2026 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2026, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System PA HR SB R RBI AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF SO W SV ERA WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 26 557 530.6
2 Tristan Peters 30 491 461.4
3 Leody Taveras 86 482 395.9
4 Ildemaro Vargas 92 486 394.2
5 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
6 Henry Bolte 100 473 373.0
7 TJ Rumfield 267 631 364.3
8 Jorbit Vivas 26 364 338.0
9 Ezequiel Duran 267 597 330.4
10 Ty France 181 500 318.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 101 557 455.8
2 Tristan Peters 115 491 376.4
3 Ildemaro Vargas 130 486 356.2
4 Henry Bolte 137 473 336.2
5 Ezequiel Duran 269 597 327.5
6 Leody Taveras 155 482 327.1
7 Ty France 199 500 300.6
8 Kody Clemens 283 583 299.9
9 TJ Rumfield 334 631 296.5
10 A.J. Ewing 199 492 293.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 42 557 515.0
2 Tristan Peters 28 491 463.0
3 Leody Taveras 77 482 405.0
4 Ildemaro Vargas 91 486 395.0
5 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
6 Ty France 112 500 388.0
7 Henry Bolte 100 473 373.0
8 Hao-Yu Lee 7 364 357.0
9 Vaughn Grissom 119 474 355.0
10 Ezequiel Duran 245 597 352.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 100 707 607.0
2 Carson Benge 100 654 554.0
3 Kazuma Okamoto 100 636 536.0
4 TJ Rumfield 100 631 531.0
5 JJ Wetherholt 100 619 519.0
6 Sal Stewart 237 700 463.0
7 Chase DeLauter 100 559 459.0
8 Sam Antonacci 100 557 457.0
9 Munetaka Murakami 100 553 453.0
10 Travis Bazzana 100 517 417.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 42 557 515.0
2 A.J. Ewing 1 492 491.0
3 Henry Bolte 1 473 472.0
4 Tristan Peters 28 491 463.0
5 Leody Taveras 77 482 405.0
6 Ildemaro Vargas 91 486 395.0
7 Ty France 112 500 388.0
8 Cole Carrigg 1 372 371.0
9 Hao-Yu Lee 7 364 357.0
10 Vaughn Grissom 119 474 355.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 17 557 540.0
2 Henry Bolte 14 473 459.0
3 Ty France 63 500 437.0
4 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
5 Leody Taveras 90 482 392.0
6 Tristan Peters 100 491 391.0
7 Ildemaro Vargas 119 486 367.0
8 Ezequiel Duran 236 597 361.0
9 Cole Carrigg 14 372 358.0
10 TJ Rumfield 285 631 346.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 54 557 502.5
2 A.J. Ewing 1 492 491.0
3 Henry Bolte 2 473 470.9
4 Tristan Peters 48 491 443.1
5 Ildemaro Vargas 88 486 398.1
6 Ezequiel Duran 222 597 375.5
7 Kody Clemens 209 583 373.9
8 Cole Carrigg 1 372 371.0
9 Leody Taveras 119 482 363.4
10 Carson Benge 308 654 346.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 26 557 530.6
2 Tristan Peters 30 491 461.4
3 Leody Taveras 86 482 395.9
4 Ildemaro Vargas 92 486 394.2
5 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
6 Henry Bolte 100 473 373.0
7 TJ Rumfield 267 631 364.3
8 Hao-Yu Lee 20 364 344.2
9 Jorbit Vivas 26 364 338.0
10 Ezequiel Duran 267 597 330.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 26 557 530.6
2 Tristan Peters 30 491 461.4
3 Leody Taveras 86 482 395.9
4 Ildemaro Vargas 92 486 394.2
5 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
6 Henry Bolte 100 473 373.0
7 TJ Rumfield 267 631 364.3
8 Hao-Yu Lee 20 364 344.2
9 Jorbit Vivas 26 364 338.0
10 Ezequiel Duran 267 597 330.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 100 636 536.0
2 Chase DeLauter 200 559 359.0
3 Garrett Mitchell 218 531 313.0
4 Kevin McGonigle 405 707 302.0
5 Jackson Holliday 644 354 290.0
6 Maikel Garcia 632 344 288.0
7 Denzer Guzman 571 304 267.0
8 Jake Bauers 314 578 264.0
9 Konnor Griffin 593 339 254.0
10 Iván Herrera 464 717 253.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 26 143 364 338.0 220.6 117.4
2 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
3 Tristan Peters 30 115 491 461.4 376.4 85.0
4 Denzer Guzman 39 118 304 265.0 186.3 78.7
5 Sam Antonacci 26 101 557 530.6 455.8 74.8
6 Leody Taveras 86 155 482 395.9 327.1 68.7
7 TJ Rumfield 267 334 631 364.3 296.5 67.8
8 Braden Montgomery 128 185 365 237.4 180.5 56.9
9 Nathan Church 170 222 470 300.3 247.6 52.7
10 Jared Young 37 89 342 305.1 252.7 52.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Joey Ortiz 630 518 415 215.0 103.4 111.6
2 Vaughn Grissom 119 225 474 355.0 248.8 106.2
3 Nathaniel Lowe 161 261 429 268.0 167.8 100.2
4 Hao-Yu Lee 7 107 364 357.0 257.3 99.7
5 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
6 Denzer Guzman 21 118 304 283.0 186.3 96.7
7 Jonah Heim 70 164 390 320.0 226.5 93.5
8 Drew Gilbert 70 163 393 323.0 230.2 92.8
9 Ty France 112 199 500 388.0 300.6 87.4
10 Tristan Peters 28 115 491 463.0 376.4 86.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 100 552 553 453.0 1.5 451.5
2 JJ Wetherholt 100 507 619 519.0 112.2 406.8
3 Kazuma Okamoto 100 502 636 536.0 134.0 402.0
4 Kevin McGonigle 100 465 707 607.0 241.6 365.4
5 Justin Crawford 100 453 465 365.0 11.9 353.1
6 Chase DeLauter 100 433 559 459.0 126.4 332.6
7 Carson Benge 100 388 654 554.0 266.1 287.9
8 Jakob Marsee 325 572 616 291.0 43.7 247.3
9 Sal Stewart 237 483 700 463.0 216.9 246.1
10 TJ Rumfield 100 334 631 531.0 296.5 234.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 1 199 492 491.0 293.3 197.7
2 Henry Bolte 1 137 473 472.0 336.2 135.8
3 Cole Carrigg 1 134 372 371.0 238.5 132.5
4 Joey Ortiz 630 518 415 215.0 103.4 111.6
5 Vaughn Grissom 119 225 474 355.0 248.8 106.2
6 Nathaniel Lowe 161 261 429 268.0 167.8 100.2
7 Hao-Yu Lee 7 107 364 357.0 257.3 99.7
8 Denzer Guzman 21 118 304 283.0 186.3 96.7
9 Jonah Heim 70 164 390 320.0 226.5 93.5
10 Drew Gilbert 70 163 393 323.0 230.2 92.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ty France 63 199 500 437.0 300.6 136.4
2 Henry Bolte 14 137 473 459.0 336.2 122.8
3 Cole Carrigg 14 134 372 358.0 238.5 119.5
4 Angel Martínez 182 300 416 234.0 116.0 118.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 248 362 380 132.0 17.7 114.3
6 Jorbit Vivas 39 143 364 325.0 220.6 104.4
7 Bryce Eldridge 221 324 448 227.0 124.5 102.5
8 Curtis Mead 32 132 329 297.0 197.5 99.5
9 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
10 Andruw Monasterio 45 141 347 302.0 206.3 95.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 1 199 492 491.0 293.3 197.7
2 Henry Bolte 2 137 473 470.9 336.2 134.7
3 Cole Carrigg 1 134 372 371.0 238.5 132.5
4 Kyle Stowers 389 487 512 123.0 25.4 97.6
5 Troy Johnston 151 247 449 297.7 202.4 95.4
6 Chandler Simpson 353 448 612 258.7 163.7 95.1
7 Vaughn Grissom 130 225 474 343.7 248.8 94.9
8 Bo Bichette 503 595 696 193.0 101.2 91.8
9 Drew Gilbert 71 163 393 321.8 230.2 91.6
10 Carter Jensen 308 399 603 295.3 204.1 91.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 26 143 364 338.0 220.6 117.4
2 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
3 Hao-Yu Lee 20 107 364 344.2 257.3 86.9
4 Tristan Peters 30 115 491 461.4 376.4 85.0
5 Denzer Guzman 39 118 304 265.0 186.3 78.7
6 Sam Antonacci 26 101 557 530.6 455.8 74.8
7 Leody Taveras 86 155 482 395.9 327.1 68.7
8 TJ Rumfield 267 334 631 364.3 296.5 67.8
9 Braden Montgomery 128 185 365 237.4 180.5 56.9
10 Nathan Church 170 222 470 300.3 247.6 52.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 26 143 364 338.0 220.6 117.4
2 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
3 Hao-Yu Lee 20 107 364 344.2 257.3 86.9
4 Tristan Peters 30 115 491 461.4 376.4 85.0
5 Denzer Guzman 39 118 304 265.0 186.3 78.7
6 Sam Antonacci 26 101 557 530.6 455.8 74.8
7 Leody Taveras 86 155 482 395.9 327.1 68.7
8 TJ Rumfield 267 334 631 364.3 296.5 67.8
9 Braden Montgomery 128 185 365 237.4 180.5 56.9
10 Nathan Church 170 222 470 300.3 247.6 52.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 100 502 636 536.0 134.0 402.0
2 Chase DeLauter 200 433 559 359.0 126.4 232.6
3 Moisés Ballesteros 581 370 352 229.0 17.6 211.4
4 Spencer Steer 592 432 384 208.0 47.9 160.1
5 Konnor Griffin 593 436 339 254.0 97.4 156.6
6 Dylan Beavers 547 391 363 184.0 28.1 155.9
