	0.1322	0.1732	10.0
9	Gregory Polanco	0.1237	0.0690	9.8
10	Jorge Polanco	0.1379	0.0973	9.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.1207	0.1732	13.8
2	Willson Contreras	0.1169	0.1644	11.1
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.1310	0.1892	11.1
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1713	0.1255	10.8
5	Joey Gallo	0.1509	0.1018	10.7
6	Trent Grisham	0.1267	0.1667	10.6
7	Alex Verdugo	0.1174	0.1629	10.5
8	José Abreu	0.1261	0.1641	10.5
9	Randal Grichuk	0.1232	0.1645	10.0
10	Adam Duvall	0.1180	0.1627	9.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lewis	0.0911	0.1529	15.6
2	Mike Yastrzemski	0.1176	0.1733	13.1
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.1626	0.1070	12.9
4	Trent Grisham	0.1235	0.1667	11.6
5	Luke Voit	0.1320	0.1752	10.7
6	Dylan Moore	0.1000	0.1635	10.5
7	Jeff McNeil	0.1432	0.0909	10.4
8	J.P. Crawford	0.1009	0.1422	10.2
9	Juan Soto	0.1500	0.1990	10.1
10	Ketel Marte	0.1516	0.0974	10.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Yastrzemski	0.1075	0.1733	13.9
2	Kyle Lewis	0.0944	0.1529	13.1
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.1519	0.1070	11.9
4	Jorge Polanco	0.1417	0.0973	11.0
5	Hanser Alberto	0.1000	0.1515	10.9
6	Luke Voit	0.1246	0.1752	10.8
7	Marwin Gonzalez	0.1233	0.0754	10.4
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.1382	0.1898	10.2
9	Jeff McNeil	0.1346	0.0909	10.0
10	Carlos Correa	0.1405	0.0995	10.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Gallo	0.1707	0.1018	15.8
2	Kyle Lewis	0.0969	0.1529	13.3
3	José Abreu	0.1139	0.1641	12.9
4	Manny Machado	0.1235	0.1732	12.4
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.0719	0.1212	11.2
6	Alex Bregman	0.1653	0.1056	10.9
7	Hanser Alberto	0.1031	0.1515	10.9
8	Eric Thames	0.1465	0.0714	10.7
9	Alex Verdugo	0.1136	0.1629	10.7
10	Gregory Polanco	0.1284	0.0690	10.5

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1086	0.1308	0.1399	8.1	1.8	6.3
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.1713	0.1511	0.1255	10.8	6.8	4.1
3	Erik González	0.1199	0.0953	0.0725	8.8	4.8	4.0
4	Manny Machado	0.1207	0.1322	0.1732	13.8	10.0	3.9
5	José Ramírez	0.1452	0.1547	0.1772	8.6	5.2	3.4
6	Myles Straw	0.1593	0.1174	0.0930	5.5	2.3	3.3
7	Trevor Story	0.1441	0.1529	0.1583	4.2	0.9	3.3
8	Evan White	0.1254	0.1059	0.0941	5.9	2.8	3.2
9	Alex Verdugo	0.1174	0.1279	0.1629	10.5	7.3	3.2
10	Joey Votto	0.1266	0.1361	0.1435	4.2	1.2	3.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Erik González	0.1254	0.0953	0.0725	9.7	4.8	4.9
2	Nelson Cruz	0.1254	0.1402	0.1542	6.7	2.6	4.1
3	Pedro Severino	0.1254	0.1015	0.0955	4.9	1.4	3.5
4	Yadier Molina	0.1254	0.1021	0.0769	7.2	4.2	2.9
5	Wilson Ramos	0.1254	0.1031	0.0839	6.0	3.3	2.8
6	J.P. Crawford	0.1009	0.1075	0.1422	10.2	7.6	2.6
7	Albert Pujols	0.1254	0.1057	0.0920	5.0	2.5	2.5
8	Jesús Aguilar	0.1076	0.1143	0.1435	8.3	5.9	2.4
9	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.1254	0.1332	0.1459	4.3	2.0	2.3
10	Anthony Rizzo	0.1626	0.1489	0.1070	12.9	10.6	2.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Didi Gregorius	0.1109	0.1265	0.1435	6.7	3.6	3.1
2	Maikel Franco	0.1221	0.1129	0.0947	7.7	4.9	2.8
3	Jean Segura	0.1089	0.1237	0.1290	3.5	0.8	2.7
4	Albert Pujols	0.1194	0.1057	0.0920	5.2	2.5	2.6
5	Pete Alonso	0.1506	0.1440	0.1297	6.0	3.9	2.1
6	J.D. Martinez	0.1591	0.1526	0.0928	16.7	14.6	2.1
7	Mookie Betts	0.1593	0.1703	0.1911	6.8	4.7	2.1
8	Kole Calhoun	0.1168	0.1281	0.1535	7.4	5.4	2.0
9	Mike Trout	0.1852	0.1791	0.1701	4.7	2.6	2.0
10	Raimel Tapia	0.1088	0.1206	0.1262	2.7	0.8	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0719	0.0955	0.1212	11.2	5.5	5.6
2	Joey Gallo	0.1707	0.1476	0.1018	15.8	10.8	5.0
3	José Abreu	0.1139	0.1289	0.1641	12.9	8.8	4.1
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1667	0.1511	0.1255	10.4	6.8	3.7
5	Alex Verdugo	0.1136	0.1279	0.1629	10.7	7.3	3.3
6	Yasmani Grandal	0.1156	0.1305	0.1392	4.4	1.3	3.0
7	Nick Solak	0.1339	0.1204	0.1159	4.5	1.5	3.0
8	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1156	0.1268	0.1454	6.5	3.8	2.7
9	Adam Frazier	0.1308	0.1184	0.0957	8.3	5.7	2.7
10	Nelson Cruz	0.1285	0.1402	0.1542	5.3	2.6	2.7

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Wil Myers	0.1835	0.1211 (14.6)	0.1130 (15.8)	0.1205 (15.1)	0.1164 (15.3)	0.1263 (13.5)
Avisaíl García	0.0725	0.1419 (13.4)	0.1329 (12.2)	0.1408 (12.8)	0.1346 (12.2)	0.1503 (15.1)
Luke Voit	0.2222	0.1379 (20.8)	0.1359 (20.6)	0.1350 (21.9)	0.1320 (21.8)	0.1467 (18.8)
José Abreu	0.2290	0.1588 (19.6)	0.1546 (19.9)	0.1649 (18.5)	0.1554 (20.1)	0.1561 (20.4)
Eric Hosmer	0.2308	0.1320 (16.1)	0.1288 (16.2)	0.1200 (18.3)	0.1270 (16.7)	0.1369 (15.4)
Dominic Smith	0.2111	0.1191 (19.2)	0.1153 (19.4)	0.1261 (18.2)	0.1184 (19.1)	0.1129 (20.5)
Christian Yelich	0.0891	0.1634 (17.2)	0.1495 (14.5)	0.1641 (16.9)	0.1586 (16.4)	0.1674 (18.1)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.1880	0.1235	14.6
2	J.D. Martinez	0.1789	0.1139	14.3
3	Brian Anderson	0.1111	0.1659	13.6
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1288	0.1751	13.1
5	Trea Turner	0.1124	0.1583	13.1
6	Javier Báez	0.1619	0.1021	13.0
7	David Bote	0.1178	0.2000	12.6
8	Donovan Solano	0.0856	0.1429	12.5
9	Kole Calhoun	0.1255	0.1754	12.4
10	Jared Walsh	0.1314	0.2407	12.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Tucker	0.1151	0.1842	16.2
2	Jared Walsh	0.1016	0.2407	15.2
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.1549	0.2097	15.1
4	Kole Calhoun	0.1117	0.1754	14.9
5	Trea Turner	0.1027	0.1583	14.9
6	J.D. Martinez	0.1758	0.1139	14.2
7	Freddie Freeman	0.1501	0.2023	14.1
8	Brian Anderson	0.1107	0.1659	13.1
9	Manny Machado	0.1355	0.1850	13.0
10	Shogo Akiyama	0.1200	0.0492	12.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.1933	0.1139	17.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2000	0.1235	17.0
3	Brian Anderson	0.1082	0.1659	14.7
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.0982	0.1556	14.3
5	Kole Calhoun	0.1200	0.1754	14.1
6	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1294	0.1751	13.4
7	Austin Nola	0.0871	0.1522	13.2
8	Javier Báez	0.1643	0.1021	13.1
9	Didi Gregorius	0.1200	0.1688	13.1
10	Kyle Schwarber	0.1711	0.1071	12.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcell Ozuna	0.1542	0.2097	15.6
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1187	0.1751	15.3
3	J.D. Martinez	0.1767	0.1139	14.2
4	Francisco Lindor	0.1574	0.1015	14.1
5	Trea Turner	0.1074	0.1583	14.0
6	Brian Anderson	0.1093	0.1659	13.7
7	Alex Verdugo	0.1320	0.0679	13.5
8	Freddie Freeman	0.1544	0.2023	13.4
9	David Bote	0.1115	0.2000	13.3
10	Kole Calhoun	0.1207	0.1754	13.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Muncy	0.1753	0.1089	15.2
2	Eduardo Escobar	0.1609	0.0901	14.6
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.1630	0.0988	14.4
4	Donovan Solano	0.0797	0.1429	13.8
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1849	0.1235	13.7
6	Javier Báez	0.1651	0.1021	13.7
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.1197	0.1700	13.7
8	Trea Turner	0.1106	0.1583	13.6
9	Josh Bell	0.1644	0.0987	13.6
10	Carlos Correa	0.1792	0.1131	13.5

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Tucker	0.1151	0.1443	0.1842	16.2	10.1	6.0
2	Leody Taveras	0.1200	0.0803	0.0448	9.8	4.2	5.7
3	Eloy Jiménez	0.1438	0.1669	0.1814	8.9	4.3	4.6
4	Kevin Newman	0.1143	0.0907	0.0581	9.4	4.8	4.6
5	Manny Machado	0.1355	0.1556	0.1850	13.0	8.6	4.4
6	Randal Grichuk	0.1286	0.1501	0.1515	5.7	1.4	4.3
7	Nico Hoerner	0.1400	0.1102	0.1032	4.4	0.3	4.1
8	Rafael Devers	0.1440	0.1633	0.1734	7.7	3.6	4.1
9	Mike Trout	0.1462	0.1656	0.1909	11.2	7.2	4.0
10	Shogo Akiyama	0.1200	0.1010	0.0492	12.6	8.7	4.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	César Hernández	0.1200	0.0915	0.0766	9.6	2.7	6.9
2	Didi Gregorius	0.1200	0.1456	0.1688	13.1	6.6	6.5
3	Jonathan Villar	0.1200	0.0902	0.0725	8.5	2.7	5.8
4	Renato Núñez	0.1200	0.1439	0.1435	6.5	0.9	5.6
5	Victor Reyes	0.1200	0.0927	0.0657	10.2	4.8	5.4
6	Delino DeShields	0.1200	0.0759	0.0583	6.6	1.6	5.1
7	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1200	0.1414	0.1455	6.8	1.9	5.0
8	Albert Pujols	0.1200	0.1476	0.1534	6.5	1.7	4.8
9	Ryan Braun	0.1200	0.1507	0.1844	10.0	5.4	4.6
10	Kyle Seager	0.1200	0.1358	0.1613	11.8	7.4	4.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Didi Gregorius	0.1272	0.1456	0.1688	10.6	6.6	4.0
2	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1214	0.1414	0.1455	5.8	1.9	3.9
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.1542	0.1683	0.2097	15.6	12.3	3.4
4	Francisco Lindor	0.1574	0.1470	0.1015	14.1	10.9	3.2
5	Travis d'Arnaud	0.1271	0.1431	0.1848	11.2	8.5	2.7
6	Adam Duvall	0.1370	0.1513	0.1579	5.0	2.3	2.7
7	Andrew McCutchen	0.1141	0.1252	0.1411	7.3	4.9	2.3
8	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1187	0.1288	0.1751	15.3	13.1	2.2
9	Nicky Lopez	0.0958	0.0861	0.0677	4.8	2.7	2.2
10	Alex Gordon	0.1179	0.1076	0.0598	10.1	8.0	2.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Muncy	0.1753	0.1495	0.1089	15.2	8.9	6.3
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.1197	0.1408	0.1700	13.7	8.3	5.3
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1156	0.1345	0.1366	5.9	1.5	4.4
4	Miguel Sanó	0.1899	0.1716	0.1220	12.9	9.2	3.7
5	Bryce Harper	0.1772	0.1618	0.1352	9.0	5.4	3.7
6	Colin Moran	0.1421	0.1252	0.1150	4.4	1.1	3.3
7	Eduardo Escobar	0.1609	0.1469	0.0901	14.6	11.6	3.0
8	Luis Arraez	0.0723	0.0959	0.1074	4.8	2.0	2.9
9	Austin Riley	0.1675	0.1533	0.1311	6.5	3.6	2.9
10	Jean Segura	0.0948	0.1074	0.1152	5.5	2.7	2.8

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Billy Hamilton	1.2000	0.2639 (33.8)	0.2571 (34.0)	0.2414 (34.6)	0.2409 (34.6)	0.3095 (32.2)
Manuel Margot	0.2857	0.1485 (22.2)	0.1296 (24.9)	0.1429 (23.1)	0.1402 (23.4)	0.1628 (20.2)
Trevor Story	0.2344	0.1324 (27.1)	0.1324 (26.5)	0.1307 (27.5)	0.1345 (26.4)	0.1321 (27.6)
Scott Heineman	0.5000	0.0896 (22.3)	0.0545 (24.1)	0.0822 (22.7)	0.0817 (22.7)	0.1053 (21.5)
Monte Harrison	0.6000	0.1876 (21.2)	0.0561 (27.8)	0.0561 (27.9)	0.1574 (22.7)	0.2162 (19.8)
Amed Rosario	0.0000	0.1423 (20.5)	0.1357 (19.9)	0.1421 (20.5)	0.1393 (20.2)	0.1455 (20.8)
Roman Quinn	0.5000	0.2435 (30.1)	0.1692 (38.4)	0.0561 (51.8)	0.1888 (36.3)	0.3000 (23.7)
Trent Grisham	0.1493	0.0683 (21.1)	0.0405 (27.5)	0.0661 (21.6)	0.0660 (21.5)	0.0727 (20.3)
Robbie Grossman	0.1818	0.0456 (26.7)	0.0379 (27.7)	0.0470 (26.4)	0.0462 (26.4)	0.0435 (27.4)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.4005	0.5000	23.8
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.0384	0.1270	20.5
3	Niko Goodrum	0.0953	0.2059	20.3
4	Kevin Newman	0.1185	0.0000	19.9
5	Dylan Moore	0.1780	0.3000	19.8
6	Tommy Edman	0.1236	0.0339	19.7
7	Austin Slater	0.0559	0.2353	18.9
8	Victor Robles	0.1885	0.0870	18.7
9	Michael A. Taylor	0.1898	0.0000	18.5
10	Brett Phillips	0.1210	0.4286	18.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Moore	0.1154	0.3000	29.4
2	Adalberto Mondesi	0.3750	0.5000	29.2
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0561	0.1837	29.0
4	Leody Taveras	0.0561	0.2667	28.3
5	Brett Phillips	0.0561	0.4286	22.0
6	Andrés Giménez	0.0561	0.2222	22.0
7	Cedric Mullins	0.0517	0.1892	21.1
8	Tommy Edman	0.1263	0.0339	20.9
9	Myles Straw	0.1233	0.3529	19.8
10	Anderson Tejeda	0.0561	0.3077	19.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0561	0.5000	104.0
2	Jonathan Villar	0.0561	0.2909	49.1
3	Jarrod Dyson	0.0561	0.4000	22.9
4	Niko Goodrum	0.0888	0.2059	21.4
5	Xander Bogaerts	0.0346	0.1270	21.4
6	Kevin Newman	0.1228	0.0000	20.7
7	Dylan Moore	0.1744	0.3000	20.4
8	Anthony Alford	0.0561	0.7500	20.2
9	Victor Reyes	0.0561	0.1481	20.2
10	Anderson Tejeda	0.0561	0.3077	19.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.3691	0.5000	30.9
2	Dylan Moore	0.1667	0.3000	21.5
3	Xander Bogaerts	0.0335	0.1270	21.5
4	Kevin Newman	0.1233	0.0000	20.9
5	Niko Goodrum	0.0947	0.2059	20.3
6	Austin Slater	0.0503	0.2353	19.4
7	Brett Phillips	0.1052	0.4286	19.2
8	Jonathan Villar	0.2004	0.2909	19.1
9	Victor Robles	0.1885	0.0870	18.8
10	Tommy Edman	0.1171	0.0339	18.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trea Turner	0.2712	0.1690	25.4
2	Ramón Laureano	0.1463	0.0333	24.2
3	Tommy Edman	0.1373	0.0339	22.5
4	Michael A. Taylor	0.2222	0.0000	21.6
5	Wil Myers	0.1429	0.0435	20.8
6	Victor Robles	0.1964	0.0870	19.9
7	Yoán Moncada	0.0893	0.0000	19.7
8	Niko Goodrum	0.1026	0.2059	19.2
9	Xander Bogaerts	0.0476	0.1270	18.8
10	Christian Yelich	0.1385	0.0588	18.7

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0561	0.1861	0.1837	29.0	0.0	29.0
2	Andrés Giménez	0.0561	0.2211	0.2222	22.0	0.5	21.5
3	Cedric Mullins	0.0517	0.1571	0.1892	21.1	5.3	15.8
4	Kyle Tucker	0.1091	0.1653	0.1702	14.0	1.7	12.3
5	Leody Taveras	0.0561	0.1394	0.2667	28.3	17.4	10.9
6	Tim Lopes	0.1014	0.1685	0.1786	11.7	1.9	9.8
7	Dylan Moore	0.1154	0.1780	0.3000	29.4	19.8	9.6
8	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.0561	0.0079	0.0000	10.3	1.0	9.3
9	Roman Quinn	0.1692	0.2435	0.5000	38.4	30.1	8.3
10	Sam Hilliard	0.0690	0.1423	0.1429	8.5	0.4	8.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0561	0.4005	0.5000	104.0	23.8	80.2
2	Jonathan Villar	0.0561	0.2237	0.2909	49.1	14.5	34.7
3	Roman Quinn	0.0561	0.2435	0.5000	51.8	30.1	21.7
4	Tim Lopes	0.0561	0.1685	0.1786	18.9	1.9	17.0
5	Victor Reyes	0.0561	0.1248	0.1481	20.2	5.5	14.6
6	Mallex Smith	0.0561	0.2988	0.3333	13.2	1.7	11.4
7	Nelson Cruz	0.0561	0.0047	0.0000	11.4	0.4	11.0
8	Jarrod Dyson	0.0561	0.2222	0.4000	22.9	11.9	11.0
9	Renato Núñez	0.0561	0.0061	0.0000	11.6	0.8	10.8
10	Robinson Canó	0.0561	0.0036	0.0000	9.7	0.2	9.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.3691	0.4005	0.5000	30.9	23.8	7.2
2	Roman Quinn	0.1888	0.2435	0.5000	36.3	30.1	6.3
3	Jonathan Villar	0.2004	0.2237	0.2909	19.1	14.5	4.7
4	Andrés Giménez	0.1959	0.2211	0.2222	3.7	0.5	3.2
5	Kyle Tucker	0.1515	0.1653	0.1702	4.7	1.7	3.0
6	José Ramírez	0.1458	0.1558	0.1562	3.1	0.8	2.4
7	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1759	0.1861	0.1837	2.2	0.0	2.2
8	Teoscar Hernández	0.0667	0.0774	0.1277	13.0	11.0	2.1
9	Cody Bellinger	0.0703	0.0792	0.1017	8.1	6.1	2.0
10	Mookie Betts	0.0973	0.1059	0.1562	15.0	13.0	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trea Turner	0.2712	0.2356	0.1690	25.4	16.6	8.8
2	Ramón Laureano	0.1463	0.1166	0.0333	24.2	17.9	6.3
3	AJ Pollock	0.1212	0.0911	0.0488	14.3	8.3	6.0
4	Jon Berti	0.2286	0.1931	0.1800	6.6	1.6	5.1
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2093	0.1861	0.1837	4.9	0.0	4.8
6	Garrett Hampson	0.2083	0.1832	0.1500	10.0	5.6	4.4
7	Jose Altuve	0.1000	0.0786	0.0435	11.0	6.8	4.2
8	Christian Yelich	0.1385	0.1209	0.0588	18.7	14.7	4.0
9	Bo Bichette	0.2128	0.1803	0.1481	7.7	3.8	4.0
10	José Ramírez	0.1786	0.1558	0.1562	4.6	0.8	3.8