7 Luke Keaschall 372 508 620 248.0 112.4 135.6
8 Jackson Holliday 644 510 354 290.0 155.9 134.1
9 Paul Goldschmidt 524 362 380 144.0 17.7 126.3
10 Owen Caissie 523 416 330 193.0 86.1 106.9

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.0794
0.1143
(22.5)
0.1122
(21.2)
0.1106
(19.6)
0.1117
(20.3)
0.1178
(24.7)
0.1026
(15.8)
0.1086
(17.8)
0.1133
(22.2)
0.1158
(23.6)
0.1127
(21.4)
Jo Adell 0.0510
0.0823
(21.6)
0.0841
(22.9)
0.0870
(24.0)
0.0798
(19.3)
0.0844
(23.1)
0.0832
(22.9)
0.0864
(23.2)
0.0824
(22.0)
0.0836
(22.7)
0.0862
(24.1)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0193
0.0586
(24.8)
0.0619
(26.9)
0.0635
(27.2)
0.0508
(19.5)
0.0647
(28.6)
0.0640
(28.7)
0.0686
(29.8)
0.0548
(22.8)
0.0635
(28.0)
0.0591
(25.0)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1014
0.0541
(33.3)
0.0558
(32.0)
0.0583
(30.9)
0.0546
(33.6)
0.0557
(32.0)
0.0546
(32.2)
0.0585
(31.4)
0.0555
(31.9)
0.0526
(34.1)
0.0592
(29.6)
CJ Abrams 0.0773
0.0402
(23.3)
0.0409
(22.8)
0.0436
(21.8)
0.0431
(22.0)
0.0398
(23.5)
0.0417
(21.7)
0.0445
(21.7)
0.0417
(22.0)
0.0368
(25.3)
0.0414
(22.6)
Luis García Jr. 0.0713
0.0377
(17.5)
0.0384
(17.0)
0.0390
(17.3)
0.0369
(18.4)
0.0412
(15.5)
0.0382
(16.7)
0.0410
(16.6)
0.0368
(17.7)
0.0368
(17.7)
0.0374
(17.7)
Nolan Arenado 0.0719
0.0365
(20.4)
0.0358
(20.7)
0.0381
(20.0)
0.0411
(18.2)
0.0302
(24.1)
0.0380
(18.9)
0.0406
(19.0)
0.0350
(21.0)
0.0362
(20.3)
0.0339
(22.0)
Ben Rice 0.0990
0.0730
(16.4)
0.0722
(16.9)
0.0740
(16.4)
0.0631
(23.6)
0.0730
(16.3)
0.0713
(16.9)
0.0753
(16.1)
0.0679
(19.5)
0.0704
(17.9)
0.0749
(15.3)
Josh Naylor 0.0192
0.0469
(18.9)
0.0475
(19.4)
0.0485
(19.4)
0.0495
(20.1)
0.0430
(16.5)
0.0491
(21.0)
0.0525
(21.4)
0.0507
(21.7)
0.0437
(17.1)
0.0469
(18.8)
Taylor Ward 0.0189
0.0668
(30.0)
0.0652
(29.0)
0.0638
(27.6)
0.0653
(28.5)
0.0646
(28.7)
0.0595
(26.1)
0.0634
(26.8)
0.0680
(31.0)
0.0684
(31.1)
0.0656
(29.2)
Hunter Goodman 0.1178
0.0738
(24.4)
0.0739
(24.3)
0.0738
(25.0)
0.0690
(27.7)
0.0725
(25.1)
0.0727
(24.5)
0.0757
(24.4)
0.0771
(22.2)
0.0747
(23.7)
0.0707
(26.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Busch 0.0775 0.0455 23.8
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0742 0.0317 23.1
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.0949 0.1351 21.5
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0675 0.0385 19.0
5 Mike Trout 0.0870 0.0627 16.3
6 Miguel Vargas 0.0462 0.0702 15.9
7 Curtis Mead 0.0275 0.0766 15.7
8 Griffin Conine 0.0513 0.1005 15.4
9 Cal Raleigh 0.1064 0.0790 15.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.0692 0.0317 20.5
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.0998 0.1351 18.7
3 Michael Busch 0.0700 0.0455 18.5
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0661 0.0385 18.2
5 Miguel Vargas 0.0447 0.0702 16.9
6 Mike Trout 0.0875 0.0627 16.7
7 Carter Jensen 0.0476 0.0742 15.1
8 Curtis Mead 0.0302 0.0766 14.7
9 Ty France 0.0307 0.0616 14.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0915 0.1351 23.9
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0711 0.0317 20.9
3 Michael Busch 0.0729 0.0455 19.8
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0691 0.0385 19.4
5 Miguel Vargas 0.0435 0.0702 18.5
6 Curtis Mead 0.0208 0.0766 18.2
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0585 0.0851 16.6
8 Mike Trout 0.0858 0.0627 14.9
9 Jordan Walker 0.0435 0.0661 14.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0488 0.1351 47.4
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0488 0.0851 22.7
3 Miguel Vargas 0.0397 0.0702 21.1
4 Justin Crawford 0.0488 0.0085 19.0
5 Griffin Conine 0.0422 0.1005 18.7
6 Nasim Nuñez 0.0400 0.0029 18.5
7 Michael Busch 0.0710 0.0455 18.5
8 Jordan Walker 0.0396 0.0661 17.3
9 Yordan Alvarez 0.0675 0.0929 17.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 0.0404 0.0702 19.9
2 Colson Montgomery 0.0581 0.0904 19.6
3 Michael Busch 0.0697 0.0455 18.3
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0644 0.0385 17.2
5 Mike Trout 0.0881 0.0627 17.1
6 Munetaka Murakami 0.1034 0.1351 16.7
7 Austin Riley 0.0758 0.0514 16.4
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0629 0.0397 15.6
9 Daulton Varsho 0.0596 0.0317 15.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0787 0.1351 29.9
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0542 0.0851 18.1
3 Miguel Vargas 0.0427 0.0702 17.7
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0641 0.0385 17.6
5 Michael Busch 0.0664 0.0455 16.6
6 Daulton Varsho 0.0608 0.0317 16.5
7 Curtis Mead 0.0265 0.0766 15.7
8 José Ramírez 0.0549 0.0291 15.3
9 Ty France 0.0286 0.0616 15.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0941 0.1351 22.9
2 Michael Busch 0.0717 0.0455 18.3
3 Daulton Varsho 0.0666 0.0317 18.1
4 Miguel Vargas 0.0449 0.0702 18.1
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0677 0.0385 18.0
6 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0580 0.0851 17.5
7 Ty France 0.0315 0.0616 15.2
8 Curtis Mead 0.0308 0.0766 15.2
9 José Ramírez 0.0573 0.0291 15.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.0744 0.0317 23.5
2 Mike Trout 0.0960 0.0627 22.3
3 Cal Raleigh 0.1172 0.0790 21.3
4 Jordan Walker 0.0364 0.0661 18.5
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0657 0.0385 18.2
6 Miguel Vargas 0.0424 0.0702 18.2
7 Ty France 0.0245 0.0616 17.6
8 José Ramírez 0.0579 0.0291 16.7
9 Griffin Conine 0.0472 0.1005 16.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.0744 0.0317 23.4
2 Mike Trout 0.0894 0.0627 18.1
3 Griffin Conine 0.0452 0.1005 17.3
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0636 0.0385 16.8
5 Matt Olson 0.0633 0.0891 16.7
6 Brandon Lowe 0.0601 0.0871 16.5
7 Salvador Perez 0.0687 0.0447 16.2
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0635 0.0397 16.1
9 Carter Jensen 0.0457 0.0742 16.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0916 0.1351 23.3
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0747 0.0317 23.3
3 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0488 0.0851 22.2
4 Kyle Tucker 0.0695 0.0385 20.3
5 Michael Busch 0.0722 0.0455 19.9
6 Miguel Vargas 0.0416 0.0702 19.3
7 Brandon Lowe 0.0597 0.0871 17.1
8 Cal Raleigh 0.1084 0.0790 16.3
9 Jordan Walker 0.0411 0.0661 15.8

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Busch 0.0775 0.0700 0.0455 23.8 18.5 5.2
2 Henry Bolte 0.0488 0.0392 0.0385 5.6 1.1 4.5
3 Sam Antonacci 0.0113 0.0166 0.0199 4.0 1.0 3.0
4 Nick Kurtz 0.1096 0.1028 0.0995 5.0 2.1 2.9
5 Tristan Peters 0.0193 0.0250 0.0340 6.5 3.7 2.9
6 Munetaka Murakami 0.0949 0.0998 0.1351 21.5 18.7 2.8
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0600 0.0640 0.0851 15.1 12.4 2.6
8 Daulton Varsho 0.0742 0.0692 0.0317 23.1 20.5 2.5
9 Yordan Alvarez 0.0758 0.0792 0.0929 10.9 8.4 2.5
10 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0425 0.0476 0.0586 6.3 4.1 2.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0000 0.0322 0.0405 14.6 2.4 12.1
2 Wade Meckler 0.0488 0.0147 0.0126 12.4 1.3 11.1
3 Denzer Guzman 0.0000 0.0387 0.0385 11.6 0.5 11.0
4 Sam Antonacci 0.0000 0.0166 0.0199 10.8 1.0 9.9
5 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0480 0.0363 12.3 4.5 7.7
6 Munetaka Murakami 0.0915 0.0998 0.1351 23.9 18.7 5.2
7 Tristan Peters 0.0500 0.0250 0.0340 8.1 3.7 4.4
8 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0585 0.0640 0.0851 16.6 12.4 4.2
9 Henry Bolte 0.0488 0.0392 0.0385 5.1 1.1 4.0
10 Curtis Mead 0.0208 0.0302 0.0766 18.2 14.7 3.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0488 0.0998 0.1351 47.4 18.7 28.7
2 Sam Antonacci 0.0488 0.0166 0.0199 16.4 1.0 15.5
3 Justin Crawford 0.0488 0.0191 0.0085 19.0 5.6 13.4
4 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0488 0.0640 0.0851 22.7 12.4 10.3
5 Nasim Nuñez 0.0400 0.0185 0.0029 18.5 8.4 10.1
6 Bryce Eldridge 0.0405 0.0621 0.0630 9.8 0.3 9.5
7 Jorbit Vivas 0.0429 0.0159 0.0113 11.7 2.2 9.5
8 TJ Rumfield 0.0488 0.0330 0.0346 9.3 0.0 9.3