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Conforto	0.3218	0.2538 (18.8)	0.2554 (18.6)	0.2523 (19.0)	0.2525 (19.4)	0.2565 (17.8)
Jose Iglesias	0.3732	0.2681 (17.7)	0.2704 (17.4)	0.2689 (17.4)	0.2689 (17.7)	0.2667 (17.7)
Salvador Perez	0.3333	0.2495 (15.1)	0.2500 (15.1)	0.2488 (15.0)	0.2529 (14.7)	0.2467 (15.3)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3377	0.2768 (19.7)	0.2712 (21.4)	0.2746 (20.0)	0.2743 (20.6)	0.2814 (18.0)
Willi Castro	0.3488	0.2557 (14.8)	0.2447 (16.5)	0.2559 (14.7)	0.2576 (14.7)	0.2535 (14.9)
J.D. Martinez	0.2133	0.2958 (16.5)	0.3043 (18.4)	0.2981 (17.3)	0.2984 (16.9)	0.2908 (15.7)
Trea Turner	0.3348	0.2858 (16.0)	0.2788 (18.0)	0.2885 (15.1)	0.2887 (15.5)	0.2804 (17.0)
Dominic Smith	0.3164	0.2468 (16.4)	0.2466 (16.6)	0.2450 (16.6)	0.2437 (17.2)	0.2515 (15.1)
Christian Yelich	0.2050	0.3056 (21.7)	0.3056 (21.5)	0.3106 (23.1)	0.3063 (21.6)	0.3000 (20.7)
DJ LeMahieu	0.3641	0.2897 (18.8)	0.2992 (16.9)	0.2894 (18.7)	0.2853 (20.0)	0.2944 (17.5)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.2780	0.1892	15.8
2	Freddie Freeman	0.2941	0.3411	15.7
3	Alec Bohm	0.2662	0.3375	15.1
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2433	0.2969	14.9
5	Gary Sánchez	0.2437	0.1474	14.9
6	Wil Myers	0.2345	0.2879	14.4
7	Jeimer Candelario	0.2402	0.2973	14.4
8	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2570	0.3212	14.2
9	Jose Altuve	0.2988	0.2188	14.1
10	Teoscar Hernández	0.2340	0.2895	14.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alec Bohm	0.2444	0.3375	19.2
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.2943	0.1892	19.0
3	Jeimer Candelario	0.2283	0.2973	17.0
4	Juan Soto	0.2801	0.3506	16.5
5	Jose Altuve	0.3075	0.2188	15.8
6	Freddie Freeman	0.2946	0.3411	15.7
7	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2493	0.3212	15.7
8	Gregory Polanco	0.2500	0.1529	14.5
9	Javier Báez	0.2779	0.2027	14.5
10	Edwin Encarnación	0.2506	0.1572	14.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.2829	0.1892	17.0
2	Freddie Freeman	0.2915	0.3411	16.1
3	Gary Sánchez	0.2470	0.1474	15.6
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2411	0.2969	15.2
5	Robinson Canó	0.2444	0.3158	15.2
6	Nelson Cruz	0.2444	0.3027	15.0
7	Wil Myers	0.2329	0.2879	14.6
8	Javier Báez	0.2762	0.2027	14.5
9	Jeimer Candelario	0.2393	0.2973	14.4
10	Juan Soto	0.2893	0.3506	14.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.2882	0.1892	17.7
2	Freddie Freeman	0.2912	0.3411	16.7
3	Alec Bohm	0.2638	0.3375	15.8
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2446	0.2969	14.9
5	Wil Myers	0.2337	0.2879	14.8
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.2321	0.2895	14.7
7	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2565	0.3212	14.5
8	Gary Sánchez	0.2423	0.1474	14.4
9	Gregory Polanco	0.2490	0.1529	14.3
10	Juan Soto	0.2917	0.3506	14.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.2685	0.3167	15.5
2	Jose Altuve	0.3035	0.2188	15.4
3	Donovan Solano	0.2615	0.3263	15.4
4	Alec Bohm	0.2646	0.3375	15.1
5	Brandon Belt	0.2364	0.3087	15.0
6	Gary Sánchez	0.2418	0.1474	14.8
7	Jeimer Candelario	0.2368	0.2973	14.8
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.2837	0.1895	14.5
9	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2442	0.2969	14.4
10	Gregory Polanco	0.2443	0.1529	14.0

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Verdugo	0.2737	0.2995	0.3085	10.7	4.8	5.9
2	Eloy Jiménez	0.2623	0.2832	0.2958	10.6	5.7	4.9
3	Nick Madrigal	0.2444	0.2858	0.3398	11.9	7.3	4.6
4	Alec Bohm	0.2444	0.2662	0.3375	19.2	15.1	4.1
5	Ramón Laureano	0.2775	0.2590	0.2131	11.3	7.4	3.9
6	Kyle Tucker	0.2379	0.2533	0.2679	9.9	6.2	3.7
7	Cedric Mullins	0.2208	0.2431	0.2714	9.8	6.3	3.5
8	Maikel Franco	0.2453	0.2586	0.2780	11.2	7.8	3.4
9	Ryan Mountcastle	0.2444	0.2678	0.3333	14.3	11.0	3.4
10	Raimel Tapia	0.2667	0.2816	0.3207	13.9	10.7	3.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.2444	0.2892	0.3000	12.6	4.4	8.2
2	César Hernández	0.2444	0.2739	0.2833	13.2	5.8	7.5
3	Nelson Cruz	0.2444	0.2779	0.3027	15.0	8.0	7.0
4	Victor Reyes	0.2444	0.2705	0.2772	9.5	4.1	5.4
5	Didi Gregorius	0.2444	0.2675	0.2837	12.1	6.9	5.3
6	Andrelton Simmons	0.2444	0.2764	0.2966	8.1	4.2	4.0
7	Robinson Canó	0.2444	0.2651	0.3158	15.2	11.5	3.6
8	Jeff Mathis	0.2444	0.1924	0.1613	4.8	1.3	3.6
9	Maikel Franco	0.2444	0.2586	0.2780	11.1	7.8	3.2
10	Howie Kendrick	0.2444	0.2979	0.2747	4.2	1.0	3.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Didi Gregorius	0.2584	0.2675	0.2837	9.3	6.9	2.4
2	Luke Voit	0.2502	0.2581	0.2770	9.5	7.4	2.1
3	Kyle Tucker	0.2458	0.2533	0.2679	8.2	6.2	2.0
4	Bryan Reynolds	0.2882	0.2780	0.1892	17.7	15.8	1.9
5	Kyle Seager	0.2400	0.2457	0.2414	3.8	2.1	1.7
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.2798	0.2723	0.2500	3.7	2.2	1.5
7	Rio Ruiz	0.2501	0.2420	0.2216	3.0	1.6	1.4
8	Raimel Tapia	0.2764	0.2816	0.3207	12.0	10.7	1.3
9	Matt Kemp	0.2778	0.2673	0.2393	3.3	2.0	1.2
10	Nick Solak	0.2597	0.2639	0.2679	5.1	3.9	1.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jo Adell	0.2727	0.2518	0.1613	13.2	10.3	3.0
2	Alex Verdugo	0.2875	0.2995	0.3085	7.1	4.8	2.3
3	Max Muncy	0.2531	0.2454	0.1921	12.3	10.1	2.3
4	Eduardo Escobar	0.2714	0.2628	0.2118	10.7	8.5	2.3
5	Maikel Franco	0.2486	0.2586	0.2780	9.9	7.8	2.1
6	Cavan Biggio	0.2222	0.2314	0.2500	10.3	8.3	2.0
7	Donovan Solano	0.2615	0.2727	0.3263	15.4	13.5	2.0
8	Brandon Belt	0.2364	0.2473	0.3087	15.0	13.3	1.7
9	Dylan Moore	0.2015	0.2134	0.2555	10.4	8.7	1.7
10	Alex Dickerson	0.2523	0.2630	0.2980	9.7	8.1	1.6

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Yastrzemski	0.4000	0.3130 (20.7)	0.3292 (17.8)	0.3128 (21.2)	0.3158 (20.4)	0.3105 (20.8)
Freddie Freeman	0.4618	0.3861 (21.1)	0.3807 (23.4)	0.3828 (22.5)	0.3839 (22.1)	0.3917 (19.1)
Jose Iglesias	0.4000	0.3064 (14.8)	0.3097 (14.8)	0.3074 (14.9)	0.3081 (14.7)	0.3037 (14.9)
Jose Altuve	0.2857	0.3622 (15.0)	0.3717 (16.4)	0.3611 (14.4)	0.3608 (14.4)	0.3649 (16.0)
Juan Soto	0.4898	0.4076 (17.1)	0.3881 (21.5)	0.4026 (18.5)	0.4059 (17.7)	0.4143 (15.3)
Marcell Ozuna	0.4307	0.3440 (24.5)	0.3383 (26.8)	0.3420 (25.5)	0.3416 (25.5)	0.3484 (22.7)
Kyle Lewis	0.3636	0.2868 (19.8)	0.3140 (14.0)	0.2898 (19.6)	0.2901 (19.3)	0.2806 (20.8)
Javier Báez	0.2383	0.3145 (16.8)	0.3187 (17.0)	0.3173 (16.9)	0.3143 (16.4)	0.3119 (16.6)
J.D. Martinez	0.2911	0.3713 (17.8)	0.3788 (18.9)	0.3736 (17.9)	0.3754 (18.5)	0.3649 (16.8)
Gregory Polanco	0.2139	0.3250 (18.5)	0.3204 (17.1)	0.3218 (17.6)	0.3257 (18.4)	0.3243 (18.7)
Dominic Smith	0.3769	0.3061 (15.1)	0.3115 (14.6)	0.3061 (15.5)	0.3056 (15.4)	0.3065 (14.6)
DJ LeMahieu	0.4213	0.3460 (17.3)	0.3523 (16.6)	0.3476 (17.4)	0.3443 (18.0)	0.3462 (16.8)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Encarnación	0.3432	0.2500	16.0
2	Clint Frazier	0.3069	0.3937	14.7
3	Alec Bohm	0.3268	0.4000	14.1
4	Brandon Belt	0.3515	0.4246	14.0
5	Travis d'Arnaud	0.3165	0.3859	13.7
6	Michael Conforto	0.3589	0.4120	13.5
7	Will Smith	0.3096	0.4015	13.3
8	Trea Turner	0.3480	0.3938	13.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Belt	0.3394	0.4246	16.7
2	Edwin Encarnación	0.3484	0.2500	16.3
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.3595	0.2754	15.8
4	Alec Bohm	0.3218	0.4000	15.5
5	Travis d'Arnaud	0.3096	0.3859	15.5
6	Trea Turner	0.3422	0.3938	15.5
7	Michael Conforto	0.3563	0.4120	14.9
8	Kyle Seager	0.3054	0.3548	14.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.3218	0.3972	17.6
2	Michael Conforto	0.3563	0.4120	14.6
3	Will Smith	0.3026	0.4015	14.5
4	Travis d'Arnaud	0.3151	0.3859	14.3
5	Clint Frazier	0.3136	0.3937	13.9
6	Alec Bohm	0.3295	0.4000	13.9
7	Brandon Belt	0.3546	0.4246	13.8
8	Mark Canha	0.3372	0.3868	13.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Encarnación	0.3471	0.2500	16.4
2	Alec Bohm	0.3239	0.4000	14.8
3	Clint Frazier	0.3088	0.3937	14.6
4	Bryan Reynolds	0.3507	0.2754	14.4
5	Travis d'Arnaud	0.3153	0.3859	14.1
6	Will Smith	0.3050	0.4015	14.1
7	Michael Conforto	0.3588	0.4120	13.9
8	Josh Bell	0.3702	0.3049	13.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clint Frazier	0.2983	0.3937	15.7
2	Edwin Encarnación	0.3393	0.2500	15.7
3	Brandon Belt	0.3420	0.4246	15.3
4	Jo Adell	0.3260	0.2121	14.7
5	Trea Turner	0.3404	0.3938	14.6
6	Donovan Solano	0.2971	0.3645	14.3
7	David Fletcher	0.3176	0.3755	14.0
8	Tim Anderson	0.2978	0.3575	13.8

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Verdugo	0.3333	0.3583	0.3665	9.1	2.9	6.2
2	Maikel Franco	0.3009	0.3188	0.3210	6.9	1.7	5.1
3	Erik González	0.3058	0.2782	0.2552	8.2	3.5	4.7
4	Kole Calhoun	0.3162	0.3336	0.3377	6.8	2.1	4.7
5	Shogo Akiyama	0.3218	0.3435	0.3571	8.0	3.4	4.6
6	Evan White	0.3218	0.2960	0.2525	12.4	7.8	4.6
7	Juan Soto	0.3881	0.4076	0.4898	21.5	17.1	4.5
8	Tim Lopes	0.3346	0.3019	0.2781	7.3	2.9	4.4
9	Carter Kieboom	0.3057	0.3346	0.3443	5.7	1.8	3.9
10	Trent Grisham	0.3267	0.3385	0.3520	8.4	4.6	3.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nelson Cruz	0.3218	0.3585	0.3972	17.6	9.3	8.3
2	Erik González	0.3218	0.2782	0.2552	11.5	3.5	8.0
3	César Hernández	0.3218	0.3487	0.3552	10.5	3.0	7.6
4	Josh Donaldson	0.3218	0.3779	0.3725	5.9	0.1	5.8
5	Michael Brantley	0.3218	0.3479	0.3636	9.1	3.9	5.3
6	Lewis Brinson	0.3218	0.2740	0.2679	5.3	0.1	5.1
7	Jeff Mathis	0.3218	0.2519	0.2206	6.4	1.8	4.6
8	Shogo Akiyama	0.3218	0.3435	0.3571	7.7	3.4	4.4
9	Matt Joyce	0.3218	0.3458	0.3514	5.4	1.5	3.9
10	José Barrero	0.3218	0.2630	0.2059	7.4	3.5	3.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.3555	0.3404	0.3135	6.6	4.1	2.5
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.3522	0.3407	0.3290	3.9	1.6	2.3
3	Kyle Tucker	0.3124	0.3200	0.3246	4.2	2.2	2.0
4	Kyle Seager	0.3082	0.3149	0.3548	13.1	11.1	2.0
5	Austin Romine	0.3065	0.2937	0.2593	5.5	4.0	1.5
6	Evan White	0.3048	0.2960	0.2525	9.3	7.8	1.5
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.3507	0.3421	0.2754	14.4	12.9	1.5
8	Didi Gregorius	0.3076	0.3123	0.3390	8.9	7.5	1.4
9	Rio Ruiz	0.3185	0.3100	0.2857	5.4	4.0	1.4
10	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3668	0.3601	0.3292	7.6	6.3	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luke Voit	0.3641	0.3503	0.3376	5.6	1.8	3.7
2	Joey Gallo	0.3537	0.3415	0.3009	11.3	8.1	3.2
3	Max Muncy	0.3711	0.3608	0.3306	9.3	6.3	3.1
4	Jo Adell	0.3260	0.3055	0.2121	14.7	11.7	3.0
5	Nick Solak	0.3438	0.3332	0.3262	3.4	0.5	2.9
6	Maikel Franco	0.3057	0.3188	0.3210	4.4	1.7	2.7
7	Cavan Biggio	0.3318	0.3424	0.3750	12.2	9.9	2.3
8	Franmil Reyes	0.3155	0.3269	0.3444	7.6	5.4	2.2
9	Donovan Solano	0.2971	0.3101	0.3645	14.3	12.0	2.2
10	Alex Verdugo	0.3466	0.3583	0.3665	5.0	2.9	2.1

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.6402	0.5396 (31.7)	0.5272 (36.0)	0.5420 (31.6)	0.5405 (32.2)	0.5362 (31.6)
Salvador Perez	0.6333	0.4615 (30.0)	0.4492 (32.6)	0.4622 (30.2)	0.4691 (29.3)	0.4533 (30.7)
Wil Myers	0.6061	0.4297 (42.9)	0.4376 (42.1)	0.4216 (45.1)	0.4235 (44.9)	0.4438 (39.0)
Juan Soto	0.6948	0.5556 (31.3)	0.5148 (40.1)	0.5515 (32.5)	0.5549 (32.0)	0.5604 (29.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.6360	0.5013 (41.4)	0.4700 (50.9)	0.4995 (42.4)	0.4969 (43.4)	0.5075 (38.8)
Javier Báez	0.3604	0.5106 (30.5)	0.5127 (30.0)	0.5110 (30.1)	0.5086 (29.3)	0.5122 (31.8)
Luke Voit	0.6103	0.4647 (38.8)	0.4755 (37.3)	0.4535 (41.9)	0.4467 (43.7)	0.4938 (31.2)
José Abreu	0.6167	0.4944 (37.4)	0.4954 (38.2)	0.5096 (33.9)	0.5013 (36.3)	0.4722 (42.2)
J.D. Martinez	0.3886	0.5640 (36.7)	0.5814 (39.9)	0.5720 (38.2)	0.5740 (38.4)	0.5459 (33.3)
Trea Turner	0.5880	0.4652 (37.1)	0.4522 (41.5)	0.4693 (36.5)	0.4686 (37.0)	0.4579 (38.0)
Dominic Smith	0.6158	0.4183 (43.4)	0.4521 (37.5)	0.4240 (42.6)	0.4216 (43.3)	0.4094 (44.4)
Brandon Belt	0.5906	0.4342 (31.6)	0.4198 (35.0)	0.4394 (31.1)	0.4452 (30.2)	0.4182 (33.9)
DJ LeMahieu	0.5897	0.4361 (37.6)	0.4564 (34.1)	0.4389 (37.4)	0.4349 (38.5)	0.4346 (37.1)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Yastrzemski	0.4228	0.5677	37.2
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.4475	0.5789	31.4
3	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3873	0.6824	30.0
4	Christian Yelich	0.5708	0.4300	29.7
5	Corey Seager	0.4786	0.5849	29.4
6	Joey Gallo	0.5276	0.3782	29.1
7	Jose Iglesias	0.3862	0.5563	28.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.4658	0.5849	33.3
2	Manny Machado	0.4834	0.5804	30.9
3	Kole Calhoun	0.4194	0.5263	30.0
4	José Ramírez	0.5147	0.6073	29.8
5	Kyle Tucker	0.4097	0.5120	28.9
6	Jeimer Candelario	0.3871	0.5027	28.9
7	Jared Walsh	0.4072	0.6465	28.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.4181	0.5946	42.6
2	Mike Yastrzemski	0.4124	0.5677	40.0
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.4380	0.5789	33.8
4	Carlos Santana	0.4934	0.3495	31.0
5	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3818	0.6824	30.7
6	Alex Dickerson	0.4181	0.5762	30.7
7	Christian Yelich	0.5740	0.4300	30.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Yastrzemski	0.4198	0.5677	38.5
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.4401	0.5789	33.6
3	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3861	0.6824	30.4
4	Corey Seager	0.4816	0.5849	29.4
5	Carlos Santana	0.4865	0.3495	29.0
6	AJ Pollock	0.4532	0.5663	28.7
7	Jose Iglesias	0.3888	0.5563	28.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Gallo	0.5662	0.3782	38.7
2	Mike Yastrzemski	0.4360	0.5677	33.4
3	Eduardo Escobar	0.5000	0.3350	32.9
4	Alex Dickerson	0.4112	0.5762	30.9
5	Christian Yelich	0.5700	0.4300	30.4
6	Corey Seager	0.4706	0.5849	30.4
7	Jose Altuve	0.5025	0.3438	29.8