9 Yordan Alvarez 0.0675 0.0792 0.0929 17.3 8.4 8.9
10 Wade Meckler 0.0373 0.0147 0.0126 8.5 1.3 7.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colson Montgomery 0.0581 0.0687 0.0904 19.6 12.8 6.8
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.0811 0.0941 0.0970 7.2 0.7 6.5
3 Alex Bregman 0.0371 0.0453 0.0547 11.2 5.5 5.7
4 Austin Riley 0.0758 0.0691 0.0514 16.4 12.2 4.2
5 Kevin McGonigle 0.0446 0.0389 0.0354 7.6 3.6 4.0
6 Junior Caminero 0.0732 0.0785 0.0857 7.7 4.0 3.6
7 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0261 0.0200 0.0206 4.1 0.5 3.6
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1178 0.1122 0.0794 24.7 21.2 3.5
9 Brandon Marsh 0.0508 0.0443 0.0462 3.5 0.2 3.4
10 Nolan Arenado 0.0302 0.0358 0.0719 24.1 20.7 3.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0787 0.0998 0.1351 29.9 18.7 11.2
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0542 0.0640 0.0851 18.1 12.4 5.7
3 Tristan Peters 0.0488 0.0250 0.0340 8.5 3.7 4.8
4 Kyle Stowers 0.0611 0.0694 0.0727 4.7 0.9 3.8
5 Steven Kwan 0.0216 0.0171 0.0062 11.4 7.9 3.4
6 Nolan Schanuel 0.0364 0.0298 0.0206 8.1 4.8 3.3
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.1071 0.1116 0.1223 9.0 6.4 2.6
8 Jake Bauers 0.0616 0.0668 0.0802 9.4 6.9 2.5
9 Willy Adames 0.0559 0.0617 0.0642 3.0 0.5 2.5
10 Pete Alonso 0.0785 0.0828 0.0982 12.1 9.7 2.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0580 0.0640 0.0851 17.5 12.4 5.0
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.0941 0.0998 0.1351 22.9 18.7 4.2
3 Nolan Schanuel 0.0389 0.0298 0.0206 8.0 4.8 3.2
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0686 0.0619 0.0193 29.8 26.9 2.9
5 Royce Lewis 0.0613 0.0540 0.0444 8.4 5.7 2.8
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0715 0.0658 0.0497 15.1 12.4 2.6
7 Travis Bazzana 0.0329 0.0361 0.0432 5.5 2.9 2.6
8 Isaac Paredes 0.0628 0.0570 0.0520 6.9 4.3 2.5
9 Steven Kwan 0.0230 0.0171 0.0062 10.5 7.9 2.5
10 Jarren Duran 0.0386 0.0406 0.0505 7.5 5.1 2.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Raleigh 0.1172 0.1041 0.0790 21.3 14.1 7.2
2 Mike Trout 0.0960 0.0875 0.0627 22.3 16.7 5.6
3 Jac Caglianone 0.0454 0.0559 0.0623 8.3 2.7 5.6
4 Henry Bolte 0.0488 0.0392 0.0385 5.8 1.1 4.7
5 Nick Kurtz 0.1132 0.1028 0.0995 6.8 2.1 4.7
6 Jordan Walker 0.0364 0.0438 0.0661 18.5 13.8 4.6
7 Isaac Paredes 0.0635 0.0570 0.0520 8.9 4.3 4.6
8 Drake Baldwin 0.0431 0.0496 0.0597 9.0 5.2 3.8
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0812 0.0750 0.0597 12.5 8.9 3.5
10 Riley Greene 0.0756 0.0704 0.0585 11.3 7.9 3.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yandy Díaz 0.0503 0.0420 0.0421 6.8 1.0 5.8
2 Cedric Mullins 0.0560 0.0452 0.0423 7.8 2.2 5.6
3 Luis Arraez 0.0002 0.0088 0.0102 5.4 0.1 5.3
4 Drake Baldwin 0.0412 0.0496 0.0597 10.2 5.2 5.0
5 Matt Olson 0.0633 0.0705 0.0891 16.7 11.9 4.8
6 Henry Bolte 0.0488 0.0392 0.0385 5.7 1.1 4.7
7 George Springer 0.0673 0.0592 0.0403 14.9 10.6 4.3
8 Chase Meidroth 0.0117 0.0185 0.0368 15.0 10.8 4.2
9 James Wood 0.0615 0.0684 0.0888 15.9 11.7 4.2
10 Salvador Perez 0.0687 0.0630 0.0447 16.2 12.4 3.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0488 0.0640 0.0851 22.2 12.4 9.8
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.0916 0.0998 0.1351 23.3 18.7 4.6
3 A.J. Ewing 0.0097 0.0188 0.0345 11.5 7.0 4.6
4 Brandon Lowe 0.0597 0.0651 0.0871 17.1 13.4 3.7
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.1036 0.0941 0.0970 4.0 0.7 3.3
6 Willson Contreras 0.0569 0.0624 0.0852 14.4 11.3 3.1
7 Jared Young 0.0573 0.0480 0.0363 7.6 4.5 3.1
8 Pete Alonso 0.0787 0.0828 0.0982 12.7 9.7 3.1
9 Sam Antonacci 0.0113 0.0166 0.0199 4.0 1.0 3.1
10 Jake Burger 0.0755 0.0704 0.0712 3.5 0.4 3.0

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jordan Walker 0.1410
0.0843
(44.1)
0.0776
(48.8)
0.0744
(48.4)
0.0816
(48.4)
0.0801
(49.7)
0.0829
(44.4)
0.0816
(44.7)
0.0732
(50.8)
0.0733
(50.8)
0.0672
(54.7)
Jackson Merrill 0.1888
0.0574
(93.5)
0.0562
(94.5)
0.0493
(96.6)
0.0690
(88.3)
0.0517
(100.0)
0.0525
(96.1)
0.0507
(96.7)
0.0649
(87.8)
0.0670
(86.4)
0.0488
(98.4)
Corbin Carroll 0.1419
0.2184
(45.1)
0.2211
(46.6)
0.2194
(48.0)
0.2286
(49.3)
0.2185
(42.3)
0.2140
(42.7)
0.2174
(45.5)
0.2279
(52.2)
0.2315
(54.5)
0.2201
(47.0)
Miguel Vargas 0.1158
0.0532
(50.6)
0.0552
(49.5)
0.0537
(47.9)
0.0522
(54.0)
0.0650
(45.3)
0.0530
(50.2)
0.0504
(51.4)
0.0581
(46.5)
0.0549
(48.8)
0.0519
(50.8)
Francisco Lindor 0.0278
0.1453
(50.7)
0.1455
(50.6)
0.1429
(51.2)
0.1634
(57.4)
0.1544
(53.0)
0.1459
(51.4)
0.1440
(50.9)
0.1476
(52.3)
0.1442
(50.7)
0.1369
(47.3)
Otto Lopez 0.1809
0.1131
(53.0)
0.1130
(53.3)
0.1032
(57.4)
0.1221
(49.4)
0.1195
(51.5)
0.1106
(54.1)
0.1087
(54.8)
0.1224
(45.9)
0.1208
(47.0)
0.0963
(63.7)
Josh Naylor 0.1734
0.1175
(42.4)
0.1100
(47.5)
0.1161
(41.1)
0.1135
(47.5)
0.1207
(43.1)
0.1134
(44.5)
0.1075
(47.8)
0.1014
(52.2)
0.0878
(61.1)
0.1216
(39.0)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.3203
0.2390
(48.2)
0.2280
(54.3)
0.2199
(56.6)
0.2266
(56.9)
0.2318
(54.3)
0.2207
(57.5)
0.2135
(60.9)
0.2393
(47.5)
0.2371
(48.8)
0.2154
(60.2)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.1969 65.2
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2266 0.1314 52.9
3 Nasim Nuñez 0.2767 0.3740 52.6
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1438 0.0621 50.8
5 Jake McCarthy 0.1585 0.2302 48.3
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2645 0.1796 48.0
7 Brice Turang 0.1815 0.1022 47.6
8 Zach McKinstry 0.1427 0.0306 43.5
9 José Ramírez 0.2054 0.2741 42.4
10 Heriberto Hernández 0.0400 0.1140 42.1

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2240 0.1314 51.1
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2874 0.3740 47.5
3 Travis Bazzana 0.0645 0.1429 45.5
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1430 0.1979 45.5
5 Jake McCarthy 0.1652 0.2302 44.6
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2591 0.1796 44.3
7 Brice Turang 0.1766 0.1022 44.0
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.1340 0.0621 43.7
9 José Ramírez 0.2044 0.2741 43.2
10 Zach McKinstry 0.1423 0.0306 43.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.1969 63.6
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2318 0.1314 58.1
3 José Ramírez 0.1905 0.2741 48.7
4 Nasim Nuñez 0.2843 0.3740 47.2
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1444 0.0640 46.0
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1329 0.0621 45.5
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1404 0.1979 44.7
8 Travis Bazzana 0.0635 0.1429 44.1
9 Brice Turang 0.1716 0.1022 43.2
10 Jake McCarthy 0.1648 0.2302 42.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nasim Nuñez 0.2000 0.3740 92.3
2 Konnor Griffin 0.0737 0.2706 71.2
3 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.1969 67.1
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1707 0.0640 57.9
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.2763 0.1796 53.1
6 Brice Turang 0.1911 0.1022 51.5
7 Matt McLain 0.1167 0.1980 46.9
8 Zach McKinstry 0.1504 0.0306 45.1
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1503 0.1979 42.8
10 Travis Bazzana 0.0737 0.1429 42.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2749 0.1314 80.0
2 Chandler Simpson 0.3836 0.2570 69.2
3 Troy Johnston 0.1821 0.0336 60.6
4 Cole Carrigg 0.2810 0.1250 53.0
5 Travis Bazzana 0.0623 0.1429 48.7
6 Heriberto Hernández 0.0338 0.1140 47.3
7 Jake McCarthy 0.1665 0.2302 46.1
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1485 0.1979 44.4
9 David Hamilton 0.4372 0.3093 44.3
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.1366 0.0621 42.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.1969 64.8
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2323 0.1314 56.9
3 Jake McCarthy 0.1456 0.2302 55.5
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1414 0.0621 49.7
5 Nasim Nuñez 0.2849 0.3740 48.1
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2610 0.1796 46.3
7 Matt McLain 0.1166 0.1980 44.6
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1444 0.1979 43.6
9 Travis Bazzana 0.0675 0.1429 43.4
10 José Ramírez 0.2071 0.2741 41.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2358 0.1314 59.6
2 Jake McCarthy 0.1448 0.2302 55.5
3 Nasim Nuñez 0.2807 0.3740 49.8
4 Matt McLain 0.1102 0.1980 47.3
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1367 0.0621 47.0
6 José Ramírez 0.1983 0.2741 45.4
7 Travis Bazzana 0.0634 0.1429 45.0
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1425 0.1979 44.4
9 Carson Benge 0.0658 0.1215 41.4
10 Troy Johnston 0.1325 0.0336 41.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.1969 64.7
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2550 0.3740 62.8
3 Brice Turang 0.1877 0.1022 52.5
4 Zach McKinstry 0.1524 0.0306 48.0
5 Travis Bazzana 0.0599 0.1429 47.2
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1395 0.1979 47.0
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2612 0.1796 46.6
8 Konnor Griffin 0.1524 0.2706 42.9
9 Heriberto Hernández 0.0389 0.1140 42.1
10 José Ramírez 0.2067 0.2741 41.2

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.1969 64.7
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2650 0.3740 57.9
3 Brice Turang 0.1904 0.1022 54.3
4 Zach McKinstry 0.1568 0.0306 49.8
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.2663 0.1796 49.8
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1363 0.1979 49.3
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.1455 0.0640 45.2
8 Travis Bazzana 0.0655 0.1429 44.3
9 Heriberto Hernández 0.0392 0.1140 42.0
10 Henry Bolte 0.0737 0.1500 40.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1783 0.2741 56.6
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.1576 0.0640 52.8
3 Jakob Marsee 0.2242 0.1314 52.1
4 Travis Bazzana 0.0556 0.1429 49.4
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1379 0.1979 48.0
6 Brice Turang 0.1772 0.1022 45.5
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2564 0.1796 43.6
8 Nasim Nuñez 0.2966 0.3740 42.2
9 Zach McKinstry 0.1376 0.0306 41.8
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.1280 0.0621 40.5

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.2096 0.1969 65.2 1.5 63.7
2 Henry Bolte 0.0737 0.1842 0.1500 40.5 11.6 28.9
3 Sam Antonacci 0.1638 0.1389 0.1190 19.7 5.6 14.1
4 Tristan Peters 0.0302 0.0586 0.0684 23.3 9.6 13.7
5 Myles Straw 0.1848 0.1551 0.0921 27.5 17.6 9.9
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.1779 0.1634 0.1438 16.2 6.5 9.7
7 Kyle Tucker 0.1349 0.1214 0.0736 32.6 23.9 8.7
8 Austin Martin 0.1507 0.1298 0.1176 8.5 0.9 7.6
9 Sal Frelick 0.1319 0.1135 0.0787 16.8 9.6 7.2
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.1438 0.1340 0.0621 50.8 43.7 7.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.2096 0.1969 63.6 1.5 62.0
2 Henry Bolte 0.0737 0.1842 0.1500 38.9 11.6 27.4
3 Tristan Peters 0.0000 0.0586 0.0684 36.5 9.6 26.9
4 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0513 0.0357 14.3 2.0 12.2
5 Sam Antonacci 0.1538 0.1389 0.1190 16.0 5.6 10.4
6 Zack Gelof 0.1333 0.1556 0.1616 14.9 6.8 8.1
7 Jakob Marsee 0.2318 0.2240 0.1314 58.1 51.1 7.1
8 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0231 0.0171 0.0072 6.3 0.1 6.2
9 Chase Meidroth 0.0833 0.0783 0.0227 35.1 29.5 5.7
10 Cedric Mullins 0.1792 0.1942 0.1875 7.1 1.5 5.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.2096 0.1969 67.1 1.5 65.6
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2000 0.2874 0.3740 92.3 47.5 44.8
3 Konnor Griffin 0.0737 0.1838 0.2706 71.2 32.7 38.5
4 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0737 0.0171 0.0072 33.9 0.1 33.8
5 Henry Bolte 0.0737 0.1842 0.1500 42.3 11.6 30.7
6 TJ Rumfield 0.0737 0.0249 0.0000 38.2 9.6 28.6
7 Sam Antonacci 0.0737 0.1389 0.1190 32.6 5.6 27.0
8 Bryce Eldridge 0.0741 0.0182 0.0081 23.6 0.2 23.5
9 Justin Crawford 0.0737 0.2037 0.1478 40.6 21.4 19.2
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.1707 0.1393 0.0640 57.9 40.6 17.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.3836 0.3268 0.2570 69.2 36.8 32.4
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2749 0.2240 0.1314 80.0 51.1 29.0
3 Troy Johnston 0.1821 0.1266 0.0336 60.6 37.4 23.2
4 Cole Carrigg 0.2810 0.2207 0.1250 53.0 32.0 21.0
5 Henry Bolte 0.2166 0.1842 0.1500 25.1 11.6 13.5
6 David Hamilton 0.4372 0.3992 0.3093 44.3 31.0 13.2
7 Justin Crawford 0.2337 0.2037 0.1478 33.6 21.4 12.2
8 Caleb Durbin 0.1819 0.1577 0.1307 22.0 10.1 11.9
9 Andy Pages 0.0620 0.0757 0.0890 23.3 13.2 10.1
10 Jac Caglianone 0.0158 0.0273 0.0534 28.3 19.8 8.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.2096 0.1969 64.8 1.5 63.3
2 Jake McCarthy 0.1456 0.1652 0.2302 55.5 44.6 10.9
3 Zach Neto 0.2014 0.1903 0.1420 35.8 27.1 8.7
4 Cedric Mullins 0.1802 0.1942 0.1875 7.9 1.5 6.4
5 Steven Kwan 0.1055 0.0967 0.0467 32.0 25.7 6.4
6 Trea Turner 0.1780 0.1705 0.1321 26.2 20.1 6.1
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1414 0.1340 0.0621 49.7 43.7 6.0
8 Jakob Marsee 0.2323 0.2240 0.1314 56.9 51.1 5.8
9 Chase Meidroth 0.0859 0.0783 0.0227 35.2 29.5 5.7
10 Daulton Varsho 0.0687 0.0800 0.1091 25.7 20.4 5.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1646 0.2096 0.1969 19.6 1.5 18.1
2 Jake McCarthy 0.1448 0.1652 0.2302 55.5 44.6 10.9
3 Zach Neto 0.2004 0.1903 0.1420 35.7 27.1 8.6
4 Jakob Marsee 0.2358 0.2240 0.1314 59.6 51.1 8.6
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1203 0.1378 0.1707 27.2 20.0 7.3
6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.2135 0.2280 0.3203 60.9 54.3 6.6
7 Cedric Mullins 0.1798 0.1942 0.1875 7.7 1.5 6.2
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2750 0.2687 0.2204 34.1 28.0 6.0
9 Jarren Duran 0.1537 0.1650 0.1736 16.7 11.1 5.6
10 Daulton Varsho 0.0673 0.0800 0.1091 26.0 20.4 5.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.2096 0.1969 64.7 1.5 63.2
2 Henry Bolte 0.0737 0.1842 0.1500 40.0 11.6 28.4
3 Nasim Nuñez 0.2550 0.2874 0.3740 62.8 47.5 15.3
4 JJ Wetherholt 0.0592 0.0816 0.0787 17.2 4.2 13.0
5 Ernie Clement 0.0857 0.0694 0.0522 15.6 4.6 11.0
6 Lane Thomas 0.1961 0.1691 0.1011 32.4 21.8 10.7
7 Konnor Griffin 0.1524 0.1838 0.2706 42.9 32.7 10.2
8 Seiya Suzuki 0.0682 0.0558 0.0171 27.1 18.4 8.7
9 Brice Turang 0.1877 0.1766 0.1022 52.5 44.0 8.5
10 Javier Sanoja 0.1266 0.1125 0.0957 11.1 3.5 7.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0737 0.2096 0.1969 64.7 1.5 63.2
2 Henry Bolte 0.0737 0.1842 0.1500 40.1 11.6 28.5
3 Josh Naylor 0.0878 0.1100 0.1734 61.1 47.5 13.6
4 Ernie Clement 0.0879 0.0694 0.0522 16.9 4.6 12.3
5 Munetaka Murakami 0.0864 0.0682 0.0071 39.2 28.4 10.8
6 Lane Thomas 0.1955 0.1691 0.1011 32.2 21.8 10.4
7 Nasim Nuñez 0.2650 0.2874 0.3740 57.9 47.5 10.4
8 Brice Turang 0.1904 0.1766 0.1022 54.3 44.0 10.2
9 Kevin McGonigle 0.0917 0.0788 0.0558 19.4 9.4 10.0
10 JJ Wetherholt 0.0654 0.0816 0.0787 13.4 4.2 9.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0737 0.0171 0.0072 37.0 0.1 36.9
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2635 0.2096 0.1969 28.8 1.5 27.2
3 Jake Bauers 0.1370 0.1114 0.0629 38.1 22.4 15.7
4 Garrett Mitchell 0.1731 0.1453 0.0986 35.2 19.7 15.5
5 José Ramírez 0.1783 0.2044 0.2741 56.6 43.2 13.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1576 0.1393 0.0640 52.8 40.6 12.2
7 Henry Bolte 0.2077 0.1842 0.1500 23.4 11.6 11.8
8 Oswald Peraza 0.1889 0.1595 0.1446 13.4 1.9 11.4
9 Otto Lopez 0.0963 0.1130 0.1809 63.7 53.3 10.4
10 James Wood 0.0843 0.1023 0.1160 24.9 14.6 10.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Zack Gelof 0.1747
0.1206
(23.6)
0.1188
(24.3)
0.1214
(24.0)
0.1165
(25.8)
0.1095
(28.2)
0.1143
(25.6)
0.1128
(26.8)
0.1231
(21.9)
0.1225
(22.2)
0.1287
(21.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1440
0.1839
(24.5)
0.1843
(25.0)
0.1870
(25.5)
0.1791
(20.9)
0.1827
(24.1)
0.1802
(23.3)
0.1821
(23.8)
0.1845