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Tucker	0.4097	0.4683	0.5120	28.9	14.6	14.3
2	Eloy Jiménez	0.4824	0.5279	0.5587	22.8	11.6	11.2
3	Tommy Edman	0.4659	0.4165	0.3676	16.7	6.5	10.3
4	Max Muncy	0.5210	0.4773	0.3892	26.6	16.8	9.8
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.4700	0.5013	0.6360	50.9	41.4	9.5
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4316	0.4979	0.4615	13.3	3.9	9.4
7	Juan Soto	0.5148	0.5556	0.6948	40.1	31.3	8.8
8	Manny Machado	0.4834	0.5120	0.5804	30.9	22.5	8.3
9	Kole Calhoun	0.4194	0.4495	0.5263	30.0	22.2	7.8
10	Jeimer Candelario	0.3871	0.4209	0.5027	28.9	21.1	7.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nelson Cruz	0.4181	0.5473	0.5946	42.6	14.5	28.1
2	Didi Gregorius	0.4181	0.4738	0.4884	22.0	8.3	13.7
3	Ryan Braun	0.4181	0.4845	0.4884	13.1	3.4	9.6
4	Renato Núñez	0.4181	0.4568	0.4923	20.9	12.1	8.8
5	Delino DeShields	0.4181	0.3325	0.3178	9.4	0.7	8.7
6	Michael Brantley	0.4181	0.4579	0.4765	15.1	7.3	7.8
7	Maikel Franco	0.4181	0.4478	0.4574	15.0	7.3	7.7
8	Kole Calhoun	0.4181	0.4495	0.5263	29.8	22.2	7.6
9	Jay Bruce	0.4181	0.4903	0.4688	7.5	0.1	7.4
10	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.4181	0.4487	0.4474	11.0	4.1	6.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Didi Gregorius	0.4474	0.4738	0.4884	15.2	8.3	7.0
2	Luke Voit	0.4467	0.4647	0.6103	43.7	38.8	4.9
3	Brian Goodwin	0.3924	0.4146	0.4167	7.8	3.7	4.1
4	Alex Gordon	0.4119	0.3869	0.3067	15.1	11.0	4.1
5	Chris Taylor	0.4094	0.4232	0.4757	19.2	15.6	3.6
6	Matt Kemp	0.4887	0.4595	0.4188	6.1	2.7	3.5
7	Nick Castellanos	0.4948	0.5091	0.4862	3.6	0.6	3.0
8	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.4389	0.4487	0.4474	6.8	4.1	2.7
9	Mookie Betts	0.5203	0.5273	0.5616	15.9	13.5	2.5
10	Albert Pujols	0.4358	0.4178	0.3947	2.9	0.4	2.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.5662	0.5276	0.3782	38.7	29.1	9.5
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.3709	0.4082	0.4167	14.4	6.7	7.8
3	Max Muncy	0.5000	0.4773	0.3892	23.3	16.8	6.5
4	Maikel Franco	0.4181	0.4478	0.4574	13.6	7.3	6.3
5	Eduardo Escobar	0.5000	0.4770	0.3350	32.9	27.0	5.9
6	Donovan Solano	0.3385	0.3696	0.4632	28.7	23.1	5.6
7	Jesse Winker	0.4211	0.4527	0.5436	25.5	20.4	5.1
8	Austin Riley	0.5086	0.4876	0.4149	15.9	10.8	5.1
9	Manny Machado	0.4889	0.5120	0.5804	27.5	22.5	4.9
10	José Abreu	0.4722	0.4944	0.6167	42.2	37.4	4.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Soroka	57	280 (223.0)	640 (583.0)	268 (210.6)	299 (242.5)	273 (216.0)
Joey Lucchesi	32	249 (217.4)	662 (630.0)	248 (215.7)	267 (235.4)	233 (201.0)
Mike Foltynewicz	16	264 (248.1)	576 (560.0)	268 (252.4)	272 (255.8)	252 (236.0)
Justin Verlander	21	276 (254.7)	744 (723.0)	271 (250.0)	275 (254.0)	281 (260.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	295	23	272.2
2	Corey Kluber	256	3	252.5
3	Kris Bubic	5	222	217.5
4	Cole Hamels	224	14	209.7
5	Caleb Smith	253	60	193.0
6	Jeff Samardzija	265	77	188.3
7	Jake Odorizzi	239	60	178.7
8	Jose Quintana	218	41	176.8
9	Mike Montgomery	199	23	175.8
10	Brooks Raley	252	84	168.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	722	23	699.0
2	Jose Quintana	692	41	651.0
3	Reynaldo López	751	121	630.0
4	Iván Nova	716	88	628.0
5	Homer Bailey	656	33	623.0
6	Cole Hamels	625	14	611.0
7	Jakob Junis	717	114	603.0
8	Jake Odorizzi	658	60	598.0
9	Eric Lauer	649	61	588.0
10	Wade Miley	647	67	580.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	42	260	217.5
2	Framber Valdez	71	288	216.8
3	Trent Thornton	209	33	176.2
4	JT Brubaker	29	205	175.7
5	Jose Quintana	216	41	175.3
6	James Paxton	255	90	164.7
7	Adam Wainwright	100	262	162.0
8	Rick Porcello	100	261	161.0
9	Jake Odorizzi	221	60	161.0
10	Reynaldo López	276	121	155.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	308	23	285.5
2	Corey Kluber	284	3	281.1
3	Jeff Samardzija	309	77	231.5
4	Caleb Smith	290	60	230.1
5	Kris Bubic	5	222	217.5
6	Mike Montgomery	231	23	207.6
7	Cole Hamels	220	14	206.4
8	Jake Odorizzi	260	60	200.2
9	Homer Bailey	228	33	195.5
10	Cristian Javier	28	214	186.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	282	23	259.0
2	Bernardo Flores Jr.	245	10	235.0
3	Ariel Jurado	248	21	227.0
4	Corey Kluber	227	3	224.0
5	Jose Quintana	264	41	223.0
6	Foster Griffin	220	6	214.0
7	Cole Hamels	227	14	213.0
8	Alex McRae	221	10	211.0
9	Antonio Santos	238	35	203.0
10	Ronald Bolaños	223	21	202.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Homer Bailey	656	161	33	623.0	127.9	495.1
2	Reynaldo López	751	270	121	630.0	149.4	480.6
3	Jose Quintana	692	218	41	651.0	176.8	474.2
4	Iván Nova	716	244	88	628.0	155.8	472.2
5	Eric Lauer	649	178	61	588.0	116.7	471.3
6	Marco Gonzales	758	288	277	481.0	11.5	469.5
7	Justin Verlander	744	276	21	723.0	254.7	468.3
8	Trevor Bauer	776	308	278	498.0	29.8	468.2
9	José Berríos	767	303	271	496.0	31.5	464.5
10	Jakob Junis	717	257	114	603.0	143.0	460.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rick Porcello	100	278	261	161.0	16.6	144.4
2	Adam Wainwright	100	232	262	162.0	30.2	131.8
3	Kyle Wright	41	139	168	127.0	29.3	97.7
4	Alex Young	50	146	204	153.9	57.8	96.1
5	Jeremy Beasley	100	4	3	97.0	1.4	95.6
6	Brailyn Marquez	100	5	7	93.0	2.4	90.6
7	Phil Bickford	100	5	9	91.0	4.4	86.6
8	Dustin May	74	160	224	149.6	63.7	85.9
9	Matt Grace	100	16	10	90.0	6.0	84.0
10	Tyler Anderson	42	125	260	217.5	135.5	82.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Fleming	4	116	130	125.6	13.8	111.8
2	Tejay Antone	4	112	141	136.6	29.3	107.3
3	Trevor Rogers	4	109	130	125.6	21.3	104.3
4	Johan Oviedo	5	116	112	107.4	4.3	103.0
5	Daniel Castano	4	107	126	121.7	18.8	102.8
6	Aaron Slegers	4	98	101	96.7	2.9	93.9
7	Huascar Ynoa	4	92	100	95.7	7.8	87.8
8	Brandon Bielak	15	102	148	133.1	45.5	87.5
9	Nick Margevicius	42	127	170	127.7	43.4	84.4
10	Ian Anderson	4	88	138	133.6	49.8	83.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bruce Zimmermann	213	82	31	182.0	50.8	131.2
2	Paul Blackburn	213	91	14	199.0	76.8	122.2
3	Bernardo Flores Jr.	245	126	10	235.0	116.5	118.5
4	Lewis Thorpe	205	87	77	128.0	10.2	117.8
5	Antonio Santos	238	121	35	203.0	86.2	116.8
6	Cole Irvin	210	94	22	188.0	71.6	116.4
7	Robert Dugger	247	131	56	191.0	75.3	115.7
8	Ariel Jurado	248	135	21	227.0	114.2	112.8
9	Johan Oviedo	228	116	112	116.0	4.3	111.7
10	Bryse Wilson	231	121	73	158.0	47.6	110.4

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Robbie Ray	0.3912	0.2962 (19.8)	0.3156 (18.5)	0.1527 (28.3)	0.3001 (19.6)	0.2868 (20.9)
Patrick Corbin	0.3580	0.2834 (17.3)	0.2948 (18.0)	0.1200 (33.1)	0.2847 (17.8)	0.2792 (17.0)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kenta Maeda	0.3013	0.2188	24.4
2	Trevor Bauer	0.2906	0.2287	21.7
3	Dinelson Lamet	0.2885	0.2247	21.3
4	Shane Bieber	0.2751	0.2216	20.6
5	Brad Keller	0.3116	0.2356	19.8
6	Tanner Roark	0.3118	0.4173	19.7
7	Corbin Burnes	0.3025	0.2387	19.2
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.3048	0.2470	19.0
9	Zach Plesac	0.3146	0.2412	18.4
10	Jordan Yamamoto	0.3072	0.5962	18.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.3429	0.2387	25.5
2	Shane Bieber	0.3029	0.2216	24.7
3	Dinelson Lamet	0.3149	0.2247	24.6
4	Trevor Bauer	0.3077	0.2287	22.5
5	Kenta Maeda	0.2984	0.2188	20.3
6	Jordan Yamamoto	0.3060	0.5962	19.3
7	Tanner Roark	0.3277	0.4173	19.3
8	Dylan Bundy	0.3339	0.2682	18.1
9	Devin Williams	0.3377	0.1621	17.8
10	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3117	0.3860	17.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3198	0.2773	44.1
2	Cristian Javier	0.3198	0.2804	35.3
3	Alec Mills	0.3198	0.3162	32.6
4	Steven Brault	0.3198	0.2669	31.8
5	Kyle Gibson	0.1262	0.3570	31.6
6	Trevor Williams	0.1336	0.3803	30.5
7	Aaron Civale	0.1220	0.3393	28.6
8	Ross Stripling	0.1150	0.3692	28.2
9	Garrett Richards	0.3198	0.3133	28.2
10	Matthew Boyd	0.1469	0.3763	28.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kenta Maeda	0.3100	0.2188	25.8
2	Trevor Bauer	0.2965	0.2287	22.4
3	Corbin Burnes	0.3135	0.2387	21.0
4	Brad Keller	0.3189	0.2356	20.7
5	Shane Bieber	0.2777	0.2216	20.5
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.3124	0.2470	20.1
7	Dinelson Lamet	0.2863	0.2247	19.9
8	Zach Plesac	0.3218	0.2412	19.3
9	Zach Davies	0.3272	0.2725	18.6
10	Tanner Roark	0.3214	0.4173	18.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dinelson Lamet	0.2930	0.2247	23.9
2	Kenta Maeda	0.2876	0.2188	22.3
3	Shane Bieber	0.2742	0.2216	21.9
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.3241	0.2247	21.2
5	Trevor Bauer	0.2831	0.2287	21.0
6	Tanner Roark	0.3023	0.4173	20.7
7	Jordan Yamamoto	0.2995	0.5962	18.5
8	Brad Keller	0.2989	0.2356	18.1
9	Matthew Boyd	0.2897	0.3763	17.8
10	Trevor Williams	0.2894	0.3803	17.6

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Castellani	0.3198	0.3539	0.3744	9.9	0.8	9.1
2	Corbin Burnes	0.3429	0.3025	0.2387	25.5	19.2	6.3
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3117	0.3220	0.3860	17.7	11.8	6.0
4	Aaron Civale	0.3055	0.3093	0.3393	9.9	4.4	5.5
5	Kevin Gausman	0.3294	0.2930	0.2816	12.2	6.7	5.5
6	Dylan Bundy	0.3339	0.3000	0.2682	18.1	12.7	5.3
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3540	0.3127	0.2992	11.0	5.7	5.3
8	Framber Valdez	0.3252	0.2929	0.2780	14.2	8.9	5.3
9	Andrew Heaney	0.3246	0.2901	0.3077	5.3	0.5	4.8
10	Tyler Mahle	0.3334	0.2980	0.2902	9.1	4.8	4.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3198	0.3103	0.2773	44.1	12.8	31.3
2	Alec Mills	0.3198	0.3172	0.3162	32.6	4.3	28.3
3	Garrett Richards	0.3198	0.2887	0.3133	28.2	1.8	26.3
4	Masahiro Tanaka	0.3198	0.3034	0.3188	25.0	0.1	24.9
5	Aaron Civale	0.1220	0.3093	0.3393	28.6	4.4	24.2
6	Cristian Javier	0.3198	0.3190	0.2804	35.3	11.7	23.7
7	Josh Lindblom	0.3198	0.3078	0.3186	24.3	1.0	23.3
8	Rick Porcello	0.3198	0.3056	0.3400	27.6	4.8	22.8
9	Kris Bubic	0.3198	0.3316	0.3379	23.9	2.1	21.8
10	Kyle Gibson	0.1262	0.3077	0.3570	31.6	10.0	21.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2979	0.2829	0.2574	15.4	12.0	3.4
2	Rafael Dolis	0.3198	0.2888	0.2715	6.1	3.3	2.8
3	Kyle Hendricks	0.3089	0.2970	0.2707	16.1	13.3	2.8
4	Zach Davies	0.3272	0.3154	0.2725	18.6	16.2	2.4
5	Kyle Gibson	0.3038	0.3077	0.3570	12.1	10.0	2.1
6	Sonny Gray	0.2998	0.2885	0.2749	8.9	7.0	1.9
7	Corbin Burnes	0.3135	0.3025	0.2387	21.0	19.2	1.9
8	David Peterson	0.3098	0.2976	0.2898	6.7	4.9	1.9
9	Luis Castillo	0.2945	0.2852	0.2903	5.0	3.2	1.8
10	Ryan Castellani	0.3481	0.3539	0.3744	2.5	0.8	1.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	0.3054	0.2929	0.2780	14.0	8.9	5.1
2	Trevor Williams	0.2894	0.3131	0.3803	17.6	12.9	4.7
3	Tony Gonsolin	0.3241	0.3085	0.2247	21.2	17.6	3.6
4	Jonathan Hernández	0.3388	0.3158	0.2715	11.1	7.5	3.5
5	Lance Lynn	0.2952	0.2904	0.2866	10.2	6.8	3.4
6	Wes Benjamin	0.3680	0.3408	0.3217	6.6	3.4	3.2
7	Cristian Javier	0.3281	0.3190	0.2804	14.7	11.7	3.0
8	Seth Lugo	0.2485	0.2722	0.3480	12.6	9.6	3.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	0.2930	0.2885	0.2247	23.9	21.3	2.6
10	Adrian Houser	0.2896	0.3045	0.3533	10.5	8.1	2.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jordan Lyles	0.1353	0.2099 (23.9)	0.2296 (26.3)	0.2042 (20.6)	0.2054 (23.2)	0.2200 (25.2)
Shane Bieber	0.4108	0.2628 (39.4)	0.2701 (40.5)	0.2656 (40.6)	0.2595 (39.8)	0.2633 (40.8)
Corbin Burnes	0.3667	0.2314 (28.8)	0.2480 (27.4)	0.2213 (32.8)	0.2162 (32.0)	0.2566 (24.0)
Devin Williams	0.5300	0.2424 (27.2)	0.2199 (30.6)	0.2281 (29.3)	0.2280 (28.5)	0.2710 (24.9)
Jacob deGrom	0.3881	0.2970 (20.3)	0.2967 (23.3)	0.2966 (22.2)	0.2957 (20.1)	0.2986 (21.3)
Trevor Bauer	0.3597	0.2657 (21.9)	0.2719 (23.2)	0.2638 (24.2)	0.2617 (22.4)	0.2715 (21.7)
Kevin Gausman	0.3224	0.2114 (23.5)	0.2210 (23.8)	0.2013 (27.6)	0.2036 (24.9)	0.2292 (20.4)
Jon Gray	0.1264	0.2280 (20.3)	0.2365 (19.9)	0.2220 (18.1)	0.2270 (20.5)	0.2351 (20.7)
Zach Eflin	0.2857	0.1811 (21.9)	0.2003 (19.8)	0.1759 (24.8)	0.1748 (23.0)	0.1926 (20.3)
Aaron Nola	0.3322	0.2524 (18.7)	0.2598 (19.6)	0.2498 (21.3)	0.2483 (19.3)	0.2590 (18.2)
Joe Musgrove	0.3313	0.2055 (18.4)	0.2171 (18.2)	0.2022 (20.0)	0.2013 (18.7)	0.2131 (17.9)
Patrick Corbin	0.2034	0.2594 (21.0)	0.2691 (20.7)	0.2586 (18.9)	0.2566 (20.8)	0.2630 (20.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Cease	0.2370	0.1725	20.3
2	Tyler Anderson	0.2179	0.1577	19.6
3	Luke Jackson	0.2816	0.1515	19.2
4	Zach Davies	0.1464	0.2283	18.4
5	Tejay Antone	0.1742	0.3191	18.3
6	Zack Wheeler	0.2275	0.1840	16.9
7	Jake McGee	0.1984	0.4177	16.1
8	Kenta Maeda	0.2443	0.3226	15.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	James Karinchak	0.2314	0.4862	27.3
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.2633	0.3824	27.3
3	Lucas Giolito	0.2458	0.3368	24.9
4	Ryan Castellani	0.2348	0.1323	20.2
5	Daniel Castano	0.2348	0.0952	18.2
6	Tyler Anderson	0.2225	0.1577	18.0
7	Randy Dobnak	0.2196	0.1350	17.8
8	Dinelson Lamet	0.2771	0.3483	17.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.1392	0.2283	22.2
2	Ryan Castellani	0.2348	0.1323	21.0
3	Dylan Cease	0.2441	0.1725	20.5
4	Kenta Maeda	0.2336	0.3226	19.9
5	Thomas Eshelman	0.2348	0.1119	18.8
6	Daniel Castano	0.2348	0.0952	18.7
7	Ryan Weber	0.2348	0.1459	18.0
8	Tyler Glasnow	0.2984	0.3824	17.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Cease	0.2399	0.1725	21.6
2	Zach Davies	0.1408	0.2283	19.4
3	Tyler Anderson	0.2127	0.1577	18.8
4	Luke Jackson	0.2758	0.1515	18.7
5	Tejay Antone	0.1703	0.3191	18.6
6	Kenta Maeda	0.2309	0.3226	18.5
7	Zack Wheeler	0.2293	0.1840	18.0
8	Drew Smyly	0.2174	0.3784	16.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.2340	0.1577	22.5
2	Luke Jackson	0.2931	0.1515	20.0
3	Tejay Antone	0.1781	0.3191	18.5
4	Julio Urías	0.2656	0.2009	16.8
5	Jake McGee	0.1972	0.4177	16.6
6	Dylan Cease	0.2271	0.1725	16.5
7	Zach Davies	0.1592	0.2283	16.3
8	Zach Plesac	0.1885	0.2767	16.1

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2458	0.2887	0.3368	24.9	9.5	15.5
2	James Karinchak	0.2314	0.3526	0.4862	27.3	12.9	14.4
3	Tyler Glasnow	0.2633	0.3065	0.3824	27.3	14.4	12.8
4	Ryan Castellani	0.2348	0.1591	0.1323	20.2	7.9	12.3
5	Framber Valdez	0.2164	0.2467	0.2639	12.4	0.6	11.8
6	Alec Mills	0.2460	0.1917	0.1825	17.1	6.1	11.0
7	Randy Dobnak	0.2196	0.1607	0.1350	17.8	8.2	9.6
8	Daniel Castano	0.2348	0.1598	0.0952	18.2	10.1	8.1
9	Ryan Weber	0.2009	0.1466	0.1459	11.0	2.9	8.1
10	Antonio Senzatela	0.1717	0.1375	0.1353	12.4	5.3	7.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Weber	0.2348	0.1466	0.1459	18.0	2.9	15.1
2	Ryan Castellani	0.2348	0.1591	0.1323	21.0	7.9	13.1
3	Thomas Eshelman	0.2348	0.1501	0.1119	18.8	7.6	11.2
4	Alec Mills	0.2348	0.1917	0.1825	15.4	6.1	9.2
5	Daniel Castano	0.2348	0.1598	0.0952	18.7	10.1	8.6
6	Adam Wainwright	0.2348	0.1857	0.2061	9.8	1.4	8.4
7	Iván Nova	0.2348	0.1411	0.1023	12.4	4.8	7.7
8	Rick Porcello	0.2348	0.2015	0.2069	9.5	2.5	7.0
9	Brad Hand	0.2348	0.3087	0.3372	8.1	1.1	6.9
10	Lucas Giolito	0.2719	0.2887	0.3368	16.2	9.5	6.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2673	0.2887	0.3368	15.0	9.5	5.6
2	Corbin Burnes	0.2162	0.2314	0.3667	32.0	28.8	3.1
3	Javy Guerra	0.2348	0.1909	0.1791	4.9	1.8	3.1
4	James Karinchak	0.3235	0.3526	0.4862	15.9	12.9	2.9
5	Nik Turley	0.2622	0.2323	0.2174	5.7	2.8	2.9
6	Kenta Maeda	0.2309	0.2443	0.3226	18.5	15.6	2.8
7	Kyle Gibson	0.2141	0.2079	0.1927	11.6	9.2	2.5
8	Zac Gallen	0.2425	0.2522	0.2818	6.4	4.2	2.2
9	Phil Maton	0.2236	0.2481	0.3333	8.9	6.7	2.2
10	Chris Bassitt	0.2185	0.2124	0.2107	6.5	4.4	2.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robbie Ray	0.3106	0.2829	0.2709	12.5	6.8	5.7
2	Jordan Montgomery	0.1901	0.2113	0.2435	8.3	3.3	5.1
3	Jonathan Hernández	0.1799	0.2111	0.2480	7.2	2.7	4.5
4	Framber Valdez	0.2371	0.2467	0.2639	4.8	0.6	4.2
5	Ross Stripling	0.2378	0.2165	0.1818	14.5	11.0	3.6
6	Julio Urías	0.2656	0.2447	0.2009	16.8	13.2	3.5
7	Rich Hill	0.2868	0.2595	0.1987	15.3	11.8	3.5
8	Josh Hader	0.4579	0.4091	0.3974	5.5	2.1	3.4
9	Grant Dayton	0.3220	0.2881	0.2735	6.9	3.5	3.4
10	Héctor Neris	0.3366	0.3009	0.2621	8.7	5.6	3.2

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Hendricks	0.0254	0.0550 (10.9)	0.0577 (12.4)	0.0562 (11.4)	0.0563 (11.6)	0.0526 (9.9)
Marco Gonzales	0.0253	0.0627 (11.7)	0.0646 (12.9)	0.0647 (12.4)	0.0616 (11.7)	0.0618 (11.3)
Mitch Keller	0.2069	0.0889 (9.9)	0.0807 (10.4)	0.0889 (9.8)	0.0856 (10.0)	0.0921 (9.6)
Robbie Ray	0.1793	0.1092 (16.4)	0.1090 (15.8)	0.1103 (16.0)	0.1075 (16.5)	0.1098 (16.4)
Tyler Zuber	0.2020	0.0972 (9.9)	0.0916 (10.2)	0.0990 (9.7)	0.0985 (9.7)	0.0941 (10.3)
Kenta Maeda	0.0403	0.0845 (12.2)	0.0794 (11.5)	0.0817 (11.6)	0.0839 (12.3)	0.0880 (12.9)
Tony Gonsolin	0.0398	0.0928 (10.2)	0.0873 (9.6)	0.0868 (9.2)	0.0903 (9.9)	0.1013 (11.6)
Antonio Senzatela	0.0594	0.0877 (10.0)	0.0894 (11.3)	0.0901 (10.9)	0.0877 (10.4)	0.0854 (9.1)
Framber Valdez	0.0556	0.1136 (18.1)	0.1140 (18.9)	0.1110 (17.5)	0.1112 (17.7)	0.1186 (19.4)
Justin Dunn	0.1566	0.0981 (10.6)	0.1004 (9.7)	0.1007 (10.0)	0.0964 (10.7)	0.0972 (10.9)
Yu Darvish	0.0471	0.0795 (11.0)	0.0825 (12.6)	0.0815 (11.8)	0.0817 (12.0)	0.0753 (9.6)
Zach Plesac	0.0291	0.0725 (9.9)	0.0851 (13.0)	0.0707 (9.7)	0.0739 (10.4)	0.0731 (9.9)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Matzek	0.2632	0.0826	22.4
2	Cristian Javier	0.1367	0.0841	12.3
3	Deivi García	0.1137	0.0411	11.3
4	John Curtiss	0.1323	0.0303	10.6
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0562	0.0964	9.9
6	Chad Kuhl	0.0888	0.1421	9.6
7	Trevor Bauer	0.0887	0.0612	9.0
8	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0752	0.0352	8.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Civale	0.0796	0.0513	11.1
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0823	0.0352	10.8
3	Yohan Ramírez	0.0916	0.2128	10.7
4	Andre Scrubb	0.0916	0.1961	9.9
5	Adam Wainwright	0.0856	0.0573	9.3
6	Geoff Hartlieb	0.0890	0.1881	9.3
7	Sean Manaea	0.0684	0.0360	8.8
8	Chad Kuhl	0.0906	0.1421	8.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0916	0.0406	11.1
2	Adam Wainwright	0.0916	0.0573	10.4
3	Chad Kuhl	0.0840	0.1421	10.4
4	Rick Porcello	0.0916	0.0575	10.3
5	Andre Scrubb	0.0916	0.1961	10.1
6	Carlos Carrasco	0.0562	0.0964	9.7
7	Geoff Hartlieb	0.0916	0.1881	9.2
8	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0755	0.0352	9.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Deivi García	0.1107	0.0411	11.0
2	Chad Kuhl	0.0812	0.1421	10.8
3	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0771	0.0352	9.5
4	John Curtiss	0.1201	0.0303	9.5
5	Cristian Javier	0.1222	0.0841	9.4
6	Trevor Bauer	0.0882	0.0612	9.2
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.0586	0.0964	8.9
8	Adam Wainwright	0.0838	0.0573	8.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Matzek	0.2632	0.0826	22.4
2	Cristian Javier	0.1512	0.0841	15.3
3	John Curtiss	0.1446	0.0303	11.7
4	Deivi García	0.1167	0.0411	11.6
5	Dinelson Lamet	0.1111	0.0749	10.8
6	Carlos Carrasco	0.0537	0.0964	10.8
7	Greg Holland	0.1449	0.0625	9.7
8	Trevor Rosenthal	0.1864	0.0879	9.4

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Civale	0.0796	0.0573	0.0513	11.1	3.4	7.7
2	Ryan Castellani	0.0916	0.1276	0.1376	7.3	1.0	6.4
3	James Karinchak	0.0826	0.1407	0.1468	6.2	0.1	6.1
4	Yohan Ramírez	0.0916	0.1569	0.2128	10.7	4.8	5.9
5	Andre Scrubb	0.0916	0.1419	0.1961	9.9	5.0	4.9
6	Josh Fleming	0.0916	0.0577	0.0538	5.8	1.1	4.7
7	Sixto Sánchez	0.0916	0.0697	0.0696	4.6	0.8	3.8
8	Ljay Newsome	0.0916	0.0392	0.0147	5.7	2.0	3.7
9	Josh Staumont	0.0921	0.1502	0.1429	4.9	1.4	3.5
10	Zac Gallen	0.0947	0.0858	0.0859	4.6	1.4	3.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rick Porcello	0.0916	0.0595	0.0575	10.3	1.8	8.5
2	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0916	0.0546	0.0406	11.1	3.7	7.4
3	Ryan Castellani	0.0916	0.1276	0.1376	7.7	1.0	6.7
4	Josh Tomlin	0.0916	0.0314	0.0491	7.8	2.1	5.7
5	Andre Scrubb	0.0916	0.1419	0.1961	10.1	5.0	5.1
6	Josh Fleming	0.0916	0.0577	0.0538	5.6	1.1	4.5
7	Robbie Erlin	0.0916	0.0554	0.0574	4.8	0.4	4.5
8	Thomas Eshelman	0.0916	0.0623	0.0629	4.9	0.6	4.3
9	Alex Reyes	0.0916	0.1375	0.1628	5.7	1.8	3.9
10	Steven Brault	0.0916	0.1139	0.1236	4.7	0.9	3.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Castellani	0.1123	0.1276	0.1376	3.7	1.0	2.7
2	Nik Turley	0.0861	0.1085	0.1196	2.5	0.6	2.0
3	Garrett Richards	0.0944	0.0865	0.0798	4.4	2.5	1.9
4	James Karinchak	0.1249	0.1407	0.1468	1.7	0.1	1.6
5	Andre Scrubb	0.1264	0.1419	0.1961	6.5	5.0	1.5
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0661	0.0612	0.0513	4.9	3.4	1.4
7	Yohan Ramírez	0.1407	0.1569	0.2128	6.2	4.8	1.4
8	Alex Reyes	0.1202	0.1375	0.1628	3.2	1.8	1.4
9	Josh Fleming	0.0672	0.0577	0.0538	2.5	1.1	1.4
10	Taylor Widener	0.0850	0.1011	0.1364	4.0	2.7	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	James Karinchak	0.1774	0.1407	0.1468	3.8	0.1	3.7
2	Cristian Javier	0.1512	0.1367	0.0841	15.3	12.3	3.0
3	Dinelson Lamet	0.1111	0.0996	0.0749	10.8	7.9	2.9
4	Josh Staumont	0.1745	0.1502	0.1429	4.0	1.4	2.7
5	Devin Williams	0.1589	0.1343	0.0900	7.3	4.9	2.4
6	Johnny Cueto	0.0595	0.0674	0.0939	8.3	6.0	2.4
7	Lucas Giolito	0.0789	0.0864	0.0972	4.0	1.7	2.3
8	Germán Márquez	0.0565	0.0625	0.0727	4.1	1.9	2.2
9	Gregory Soto	0.1545	0.1312	0.1327	2.6	0.3	2.2
10	Trevor Rosenthal	0.1864	0.1627	0.0879	9.4	7.2	2.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jared Hughes	0.0459	0.0104 (3.6)	0.0109 (3.6)	0.0123 (3.5)	0.0107 (3.6)	0.0100 (3.7)
Matt Strahm	0.0602	0.0121 (3.8)	0.0122 (3.8)	0.0120 (3.9)	0.0116 (3.8)	0.0126 (3.8)
Ryan Yarbrough	0.0299	0.0123 (3.6)	0.0138 (3.3)	0.0121 (3.8)	0.0122 (3.6)	0.0126 (3.5)
Zack Wheeler	0.0243	0.0078 (4.1)	0.0068 (4.5)	0.0082 (4.1)	0.0082 (3.9)	0.0071 (4.3)
Zac Grotz	0.0870	0.0099 (3.4)	0.0138 (3.3)	0.0123 (3.4)	0.0115 (3.4)	0.0083 (3.5)
Logan Webb	0.0285	0.0099 (4.0)	0.0085 (4.5)	0.0087 (4.4)	0.0086 (4.3)	0.0123 (3.4)
Joe Jiménez	0.0495	0.0106 (3.7)	0.0111 (3.7)	0.0109 (3.7)	0.0107 (3.7)	0.0102 (3.7)
Johan Oviedo	0.0446	0.0119 (3.4)	0.0123 (3.4)	0.0123 (3.4)	0.0106 (3.5)	0.0132 (3.3)
Nick Wittgren	0.0510	0.0040 (4.4)	0.0041 (4.4)	0.0123 (3.6)	0.0080 (4.0)	0.0000 (4.8)
Casey Mize	0.0376	0.0120 (3.1)	0.0123 (3.1)	0.0120 (3.2)	0.0113 (3.2)	0.0126 (3.0)
Madison Bumgarner	0.0316	0.0102 (3.6)	0.0110 (3.6)	0.0099 (3.8)	0.0100 (3.6)	0.0108 (3.5)
Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0100 (4.2)	0.0084 (3.5)	0.0096 (3.9)	0.0096 (4.1)	0.0106 (4.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Griffin Canning	0.0156	0.0042	3.3
2	Kyle Hendricks	0.0104	0.0032	3.0
3	Zach Davies	0.0085	0.0000	3.0
4	Touki Toussaint	0.0145	0.0417	3.0
5	Spencer Turnbull	0.0182	0.0083	3.0
6	Max Scherzer	0.0111	0.0034	3.0
7	Kenta Maeda	0.0092	0.0000	2.9
8	Phil Maton	0.0097	0.0417	2.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alec Mills	0.0202	0.0079	3.5
2	Julio Urías	0.0126	0.0000	3.2
3	Chris Bassitt	0.0180	0.0077	3.2
4	Griffin Canning	0.0154	0.0042	3.1
5	Max Scherzer	0.0121	0.0034	3.1
6	Jonathan Loáisiga	0.0084	0.0400	3.0
7	Spencer Turnbull	0.0185	0.0083	2.9
8	Phil Maton	0.0094	0.0417	2.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Touki Toussaint	0.0137	0.0417	3.1
2	Génesis Cabrera	0.0088	0.0417	3.0
3	Kyle Gibson	0.0084	0.0199	3.0
4	Phil Maton	0.0094	0.0417	2.9
5	Jonathan Loáisiga	0.0099	0.0400	2.8
6	Zach Davies	0.0086	0.0000	2.8
7	Julio Urías	0.0110	0.0000	2.8
8	Brooks Raley	0.0123	0.0476	2.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.0087	0.0000	3.1
2	Julio Urías	0.0108	0.0000	3.0
3	Touki Toussaint	0.0146	0.0417	3.0
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.0100	0.0032	2.9
5	Dustin May	0.0150	0.0045	2.9
6	Max Scherzer	0.0107	0.0034	2.9
7	Kenta Maeda	0.0092	0.0000	2.9
8	Génesis Cabrera	0.0097	0.0417	2.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Griffin Canning	0.0233	0.0042	5.1
2	Spencer Turnbull	0.0250	0.0083	4.6
3	Ryan Castellani	0.0068	0.0265	3.3
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.0113	0.0032	3.3
5	Pablo López	0.0195	0.0083	3.2
6	Max Scherzer	0.0116	0.0034	3.1
7	Taylor Clarke	0.0145	0.0000	3.1
8	Yusei Kikuchi	0.0128	0.0000	2.9

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alec Mills	0.0202	0.0130	0.0079	3.5	1.9	1.7
2	Jesús Luzardo	0.0147	0.0091	0.0121	1.1	0.1	1.0
3	Asher Wojciechowski	0.0177	0.0124	0.0060	2.3	1.5	0.8
4	Chris Bassitt	0.0180	0.0145	0.0077	3.2	2.4	0.8
5	Lucas Giolito	0.0113	0.0083	0.0069	1.8	1.1	0.7
6	Framber Valdez	0.0117	0.0135	0.0174	1.1	0.4	0.7
7	Sonny Gray	0.0106	0.0075	0.0085	0.9	0.3	0.6
8	Trevor Bauer	0.0155	0.0128	0.0108	1.8	1.2	0.6
9	Antonio Senzatela	0.0072	0.0084	0.0132	1.3	0.7	0.6
10	Tommy Hunter	0.0071	0.0120	0.0294	2.1	1.5	0.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0123	0.0032	0.0000	1.2	0.5	0.7
2	Josh Tomlin	0.0123	0.0076	0.0061	1.3	0.6	0.7
3	Will Harris	0.0123	0.0039	0.0000	1.2	0.5	0.6
4	Daniel Norris	0.0123	0.0064	0.0000	1.6	1.0	0.6
5	Steve Cishek	0.0123	0.0181	0.0430	2.7	2.1	0.6
6	Dinelson Lamet	0.0110	0.0128	0.0150	0.6	0.1	0.6
7	Zack Britton	0.0123	0.0044	0.0000	1.1	0.5	0.6
8	Adam Wainwright	0.0123	0.0096	0.0076	1.7	1.1	0.5
9	Aaron Loup	0.0123	0.0171	0.0312	1.7	1.1	0.5
10	Thomas Eshelman	0.0123	0.0083	0.0070	1.0	0.5	0.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0106	0.0083	0.0069	1.8	1.1	0.7
2	Ross Stripling	0.0069	0.0045	0.0045	1.0	0.5	0.5
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0078	0.0063	0.0069	0.9	0.5	0.5
4	Sonny Gray	0.0093	0.0075	0.0085	0.8	0.3	0.4
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0091	0.0078	0.0071	1.2	0.8	0.4
6	Dinelson Lamet	0.0109	0.0128	0.0150	0.5	0.1	0.4
7	Nate Jones	0.0112	0.0158	0.0233	0.8	0.4	0.4
8	Blake Snell	0.0055	0.0037	0.0000	1.6	1.2	0.4
9	Patrick Corbin	0.0070	0.0058	0.0000	2.8	2.4	0.4
10	Aaron Loup	0.0133	0.0171	0.0312	1.5	1.1	0.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Griffin Canning	0.0233	0.0156	0.0042	5.1	3.3	1.8
2	Spencer Turnbull	0.0250	0.0182	0.0083	4.6	3.0	1.6
3	Dinelson Lamet	0.0167	0.0128	0.0150	1.1	0.1	1.0
4	Pablo López	0.0195	0.0153	0.0083	3.2	2.2	1.0
5	Garrett Richards	0.0000	0.0042	0.0094	1.5	0.6	0.9
6	Jon Lester	0.0041	0.0067	0.0113	1.3	0.6	0.7
7	Andrew Heaney	0.0143	0.0119	0.0072	2.6	2.0	0.6
8	Taylor Clarke	0.0145	0.0111	0.0000	3.1	2.5	0.6
9	Ryan Castellani	0.0068	0.0098	0.0265	3.3	2.7	0.6
10	Patrick Sandoval	0.0138	0.0102	0.0000	2.6	2.0	0.6

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
David Phelps	0.1458	0.0471 (8.2)	0.0504 (7.8)	0.0525 (7.8)	0.0536 (7.7)	0.0408 (8.6)
Robert Stephenson	0.3077	0.0590 (10.6)	0.0526 (10.8)	0.0514 (11.0)	0.0614 (10.5)	0.0645 (10.3)
Steven Matz	0.1458	0.0481 (13.6)	0.0549 (12.5)	0.0478 (13.7)	0.0518 (13.2)	0.0446 (13.9)
Derek Holland	0.1034	0.0523 (8.7)	0.0557 (8.0)	0.0525 (8.9)	0.0534 (8.8)	0.0513 (8.7)
Zack Wheeler	0.0142	0.0508 (11.2)	0.0393 (8.1)	0.0522 (11.4)	0.0549 (12.1)	0.0452 (10.0)
Dylan Bundy	0.0287	0.0598 (8.9)	0.0624 (9.8)	0.0602 (8.8)	0.0602 (8.7)	0.0588 (9.0)
Trevor Williams	0.0843	0.0462 (9.0)	0.0434 (9.5)	0.0509 (8.1)	0.0528 (7.6)	0.0347 (11.6)
Heath Hembree	0.1500	0.0602 (7.9)	0.0567 (8.1)	0.0587 (8.1)	0.0618 (7.8)	0.0600 (7.8)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0101	0.0412 (8.6)	0.0386 (8.1)	0.0407 (8.2)	0.0406 (8.1)	0.0423 (9.2)
Germán Márquez	0.0244	0.0503 (9.7)	0.0512 (10.3)	0.0535 (10.5)	0.0509 (9.5)	0.0464 (8.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Turnbull	0.0506	0.0125	9.8
2	Robbie Ray	0.0583	0.0949	8.6
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0568	0.0263	8.5
4	Corbin Burnes	0.0478	0.0160	8.2
5	Justus Sheffield	0.0452	0.0124	8.1
6	Yu Darvish	0.0515	0.0266	8.1
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.0522	0.0880	8.0
8	Daniel Ponce de Leon	0.0473	0.1053	8.0
9	Trevor Gott	0.0340	0.1750	7.9
10	Jordan Yamamoto	0.0513	0.1702	7.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0667	0.0160	12.9
2	Yu Darvish	0.0635	0.0266	11.9
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0623	0.0263	10.1
4	Justus Sheffield	0.0485	0.0124	9.1
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.0485	0.0880	8.7
6	Tanner Roark	0.0485	0.0909	8.6
7	Julio Teheran	0.0491	0.1081	8.3
8	Daniel Ponce de Leon	0.0457	0.1053	8.1
9	Madison Bumgarner	0.0472	0.0922	8.0
10	John Means	0.0496	0.0976	7.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0667	0.0263	10.9
2	Robbie Ray	0.0571	0.0949	9.1
3	Spencer Turnbull	0.0488	0.0125	9.1
4	Tarik Skubal	0.0402	0.1071	8.8
5	Corbin Burnes	0.0507	0.0160	8.7
6	Tyler Glasnow	0.0507	0.0880	8.6
7	Justus Sheffield	0.0475	0.0124	8.5
8	Yu Darvish	0.0528	0.0266	8.2
9	Tanner Roark	0.0525	0.0909	8.1
10	Jordan Yamamoto	0.0525	0.1702	7.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0521	0.0160	8.9
2	Robbie Ray	0.0584	0.0949	8.9
3	Tyler Glasnow	0.0500	0.0880	8.8
4	Yu Darvish	0.0543	0.0266	8.6
5	Spencer Turnbull	0.0468	0.0125	8.6
6	Justus Sheffield	0.0478	0.0124	8.5
7	Rick Porcello	0.0560	0.0263	8.0
8	Jordan Yamamoto	0.0515	0.1702	7.9
9	Austin Voth	0.0526	0.0881	7.7
10	Trevor Gott	0.0383	0.1750	7.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Turnbull	0.0563	0.0125	11.4
2	Tony Gonsolin	0.0660	0.0164	9.4
3	Daniel Ponce de Leon	0.0388	0.1053	9.0
4	Trevor Gott	0.0182	0.1750	8.7
5	Tyler Anderson	0.0543	0.0263	8.2
6	Robbie Ray	0.0596	0.0949	8.0
7	Blake Snell	0.0397	0.0820	7.9
8	Zack Greinke	0.0556	0.0306	7.8
9	Tanner Roark	0.0520	0.0909	7.8
10	Jordan Yamamoto	0.0511	0.1702	7.7

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0667	0.0478	0.0160	12.9	8.2	4.7
2	Yu Darvish	0.0635	0.0515	0.0266	11.9	8.1	3.8
3	Cristian Javier	0.0525	0.0696	0.0786	4.9	1.4	3.5
4	David Peterson	0.0525	0.0312	0.0362	4.0	0.6	3.4
5	Asher Wojciechowski	0.0597	0.0791	0.0909	4.7	1.6	3.1
6	Lance Lynn	0.0402	0.0499	0.0580	5.1	2.0	3.1
7	Framber Valdez	0.0444	0.0350	0.0262	6.2	3.2	2.9
8	John Means	0.0496	0.0636	0.0976	7.9	5.6	2.3
9	Logan Webb	0.0451	0.0368	0.0237	6.0	3.8	2.2
10	Brady Singer	0.0525	0.0409	0.0452	2.7	0.5	2.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cristian Javier	0.0525	0.0696	0.0786	5.3	1.4	3.8
2	Jeurys Familia	0.0525	0.0276	0.0267	3.3	0.4	2.9
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0667	0.0568	0.0263	10.9	8.5	2.3
4	Zack Britton	0.0525	0.0223	0.0000	4.1	1.9	2.2
5	Tarik Skubal	0.0402	0.0533	0.1071	8.8	6.9	1.9
6	Cam Hill	0.0525	0.0766	0.0816	2.0	0.2	1.8
7	Daniel Castano	0.0525	0.0378	0.0291	3.1	1.4	1.7
8	Mark Melancon	0.0525	0.0345	0.0139	3.8	2.2	1.6
9	Eric Yardley	0.0525	0.0356	0.0299	2.3	0.8	1.6
10	Steven Brault	0.0525	0.0431	0.0177	6.4	4.9	1.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cam Hill	0.0548	0.0766	0.0816	1.9	0.2	1.7
2	Jeurys Familia	0.0402	0.0276	0.0267	1.8	0.4	1.4
3	Rafael Dolis	0.0525	0.0377	0.0185	3.5	2.1	1.4
4	Alex Young	0.0478	0.0525	0.0733	5.0	3.8	1.2
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.0495	0.0453	0.0413	2.9	2.0	1.0
6	Garrett Richards	0.0415	0.0454	0.0473	1.0	0.1	0.9
7	Zack Wheeler	0.0549	0.0508	0.0142	12.1	11.2	0.9
8	Kolby Allard	0.0507	0.0439	0.0404	1.7	0.9	0.9
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0500	0.0522	0.0880	8.8	8.0	0.8
10	Brandon Bielak	0.0523	0.0565	0.0874	5.0	4.2	0.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	0.0492	0.0350	0.0262	7.7	3.2	4.4
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.0657	0.0577	0.0473	6.1	3.5	2.6
3	Trevor Williams	0.0347	0.0462	0.0843	11.6	9.0	2.6
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.0660	0.0561	0.0164	9.4	7.4	2.0
5	Matthew Boyd	0.0552	0.0635	0.0815	6.2	4.3	1.9
6	Chad Kuhl	0.0364	0.0470	0.0650	4.9	3.1	1.8
7	Spencer Turnbull	0.0563	0.0506	0.0125	11.4	9.8	1.7
8	John Means	0.0532	0.0636	0.0976	7.2	5.6	1.6
9	Kevin Gausman	0.0359	0.0436	0.0533	3.4	1.8	1.6
10	Tejay Antone	0.0633	0.0539	0.0513	2.2	0.7	1.5