(25.8)
0.1832
(25.0)
0.1934
(28.2)
Cal Raleigh 0.0925
0.1379
(24.0)
0.1373
(23.8)
0.1397
(24.1)
0.1370
(23.0)
0.1326
(21.5)
0.1409
(26.5)
0.1442
(27.7)
0.1403
(26.0)
0.1314
(21.3)
0.1337
(19.9)
Jake Bauers 0.1609
0.1164
(25.8)
0.1162
(25.8)
0.1190
(25.2)
0.1228
(22.7)
0.1176
(24.8)
0.1134
(26.5)
0.1142
(26.8)
0.1130
(27.0)
0.1145
(26.1)
0.1242
(23.4)
Randy Arozarena 0.1687
0.1318
(24.8)
0.1273
(27.6)
0.1252
(30.3)
0.1299
(26.8)
0.1238
(29.8)
0.1145
(35.3)
0.1218
(31.1)
0.1351
(21.6)
0.1349
(21.8)
0.1290
(29.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1035 0.1454 28.1
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.1432 0.1055 24.5
3 James Wood 0.1315 0.1701 24.2
4 Nico Hoerner 0.1224 0.0900 22.2
5 Dansby Swanson 0.1245 0.1687 21.6
6 Josh Naylor 0.1225 0.0892 21.5
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.1161 0.1459 21.0
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1361 0.1639 20.4
9 Jeremy Peña 0.1290 0.1698 19.8
10 Miguel Vargas 0.1228 0.1506 19.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1073 0.1454 25.4
2 Dansby Swanson 0.1194 0.1687 23.9
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.1410 0.1055 23.3
4 James Wood 0.1348 0.1701 22.0
5 Miguel Vargas 0.1207 0.1506 20.9
6 Andrés Giménez 0.1150 0.0748 20.5
7 Jeremy Peña 0.1276 0.1698 20.3
8 Nico Hoerner 0.1193 0.0900 20.3
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1359 0.1639 20.2
10 Josh Naylor 0.1196 0.0892 19.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1015 0.1454 30.5
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.1118 0.1459 25.1
3 Dansby Swanson 0.1195 0.1687 24.8
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.1414 0.1055 22.3
5 Jeremy Peña 0.1268 0.1698 21.6
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1767 0.1301 21.0
7 James Wood 0.1398 0.1701 20.1
8 Andrés Giménez 0.1160 0.0748 20.0
9 Nico Hoerner 0.1203 0.0900 19.6
10 Josh Naylor 0.1204 0.0892 19.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nico Hoerner 0.1341 0.0900 29.6
2 James Wood 0.1261 0.1701 28.2
3 Jordan Walker 0.1051 0.1454 27.7
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1291 0.1639 26.2
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.1130 0.1459 23.9
6 Jeremy Peña 0.1231 0.1698 23.1
7 Josh Naylor 0.1257 0.0892 22.9
8 Austin Riley 0.1362 0.1016 21.0
9 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1752 0.1301 20.6
10 Moisés Ballesteros 0.1328 0.0739 20.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.1527 0.1086 27.1
2 Dansby Swanson 0.1137 0.1687 26.5
3 Corbin Carroll 0.1730 0.1356 25.3
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1603 0.1254 24.8
5 James Wood 0.1314 0.1701 23.9
6 Miguel Vargas 0.1171 0.1506 23.3
7 Brice Turang 0.1169 0.1500 22.2
8 Isaac Collins 0.1329 0.0906 22.2
9 Jeremy Peña 0.1245 0.1698 21.7
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.1378 0.1055 21.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1147 0.1639 34.6
2 Dansby Swanson 0.1114 0.1687 27.1
3 Jordan Walker 0.1046 0.1454 26.2
4 Salvador Perez 0.1177 0.0797 24.8
5 Miguel Vargas 0.1139 0.1506 24.7
6 Sam Antonacci 0.1000 0.1454 24.4
7 Brice Turang 0.1173 0.1500 21.2
8 Andrés Giménez 0.1147 0.0748 21.1
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.1298 0.0992 21.0
10 Michael Busch 0.1369 0.1099 20.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dansby Swanson 0.1097 0.1687 28.5
2 Jordan Walker 0.1057 0.1454 26.2
3 Salvador Perez 0.1208 0.0797 26.0
4 Miguel Vargas 0.1156 0.1506 24.3
5 Josh Naylor 0.1249 0.0892 23.5
6 Sam Antonacci 0.1042 0.1454 22.7
7 Brandon Nimmo 0.1324 0.0992 22.0
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.1380 0.1055 21.5
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1346 0.1639 21.0
10 Andrés Giménez 0.1151 0.0748 20.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.1461 0.1055 27.4
2 Jordan Walker 0.1046 0.1454 26.4
3 Miguel Vargas 0.1138 0.1506 25.0
4 Josh Naylor 0.1246 0.0892 23.8
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.1046 0.1438 23.5
6 Nico Hoerner 0.1218 0.0900 22.8
7 Dansby Swanson 0.1216 0.1687 22.3
8 James Wood 0.1336 0.1701 22.0
9 Andrés Giménez 0.1168 0.0748 22.0
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.1311 0.0992 21.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.1449 0.1055 26.5
2 James Wood 0.1299 0.1701 24.3
3 JJ Wetherholt 0.1050 0.1438 23.3
4 Nico Hoerner 0.1212 0.0900 22.4
5 Andrés Giménez 0.1167 0.0748 21.9
6 Jackson Chourio 0.1288 0.1675 21.5
7 Salvador Perez 0.1127 0.0797 21.4
8 Chase Meidroth 0.1062 0.1400 20.9
9 Dansby Swanson 0.1255 0.1687 20.4
10 Miguel Vargas 0.1209 0.1506 20.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.0981 0.1454 34.0
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.1061 0.1459 30.4
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1925 0.1301 27.5
4 Jeremy Peña 0.1214 0.1698 25.2
5 Nico Hoerner 0.1291 0.0900 24.4
6 James Wood 0.1354 0.1701 24.0
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.1448 0.1055 23.3
8 Justin Crawford 0.1556 0.1032 22.6
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1452 0.1103 21.2
10 Dansby Swanson 0.1294 0.1687 20.9

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1390 0.1479 0.1517 9.0 2.5 6.4
2 Yandy Díaz 0.1188 0.1249 0.1356 11.7 7.2 4.5
3 Jorbit Vivas 0.1155 0.1039 0.0879 10.0 5.9 4.1
4 Nick Kurtz 0.1622 0.1526 0.1429 8.3 4.3 4.0
5 Travis Bazzana 0.1213 0.1136 0.1083 6.6 2.8 3.8
6 Cole Young 0.1069 0.1121 0.1191 7.9 4.4 3.6
7 Michael Harris II 0.1199 0.1253 0.1272 4.7 1.1 3.5
8 Jake McCarthy 0.1212 0.1267 0.1342 7.9 4.4 3.5
9 Tristan Peters 0.0973 0.1036 0.1283 15.3 12.1 3.2
10 Chandler Simpson 0.1236 0.1184 0.1078 9.5 6.5 3.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1429 0.1147 0.1099 11.3 1.8 9.5
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.1118 0.1186 0.1459 25.1 19.0 6.1
3 Jordan Walker 0.1015 0.1073 0.1454 30.5 25.4 5.1
4 Masyn Winn 0.1289 0.1180 0.1015 13.6 8.8 4.8
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1767 0.1647 0.1301 21.0 16.3 4.7
6 Justin Crawford 0.1353 0.1245 0.1032 14.1 9.9 4.1
7 Travis Bazzana 0.1230 0.1136 0.1083 6.7 2.8 3.8
8 Jonathan Aranda 0.1281 0.1205 0.1093 11.3 7.6 3.8
9 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1179 0.1216 0.1274 7.2 3.6 3.6
10 Yordan Alvarez 0.1446 0.1479 0.1517 6.2 2.5 3.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1295 0.1479 0.1517 16.2 2.5 13.7
2 Colson Montgomery 0.1364 0.1168 0.1113 15.2 3.6 11.6
3 Jac Caglianone 0.1009 0.1205 0.1302 16.9 5.3 11.6
4 Nasim Nuñez 0.1357 0.1101 0.1116 11.3 0.6 10.6
5 Josh Bell 0.1002 0.1155 0.1236 15.5 5.1 10.5
6 Nico Hoerner 0.1341 0.1193 0.0900 29.6 20.3 9.3
7 Michael Harris II 0.1119 0.1253 0.1272 10.3 1.1 9.2
8 Ernie Clement 0.1264 0.1115 0.0966 17.7 9.3 8.4
9 Brooks Lee 0.0931 0.1049 0.1141 14.0 5.7 8.3
10 Oneil Cruz 0.1178 0.1356 0.1551 16.2 8.1 8.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1360 0.1165 0.1123 13.9 2.5 11.4
2 Jarren Duran 0.1527 0.1357 0.1086 27.1 16.6 10.5
3 Corbin Carroll 0.1730 0.1598 0.1356 25.3 16.3 9.0
4 Sal Stewart 0.1108 0.1237 0.1243 9.2 0.3 8.9
5 Nasim Nuñez 0.0933 0.1101 0.1116 8.8 0.6 8.2
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1603 0.1493 0.1254 24.8 16.9 7.9
7 Trea Turner 0.1268 0.1376 0.1443 12.0 4.6 7.4
8 Zach Neto 0.1246 0.1350 0.1449 14.0 6.9 7.1
9 Daylen Lile 0.1376 0.1188 0.1237 9.4 3.1 6.3
10 Zach McKinstry 0.1323 0.1183 0.0993 14.1 8.1 6.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1147 0.1359 0.1639 34.6 20.2 14.4
2 Elly De La Cruz 0.1282 0.1429 0.1557 16.5 8.0 8.5
3 Sam Antonacci 0.1000 0.1157 0.1454 24.4 16.5 8.0
4 Randy Arozarena 0.1145 0.1273 0.1687 35.3 27.6 7.6
5 David Hamilton 0.1031 0.1200 0.1266 8.5 2.5 6.0
6 Munetaka Murakami 0.1184 0.1305 0.1483 15.7 9.8 5.9
7 Salvador Perez 0.1177 0.1098 0.0797 24.8 18.9 5.8
8 Carlos Cortes 0.1259 0.1123 0.0787 18.6 12.8 5.7
9 Riley Greene 0.1192 0.1300 0.1334 7.5 1.9 5.6