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mitch Keller	0.1042	0.3048 (17.2)	0.3580 (21.8)	0.3070 (17.3)	0.3046 (17.0)	0.3026 (17.4)
Kenta Maeda	0.2081	0.2925 (20.3)	0.2771 (16.3)	0.2926 (20.1)	0.2926 (19.7)	0.2923 (21.2)
Rick Porcello	0.3730	0.2933 (21.5)	0.3002 (19.9)	0.2904 (22.5)	0.2969 (21.1)	0.2896 (21.4)
Brandon Workman	0.4426	0.2902 (15.7)	0.2628 (18.5)	0.2904 (15.7)	0.2968 (15.2)	0.2830 (16.0)
Trevor Bauer	0.2148	0.2932 (21.1)	0.2959 (21.6)	0.2944 (21.2)	0.2962 (21.3)	0.2889 (21.0)
Lance Lynn	0.2417	0.2961 (17.8)	0.3096 (22.2)	0.2920 (16.1)	0.2957 (16.9)	0.3006 (20.7)
Cristian Javier	0.1938	0.2831 (18.5)	0.2904 (19.9)	0.2904 (19.9)	0.2776 (16.9)	0.2889 (20.6)
Max Scherzer	0.3550	0.2831 (22.0)	0.2887 (20.6)	0.2887 (20.6)	0.2846 (22.2)	0.2759 (23.0)
Justin Dunn	0.1795	0.2905 (21.5)	0.2825 (19.7)	0.2898 (21.1)	0.2898 (20.9)	0.2920 (22.5)
Tommy Milone	0.3710	0.2914 (14.9)	0.2799 (17.1)	0.2937 (14.6)	0.2907 (15.4)	0.2899 (14.4)
Patrick Corbin	0.3623	0.2977 (19.9)	0.2974 (20.2)	0.3009 (19.2)	0.2993 (20.0)	0.2928 (20.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Castellani	0.3017	0.2066	17.5
2	Dakota Hudson	0.2988	0.1919	15.7
3	Erick Fedde	0.3029	0.2327	15.0
4	Alec Mills	0.2930	0.2326	14.6
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2911	0.3471	14.4
6	Javy Guerra	0.2895	0.5000	14.3
7	David Peterson	0.3046	0.2331	14.1
8	Kyle Hart	0.2943	0.5000	14.0
9	Jordan Yamamoto	0.2814	0.4872	14.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Civale	0.2789	0.3333	18.1
2	Dylan Cease	0.3109	0.2375	17.8
3	Luis Castillo	0.2738	0.3295	17.3
4	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2804	0.3471	17.2
5	Chad Green	0.3107	0.1455	16.2
6	Adam Wainwright	0.3119	0.2473	16.0
7	Miguel Castro	0.2723	0.4068	15.9
8	Jordan Yamamoto	0.2622	0.4872	15.3
9	Javy Guerra	0.2771	0.5000	15.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dakota Hudson	0.3094	0.1919	17.2
2	David Peterson	0.3148	0.2331	16.0
3	Erick Fedde	0.3080	0.2327	15.9
4	Ryan Castellani	0.2904	0.2066	15.2
5	Brad Keller	0.3050	0.2327	14.8
6	Javy Guerra	0.2904	0.5000	14.3
7	Kyle Hart	0.2904	0.5000	14.3
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2945	0.3471	13.7
9	Wilmer Font	0.2904	0.4483	13.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Castellani	0.3014	0.2066	17.0
2	Dakota Hudson	0.3076	0.1919	16.7
3	Erick Fedde	0.3045	0.2327	14.8
4	Jeffrey Springs	0.2880	0.4310	14.6
5	Javy Guerra	0.2904	0.5000	14.4
6	Kyle Hart	0.2904	0.5000	14.4
7	Brad Keller	0.3043	0.2327	14.3
8	Vince Velasquez	0.2854	0.3735	14.3
9	Alec Mills	0.2941	0.2326	14.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Castellani	0.3021	0.2066	18.3
2	Luis Castillo	0.2738	0.3295	15.9
3	Miguel Castro	0.2697	0.4068	15.6
4	Michael Fulmer	0.2734	0.3895	15.6
5	Alec Mills	0.2920	0.2326	15.3
6	Adam Wainwright	0.3034	0.2473	15.1
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2847	0.3471	15.0
8	Dylan Cease	0.2937	0.2375	14.7
9	Jordan Yamamoto	0.2692	0.4872	14.5

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Paddack	0.2614	0.2843	0.2893	7.7	1.9	5.8
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.3158	0.2935	0.2919	5.7	0.3	5.4
3	Luis Castillo	0.2738	0.2899	0.3295	17.3	12.3	5.0
4	Aaron Civale	0.2789	0.2933	0.3333	18.1	13.3	4.8
5	Mitch Keller	0.3580	0.3048	0.1042	21.8	17.2	4.6
6	Lance Lynn	0.3096	0.2961	0.2417	22.2	17.8	4.4
7	Jon Lester	0.3153	0.2981	0.2760	9.5	5.1	4.4
8	Dylan Cease	0.3109	0.2940	0.2375	17.8	13.7	4.1
9	Corbin Burnes	0.3182	0.3007	0.2846	7.2	3.2	4.0
10	Yu Darvish	0.2791	0.2916	0.2951	5.8	1.8	4.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.3010	0.2924	0.2716	8.2	5.7	2.5
2	Aaron Nola	0.2995	0.2914	0.2830	3.7	1.6	2.1
3	Tyler Anderson	0.2750	0.2816	0.2865	3.9	2.0	2.0
4	David Peterson	0.3148	0.3046	0.2331	16.0	14.1	1.9
5	Brad Keller	0.3050	0.2958	0.2327	14.8	13.0	1.8
6	Tarik Skubal	0.3096	0.2957	0.2533	7.1	5.3	1.7
7	Sonny Gray	0.3018	0.2918	0.2901	1.9	0.2	1.7
8	Chris Mazza	0.2904	0.3014	0.3563	9.4	7.8	1.6
9	Robbie Erlin	0.2904	0.3026	0.3125	3.1	1.5	1.6
10	Andrew Heaney	0.2833	0.2881	0.3017	6.1	4.5	1.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Garrett Richards	0.3002	0.2879	0.2837	2.5	0.3	2.1
2	Sonny Gray	0.3041	0.2918	0.2901	2.1	0.2	1.9
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.3066	0.2975	0.2551	12.0	10.2	1.8
4	Zach Davies	0.3005	0.2926	0.2486	13.0	11.4	1.6
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.2993	0.2924	0.2716	7.2	5.7	1.5
6	Vince Velasquez	0.2854	0.2922	0.3735	14.3	12.9	1.4
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.2905	0.2821	0.2324	11.8	10.4	1.4
8	Andrew Heaney	0.2855	0.2881	0.3017	5.9	4.5	1.4
9	Brad Keller	0.3043	0.2958	0.2327	14.3	13.0	1.3
10	Zack Britton	0.3113	0.2917	0.2264	6.1	4.8	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sonny Gray	0.2692	0.2918	0.2901	4.6	0.2	4.4
2	Kyle Freeland	0.2832	0.2993	0.3049	6.2	2.5	3.7
3	Luis Castillo	0.2738	0.2899	0.3295	15.9	12.3	3.5
4	Framber Valdez	0.2845	0.3006	0.3118	7.5	4.0	3.5
5	Zack Greinke	0.2674	0.2838	0.3211	14.3	10.9	3.4
6	Lance Lynn	0.3006	0.2961	0.2417	20.7	17.8	2.9
7	Carlos Martinez	0.2609	0.2884	0.3662	10.8	8.4	2.4
8	Jared Hughes	0.2571	0.2830	0.3030	4.9	2.5	2.4
9	Cristian Javier	0.2889	0.2831	0.1938	20.6	18.5	2.1
10	Corbin Burnes	0.3053	0.3007	0.2846	5.3	3.2	2.1

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.2781	0.2831 (20.9)	0.1969 (24.1)	0.0000 (38.7)	0.2846 (21.0)	0.2759 (21.5)
Patrick Corbin	0.2754	0.2977 (15.8)	0.2155 (17.8)	0.0000 (37.9)	0.2993 (15.8)	0.2928 (15.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3028	0.1348	20.9
2	Dylan Cease	0.2940	0.1437	19.0
3	Lance Lynn	0.2961	0.1659	18.7
4	Rick Porcello	0.2933	0.2865	18.0
5	Gio Gonzalez	0.2880	0.3261	17.4
6	Max Fried	0.3047	0.1544	16.7
7	Michael Fulmer	0.2923	0.3368	16.4
8	Justin Dunn	0.2905	0.1368	15.4
9	Gerrit Cole	0.2845	0.1553	15.4
10	Luke Jackson	0.2986	0.3368	15.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Cease	0.2360	0.1437	23.4
2	Lance Lynn	0.2301	0.1659	22.0
3	Max Fried	0.2487	0.1544	21.0
4	Martín Pérez	0.2483	0.1751	19.1
5	Gio Gonzalez	0.2110	0.3261	17.7
6	Mitch Keller	0.2593	0.0625	17.1
7	Rick Porcello	0.2215	0.2865	17.1
8	Michael Fulmer	0.2123	0.3368	17.0
9	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.2097	0.1348	16.9
10	Javy Guerra	0.1928	0.4375	16.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alec Mills	0.2172	0.1686	49.3
2	Cristian Javier	0.2172	0.1473	46.4
3	Adam Wainwright	0.2172	0.1978	43.6
4	Ryan Castellani	0.2172	0.1488	40.7
5	Garrett Richards	0.2172	0.2057	33.7
6	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.2634	33.6
7	Kyle Gibson	0.0000	0.2564	33.0
8	Ryan Weber	0.2172	0.1880	32.6
9	Tejay Antone	0.2172	0.1351	32.3
10	Nick Margevicius	0.2172	0.1754	32.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3021	0.1348	20.4
2	Javy Guerra	0.2172	0.4375	20.0
3	Dylan Cease	0.2961	0.1437	19.1
4	Lance Lynn	0.2957	0.1659	17.9
5	Rick Porcello	0.2969	0.2865	17.5
6	Tyler Matzek	0.2172	0.2769	16.6
7	Gio Gonzalez	0.2984	0.3261	16.1
8	Max Fried	0.3034	0.1544	16.0
9	Gerrit Cole	0.2867	0.1553	15.5
10	Michael Fulmer	0.3025	0.3368	15.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3061	0.1348	22.8
2	Kris Bubic	0.2172	0.2482	22.6
3	Lance Lynn	0.3006	0.1659	22.0
4	Dylan Cease	0.2937	0.1437	20.2
5	Gio Gonzalez	0.2774	0.3261	18.3
6	Michael Fulmer	0.2734	0.3368	18.2
7	Rick Porcello	0.2896	0.2865	17.6
8	Max Fried	0.3025	0.1544	17.3
9	Justin Dunn	0.2920	0.1368	16.7
10	Luke Jackson	0.2879	0.3368	15.8

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Civale	0.1912	0.2933	0.2394	15.2	6.9	8.3
2	Brandon Woodruff	0.2403	0.2975	0.2164	6.9	1.6	5.3
3	Martín Pérez	0.2483	0.3040	0.1751	19.1	13.9	5.2
4	Jon Lester	0.2419	0.2981	0.2031	10.2	5.1	5.1
5	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1936	0.2897	0.2349	9.8	4.9	4.8
6	Dylan Cease	0.2360	0.2940	0.1437	23.4	19.0	4.4
7	Kevin Gausman	0.2363	0.2939	0.2113	6.0	1.7	4.4
8	Max Fried	0.2487	0.3047	0.1544	21.0	16.7	4.4
9	Tommy Milone	0.1940	0.2914	0.2419	8.7	4.8	4.0
10	Luis Castillo	0.2014	0.2899	0.2197	5.5	1.6	3.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alec Mills	0.2172	0.2930	0.1686	49.3	12.3	37.0
2	Adam Wainwright	0.2172	0.3026	0.1978	43.6	7.6	36.0
3	Cristian Javier	0.2172	0.2831	0.1473	46.4	12.8	33.6
4	Garrett Richards	0.2172	0.2879	0.2057	33.7	1.4	32.4
5	Tanner Roark	0.2172	0.2923	0.2214	31.4	1.1	30.3
6	Ryan Castellani	0.2172	0.3017	0.1488	40.7	14.6	26.1
7	Derek Holland	0.2172	0.2947	0.2019	29.0	3.0	26.0
8	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2172	0.2913	0.2239	27.6	1.7	26.0
9	Ryan Weber	0.2172	0.3046	0.1880	32.6	7.5	25.0
10	Nick Margevicius	0.2172	0.2928	0.1754	32.1	7.1	25.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Matzek	0.2172	0.2941	0.2769	16.6	7.1	9.5
2	Rafael Dolis	0.2172	0.2941	0.2075	6.8	1.1	5.7
3	Javy Guerra	0.2172	0.2895	0.4375	20.0	15.0	5.0
4	Garrett Richards	0.3002	0.2879	0.2057	3.6	1.4	2.2
5	Tyler Anderson	0.2910	0.2816	0.1892	6.3	4.3	2.0
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.3066	0.2975	0.2092	5.1	3.2	1.9
7	Zach Davies	0.3005	0.2926	0.2000	6.3	4.6	1.7
8	Jared Hughes	0.3086	0.2830	0.2121	2.1	0.5	1.5
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.2905	0.2821	0.1549	12.8	11.3	1.5
10	Germán Márquez	0.3075	0.3015	0.2208	3.1	1.7	1.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kris Bubic	0.2172	0.2931	0.2482	22.6	6.9	15.7
2	Daniel Bard	0.2172	0.3105	0.2500	11.0	1.6	9.4
3	Carlos Hernández	0.2172	0.2923	0.2791	8.9	4.2	4.7
4	Sonny Gray	0.2692	0.2918	0.2214	5.4	1.3	4.1
5	John King	0.2172	0.2991	0.2647	6.0	2.1	3.9
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.2766	0.2924	0.2284	7.1	3.7	3.4
7	Kyle Freeland	0.2832	0.2993	0.2332	6.3	2.9	3.3
8	Lance Lynn	0.3006	0.2961	0.1659	22.0	18.7	3.3
9	Luis Castillo	0.2738	0.2899	0.2197	4.8	1.6	3.2
10	Humberto Mejía	0.2172	0.2880	0.2143	3.3	0.1	3.2

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Robbie Ray	0.1129	0.0000 (11.4)	0.0722 (10.8)	0.0000 (16.9)	0.0000 (11.5)	0.0000 (11.7)
Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1277	0.0000 (13.7)	0.0806 (11.2)	0.0000 (18.6)	0.0000 (13.8)	0.0000 (13.9)
Zach Eflin	0.1192	0.0000 (12.7)	0.0749 (11.4)	0.0000 (18.0)	0.0000 (12.8)	0.0000 (12.9)
Steven Brault	0.0180	0.0000 (8.8)	0.0795 (10.6)	0.0674 (16.9)	0.0000 (8.7)	0.0000 (8.6)
Luis Castillo	0.1040	0.0000 (10.7)	0.0701 (10.5)	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0000 (10.8)	0.0000 (11.0)
Max Fried	0.1074	0.0000 (9.0)	0.0707 (8.7)	0.0000 (13.8)	0.0000 (9.1)	0.0000 (9.2)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Brad Keller	0.0126	11.8
2	Trevor Bauer	0.0268	11.3
3	Framber Valdez	0.0323	10.1
4	Kenta Maeda	0.0268	10.0
5	Seth Elledge	0.2593	10.0
6	Trevor Rogers	0.1408	9.6
7	Zac Gallen	0.0347	9.5
8	Dustin May	0.0260	9.3
9	Matthew Boyd	0.1006	9.0
10	Luke Weaver	0.1053	9.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	0.0778	0.0268	13.6
2	Shane Bieber	0.0823	0.0411	11.6
3	Zac Gallen	0.0758	0.0347	11.3
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.0818	0.0433	11.0
5	Kenta Maeda	0.0714	0.0268	10.5
6	Seth Elledge	0.0674	0.2593	10.1
7	Justus Sheffield	0.0765	0.0314	10.0
8	Trevor Rogers	0.0674	0.1408	9.8
9	John Means	0.0731	0.0180	9.3
10	Tyler Chatwood	0.0586	0.1600	8.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0674	0.0495	16.6
2	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.1006	14.9
3	Cristian Javier	0.0674	0.0465	14.2
4	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1053	14.1
5	Ryan Castellani	0.0674	0.0413	13.5
6	Austin Voth	0.0000	0.1034	13.0
7	Logan Webb	0.0000	0.0970	12.6
8	Kris Bubic	0.0674	0.0567	12.5
9	Alec Mills	0.0674	0.0640	12.3
10	Zack Greinke	0.0000	0.0895	12.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0126	11.7
2	Trevor Bauer	0.0000	0.0268	11.1
3	Tyler Matzek	0.0674	0.0462	10.7
4	Seth Elledge	0.0000	0.2593	10.0
5	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0323	10.0
6	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0268	9.9
7	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1408	9.6
8	Zac Gallen	0.0000	0.0347	9.4
9	Dustin May	0.0000	0.0260	9.2
10	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.1006	9.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bubic	0.0674	0.0567	17.1
2	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0126	11.6
3	Trevor Bauer	0.0000	0.0268	11.0
4	Seth Elledge	0.0000	0.2593	10.0
5	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0323	9.8
6	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0268	9.8
7	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1408	9.7
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.1006	9.3
9	Kyle Cody	0.0674	0.0333	9.2
10	Zac Gallen	0.0000	0.0347	9.2

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shane Bieber	0.0823	0.0411	11.6	7.8	3.8
2	Antonio Senzatela	0.0818	0.0433	11.0	7.3	3.8
3	Zack Wheeler	0.0573	0.0766	6.2	2.7	3.5
4	Kyle Freeland	0.0587	0.0717	4.6	1.3	3.3
5	Jacob deGrom	0.0586	0.0863	8.0	5.1	2.9
6	Max Scherzer	0.0866	0.0710	4.0	1.1	2.9
7	Chris Bassitt	0.0587	0.0829	6.9	4.1	2.8
8	Frankie Montas	0.0808	0.0629	3.7	1.0	2.7
9	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0809	0.0602	4.3	1.7	2.7
10	Carlos Carrasco	0.0807	0.0683	2.9	0.3	2.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0674	0.0495	16.6	4.7	11.9
2	Alec Mills	0.0674	0.0640	12.3	0.9	11.5
3	Kris Bubic	0.0674	0.0567	12.5	2.4	10.1
4	Cristian Javier	0.0674	0.0465	14.2	4.5	9.8
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0674	0.0597	10.5	1.5	9.0
6	Josh Lindblom	0.0674	0.0614	9.8	1.1	8.7
7	Ryan Castellani	0.0674	0.0413	13.5	4.9	8.6
8	Garrett Richards	0.0674	0.0709	8.9	0.8	8.2
9	Steven Brault	0.0674	0.0180	16.9	8.8	8.1
10	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0711	8.8	1.3	7.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Matzek	0.0674	0.0462	10.7	2.6	8.1
2	Rafael Dolis	0.0674	0.0755	5.9	0.8	5.1
3	Javy Guerra	0.0674	0.0625	4.8	0.3	4.5
4	Brooks Raley	0.0674	0.0909	3.6	2.0	1.7
5	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0711	1.4	1.3	0.1
6	Aaron Civale	0.0000	0.0798	4.0	3.9	0.1
7	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0717	1.5	1.3	0.1
8	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.0710	1.2	1.1	0.1
9	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0773	3.1	2.9	0.1
10	Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.1040	10.8	10.7	0.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kris Bubic	0.0674	0.0567	17.1	2.4	14.7
2	Daniel Bard	0.0674	0.0625	7.6	0.5	7.0
3	Kyle Cody	0.0674	0.0333	9.2	3.1	6.1
4	Carlos Hernández	0.0674	0.0698	4.3	0.2	4.1
5	César Valdez	0.0674	0.0526	4.3	0.8	3.5
6	John King	0.0674	0.0588	3.8	0.4	3.4
7	Nivaldo Rodriguez	0.0674	0.0690	3.0	0.1	2.9
8	Brandon Leibrandt	0.0674	0.0000	4.8	2.4	2.4
9	Jonathan Stiever	0.0674	0.0000	3.9	2.0	1.9
10	Paolo Espino	0.0674	0.0588	2.0	0.2	1.8

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Phil Maton	0.0377	0.0000 (3.1)	0.0073 (3.0)	0.0000 (3.2)	0.0000 (3.1)	0.0000 (3.1)
Carlos Estévez	0.0423	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0059 (4.3)	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.2)
Tyler Mahle	0.0273	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0051 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0000 (4.3)
Ryan Pressly	0.0385	0.0000 (3.0)	0.0068 (3.0)	0.0000 (3.1)	0.0000 (3.0)	0.0000 (3.0)
Dean Kremer	0.0612	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0058 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Artie Lewicki	0.1667	0.0000 (2.9)	0.0093 (2.9)	0.0058 (2.8)	0.0000 (2.9)	0.0000 (2.9)
Nick Goody	0.0645	0.0000 (3.2)	0.0083 (3.1)	0.0058 (3.0)	0.0000 (3.2)	0.0000 (3.2)
Marcus Walden	0.0638	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0057 (4.2)	0.0058 (3.8)	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (4.1)
Trevor Bauer	0.0201	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0086 (3.5)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0000 (4.0)
Framber Valdez	0.0161	0.0000 (3.0)	0.0047 (3.6)	0.0000 (3.5)	0.0000 (3.0)	0.0000 (3.0)
Tommy Milone	0.0323	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0037 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)
Robbie Erlin	0.0375	0.0000 (3.9)	0.0050 (4.1)	0.0058 (3.4)	0.0000 (3.9)	0.0000 (3.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Héctor Rondón	0.0357	2.9
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.0175	2.8
3	Shun Yamaguchi	0.0290	2.8
4	Bryan Shaw	0.0769	2.7
5	Aaron Civale	0.0141	2.6
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.0625	2.6
7	Kendall Graveman	0.0385	2.5
8	Corbin Burnes	0.0163	2.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Freeland	0.0128	0.0000	3.6
2	Josh Lindblom	0.0000	0.0175	3.5
3	Wandy Peralta	0.0000	0.0274	3.2
4	Héctor Rondón	0.0059	0.0357	3.0
5	James Karinchak	0.0000	0.0256	2.9
6	Shun Yamaguchi	0.0058	0.0290	2.9
7	Michael Wacha	0.0027	0.0198	2.8
8	Brad Keller	0.0135	0.0000	2.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Glasnow	0.0175	3.2
2	Aaron Civale	0.0141	3.2
3	Corbin Burnes	0.0163	3.0
4	Germán Márquez	0.0125	2.9
5	Bryan Shaw	0.0769	2.8
6	Antonio Senzatela	0.0130	2.7
7	Wandy Peralta	0.0274	2.7
8	Kendall Graveman	0.0385	2.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Héctor Rondón	0.0357	2.9
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.0175	2.8
3	Shun Yamaguchi	0.0290	2.8
4	Bryan Shaw	0.0769	2.7
5	Aaron Civale	0.0141	2.6
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.0625	2.6
7	Kendall Graveman	0.0385	2.5
8	Corbin Burnes	0.0163	2.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Héctor Rondón	0.0357	2.9
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.0175	2.8
3	Shun Yamaguchi	0.0290	2.8
4	Bryan Shaw	0.0769	2.7
5	Aaron Civale	0.0141	2.6
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.0625	2.6
7	Corbin Burnes	0.0163	2.5
8	Kendall Graveman	0.0385	2.5

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Freeland	0.0128	0.0000	3.6	1.8	1.8
2	Brad Keller	0.0135	0.0000	2.7	1.3	1.4
3	Luis Castillo	0.0023	0.0058	1.3	0.0	1.3
4	Josh Lindblom	0.0000	0.0175	3.5	2.2	1.3
5	Lance Lynn	0.0105	0.0047	1.6	0.4	1.2
6	Zach Davies	0.0112	0.0054	1.3	0.1	1.2
7	Jesús Luzardo	0.0115	0.0000	2.6	1.4	1.2
8	Ryan Weber	0.0131	0.0000	2.2	1.1	1.2
9	Adrian Houser	0.0112	0.0059	1.1	0.0	1.0
10	Carlos Carrasco	0.0105	0.0000	2.7	1.6	1.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0058	0.0000	2.6	1.5	1.0
2	Rick Porcello	0.0058	0.0054	1.1	0.1	1.0
3	Alec Mills	0.0058	0.0000	2.5	1.5	1.0
4	Cristian Javier	0.0058	0.0000	2.1	1.2	0.8
5	Ryan Weber	0.0058	0.0000	1.8	1.1	0.7
6	Derek Holland	0.0058	0.0000	1.7	1.0	0.7
7	Steven Brault	0.0058	0.0000	1.7	1.0	0.7
8	Nick Margevicius	0.0058	0.0000	1.7	1.0	0.7
9	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0125	2.9	2.3	0.6
10	Josh Tomlin	0.0058	0.0000	1.6	0.9	0.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rafael Dolis	0.0058	0.0000	1.2	0.6	0.6
2	Brooks Raley	0.0058	0.0000	1.0	0.5	0.5
3	Javy Guerra	0.0058	0.0000	0.8	0.4	0.4
4	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0125	2.3	2.3	0.0
5	Aaron Civale	0.0000	0.0141	2.6	2.6	0.0
6	Antonio Senzatela	0.0000	0.0130	2.2	2.2	0.0
7	Kyle Gibson	0.0000	0.0103	1.3	1.3	0.0
8	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0109	1.5	1.5	0.0
9	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.0059	0.0	0.0	0.0
10	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0097	1.1	1.1	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kris Bubic	0.0058	0.0071	1.0	0.3	0.7
2	Daniel Bard	0.0058	0.0000	1.2	0.6	0.6
3	Carlos Hernández	0.0058	0.0000	0.8	0.4	0.4
4	John King	0.0058	0.0000	0.6	0.3	0.3
5	Humberto Mejía	0.0058	0.0000	0.6	0.3	0.3
6	Nivaldo Rodriguez	0.0058	0.0000	0.5	0.3	0.3
7	Brandon Leibrandt	0.0058	0.0000	0.4	0.2	0.2
8	Justin Topa	0.0058	0.0000	0.3	0.2	0.2
9	Jonathan Stiever	0.0058	0.0000	0.3	0.2	0.2
10	Paolo Espino	0.0058	0.0000	0.3	0.2	0.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Antonio Senzatela	0.0957	0.1460 (16.3)	0.1413 (15.4)	0.1485 (16.7)	0.1473 (16.2)	0.1423 (16.1)
Julio Teheran	0.2349	0.1349 (14.4)	0.1140 (17.3)	0.1396 (13.9)	0.1388 (14.0)	0.1264 (15.2)
Jordan Yamamoto	0.3582	0.1275 (15.2)	0.1253 (15.3)	0.1253 (15.5)	0.1300 (15.2)	0.1250 (15.2)
Steven Matz	0.2324	0.1207 (15.4)	0.1222 (14.9)	0.1260 (14.8)	0.1264 (14.8)	0.1096 (16.5)
Shane Bieber	0.0505	0.1059 (17.5)	0.1110 (19.5)	0.1064 (17.3)	0.1079 (17.6)	0.1033 (17.6)
Touki Toussaint	0.2333	0.1163 (13.6)	0.1265 (12.2)	0.1181 (13.6)	0.1139 (14.1)	0.1168 (13.2)
Corbin Burnes	0.0625	0.1215 (15.0)	0.1480 (21.8)	0.1250 (15.5)	0.1276 (16.1)	0.1118 (13.4)
Trevor Bauer	0.0612	0.1117 (15.0)	0.1121 (15.6)	0.1155 (15.7)	0.1169 (16.0)	0.1026 (13.3)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0584	0.1201 (16.7)	0.1057 (13.5)	0.1223 (17.0)	0.1230 (17.1)	0.1149 (16.2)
Chris Bassitt	0.0690	0.1205 (14.4)	0.1115 (12.4)	0.1248 (15.1)	0.1211 (14.1)	0.1156 (13.9)
Yu Darvish	0.0606	0.1106 (15.9)	0.1159 (17.9)	0.1152 (16.9)	0.1163 (17.1)	0.1004 (13.8)
Carlos Martinez	0.2500	0.1149 (13.7)	0.1060 (14.4)	0.1230 (13.0)	0.1226 (13.1)	0.0991 (15.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Plesac	0.1316	0.0680	13.8
2	Dinelson Lamet	0.1105	0.0674	12.4
3	Kyle Hendricks	0.1184	0.0825	12.4
4	Matthew Boyd	0.1214	0.1697	12.2
5	Brad Keller	0.1263	0.0744	11.9
6	Kenta Maeda	0.1246	0.0806	11.8
7	Kyle Hart	0.1352	0.3134	11.7
8	Jordan Lyles	0.1368	0.1842	11.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dinelson Lamet	0.1229	0.0674	16.2
2	Jordan Lyles	0.1252	0.1842	14.3
3	Max Fried	0.1152	0.0625	13.0
4	Ross Stripling	0.1045	0.1682	12.9
5	Kyle Hart	0.1253	0.3134	12.3
6	Matt Wisler	0.1374	0.0280	12.3
7	Adrian Houser	0.1124	0.1667	12.1
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.1138	0.0786	11.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.1264	0.0825	14.5
2	Zach Plesac	0.1353	0.0680	14.3
3	Zach Davies	0.1388	0.0942	12.9
4	Jordan Lyles	0.1347	0.1842	12.6
5	Kenta Maeda	0.1289	0.0806	12.5
6	Matthew Boyd	0.1214	0.1697	12.5
7	Kyle Hart	0.1253	0.3134	12.5
8	Brad Keller	0.1288	0.0744	12.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.1272	0.0825	14.7
2	Zach Plesac	0.1363	0.0680	14.5
3	Zach Davies	0.1389	0.0942	12.9
4	Kenta Maeda	0.1293	0.0806	12.5
5	Brad Keller	0.1304	0.0744	12.4
6	Jordan Lyles	0.1356	0.1842	12.4
7	Matthew Boyd	0.1223	0.1697	12.3
8	Kyle Hart	0.1316	0.3134	12.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dinelson Lamet	0.1111	0.0674	13.4
2	Zach Plesac	0.1231	0.0680	12.7
3	Adrian Houser	0.1128	0.1667	11.6
4	Matt Wisler	0.1302	0.0280	11.6
5	Matthew Boyd	0.1204	0.1697	11.6
6	Tony Gonsolin	0.1329	0.0739	11.5
7	Trevor Williams	0.1144	0.1667	11.5
8	Hansel Robles	0.1009	0.2500	11.4

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Burnes	0.1480	0.1215	0.0625	21.8	15.0	6.8
2	Framber Valdez	0.1287	0.1083	0.1111	6.5	0.2	6.3
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1123	0.1379	0.1633	11.2	5.4	5.8
4	Ryan Castellani	0.1253	0.1585	0.1587	5.4	0.6	4.7
5	Tyler Anderson	0.1367	0.1186	0.1231	4.9	0.3	4.6
6	Dylan Cease	0.1369	0.1205	0.1176	6.2	1.6	4.6
7	Pete Fairbanks	0.1401	0.1043	0.0769	8.0	3.6	4.4
8	Chase Anderson	0.1104	0.1384	0.1883	11.2	7.2	4.1
9	Dinelson Lamet	0.1229	0.1105	0.0674	16.2	12.4	3.8
10	Asher Wojciechowski	0.1288	0.1523	0.1726	6.5	2.8	3.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Castellani	0.1253	0.1585	0.1587	5.9	0.6	5.3
2	Wade LeBlanc	0.1253	0.1494	0.1942	6.9	4.3	2.6
3	Jeurys Familia	0.1253	0.1039	0.0917	4.3	1.9	2.4
4	Kyle Gibson	0.1175	0.1242	0.1462	8.0	5.6	2.4
5	Garrett Richards	0.1253	0.1133	0.1080	4.2	1.9	2.3
6	Rafael Dolis	0.1253	0.1013	0.0900	3.7	1.5	2.3
7	Zach Davies	0.1388	0.1293	0.0942	12.9	10.6	2.3
8	Brad Hand	0.1253	0.0987	0.0930	3.0	0.8	2.2
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.1264	0.1184	0.0825	14.5	12.4	2.1
10	Sam Selman	0.1253	0.0983	0.0976	2.5	0.3	2.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.1272	0.1184	0.0825	14.7	12.4	2.3
2	Rafael Dolis	0.1253	0.1013	0.0900	3.7	1.5	2.2
3	Zach Davies	0.1389	0.1293	0.0942	12.9	10.6	2.2
4	Lucas Giolito	0.1196	0.1107	0.1076	4.0	1.9	2.1
5	Kyle Gibson	0.1188	0.1242	0.1462	7.6	5.6	2.1
6	Zac Gallen	0.1198	0.1130	0.0825	11.4	9.9	1.5
7	Framber Valdez	0.1039	0.1083	0.1111	1.5	0.2	1.3
8	Yu Darvish	0.1163	0.1106	0.0606	17.1	15.9	1.2
9	Nik Turley	0.1077	0.1193	0.1413	2.9	1.7	1.2
10	Corbin Burnes	0.1276	0.1215	0.0625	16.1	15.0	1.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	0.1186	0.1083	0.1111	4.0	0.2	3.8
2	Trevor Williams	0.1144	0.1307	0.1667	11.5	8.2	3.3
3	Jonathan Hernández	0.1481	0.1278	0.0800	9.3	6.4	2.9
4	Wes Benjamin	0.1750	0.1514	0.1224	5.8	3.2	2.6
5	Sean Manaea	0.1067	0.1194	0.1441	6.9	4.7	2.2
6	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1314	0.1236	0.1005	7.4	5.3	2.1
7	JT Brubaker	0.1356	0.1292	0.1317	2.1	0.2	1.9
8	Martín Pérez	0.1333	0.1290	0.1260	3.6	1.7	1.9
9	Jon Lester	0.1179	0.1281	0.1321	2.0	0.1	1.9
10	Taylor Hearn	0.1560	0.1344	0.1053	4.4	2.5	1.9

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Antonio Senzatela	0.0924	0.1367 (13.8)	0.1342 (13.8)	0.1386 (14.3)	0.1374 (13.7)	0.1341 (13.7)
Julio Teheran	0.2349	0.1271 (15.9)	0.1054 (18.7)	0.1317 (15.2)	0.1307 (15.5)	0.1190 (16.7)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0545	0.1105 (14.7)	0.0988 (12.3)	0.1116 (14.9)	0.1125 (15.0)	0.1073 (14.5)
Matthew Boyd	0.1661	0.1143 (13.7)	0.1191 (11.7)	0.1146 (13.7)	0.1152 (13.7)	0.1131 (13.4)
Steven Matz	0.2324	0.1133 (16.7)	0.1116 (16.6)	0.1172 (16.2)	0.1175 (16.3)	0.1053 (17.5)
Chris Bassitt	0.0613	0.1130 (13.8)	0.1025 (11.7)	0.1159 (14.5)	0.1127 (13.4)	0.1106 (13.8)
Shane Bieber	0.0471	0.0982 (15.5)	0.1029 (17.7)	0.0983 (15.5)	0.0995 (15.6)	0.0967 (15.8)
Corbin Burnes	0.0583	0.1133 (13.5)	0.1360 (19.5)	0.1161 (14.1)	0.1187 (14.5)	0.1053 (12.1)
Trevor Bauer	0.0504	0.1040 (15.3)	0.1018 (15.3)	0.1074 (16.1)	0.1087 (16.3)	0.0960 (13.7)
Jordan Yamamoto	0.3433	0.1185 (15.0)	0.1160 (15.0)	0.1149 (15.2)	0.1215 (14.8)	0.1154 (15.0)
Dinelson Lamet	0.0599	0.1034 (11.9)	0.1108 (14.6)	0.1020 (11.5)	0.1025 (11.4)	0.1056 (13.1)
Yu Darvish	0.0572	0.1041 (14.3)	0.1095 (16.6)	0.1076 (15.3)	0.1083 (15.2)	0.0962 (12.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.1216	0.0761	12.9
2	Zach Plesac	0.1233	0.0680	11.6
3	Taijuan Walker	0.1215	0.0711	11.6
4	Matt Hall	0.1186	0.3333	11.5
5	Michael Fulmer	0.1157	0.1985	11.1
6	Touki Toussaint	0.1073	0.2000	11.0
7	Carlos Martinez	0.1056	0.2115	10.9
8	Luke Weaver	0.1138	0.1610	10.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.1157	0.1692	13.2
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1030	0.1592	12.9
3	Carlos Martinez	0.0960	0.2115	11.6
4	Luke Weaver	0.1091	0.1610	11.4
5	Kwang Hyun Kim	0.1149	0.0455	11.3
6	Kyle Hart	0.1149	0.2836	11.1
7	Hansel Robles	0.0968	0.2375	11.0
8	Matt Wisler	0.1260	0.0280	10.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.1293	0.0761	14.9
2	Taijuan Walker	0.1260	0.0711	12.6
3	Zach Plesac	0.1266	0.0680	12.3
4	Matt Hall	0.1149	0.3333	11.7
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.1175	0.0825	11.3
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.1127	0.0727	11.3
7	Kyle Hart	0.1149	0.2836	11.2
8	Jordan Lyles	0.1264	0.1692	11.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.1295	0.0761	14.8
2	Zach Plesac	0.1279	0.0680	12.4
3	Matt Hall	0.1129	0.3333	11.9
4	Taijuan Walker	0.1236	0.0711	11.8
5	Touki Toussaint	0.1054	0.2000	11.3
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.1183	0.0825	11.3
7	Jordan Lyles	0.1273	0.1692	11.1
8	Luke Weaver	0.1144	0.1610	11.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Martinez	0.0901	0.2115	12.3
2	Michael Fulmer	0.1099	0.1985	11.6
3	Robbie Ray	0.1023	0.1514	11.4
4	Matt Hall	0.1244	0.3333	11.1
5	Touki Toussaint	0.1066	0.2000	10.8
6	Matt Wisler	0.1243	0.0280	10.7
7	Taijuan Walker	0.1149	0.0711	10.7
8	Hansel Robles	0.1009	0.2375	10.6

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Civale	0.0955	0.1209	0.1250	8.0	0.9	7.1
2	Framber Valdez	0.1170	0.0983	0.0972	6.8	0.7	6.1
3	Corbin Burnes	0.1360	0.1133	0.0583	19.5	13.5	6.0
4	Tyler Anderson	0.1314	0.1091	0.1115	6.1	0.3	5.8
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1030	0.1290	0.1592	12.9	7.1	5.8
6	Ryan Castellani	0.1149	0.1507	0.1481	5.6	0.7	4.9
7	Dylan Cease	0.1276	0.1116	0.1020	7.5	2.8	4.7
8	Lucas Giolito	0.1158	0.1029	0.0972	6.4	2.0	4.5
9	Alec Mills	0.1008	0.1238	0.1230	4.7	0.5	4.2
10	Pablo López	0.1224	0.1083	0.0958	7.3	3.3	4.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Castellani	0.1149	0.1507	0.1481	6.1	0.7	5.4
2	Wade LeBlanc	0.1149	0.1421	0.1942	8.1	5.2	2.8
3	Kyle Gibson	0.1078	0.1149	0.1329	7.3	5.1	2.2
4	Aaron Loup	0.1149	0.0923	0.0729	4.1	2.0	2.1
5	Zack Britton	0.1149	0.0864	0.0526	4.8	2.7	2.1
6	Lucas Giolito	0.1105	0.1029	0.0972	4.1	2.0	2.1
7	Zach Davies	0.1293	0.1216	0.0761	14.9	12.9	2.0
8	Kyle Hendricks	0.1175	0.1112	0.0825	11.3	9.4	1.9
9	Derek Holland	0.1149	0.1254	0.1732	10.3	8.3	1.9
10	Kyle Funkhouser	0.1149	0.1384	0.1728	4.6	2.7	1.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.1117	0.1029	0.0972	4.2	2.0	2.2
2	Kyle Gibson	0.1093	0.1149	0.1329	7.1	5.1	2.0
3	Kyle Hendricks	0.1183	0.1112	0.0825	11.3	9.4	1.9
4	Zach Davies	0.1295	0.1216	0.0761	14.8	12.9	1.9
5	Zac Gallen	0.1115	0.1061	0.0756	10.5	9.2	1.3
6	Rafael Dolis	0.1149	0.1013	0.0400	7.5	6.2	1.3
7	Brooks Raley	0.1149	0.1270	0.1310	1.3	0.2	1.1
8	Adam Wainwright	0.1196	0.1146	0.0878	8.4	7.3	1.0
9	Corbin Burnes	0.1187	0.1133	0.0583	14.5	13.5	1.0
10	Trevor Bauer	0.1087	0.1040	0.0504	16.3	15.3	1.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	0.1082	0.0983	0.0972	4.2	0.7	3.5
2	Trevor Williams	0.1102	0.1236	0.1508	9.3	6.5	2.8
3	Jonathan Hernández	0.1376	0.1185	0.0800	7.6	5.0	2.7
4	Wes Benjamin	0.1650	0.1424	0.1224	4.5	2.1	2.5
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1241	0.1153	0.1005	5.4	3.2	2.2
6	Sean Manaea	0.1000	0.1114	0.1216	4.0	2.0	2.0
7	Martín Pérez	0.1250	0.1198	0.1183	2.7	0.7	2.0
8	Jon Lester	0.1098	0.1195	0.1321	5.0	3.0	2.0
9	Adrian Houser	0.1026	0.1120	0.1341	6.9	5.1	1.7
10	Max Scherzer	0.0814	0.0894	0.0949	2.9	1.3	1.7

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Alec Mills	0.4545	0.1841 (72.1)	0.1200 (77.5)	0.1879 (75.9)	0.1729 (73.7)	0.2000 (73.8)
Randy Dobnak	0.6000	0.1378 (95.5)	0.1481 (85.0)	0.0833 (110.3)	0.1293 (96.3)	0.3333 (61.0)
Marco Gonzales	0.6364	0.3518 (83.1)	0.2955 (87.0)	0.2895 (105.7)	0.3105 (93.2)	0.4545 (61.0)
Shane Bieber	0.6667	0.4365 (73.0)	0.2955 (102.2)	0.4298 (80.6)	0.4644 (63.3)	0.4167 (85.6)
David Peterson	0.6000	0.2505 (74.8)	0.1879 (78.9)	0.2361 (81.7)	0.3310 (57.3)	0.2222 (85.3)
Zach Davies	0.5833	0.2592 (93.7)	0.2250 (91.5)	0.2396 (104.4)	0.2654 (90.7)	0.2727 (96.3)
Pablo López	0.5455	0.2994 (62.8)	0.1579 (86.5)	0.3039 (66.3)	0.2943 (62.9)	0.3000 (68.1)
Framber Valdez	0.4545	0.1867 (81.6)	0.1562 (78.1)	0.1538 (96.6)	0.1832 (81.2)	0.2500 (70.0)
Yu Darvish	0.6667	0.3299 (104.6)	0.1538 (144.3)	0.3158 (114.5)	0.3783 (88.8)	0.3000 (120.3)
Max Fried	0.6364	0.3916 (58.3)	0.2500 (80.5)	0.3704 (67.3)	0.3840 (58.9)	0.4167 (57.8)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.3652	0.0833	63.6
2	Cristian Javier	0.1364	0.4167	63.3
3	Mike Fiers	0.3153	0.5455	63.1
4	Rick Porcello	0.3325	0.0833	61.0
5	Kenta Maeda	0.3269	0.5455	58.1
6	Patrick Corbin	0.3870	0.1818	56.0
7	Luke Weaver	0.3348	0.0833	55.7
8	Josh Fleming	0.3023	0.7143	55.6
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.3487	0.5000	52.5
10	Adam Wainwright	0.3163	0.5000	52.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Bundy	0.2051	0.5455	83.7
2	Kenta Maeda	0.2093	0.5455	76.7
3	Brad Keller	0.1860	0.5556	73.6
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.2564	0.5000	68.2
5	Rick Porcello	0.3077	0.0833	65.6
6	Josh Fleming	0.1879	0.7143	64.9
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.1562	0.4545	64.6
8	Justus Sheffield	0.1000	0.4000	63.3
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.2727	0.5455	63.2
10	Dylan Cease	0.1429	0.4167	62.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1879	0.5000	90.8
2	Josh Fleming	0.1879	0.7143	72.9
3	Mike Fiers	0.3158	0.5455	67.9
4	Kyle Gibson	0.4035	0.1667	60.9
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.3421	0.5000	60.6
6	Jordan Lyles	0.3452	0.0833	60.5
7	Dylan Bundy	0.3684	0.5455	56.5
8	Cristian Javier	0.1879	0.4167	56.4
9	Brad Keller	0.3333	0.5556	55.2
10	Patrick Corbin	0.4035	0.1818	55.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	0.1072	0.4167	68.5
2	Mike Minor	0.3575	0.0833	63.0
3	Chris Bassitt	0.2309	0.4545	61.2
4	Kenta Maeda	0.3128	0.5455	60.4
5	Ryan Yarbrough	0.3551	0.0909	59.3
6	Patrick Corbin	0.3932	0.1818	59.2
7	Josh Fleming	0.2777	0.7143	58.2
8	Mike Fiers	0.3320	0.5455	57.6
9	Adam Wainwright	0.2980	0.5000	55.7
10	Luke Weaver	0.3246	0.0833	54.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Fiers	0.3000	0.5455	72.9
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1250	0.4444	71.2
3	Kenta Maeda	0.3077	0.5455	68.5
4	Mike Minor	0.4000	0.0833	66.5
5	Kyle Freeland	0.4000	0.1538	63.2
6	Rick Porcello	0.3636	0.0833	63.1
7	Luke Weaver	0.3750	0.0833	59.8
8	Corbin Burnes	0.1333	0.3333	57.2
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.3636	0.5000	55.0
10	Cristian Javier	0.2000	0.4167	54.6