10 Christian Yelich 0.1127 0.1249 0.1380 11.9 6.5 5.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.1111 0.1238 0.1372 18.2 9.4 8.8
2 Isaac Paredes 0.1349 0.1240 0.1047 20.2 12.8 7.3
3 Salvador Perez 0.1208 0.1098 0.0797 26.0 18.9 7.1
4 Carson Benge 0.1087 0.1190 0.1315 14.6 8.1 6.6
5 Sam Antonacci 0.1042 0.1157 0.1454 22.7 16.5 6.3
6 Ketel Marte 0.1525 0.1428 0.1250 17.4 11.2 6.2
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.1543 0.1465 0.1355 13.4 7.8 5.6
8 Kyle Tucker 0.1606 0.1524 0.1435 11.0 5.6 5.3
9 Elly De La Cruz 0.1350 0.1429 0.1557 12.9 8.0 4.9
10 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1303 0.1206 0.1123 8.8 4.1 4.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1509 0.1353 0.1297 11.9 3.0 8.9
2 Cedric Mullins 0.1289 0.1178 0.1116 9.4 3.2 6.1
3 JJ Wetherholt 0.1046 0.1156 0.1438 23.5 17.4 6.1
4 Chandler Simpson 0.1268 0.1184 0.1078 12.4 6.5 5.9
5 José Caballero 0.1337 0.1224 0.1096 11.6 5.9 5.7
6 Jac Caglianone 0.1098 0.1205 0.1302 10.6 5.3 5.3
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.1236 0.1165 0.1122 7.6 2.7 5.0
8 José Ramírez 0.1454 0.1380 0.1305 8.8 4.2 4.6
9 Carson Benge 0.1110 0.1190 0.1315 12.6 8.1 4.5
10 Mauricio Dubón 0.0984 0.1062 0.1066 4.3 0.2 4.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Steven Kwan 0.1096 0.1232 0.1256 9.4 1.4 8.0
2 Cedric Mullins 0.1321 0.1178 0.1116 10.9 3.2 7.7
3 José Caballero 0.1373 0.1224 0.1096 13.1 5.9 7.3
4 Xander Bogaerts 0.1271 0.1165 0.1122 9.7 2.7 7.0
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.1050 0.1156 0.1438 23.3 17.4 5.9
6 Matt Olson 0.1212 0.1306 0.1418 13.6 7.7 5.9
7 Chandler Simpson 0.1268 0.1184 0.1078 12.3 6.5 5.8
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1451 0.1353 0.1297 8.8 3.0 5.8
9 Chase Meidroth 0.1062 0.1160 0.1400 20.9 15.3 5.6
10 Carson Benge 0.1106 0.1190 0.1315 12.9 8.1 4.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Travis Bazzana 0.1462 0.1136 0.1083 17.6 2.8 14.8
2 Justin Crawford 0.1556 0.1245 0.1032 22.6 9.9 12.7
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.1061 0.1186 0.1459 30.4 19.0 11.4
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1925 0.1647 0.1301 27.5 16.3 11.2
5 Konnor Griffin 0.1619 0.1258 0.1268 10.6 0.3 10.3
6 Josh Bell 0.1032 0.1155 0.1236 15.2 5.1 10.2
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.1374 0.1479 0.1517 12.5 2.5 9.9
8 Jordan Walker 0.0981 0.1073 0.1454 34.0 25.4 8.7
9 Pete Alonso 0.1235 0.1318 0.1429 16.2 7.6 8.6
10 Sal Stewart 0.1405 0.1237 0.1243 8.7 0.3 8.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0936
0.1439
(30.8)
0.1484
(33.4)
0.1532
(33.4)
0.1329
(23.4)
0.1535
(36.7)
0.1494
(35.8)
0.1555
(37.3)
0.1387
(29.0)
0.1479
(34.4)
0.1502
(29.6)
Brice Turang 0.1471
0.1060
(27.7)
0.1004
(31.7)
0.1075
(30.1)
0.1054
(28.9)
0.1011
(31.0)
0.0905
(36.5)
0.0997
(32.7)
0.0976
(32.0)
0.0934
(34.9)
0.1148
(27.5)
Alec Burleson 0.1731
0.1276
(30.3)
0.1268
(31.0)
0.1312
(31.3)
0.1231
(34.1)
0.1193
(35.8)
0.1269
(29.0)
0.1346
(26.3)
0.1222
(32.5)
0.1282
(28.6)
0.1290
(35.0)
CJ Abrams 0.1621
0.1045
(37.4)
0.1095
(34.3)
0.1159
(33.3)
0.1037
(38.7)
0.1114
(32.9)
0.1027
(36.9)
0.1151
(31.2)
0.1113
(31.6)
0.1057
(35.3)
0.1159
(35.5)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0854
0.1394
(34.3)
0.1418
(35.7)
0.1414
(32.3)
0.1360
(31.4)
0.1528
(42.8)
0.1330
(31.9)
0.1398
(33.9)
0.1378
(34.7)
0.1466
(40.1)
0.1433
(31.4)
Gunnar Henderson 0.0855
0.1250
(28.0)
0.1293
(30.8)
0.1295
(27.5)
0.1193
(23.1)
0.1435
(41.0)
0.1288
(32.5)
0.1259
(27.9)
0.1257
(30.0)
0.1214
(26.8)
0.1345
(28.7)
Daulton Varsho 0.0760
0.1363
(31.9)
0.1336
(30.3)
0.1395
(30.9)
0.1295
(27.7)
0.1286
(27.9)
0.1257
(27.7)
0.1259
(25.9)
0.1325
(31.0)
0.1315
(30.4)
0.1547
(37.1)
Taylor Ward 0.0610
0.1322
(43.4)
0.1300
(41.9)
0.1307
(39.4)
0.1303
(41.6)
0.1355
(45.5)
0.1225
(39.1)
0.1257
(38.8)
0.1283
(42.4)
0.1297
(43.1)
0.1361
(40.7)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1420 0.0877 35.5
2 Jordan Walker 0.1069 0.1529 30.5
3 Liam Hicks 0.0947 0.1480 29.4
4 Jake McCarthy 0.0904 0.1393 28.9
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.0917 0.1390 28.0
6 Vaughn Grissom 0.0935 0.1519 27.5
7 Mike Trout 0.1264 0.0852 26.4
8 Luis García Jr. 0.1230 0.1694 25.0
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.1163 0.1667 23.4
10 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1164 0.1685 23.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Liam Hicks 0.0910 0.1480 31.6
2 Josh Naylor 0.1357 0.0877 31.2
3 Jordan Walker 0.1090 0.1529 29.3
4 Mike Trout 0.1301 0.0852 28.5
5 Jake McCarthy 0.0916 0.1393 28.4
6 Vaughn Grissom 0.0959 0.1519 26.5
7 Luis García Jr. 0.1236 0.1694 24.9
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.1144 0.1667 24.4
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1701 0.1311 24.1
10 Ezequiel Duran 0.0989 0.1390 23.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1477 0.0877 35.9
2 Jordan Walker 0.1090 0.1529 32.5
3 Liam Hicks 0.0975 0.1480 30.6
4 Jake McCarthy 0.0971 0.1393 27.9
5 Vaughn Grissom 0.1008 0.1519 26.5
6 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1154 0.1685 26.1
7 Luis García Jr. 0.1265 0.1694 25.9
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.1178 0.1667 25.1
9 Mike Trout 0.1268 0.0852 23.4
10 Richie Palacios 0.0893 0.1429 23.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1611 0.0877 47.1
2 Jakob Marsee 0.1262 0.0666 36.2
3 Ezequiel Duran 0.0906 0.1390 29.4
4 Jordan Walker 0.1098 0.1529 29.3
5 Sal Stewart 0.1181 0.1586 28.9
6 Vaughn Grissom 0.0972 0.1519 26.3
7 Luis García Jr. 0.1219 0.1694 26.3
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.1118 0.1667 26.1
9 Jake McCarthy 0.0972 0.1393 25.6
10 Luke Keaschall 0.1246 0.0839 24.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Liam Hicks 0.0844 0.1480 35.0
2 Mike Trout 0.1351 0.0852 31.9
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1805 0.1311 30.8
4 Jordan Walker 0.1113 0.1529 27.5
5 Jake McCarthy 0.0930 0.1393 27.3
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.1092 0.1667 26.7
7 Daylen Lile 0.0955 0.1359 26.2
8 Luis García Jr. 0.1217 0.1694 25.7
9 Ildemaro Vargas 0.0858 0.1379 25.1
10 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1137 0.1685 24.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1357 0.0877 33.1
2 Liam Hicks 0.0855 0.1480 33.0
3 Jordan Walker 0.1058 0.1529 29.4
4 Andrew Benintendi 0.1081 0.1667 26.0
5 Vaughn Grissom 0.0953 0.1519 25.4
6 José Ramírez 0.1409 0.0974 25.3
7 Steven Kwan 0.0858 0.0502 24.5
8 Mike Trout 0.1192 0.0852 23.5
9 Jake Bauers 0.1056 0.1488 23.3
10 Luis García Jr. 0.1239 0.1694 23.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1409 0.0877 34.1
2 Jordan Walker 0.1110 0.1529 28.5
3 Liam Hicks 0.0983 0.1480 27.9
4 Jake McCarthy 0.0945 0.1393 27.1
5 Vaughn Grissom 0.0972 0.1519 26.3
6 Luis García Jr. 0.1225 0.1694 25.9
7 José Ramírez 0.1450 0.0974 25.5
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.1478 0.1086 25.2
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.1137 0.1667 25.1
10 Freddie Freeman 0.1429 0.1065 23.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1405 0.0852 36.6
2 Jordan Walker 0.1008 0.1529 33.1
3 Jake McCarthy 0.0835 0.1393 31.8
4 Liam Hicks 0.0883 0.1480 31.7
5 Josh Naylor 0.1311 0.0877 29.8
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1753 0.1311 28.8
7 Ezequiel Duran 0.0894 0.1390 28.2
8 Trea Turner 0.1205 0.0829 28.1
9 Steven Kwan 0.0908 0.0502 27.4
10 Vaughn Grissom 0.0924 0.1519 27.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1366 0.0852 34.0
2 Liam Hicks 0.0865 0.1480 32.8
3 Jake McCarthy 0.0839 0.1393 31.6
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1792 0.1311 31.2
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.0883 0.1390 28.9
6 Vaughn Grissom 0.0902 0.1519 28.2
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1081 0.1474 26.8
8 Trea Turner 0.1181 0.0829 26.3
9 Jacob Young 0.0527 0.1062 24.1