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Civale	0.1515	0.3535	0.3333	48.3	1.5	46.9
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.1562	0.3832	0.4545	64.6	20.7	43.9
3	Dylan Cease	0.1429	0.3432	0.4167	62.9	22.7	40.3
4	Yu Darvish	0.1538	0.3299	0.6667	144.3	104.6	39.7
5	Dylan Bundy	0.2051	0.3842	0.5455	83.7	47.2	36.5
6	Gerrit Cole	0.3415	0.5060	0.5833	61.9	26.7	35.2
7	Spencer Turnbull	0.0952	0.2695	0.3636	58.4	26.5	31.9
8	Justin Dunn	0.0938	0.2888	0.4000	55.3	25.1	30.2
9	Justus Sheffield	0.1000	0.2700	0.4000	63.3	33.8	29.6
10	Shane Bieber	0.2955	0.4365	0.6667	102.2	73.0	29.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1879	0.3163	0.5000	90.8	52.2	38.6
2	Marco Gonzales	0.2895	0.3518	0.6364	105.7	83.1	22.5
3	Deivi García	0.1879	0.3206	0.5000	50.6	28.5	22.2
4	Lance Lynn	0.3509	0.3957	0.4615	50.0	28.0	22.0
5	Carlos Martinez	0.3021	0.1098	0.0000	27.8	9.8	18.0
6	Josh Fleming	0.1879	0.3023	0.7143	72.9	55.6	17.4
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1879	0.3752	0.3000	28.9	11.7	17.1
8	Sonny Gray	0.2895	0.3394	0.4545	46.9	30.7	16.2
9	Dustin May	0.1375	0.1900	0.2500	33.0	16.9	16.0
10	Zach Eflin	0.2549	0.2998	0.3636	35.1	19.5	15.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Weber	0.3530	0.2500	0.0588	52.4	32.5	20.0
2	José Ureña	0.2208	0.0955	0.0000	21.8	8.3	13.5
3	Taylor Clarke	0.0883	0.1649	0.2500	31.6	18.4	13.1
4	Martín Pérez	0.3826	0.3376	0.2500	31.9	18.9	13.0
5	Chris Bassitt	0.2309	0.2837	0.4545	61.2	48.6	12.5
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.3612	0.3199	0.2500	24.9	13.5	11.4
7	Antonio Senzatela	0.2596	0.3004	0.4167	50.9	39.9	10.9
8	Tyler Mahle	0.0876	0.1459	0.2000	24.8	14.0	10.8
9	Carlos Martinez	0.2083	0.1098	0.0000	20.5	9.8	10.7
10	Garrett Richards	0.3379	0.2932	0.1429	39.3	28.7	10.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1250	0.2846	0.4444	71.2	34.9	36.3
2	Julio Urías	0.0714	0.1892	0.2727	53.7	22.2	31.5
3	Daniel Ponce de Leon	0.3000	0.1306	0.1111	21.5	0.6	21.0
4	Rony García	0.3333	0.0715	0.0667	21.9	1.0	20.9
5	Michael King	0.3750	0.1798	0.1111	27.3	6.4	20.9
6	Anthony Misiewicz	0.3333	0.0939	0.0000	24.5	6.5	18.0
7	Huascar Ynoa	0.3000	0.0983	0.0000	26.2	8.3	17.9
8	Cal Quantrill	0.3000	0.1450	0.1111	20.3	2.5	17.8
9	Shun Yamaguchi	0.3333	0.1032	0.1176	21.3	3.6	17.7
10	Jake Woodford	0.3333	0.0868	0.0833	18.0	1.0	17.0

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Alec Mills	0.4545	0.2054 (63.7)	0.0800 (83.9)	0.1952 (72.4)	0.2093 (63.8)	0.2000 (67.4)
Matthew Boyd	0.5833	0.3400 (67.0)	0.2683 (74.1)	0.3158 (80.1)	0.3424 (67.5)	0.3636 (63.1)
Kyle Gibson	0.5000	0.3224 (54.6)	0.2308 (68.5)	0.3333 (58.6)	0.3355 (51.9)	0.3000 (64.1)
Rick Porcello	0.5833	0.3748 (55.4)	0.2564 (74.5)	0.1952 (108.6)	0.3865 (53.5)	0.3636 (60.7)
Trevor Williams	0.7273	0.3767 (89.3)	0.2368 (113.1)	0.4074 (87.6)	0.4278 (77.5)	0.3000 (111.0)
Adrian Houser	0.5000	0.2391 (65.1)	0.1500 (75.9)	0.3235 (50.3)	0.3000 (51.2)	0.1429 (91.1)
Luke Weaver	0.7500	0.3093 (104.9)	0.1935 (121.5)	0.3333 (104.9)	0.3500 (96.3)	0.2500 (121.1)
Patrick Corbin	0.6364	0.3052 (98.8)	0.1951 (117.9)	0.3246 (100.2)	0.3173 (96.5)	0.2727 (111.1)
Aaron Civale	0.5000	0.3276 (55.0)	0.1818 (86.3)	0.3229 (63.9)	0.3259 (56.8)	0.3333 (56.1)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Fried	0.2836	0.0000	62.7
2	Dinelson Lamet	0.3216	0.0833	62.6
3	Randy Dobnak	0.1108	0.4000	58.6
4	Patrick Sandoval	0.1913	0.5556	58.5
5	Luis Castillo	0.3152	0.5000	55.1
6	Marco Gonzales	0.3733	0.1818	52.0
7	Shane Bieber	0.2591	0.0833	51.1
8	Jordan Lyles	0.3162	0.5000	49.9
9	Carlos Martinez	0.1248	0.6000	49.8
10	Germán Márquez	0.3216	0.4615	49.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bubic	0.1952	0.6000	80.6
2	Jordan Lyles	0.1628	0.5000	78.6
3	Germán Márquez	0.2000	0.4615	75.6
4	Frankie Montas	0.1176	0.4545	70.0
5	Brandon Woodruff	0.1053	0.3846	69.6
6	Luis Castillo	0.2381	0.5000	64.3
7	Austin Voth	0.1333	0.4545	62.9
8	Mike Minor	0.1957	0.5000	62.8
9	Aaron Nola	0.1707	0.4167	59.0
10	Patrick Sandoval	0.1515	0.5556	57.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bubic	0.1952	0.6000	96.1
2	Randy Dobnak	0.0682	0.4000	71.9
3	Patrick Sandoval	0.1481	0.5556	69.2
4	Taylor Clarke	0.3646	0.0000	61.6
5	Julio Urías	0.3021	0.0000	61.4
6	Framber Valdez	0.0897	0.2727	60.7
7	Max Fried	0.2963	0.0000	60.1
8	Luis Castillo	0.3246	0.5000	59.4
9	Mike Minor	0.3070	0.5000	52.8
10	Dinelson Lamet	0.3056	0.0833	51.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Fried	0.3097	0.0000	67.6
2	Dinelson Lamet	0.3252	0.0833	62.4
3	Patrick Sandoval	0.1836	0.5556	60.4
4	Randy Dobnak	0.1105	0.4000	59.5
5	Kolby Allard	0.1856	0.5455	55.9
6	Marco Gonzales	0.3886	0.1818	55.1
7	Julio Urías	0.2517	0.0000	54.6
8	Shane Bieber	0.2737	0.0833	54.2
9	Justin Dunn	0.3735	0.1000	52.6
10	Jordan Lyles	0.3136	0.5000	51.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bubic	0.1952	0.6000	92.8
2	Luis Castillo	0.2727	0.5000	70.2
3	Germán Márquez	0.2727	0.4615	69.4
4	Jordan Lyles	0.2727	0.5000	63.9
5	Dinelson Lamet	0.3333	0.0833	63.3
6	José Ureña	0.0417	0.6000	59.4
7	Carlos Martinez	0.0435	0.6000	59.2
8	Brandon Woodruff	0.2000	0.3846	57.9
9	Josh Fleming	0.4444	0.0000	56.1
10	Max Fried	0.2500	0.0000	53.1

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Woodruff	0.1053	0.2831	0.3846	69.6	30.8	38.8
2	Josh Lindblom	0.0833	0.3591	0.3333	39.8	4.2	35.6
3	Frankie Montas	0.1176	0.3086	0.4545	70.0	35.5	34.5
4	Justus Sheffield	0.1000	0.3173	0.3000	36.7	3.2	33.6
5	Kris Bubic	0.1952	0.3886	0.6000	80.6	47.8	32.9
6	Aaron Civale	0.1818	0.3276	0.5000	86.3	55.0	31.3
7	Austin Voth	0.1333	0.3175	0.4545	62.9	31.7	31.2
8	Robbie Ray	0.1463	0.3153	0.4167	57.4	26.4	31.0
9	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2000	0.3667	0.4545	52.2	22.4	29.7
10	Aaron Nola	0.1707	0.3179	0.4167	59.0	29.6	29.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rick Porcello	0.1952	0.3748	0.5833	108.6	55.4	53.2
2	Kris Bubic	0.1952	0.3886	0.6000	96.1	47.8	48.3
3	Ryan Castellani	0.1952	0.3409	0.4000	44.0	11.9	32.1
4	Josh Lindblom	0.1952	0.3591	0.3333	31.7	4.2	27.5
5	Johan Oviedo	0.1952	0.4085	0.6000	48.5	21.9	26.6
6	Taylor Clarke	0.3646	0.2036	0.0000	61.6	36.6	25.1
7	Julio Urías	0.3021	0.1663	0.0000	61.4	36.4	25.0
8	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1952	0.2931	0.3000	26.1	2.1	24.0
9	Freddy Peralta	0.3438	0.1500	0.0667	31.2	9.9	21.2
10	Adam Wainwright	0.1952	0.3557	0.3000	34.8	13.6	21.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Peterson	0.3534	0.2374	0.2000	29.8	6.9	22.9
2	Julio Urías	0.2517	0.1663	0.0000	54.6	36.4	18.2
3	Yu Darvish	0.3304	0.2666	0.2500	21.5	3.8	17.7
4	Spencer Turnbull	0.2412	0.3087	0.3636	31.6	14.2	17.4
5	Corbin Burnes	0.2182	0.1483	0.0833	30.4	14.7	15.8
6	Ryan Weber	0.3273	0.2397	0.1765	26.4	11.0	15.4
7	Ryan Castellani	0.2708	0.3409	0.4000	25.9	11.9	14.1
8	Zach Davies	0.4005	0.3472	0.3333	16.3	2.8	13.5
9	Justus Sheffield	0.3780	0.3173	0.3000	16.2	3.2	13.1
10	Lance Lynn	0.3193	0.2806	0.2308	27.7	15.8	11.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kris Bubic	0.1952	0.3886	0.6000	92.8	47.8	45.0
2	Rony García	0.4444	0.0880	0.0000	41.4	8.1	33.3
3	Thomas Hatch	0.4000	0.1098	0.0588	35.8	5.1	30.6
4	Cal Quantrill	0.4000	0.1748	0.0000	52.2	23.1	29.1
5	Kwang Hyun Kim	0.3000	0.1052	0.0000	44.2	15.6	28.6
6	Jake Woodford	0.4444	0.1106	0.0000	36.7	9.1	27.6
7	Brandon Woodruff	0.2000	0.2831	0.3846	57.9	30.8	27.1
8	Adrian Houser	0.1429	0.2391	0.5000	91.1	65.1	26.0
9	Max Scherzer	0.2000	0.2746	0.3333	43.2	18.4	24.8
10	Aaron Slegers	0.3333	0.0962	0.0000	32.3	9.3	23.0

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Barnes	0.3750	0.0673 (30.3)	0.0392 (36.0)	0.0417 (33.1)	0.0779 (29.3)	0.0821 (28.9)
Daniel Hudson	0.4762	0.2136 (23.2)	0.0600 (39.9)	0.1667 (27.7)	0.2258 (22.1)	0.2476 (20.2)
Daniel Bard	0.2609	0.0000 (26.6)	0.0280 (26.5)	0.0000 (26.7)	0.0000 (26.6)	0.0280 (23.7)
Ryan Pressly	0.5217	0.0501 (42.0)	0.0426 (45.2)	0.0417 (42.9)	0.0668 (40.5)	0.0427 (42.8)
Rafael Montero	0.4706	0.0304 (31.0)	0.0455 (31.8)	0.0450 (30.0)	0.0274 (31.2)	0.0186 (31.9)
Zack Britton	0.4000	0.0476 (26.0)	0.1087 (23.4)	0.0280 (27.6)	0.0771 (23.8)	0.0204 (28.2)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.4783	0.0233 (40.5)	0.0909 (36.8)	0.0280 (40.2)	0.0000 (42.6)	0.0455 (38.5)
Jeremy Jeffress	0.3636	0.0137 (29.9)	0.0930 (25.3)	0.0280 (28.8)	0.0135 (29.9)	0.0138 (30.0)
Taylor Williams	0.4000	0.0000 (26.1)	0.0400 (25.3)	0.0280 (24.3)	0.0000 (26.1)	0.0000 (26.2)
Anthony Bass	0.2692	0.0385 (22.0)	0.0606 (22.6)	0.0280 (23.2)	0.0350 (22.4)	0.0421 (21.8)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Craig Kimbrel	0.5607	0.1111	31.7
2	Ian Kennedy	0.4338	0.0000	30.6
3	Hansel Robles	0.3626	0.0556	25.4
4	Cole Sulser	0.0000	0.2632	25.3
5	Seth Lugo	0.0347	0.1875	22.8
6	Joe Jiménez	0.4108	0.2000	22.3
7	Edwin Díaz	0.4199	0.2308	21.9
8	Stefan Crichton	0.0000	0.1923	19.8
9	Rafael Dolis	0.0000	0.2083	19.8
10	Brad Hand	0.4678	0.6957	18.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Kintzler	0.0833	0.5000	43.8
2	Liam Hendriks	0.1698	0.5833	39.6
3	Mark Melancon	0.1277	0.4783	34.9
4	Brandon Workman	0.1224	0.4286	32.6
5	Brad Hand	0.3617	0.6957	30.2
6	Shane Greene	0.2800	0.0000	28.7
7	Josh Hader	0.2979	0.6190	26.4
8	Blake Treinen	0.2826	0.0370	24.5
9	Alex Colomé	0.3265	0.5714	23.6
10	Taylor Rogers	0.1923	0.4286	23.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Hand	0.0280	0.6957	56.7
2	Brandon Kintzler	0.0280	0.5000	46.8
3	Mark Melancon	0.0280	0.4783	41.9
4	Brandon Workman	0.0280	0.4286	39.6
5	Cole Sulser	0.0000	0.2632	25.4
6	Archie Bradley	0.0280	0.3750	24.7
7	Craig Kimbrel	0.4286	0.1111	22.5
8	Seth Lugo	0.0450	0.1875	21.4
9	Greg Holland	0.0280	0.2143	19.9
10	Joe Jiménez	0.3750	0.2000	18.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Kennedy	0.4244	0.0000	30.0
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.5156	0.1111	28.6
3	Edwin Díaz	0.4596	0.2308	26.3
4	Hansel Robles	0.3621	0.0556	25.3
5	Cole Sulser	0.0000	0.2632	25.3
6	Joe Jiménez	0.4391	0.2000	25.2
7	Seth Lugo	0.0287	0.1875	23.8
8	Kwang Hyun Kim	0.2675	0.1250	23.5
9	Héctor Neris	0.4082	0.2083	21.6
10	Josh Hader	0.3416	0.6190	20.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Craig Kimbrel	0.7293	0.1111	43.3
2	Ian Kennedy	0.4433	0.0000	31.2
3	Cole Sulser	0.0000	0.2632	25.4
4	Hansel Robles	0.3632	0.0556	25.3
5	Seth Lugo	0.0314	0.1875	23.5
6	Joe Jiménez	0.4214	0.2000	23.3
7	Edwin Díaz	0.4248	0.2308	22.4
8	Stefan Crichton	0.0000	0.1923	20.0
9	Rafael Dolis	0.0000	0.2083	19.9
10	Tony Watson	0.3560	0.0952	19.7

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Kintzler	0.0833	0.3694	0.5000	43.8	12.2	31.6
2	Brandon Workman	0.1224	0.4536	0.4286	32.6	3.6	29.1
3	Liam Hendriks	0.1698	0.4464	0.5833	39.6	11.7	28.0
4	Shane Greene	0.2800	0.0319	0.0000	28.7	4.6	24.1
5	Mark Melancon	0.1277	0.3517	0.4783	34.9	11.0	23.9
6	Blake Treinen	0.2826	0.0494	0.0370	24.5	2.4	22.0
7	Taylor Rogers	0.1923	0.4618	0.4286	23.0	4.0	19.1
8	Nick Anderson	0.0244	0.3191	0.3158	17.9	0.8	17.1
9	Daniel Hudson	0.0600	0.2136	0.4762	39.9	23.2	16.6
10	Alex Colomé	0.3265	0.4424	0.5714	23.6	10.7	12.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brad Hand	0.0280	0.4678	0.6957	56.7	18.7	37.9
2	Brandon Workman	0.0280	0.4536	0.4286	39.6	3.6	36.0
3	Brandon Kintzler	0.0280	0.3694	0.5000	46.8	12.2	34.6
4	Mark Melancon	0.0280	0.3517	0.4783	41.9	11.0	30.9
5	Archie Bradley	0.0280	0.4867	0.3750	24.7	8.9	15.8
6	Wade Davis	0.0280	0.4049	0.4000	9.1	0.4	8.7
7	Greg Holland	0.0280	0.0899	0.2143	19.9	12.8	7.1
8	Adam Wainwright	0.0280	0.0000	0.0000	9.6	2.7	6.9
9	Rick Porcello	0.0280	0.0000	0.0000	9.6	2.7	6.9
10	Alec Mills	0.0280	0.0000	0.0000	9.3	2.6	6.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kwang Hyun Kim	0.2675	0.1958	0.1250	23.5	12.5	11.0
2	Josh Hader	0.3416	0.4205	0.6190	20.9	14.7	6.2
3	Edwin Díaz	0.4596	0.4199	0.2308	26.3	21.9	4.3
4	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.0636	0.1264	0.3077	14.8	10.8	4.0
5	Héctor Neris	0.4082	0.3746	0.2083	21.6	18.2	3.4
6	Tyler Matzek	0.0280	0.0000	0.0000	4.6	1.2	3.4
7	Scott Barlow	0.0106	0.0370	0.0625	5.2	1.9	3.3
8	Mark Melancon	0.3196	0.3517	0.4783	14.1	11.0	3.1
9	Josh Staumont	0.0431	0.0176	0.0000	5.9	3.1	2.8
10	Joe Jiménez	0.4391	0.4108	0.2000	25.2	22.3	2.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Craig Kimbrel	0.7293	0.5607	0.1111	43.3	31.7	11.6
2	Hunter Harvey	0.4973	0.1948	0.0000	18.7	7.6	11.2
3	Shaun Anderson	0.1198	0.0200	0.0000	8.6	2.0	6.6
4	Kris Bubic	0.0280	0.0000	0.0000	8.2	2.3	6.0
5	Kwang Hyun Kim	0.0000	0.1958	0.1250	17.8	12.5	5.4
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.6418	0.5422	0.2308	18.9	14.5	4.4
7	Carlos Martinez	0.1330	0.0896	0.0000	14.8	10.4	4.4
8	Ryan Helsley	0.1926	0.1091	0.0833	6.2	1.9	4.3
9	Tyler Rogers	0.0523	0.0850	0.1034	5.2	1.0	4.2
10	Kenley Jansen	0.5828	0.5410	0.4074	18.8	14.7	4.1

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kendall Graveman	0.4545	0.0000 (35.2)	0.0833 (31.0)	0.0000 (34.0)	0.0000 (34.9)	0.0000 (30.3)
Ryan Weber	0.2941	0.0000 (54.8)	0.0833 (44.9)	0.0619 (40.5)	0.0000 (54.1)	0.0000 (43.1)
Devin Williams	0.4091	0.0948 (31.6)	0.1111 (33.0)	0.1111 (28.5)	0.0623 (34.5)	0.0000 (34.8)
Jake Diekman	0.6190	0.2506 (31.1)	0.2778 (31.3)	0.2500 (29.9)	0.2463 (31.2)	0.0000 (46.9)
Tyler Duffey	0.5455	0.2504 (27.3)	0.2000 (34.7)	0.1802 (32.4)	0.3013 (22.3)	0.0000 (44.6)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Huascar Ynoa	0.4534	0.0000	45.1
2	Daniel Ponce de Leon	0.3129	0.0000	44.4
3	Shun Yamaguchi	0.3696	0.0588	37.0
4	Seth Lugo	0.2054	0.0000	32.5
5	Adam Plutko	0.2707	0.0000	31.2
6	Rafael Dolis	0.0000	0.2917	29.4
7	Tyler Mahle	0.1331	0.0000	26.3
8	Framber Valdez	0.0929	0.0000	26.1
9	Kwang Hyun Kim	0.1673	0.0000	25.4
10	Tony Watson	0.1320	0.4762	25.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.2381	0.0000	33.0
2	Blake Treinen	0.0652	0.3333	32.1
3	Julio Urías	0.1667	0.0000	30.2
4	Ryan Brasier	0.1667	0.4000	29.2
5	Anthony Misiewicz	0.0619	0.3810	29.1
6	Jimmy Cordero	0.1034	0.3000	28.3
7	Tyler Rogers	0.1579	0.3448	26.9
8	Josh Staumont	0.1053	0.3077	26.2
9	Rafael Dolis	0.0619	0.2917	26.2
10	Justin Wilson	0.1667	0.4348	25.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Framber Valdez	0.1282	0.0000	40.7
2	Nick Wittgren	0.0619	0.4000	31.8
3	Seth Lugo	0.1802	0.0000	30.9
4	Sergio Romo	0.0619	0.4167	29.7
5	Tony Watson	0.0619	0.4762	29.3
6	Trevor May	0.0619	0.3750	28.8
7	Phillips Valdez	0.0000	0.2083	26.7
8	Touki Toussaint	0.2083	0.0000	26.6
9	Tommy Hunter	0.0619	0.3333	26.3
10	Anthony Misiewicz	0.0619	0.3810	25.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.2111	0.0000	34.0
2	Daniel Ponce de Leon	0.2091	0.0000	30.1
3	Huascar Ynoa	0.2813	0.0000	28.3
4	Steve Cishek	0.2734	0.0000	25.6
5	Luke Jackson	0.2411	0.0526	25.1
6	Tyler Mahle	0.1225	0.0000	24.9
7	Anthony Misiewicz	0.0796	0.3810	24.9
8	Tony Watson	0.1354	0.4762	24.8
9	Josh James	0.0198	0.3077	23.8
10	Rafael Dolis	0.0619	0.2917	22.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Brasier	0.4000	37.3
2	Tyler Rogers	0.3448	34.9
3	Nick Wittgren	0.4000	33.2
4	Justin Wilson	0.4348	32.1
5	Sergio Romo	0.4167	30.9
6	Tony Watson	0.4762	30.3
7	Trevor May	0.3750	30.1
8	Jimmy Cordero	0.3000	29.6
9	Tanner Rainey	0.4500	29.2
10	Blake Treinen	0.3333	29.1

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Urías	0.1667	0.0077	0.0000	30.2	1.2	28.9
2	Jesús Luzardo	0.1250	0.0115	0.0000	23.1	2.3	20.8
3	Kenta Maeda	0.1163	0.0102	0.0000	20.9	2.0	18.9
4	Blake Treinen	0.0652	0.2051	0.3333	32.1	13.9	18.2
5	Chris Stratton	0.0588	0.1673	0.1852	20.7	2.6	18.1
6	José Cisnero	0.1111	0.2278	0.2414	19.9	1.9	18.0
7	Justin Dunn	0.1250	0.0000	0.0000	18.4	0.4	18.0
8	Aaron Civale	0.0909	0.0000	0.0000	18.4	0.7	17.7
9	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1212	0.0000	0.0000	17.8	0.4	17.4
10	Dinelson Lamet	0.0938	0.0000	0.0000	16.5	0.6	15.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0619	0.0000	0.0000	19.7	0.6	19.1
2	Rick Porcello	0.0619	0.0000	0.0000	19.6	0.5	19.0
3	Craig Stammen	0.0619	0.2522	0.2500	18.4	0.0	18.4
4	John Gant	0.0619	0.3515	0.4118	20.5	3.8	16.7
5	Phillips Valdez	0.0000	0.1358	0.2083	26.7	10.2	16.5
6	David Phelps	0.0619	0.2811	0.2727	16.8	0.5	16.3
7	Kris Bubic	0.0619	0.0000	0.0000	16.7	0.5	16.2
8	Tanner Roark	0.0619	0.0000	0.0000	16.5	0.5	16.1
9	Nick Wittgren	0.0619	0.2372	0.4000	31.8	16.2	15.7
10	Tyler Clippard	0.0619	0.2317	0.3077	22.8	7.7	15.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dustin May	0.0220	0.0982	0.0833	13.4	2.9	10.6
2	Heath Hembree	0.3048	0.2242	0.1364	15.3	7.7	7.6
3	Génesis Cabrera	0.0237	0.1009	0.1579	12.7	5.7	7.1
4	Félix Peña	0.0991	0.1655	0.1600	6.8	0.4	6.4
5	John Gant	0.2511	0.3515	0.4118	9.7	3.8	5.9
6	Bryan Garcia	0.2298	0.1714	0.1154	10.8	5.0	5.8
7	Chasen Shreve	0.0000	0.0598	0.0588	5.9	0.1	5.7
8	Logan Webb	0.0408	0.0220	0.0000	10.4	4.9	5.5
9	Oliver Pérez	0.2906	0.2211	0.1429	10.7	5.5	5.3
10	Wandy Peralta	0.2018	0.1642	0.0400	18.6	13.9	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kris Bubic	0.0619	0.0000	0.0000	27.3	0.5	26.8
2	José Cisnero	0.0000	0.2278	0.2414	22.2	1.9	20.3
3	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	21.0	0.7	20.3
4	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	21.0	0.7	20.3
5	Craig Stammen	0.0000	0.2522	0.2500	19.8	0.0	19.8
6	Scott Barlow	0.0000	0.2133	0.2188	19.7	0.9	18.8
7	Kyle Hendricks	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	19.2	0.7	18.5
8	Aaron Civale	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	19.0	0.7	18.4
9	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	18.5	0.6	17.9
10	Antonio Senzatela	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	18.5	0.6	17.8

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Antonio Senzatela	3.4364	5.5698 (711.1)	5.3444 (690.4)	5.6375 (723.7)	5.5709 (709.1)	5.5000 (702.7)
Julio Teheran	10.0532	5.0981 (706.5)	4.0388 (840.9)	5.3138 (678.3)	5.2652 (682.8)	4.7213 (756.4)
Cody Carroll	54.0000	5.0971 (1022.5)	5.0186 (1020.8)	4.6746 (1031.9)	4.9521 (1025.7)	5.2500 (1018.4)
Matt Hall	18.6923	4.7865 (739.4)	5.4617 (694.4)	4.6746 (746.8)	4.4469 (758.1)	5.1429 (717.9)
Kyle Hart	15.5455	5.1087 (685.0)	4.6746 (703.5)	4.6746 (715.8)	4.8665 (701.7)	5.3617 (665.2)
Roel Ramírez	81.0000	4.9209 (606.9)	4.6746 (607.6)	4.6746 (609.1)	4.9941 (606.4)	4.8462 (607.2)
Dallas Keuchel	1.9895	4.3440 (660.0)	3.7832 (556.2)	4.3947 (666.3)	4.4384 (682.2)	4.2000 (633.8)
Steven Matz	9.6848	4.4290 (716.0)	4.3163 (709.7)	4.5572 (701.5)	4.5719 (696.8)	4.1538 (749.1)
Shane Bieber	1.6293	3.6492 (663.3)	3.8140 (758.9)	3.6354 (651.4)	3.6871 (672.2)	3.6250 (668.6)
José Suarez	38.5714	4.6364 (775.6)	5.6598 (748.4)	4.3000 (783.9)	4.7136 (774.0)	4.9091 (768.4)
Corbin Burnes	2.1117	4.4137 (603.7)	5.3684 (870.5)	4.5000 (618.1)	4.6252 (652.6)	4.1143 (541.9)
Trevor Bauer	1.7260	4.0067 (693.3)	3.8747 (700.3)	4.1114 (715.2)	4.1768 (738.5)	3.7286 (627.7)
Jordan Yamamoto	18.2647	4.7012 (894.5)	4.3988 (904.2)	4.6746 (898.0)	4.8062 (887.9)	4.5957 (898.7)
Yu Darvish	2.0132	3.9171 (628.8)	4.1126 (733.6)	4.0421 (658.2)	4.0766 (673.9)	3.6316 (556.5)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	4.8793	2.7260	653.2
2	Chris Bassitt	4.3860	2.2857	603.9
3	Matthew Boyd	4.3531	6.7127	581.7
4	Carlos Martinez	4.1107	9.9000	579.9
5	Zach Plesac	4.8639	2.2771	576.8
6	Dinelson Lamet	3.9787	2.0870	562.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dinelson Lamet	4.2636	2.0870	680.1
2	Carlos Martinez	3.6812	9.9000	608.2
3	Jordan Lyles	4.4634	7.0231	582.3
4	Aníbal Sánchez	3.9416	6.6226	566.1
5	Robinson Leyer	4.6746	21.2143	549.8
6	Michael Fulmer	4.3725	8.7831	549.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	5.2347	2.7260	744.1
2	Chris Bassitt	4.4549	2.2857	615.0
3	Zach Plesac	4.9773	2.2771	594.8
4	Matthew Boyd	4.3349	6.7127	593.6
5	Kyle Hendricks	4.5132	2.8770	574.4
6	Robinson Leyer	4.6746	21.2143	556.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	5.2445	2.7260	751.9
2	Zach Plesac	5.0358	2.2771	610.7
3	Kyle Hendricks	4.5484	2.8770	591.3
4	Matthew Boyd	4.3649	6.7127	580.5
5	Chris Bassitt	4.3041	2.2857	580.5
6	Kenta Maeda	4.7237	2.7000	552.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Martinez	3.4615	9.9000	643.0
2	Dinelson Lamet	4.1707	2.0870	624.6
3	Chris Bassitt	4.4000	2.2857	618.5
4	Robbie Ray	3.9836	6.6194	597.5
5	Michael Fulmer	4.2857	8.7831	576.9
6	Matthew Boyd	4.3594	6.7127	568.5

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	4.6392	3.8333	3.5660	415.8	138.4	277.4
2	Tyler Anderson	5.0865	4.2043	4.3743	281.5	11.3	270.3
3	Corbin Burnes	5.3684	4.4137	2.1117	870.5	603.7	266.9
4	Aníbal Sánchez	3.9416	5.1038	6.6226	566.1	319.9	246.2
5	Aaron Civale	3.5604	4.7093	4.7432	253.4	56.0	197.5
6	Dylan Cease	5.0101	4.4330	4.0114	349.2	161.9	187.3
7	Lucas Giolito	4.3772	3.8894	3.4839	364.0	178.2	185.8
8	Chase Anderson	3.9659	5.2189	7.2178	443.7	275.0	168.8
9	Kevin Gausman	4.6552	4.1366	3.6201	344.4	178.8	165.6
10	Geoff Hartlieb	5.6512	4.2667	3.6269	241.9	86.2	155.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Garrett Richards	4.6746	3.9517	4.0325	176.7	28.2	148.4
2	Kyle Gibson	4.1568	4.5153	5.3465	301.7	186.0	115.7
3	Wade LeBlanc	4.6746	5.7006	8.0597	329.4	221.0	108.4
4	Aaron Loup	4.6746	3.5986	2.5200	224.8	124.0	100.8
5	Zack Britton	4.6746	3.3651	1.8947	225.5	128.0	97.5
6	Will Harris	4.6746	3.4914	3.0566	151.6	54.4	97.2
7	Kyle Funkhouser	4.6746	5.8087	7.2692	195.0	101.0	94.0
8	Brad Hand	4.6746	3.5748	2.0455	242.2	149.9	92.3
9	Zach Davies	5.2347	4.8793	2.7260	744.1	653.2	90.9
10	Lucas Giolito	4.2298	3.8894	3.4839	268.8	178.2	90.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	4.2819	3.8894	3.4839	289.1	178.2	110.9
2	Zach Davies	5.2445	4.8793	2.7260	751.9	653.2	98.7
3	Kyle Hendricks	4.5484	4.2565	2.8770	591.3	501.7	89.5
4	Kyle Gibson	4.2305	4.5153	5.3465	274.0	186.0	88.0
5	Rafael Dolis	4.6746	4.0000	1.5000	338.0	271.3	66.7
6	Zac Gallen	4.2774	4.0729	2.7500	504.3	447.0	57.3
7	Nik Turley	3.8240	4.3844	4.9846	87.8	35.6	52.3
8	Huascar Ynoa	4.0743	4.5600	5.8154	153.5	104.2	49.3
9	Corbin Burnes	4.6252	4.4137	2.1117	652.6	603.7	48.9
10	Luis Castillo	4.0395	3.8718	3.2143	301.0	254.3	46.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	4.3953	3.8333	3.5660	312.4	138.4	174.0
2	Jonathan Hernández	5.8500	4.7631	2.9032	400.3	259.2	141.1
3	Trevor Williams	4.3333	4.9103	6.1807	401.2	266.4	134.8
4	Wes Benjamin	7.0714	5.8096	4.8358	244.1	116.3	127.8
5	Nathan Eovaldi	4.9355	4.4692	3.7241	291.9	190.7	101.2
6	Ryan Castellani	6.9000	6.4317	5.8154	253.3	156.8	96.5
7	Martín Pérez	5.0943	4.7823	4.5000	222.6	129.9	92.8
8	Jon Lester	4.3393	4.7286	5.1639	150.8	58.8	92.0
9	Sean Manaea	3.8571	4.2870	4.5000	86.0	0.1	85.9
10	Adrian Houser	4.0000	4.3816	5.3036	257.8	174.3	83.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwar Colina	18.0000	1.5779 (114.9)	1.3653 (116.1)	1.3653 (116.3)	1.5843 (114.8)	1.5714 (114.9)
Marco Gonzales	0.9474	1.3394 (110.6)	1.3046 (113.4)	1.3538 (117.9)	1.3310 (108.9)	1.3333 (110.3)
Cody Carroll	7.0000	1.5539 (114.2)	1.4126 (116.2)	1.3653 (117.9)	1.4864 (115.6)	1.6250 (112.6)
Kyle Hart	3.0909	1.4738 (107.8)	1.3653 (112.1)	1.3653 (114.3)	1.4182 (111.4)	1.5319 (103.6)
Robbie Ray	1.8968	1.3316 (140.0)	1.3103 (134.1)	1.3592 (130.1)	1.3404 (137.3)	1.2951 (148.0)
Kenta Maeda	0.7500	1.3175 (142.6)	1.1830 (120.3)	1.3293 (148.4)	1.3432 (149.5)	1.2800 (134.5)
José Suarez	6.4286	1.3834 (115.9)	1.4742 (112.7)	1.3222 (117.0)	1.3984 (115.5)	1.4318 (114.6)
Trevor Bauer	0.7945	1.2710 (134.5)	1.2371 (137.6)	1.2702 (137.6)	1.2856 (139.2)	1.2571 (132.0)
Michael Fulmer	2.0602	1.3288 (98.5)	1.2821 (98.7)	1.3501 (94.0)	1.3504 (95.2)	1.2857 (103.7)
Jordan Yamamoto	3.0000	1.3891 (107.4)	1.2414 (114.3)	1.3653 (108.2)	1.4164 (105.5)	1.3617 (108.9)
Dinelson Lamet	0.8551	1.2658 (111.7)	1.2873 (129.4)	1.2367 (107.0)	1.2458 (106.9)	1.3171 (126.6)
Zach Plesac	0.7952	1.3717 (120.3)	1.2759 (109.8)	1.3674 (121.8)	1.3915 (124.8)	1.3559 (118.0)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Matzek	2.2857	1.1379	139.8
2	Antonio Senzatela	1.5676	1.2136	109.5
3	Cristian Javier	1.4920	0.9939	108.2
4	Zach Davies	1.4423	1.0673	105.5
5	Adam Wainwright	1.4266	1.0508	100.4
6	Max Scherzer	1.0358	1.3812	99.7
7	Tony Gonsolin	1.3722	0.8357	95.7
8	Jairo Díaz	1.3522	2.2500	94.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Framber Valdez	1.4433	1.1179	108.8
2	Corbin Burnes	1.4211	1.0223	108.2
3	Adam Wainwright	1.4059	1.0508	106.8
4	Shane Bieber	1.1723	0.8664	106.4
5	Lance Lynn	1.3107	1.0595	104.4
6	Antonio Senzatela	1.4964	1.2136	101.5
7	Brandon Workman	1.1957	2.2373	99.9
8	Robinson Leyer	1.3653	4.2857	97.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	1.6004	1.2136	123.0
2	Zach Davies	1.4918	1.0673	122.5
3	Kyle Hendricks	1.3085	0.9959	104.5
4	Brad Keller	1.4728	1.0244	100.5
5	Robinson Leyer	1.3653	4.2857	98.6
6	Brandon Woodruff	1.3009	0.9910	96.5
7	Matt Hall	1.3653	3.1154	93.5
8	Jairo Díaz	1.3653	2.2500	91.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	1.4988	1.0673	121.7
2	Antonio Senzatela	1.5833	1.2136	114.9
3	Kyle Hendricks	1.3129	0.9959	102.8
4	Adam Wainwright	1.4276	1.0508	101.2
5	Brad Keller	1.4794	1.0244	99.9
6	Brandon Woodruff	1.3079	0.9910	95.6
7	Robinson Leyer	1.5072	4.2857	94.1
8	Luke Jackson	1.2633	1.9747	92.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Matzek	2.2857	1.1379	140.4
2	Cristian Javier	1.5946	0.9939	131.2
3	Max Scherzer	0.9844	1.3812	113.4
4	Tony Gonsolin	1.4571	0.8357	111.5
5	Adam Wainwright	1.4255	1.0508	101.4
6	Devin Williams	1.6087	0.6296	99.1
7	Jairo Díaz	1.3200	2.2500	97.3
8	Framber Valdez	1.4419	1.1179	96.8

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	1.4433	1.3742	1.1179	108.8	75.9	32.8
2	Lance Lynn	1.3107	1.2654	1.0595	104.4	73.4	31.0
3	Dylan Bundy	1.3405	1.2692	1.0355	95.4	64.4	31.0
4	Kevin Gausman	1.3629	1.2885	1.1061	75.7	46.5	29.2
5	Tyler Mahle	1.3863	1.2878	1.1538	57.2	28.4	28.8
6	Kwang Hyun Kim	1.3653	1.2354	1.0256	60.4	33.4	26.9
7	Shane Bieber	1.1723	1.1267	0.8664	106.4	79.5	26.9
8	Martín Pérez	1.5154	1.4592	1.3387	60.0	33.5	26.5
9	Corbin Burnes	1.4211	1.3631	1.0223	108.2	83.6	24.7
10	Lucas Giolito	1.2396	1.2050	1.0369	73.5	50.6	22.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Funkhouser	1.3653	1.6633	1.9038	42.1	18.9	23.2
2	Masahiro Tanaka	1.3653	1.2683	1.1667	42.9	21.5	21.4
3	Lucas Giolito	1.2642	1.2050	1.0369	71.0	50.6	20.4
4	Brad Hand	1.3653	1.1461	0.7727	52.6	32.7	19.9
5	Carlos Hernández	1.3653	1.7260	1.7045	21.4	1.9	19.5
6	Garrett Richards	1.3653	1.2930	1.2468	29.3	11.4	17.9
7	Kyle Freeland	1.5209	1.4745	1.4151	38.0	20.3	17.7
8	Kyle Hendricks	1.3085	1.2650	0.9959	104.5	87.1	17.4
9	Zach Davies	1.4918	1.4423	1.0673	122.5	105.5	16.9
10	Grant Dayton	1.3653	1.2412	1.2073	20.7	4.8	15.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	1.2791	1.2050	1.0369	72.5	50.6	21.9
2	Zach Davies	1.4988	1.4423	1.0673	121.7	105.5	16.2
3	Kyle Hendricks	1.3129	1.2650	0.9959	102.8	87.1	15.7
4	Zack Greinke	1.2326	1.1874	1.1343	29.4	16.5	12.9
5	Sonny Gray	1.3461	1.2936	1.2143	33.2	20.4	12.8
6	Clayton Kershaw	1.1865	1.1316	0.8400	78.7	66.1	12.6
7	Luis Castillo	1.2891	1.2488	1.2286	20.4	8.1	12.4
8	Garrett Richards	1.3485	1.2930	1.2468	23.7	11.4	12.3
9	Dallas Keuchel	1.4272	1.3852	1.0895	89.2	77.9	11.3
10	Kyle Gibson	1.3610	1.3987	1.5297	47.9	37.2	10.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan Hernández	1.6750	1.4890	1.0323	81.9	58.0	23.8
2	Ryan Castellani	1.8667	1.7475	1.4538	80.3	56.9	23.4
3	Lance Lynn	1.3281	1.2654	1.0595	96.6	73.4	23.3
4	Cristian Javier	1.5946	1.4920	0.9939	131.2	108.2	23.0
5	Trevor Williams	1.3148	1.4042	1.5723	61.8	40.5	21.3
6	Josh Staumont	1.7419	1.5576	1.4026	39.4	18.2	21.2
7	Germán Márquez	1.1791	1.2449	1.2612	24.0	3.1	21.0
8	Framber Valdez	1.4419	1.3742	1.1179	96.8	75.9	20.9
9	Carlos Hernández	1.3653	1.7260	1.7045	21.9	1.9	20.0
10	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.3889	1.3075	1.1636	53.9	34.3	19.6