10 Salvador Perez 0.1603 0.1244 24.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1538 0.0877 37.7
2 Jordan Walker 0.1075 0.1529 35.7
3 Liam Hicks 0.0990 0.1480 31.6
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1890 0.1311 30.8
5 Jake McCarthy 0.0970 0.1393 30.0
6 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1102 0.1685 30.0
7 Vaughn Grissom 0.1021 0.1519 27.4
8 Jakob Marsee 0.1165 0.0666 25.8
9 Ezequiel Duran 0.1042 0.1390 25.6
10 Luis García Jr. 0.1305 0.1694 25.5

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1175 0.0929 0.0874 15.0 2.7 12.3
2 Drake Baldwin 0.1414 0.1294 0.1285 8.2 0.6 7.5
3 Henry Bolte 0.1175 0.1075 0.0803 17.7 12.9 4.9
4 Kyle Stowers 0.1433 0.1349 0.1270 8.5 4.1 4.4
5 Josh Naylor 0.1420 0.1357 0.0877 35.5 31.2 4.2
6 Ezequiel Duran 0.0917 0.0989 0.1390 28.0 23.9 4.1
7 Jorbit Vivas 0.0979 0.0873 0.0852 4.7 0.8 4.0
8 Chase Meidroth 0.0738 0.0801 0.0980 15.3 11.5 3.9
9 Garrett Mitchell 0.0945 0.1016 0.1224 14.6 11.0 3.6
10 Zack Gelof 0.1040 0.1116 0.1264 9.6 6.4 3.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Wade Meckler 0.1175 0.0818 0.0801 11.0 0.6 10.4
2 A.J. Ewing 0.1175 0.0929 0.0874 12.5 2.7 9.8
3 Jared Young 0.1429 0.1152 0.1140 8.2 0.4 7.8
4 Brandon Lowe 0.1245 0.1304 0.1463 17.4 10.4 7.0
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1461 0.1320 0.1299 6.4 1.2 5.2
6 Yandy Díaz 0.1167 0.1194 0.1239 8.2 3.0 5.2
7 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1108 0.0988 0.0868 13.1 8.2 4.9
8 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1321 0.1350 0.1447 11.0 6.1 4.9
9 Luke Keaschall 0.1199 0.1076 0.0839 19.4 14.8 4.6
10 Josh Naylor 0.1477 0.1357 0.0877 35.9 31.2 4.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jakob Marsee 0.1262 0.0939 0.0666 36.2 16.8 19.4
2 Jac Caglianone 0.0948 0.1284 0.1356 23.0 4.0 19.1
3 Drake Baldwin 0.1570 0.1294 0.1285 17.1 0.6 16.5
4 Sam Antonacci 0.1175 0.0879 0.0862 17.0 1.0 16.0
5 Josh Naylor 0.1611 0.1357 0.0877 47.1 31.2 15.9
6 Nasim Nuñez 0.1047 0.0746 0.0751 14.2 0.2 14.0
7 Max Muncy 0.1618 0.1347 0.1355 14.3 0.4 13.9
8 Ben Rice 0.1207 0.1400 0.1454 17.1 3.6 13.5
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1188 0.0988 0.0868 21.2 8.2 13.0
10 Nathan Lukes 0.1321 0.1043 0.0911 18.1 6.0 12.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.1435 0.1293 0.0855 41.0 30.8 10.3
2 Nolan Arenado 0.1058 0.1226 0.1436 22.4 12.5 9.9
3 Daylen Lile 0.0955 0.1085 0.1359 26.2 17.9 8.3
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1470 0.1300 0.1173 14.1 6.0 8.1
5 Austin Riley 0.1525 0.1407 0.1143 24.3 16.6 7.7
6 Colson Montgomery 0.1137 0.1256 0.1364 14.2 6.9 7.4
7 Zach Neto 0.1331 0.1231 0.1094 17.0 9.7 7.3
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1528 0.1418 0.0854 42.8 35.7 7.2
9 Alex Bregman 0.1119 0.1223 0.1325 14.2 7.1 7.1
10 Isaac Paredes 0.1153 0.1258 0.1426 17.8 11.1 6.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1175 0.0929 0.0874 16.3 2.7 13.6
2 Rafael Devers 0.1185 0.1353 0.1548 21.1 12.3 8.8
3 Jackson Chourio 0.1153 0.1315 0.1309 7.2 0.4 6.8
4 Jake Bauers 0.1056 0.1197 0.1488 23.3 16.8 6.5
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.1318 0.1256 0.1242 6.7 0.9 5.8
6 Munetaka Murakami 0.1236 0.1365 0.1392 7.0 1.5 5.5
7 Yandy Díaz 0.1090 0.1194 0.1239 8.2 3.0 5.2
8 Brandon Lowe 0.1197 0.1304 0.1463 15.6 10.4 5.1
9 Nasim Nuñez 0.0827 0.0746 0.0751 5.2 0.2 5.0
10 Brice Turang 0.0905 0.1004 0.1471 36.5 31.7 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yandy Díaz 0.1090 0.1194 0.1239 10.7 3.0 7.7
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1100 0.0988 0.0868 15.3 8.2 7.1
3 Jonathan Aranda 0.1157 0.1253 0.1377 15.2 8.3 6.9
4 Chandler Simpson 0.0852 0.0740 0.0621 13.7 7.3 6.4
5 Nick Kurtz 0.1444 0.1583 0.1590 6.6 0.3 6.4
6 Trent Grisham 0.1086 0.1209 0.1219 6.8 0.5 6.3
7 Jackson Chourio 0.1224 0.1315 0.1309 5.3 0.4 4.9
8 Ernie Clement 0.1112 0.1036 0.0773 20.6 16.3 4.3
9 Freddie Freeman 0.1429 0.1357 0.1065 23.4 19.2 4.3
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.1478 0.1408 0.1086 25.2 21.1 4.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1175 0.0929 0.0874 16.0 2.7 13.3
2 Ketel Marte 0.1521 0.1371 0.1218 20.4 9.6 10.8
3 Cal Raleigh 0.1779 0.1600 0.1302 26.6 15.8 10.7
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1671 0.1547 0.1384 21.8 11.5 10.3
5 José Caballero 0.0650 0.0859 0.1118 20.2 11.8 8.4
6 Mike Trout 0.1405 0.1301 0.0852 36.6 28.5 8.1
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1131 0.1264 0.1474 23.1 15.2 7.9
8 Salvador Perez 0.1577 0.1491 0.1244 22.4 15.5 6.9
9 Trea Turner 0.1205 0.1135 0.0829 28.1 21.5 6.6
10 Jacob Young 0.0584 0.0738 0.1062 21.3 15.2 6.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1175 0.0929 0.0874 16.0 2.7 13.2
2 Ketel Marte 0.1548 0.1371 0.1218 22.0 9.6 12.5
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1081 0.1264 0.1474 26.8 15.2 11.7
4 Jacob Young 0.0527 0.0738 0.1062 24.1 15.2 8.8
5 Salvador Perez 0.1603 0.1491 0.1244 24.0 15.5 8.5
6 Yandy Díaz 0.1374 0.1194 0.1239 10.8 3.0 7.8
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.1088 0.1256 0.1242 8.4 0.9 7.5
8 Kyle Schwarber 0.1626 0.1547 0.1384 18.6 11.5 7.1
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1792 0.1701 0.1311 31.2 24.1 7.0
10 Andrés Giménez 0.0836 0.0990 0.1161 15.3 8.7 6.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1175 0.1350 0.1447 22.4 6.1 16.3
2 Sam Antonacci 0.1240 0.0879 0.0862 16.6 1.0 15.6
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.1383 0.1144 0.1018 20.0 8.9 11.1
4 Brandon Lowe 0.1220 0.1304 0.1463 21.3 10.4 10.9
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.1217 0.0990 0.0824 19.3 10.3 9.0
6 Miguel Vargas 0.1083 0.1130 0.1321 22.5 13.5 9.0
7 Jakob Marsee 0.1165 0.0939 0.0666 25.8 16.8 8.9
8 Henry Bolte 0.1340 0.1075 0.0803 21.5 12.9 8.7
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1571 0.1329 0.1034 24.3 15.7 8.6
10 Shea Langeliers 0.1777 0.1515 0.1242 21.2 12.8 8.4

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.2191
0.2582
(26.3)
0.2609
(27.4)
0.2624
(26.5)
0.2623
(26.7)
0.2720
(33.5)
0.2557
(25.2)
0.2602
(25.1)
0.2581
(27.0)
0.2586
(27.3)
0.2638
(27.1)
Jarren Duran 0.2069
0.2599
(33.8)
0.2596
(33.0)
0.2588
(30.8)
0.2701
(38.0)
0.2648
(35.4)
0.2540
(30.7)
0.2582
(30.4)
0.2581
(33.5)
0.2618
(35.7)
0.2603
(31.5)
Cal Raleigh 0.1818
0.2294
(26.6)
0.2310
(26.9)
0.2313
(25.6)
0.2364
(28.5)
0.2425
(32.3)
0.2248
(24.6)
0.2304
(25.1)
0.2344
(29.9)
0.2244
(24.6)
0.2309
(25.1)
TJ Rumfield 0.2998
0.2497
(30.0)
0.2511
(29.7)
0.2587
(26.8)
0.2515
(31.0)
0.2524
(29.8)
0.2480
(30.5)
0.2531
(30.3)
0.2451
(32.1)
0.2452
(32.1)
0.2644
(23.4)
Jake Bauers 0.2662
0.2110
(30.4)
0.2135
(29.5)
0.2213
(26.7)
0.2215
(26.3)
0.2228
(25.0)
0.2113
(29.8)
0.2145
(30.7)
0.2038
(33.9)
0.2061
(32.6)
0.2251
(24.7)
Manny Machado 0.2173
0.2630
(32.7)
0.2629
(32.0)
0.2642
(30.8)
0.2685
(34.1)
0.2638
(31.6)
0.2623
(32.8)
0.2680
(33.4)
0.2604
(31.8)
0.2611
(32.2)
0.2616
(28.8)
Gunnar Henderson 0.2263
0.2697
(32.3)
0.2719
(33.1)
0.2741
(32.6)
0.2689
(29.3)
0.2812
(38.7)
0.2687
(32.1)
0.2746
(33.0)
0.2689
(32.5)
0.2674
(31.5)
0.2727
(31.4)
Matt McLain 0.1854
0.2349
(25.9)
0.2361
(26.0)
0.2404
(26.7)
0.2426
(28.0)
0.2345
(24.5)
0.2327
(25.2)
0.2338
(23.4)
0.2326
(25.3)
0.2361
(27.0)
0.2485
(30.5)
Trea Turner 0.2419
0.2827
(30.4)
0.2804
(28.1)
0.2814
(26.7)
0.2849
(29.6)
0.2749
(23.3)
0.2756
(26.0)
0.2805
(26.1)
0.2843
(32.4)
0.2833
(31.7)
0.2816
(26.7)
Randy Arozarena 0.2815
0.2329
(30.8)
0.2338
(30.8)
0.2355
(31.7)
0.2363
(30.8)
0.2380
(28.9)
0.2277
(33.8)
0.2330
(33.3)
0.2345
(28.9)
0.2323
(30.4)
0.2384
(29.9)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Benge 0.2381 0.2824 27.2
2 Jac Caglianone 0.2394 0.2891 26.0
3 Nick Gonzales 0.2580 0.3031 25.8
4 Wade Meckler 0.2216 0.3000 25.5
5 Otto Lopez 0.2650 0.3046 25.4
6 Kyle Tucker 0.2688 0.2333 23.9
7 J.T. Realmuto 0.2526 0.2053 23.3
8 Liam Hicks 0.2399 0.2839 22.9
9 Chase DeLauter 0.2433 0.2869 22.9
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2458 0.2796 22.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Benge 0.2387 0.2824 27.5
2 Nick Gonzales 0.2602 0.3031 25.1
3 Otto Lopez 0.2675 0.3046 24.4
4 Kyle Tucker 0.2686 0.2333 23.1
5 Jac Caglianone 0.2460 0.2891 22.9
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2956 0.2601 22.6
7 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2622 0.2194 22.5
8 Liam Hicks 0.2417 0.2839 22.5
9 Josh Jung 0.2475 0.2990 22.1
10 Chase DeLauter 0.2458 0.2869 22.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1667 0.2636 35.8
2 Jared Young 0.1667 0.2662 34.5
3 Carson Benge 0.2411 0.2824 27.8
4 Nick Gonzales 0.2626 0.3031 25.4
5 Otto Lopez 0.2693 0.3046 25.2
6 Ty France 0.2475 0.2955 24.6
7 Iván Herrera 0.2738 0.2413 22.3
8 Xander Bogaerts 0.2687 0.2308 22.2
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2645 0.2194 22.2
10 Liam Hicks 0.2463 0.2839 21.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2000 0.2891 49.7
2 Otto Lopez 0.2530 0.3046 36.0
3 Nick Gonzales 0.2573 0.3031 28.3
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2429 0.2796 27.2
5 Colson Montgomery 0.2405 0.1972 27.1
6 Javier Sanoja 0.2422 0.2950 26.3
7 Iván Herrera 0.2786 0.2413 26.2
8 Ty France 0.2466 0.2955 24.8
9 Jake McCarthy 0.2500 0.2907 24.7
10 Munetaka Murakami 0.2515 0.2070 24.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Gonzales 0.2553 0.3031 28.9
2 Otto Lopez 0.2635 0.3046 28.1
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3035 0.2601 26.6
4 Carson Benge 0.2415 0.2824 26.5
5 Liam Hicks 0.2392 0.2839 24.6
6 Kyle Tucker 0.2710 0.2333 23.8
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.2825 0.2466 23.6
8 Chandler Simpson 0.2683 0.3065 23.2
9 Josh Jung 0.2472 0.2990 22.9
10 Henry Bolte 0.2287 0.2771 22.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Benge 0.2318 0.2824 30.8
2 Otto Lopez 0.2656 0.3046 24.5
3 Nick Gonzales 0.2601 0.3031 24.1
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2602 0.2194 22.4
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.2642 0.2308 22.3
6 Evan Carter 0.2399 0.1944 22.3
7 Kyle Tucker 0.2646 0.2333 21.7
8 Ty France 0.2491 0.2955 21.5
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2467 0.2796 21.4
10 Chase DeLauter 0.2456 0.2869 21.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Benge 0.2354 0.2824 31.6
2 Nick Gonzales 0.2632 0.3031 25.0
3 Otto Lopez 0.2705 0.3046 24.4
4 Henry Bolte 0.2294 0.2771 23.2
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.2701 0.2308 23.0
6 Iván Herrera 0.2734 0.2413 22.1
7 Evan Carter 0.2442 0.1944 22.1
8 José Ramírez 0.2755 0.2347 21.5
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2967 0.2601 21.5
10 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2628 0.2194 21.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2275 0.2891 32.0
2 Kyle Tucker 0.2724 0.2333 26.9
3 Carson Benge 0.2388 0.2824 26.0
4 Jordan Walker 0.2277 0.2693 25.2
5 José Ramírez 0.2769 0.2347 25.0
6 Chase DeLauter 0.2392 0.2869 24.6
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.2658 0.2308 23.5
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2519 0.2053 23.5
9 Liam Hicks 0.2378 0.2839 23.5
10 Nick Gonzales 0.2608 0.3031 23.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2317 0.2891 29.6
2 J.T. Realmuto 0.2581 0.2053 26.4
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2992 0.2601 26.1
4 Carson Benge 0.2388 0.2824 26.0
5 Kyle Tucker 0.2689 0.2333 24.7
6 Chase DeLauter 0.2391 0.2869 24.6
7 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2627 0.2194 23.9
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2436 0.2796 23.4
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.2650 0.2308 23.0
10 Corey Seager 0.2755 0.2266 23.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.2675 0.3046 26.6
2 Nick Gonzales 0.2623 0.3031 25.8
3 Jordan Walker 0.2324 0.2693 25.7
4 Ty France 0.2473 0.2955 24.9
5 Carson Benge 0.2462 0.2824 24.7
6 Josh Jung 0.2484 0.2990 23.2
7 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2664 0.2194 23.0
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2550 0.2053 22.5
9 Iván Herrera 0.2736 0.2413 22.0
10 Kevin McGonigle 0.2486 0.2777 21.7

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Wade Meckler 0.2216 0.2416 0.3000 25.5 19.1 6.4
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2370 0.2305 0.2306 5.5 1.0 4.6
3 Jake McCarthy 0.2600 0.2674 0.2907 16.7 12.9 3.8
4 Jac Caglianone 0.2394 0.2460 0.2891 26.0 22.9 3.1
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.2344 0.2403 0.2597 13.6 10.6 3.0
6 Jorbit Vivas 0.2218 0.2309 0.2379 4.9 2.0 2.9
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2433 0.2402 0.2324 8.6 6.0 2.6
8 Michael Busch 0.2492 0.2466 0.2417 7.2 4.6 2.5
9 Miguel Vargas 0.2334 0.2379 0.2500 9.9 7.4 2.5
10 Ryan McMahon 0.2178 0.2119 0.2134 2.5 0.1 2.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1667 0.2381 0.2636 35.8 8.7 27.1
2 Jared Young 0.1667 0.2278 0.2662 34.5 12.6 21.9
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.2345 0.2194 0.2070 14.4 7.8 6.7
4 Ernie Clement 0.2745 0.2636 0.2593 8.6 3.7 5.0
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.2259 0.2298 0.2324 5.4 0.6 4.8
6 Josh Naylor 0.2709 0.2614 0.2613 5.4 1.1 4.3
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2485 0.2402 0.2324 9.4 6.0 3.4
8 Andruw Monasterio 0.2525 0.2406 0.2332 6.2 3.1 3.1
9 Mike Trout 0.2335 0.2355 0.2417 6.0 2.9 3.1
10 Ty France 0.2475 0.2506 0.2955 24.6 21.6 3.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2000 0.2460 0.2891 49.7 22.9 26.8
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2690 0.2305 0.2306 23.1 1.0 22.2
3 Miguel Vargas 0.2168 0.2379 0.2500 23.9 7.4 16.6
4 Munetaka Murakami 0.2515 0.2194 0.2070 24.1 7.8 16.4
5 Heriberto Hernández 0.2548 0.2242 0.2277 13.3 0.9 12.4
6 Colson Montgomery 0.2405 0.2191 0.1972 27.1 15.1 12.1
7 Jake McCarthy 0.2500 0.2674 0.2907 24.7 12.9 11.8
8 Otto Lopez 0.2530 0.2675 0.3046 36.0 24.4 11.7
9 Javier Sanoja 0.2422 0.2621 0.2950 26.3 15.3 11.0
10 Junior Caminero 0.2573 0.2699 0.2760 13.7 3.1 10.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.2683 0.2826 0.3065 23.2 13.6 9.6
2 Luke Keaschall 0.2541 0.2659 0.2822 17.3 9.1 8.2
3 Nolan Arenado 0.2412 0.2520 0.2552 8.2 0.9 7.3
4 Jonathan Aranda 0.2489 0.2577 0.2741 16.7 9.9 6.8
5 Yandy Díaz 0.2760 0.2845 0.2932 11.6 4.8 6.7
6 Samuel Basallo 0.2578 0.2411 0.2222 14.3 8.2 6.1
7 Austin Riley 0.2720 0.2609 0.2191 33.5 27.4 6.1
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3023 0.2916 0.2814 13.4 7.5 5.9
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.2812 0.2719 0.2263 38.7 33.1 5.6
10 Cal Raleigh 0.2425 0.2310 0.1818 32.3 26.9 5.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2214 0.2381 0.2636 14.1 8.7 5.4
2 Caleb Durbin 0.2631 0.2570 0.2480 10.8 6.2 4.6
3 Mike Trout 0.2268 0.2355 0.2417 7.3 2.9 4.4
4 Pete Alonso 0.2465 0.2546 0.2674 12.3 7.9 4.4
5 Ernie Clement 0.2683 0.2636 0.2593 7.7 3.7 4.0
6 Ozzie Albies 0.2552 0.2513 0.2374 14.5 10.6 3.9
7 Rafael Devers 0.2418 0.2495 0.2581 8.1 4.4 3.8
8 Shea Langeliers 0.2446 0.2543 0.2618 6.4 2.7 3.7
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.2662 0.2626 0.2616 5.4 1.8 3.6
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2440 0.2402 0.2324 9.5 6.0 3.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2269 0.2381 0.2636 13.8 8.7 5.1
2 Ernie Clement 0.2738 0.2636 0.2593 8.1 3.7 4.5
3 Caleb Durbin 0.2672 0.2570 0.2480 10.5 6.2 4.3
4 Munetaka Murakami 0.2300 0.2194 0.2070 12.0 7.8 4.2
5 Carson Benge 0.2354 0.2387 0.2824 31.6 27.5 4.1
6 Mike Trout 0.2321 0.2355 0.2417 6.9 2.9 4.0
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.2552 0.2595 0.2670 6.4 2.8 3.6
8 Nathan Church 0.2594 0.2491 0.2465 5.4 2.0 3.4
9 Henry Bolte 0.2294 0.2335 0.2771 23.2 19.8 3.4
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2483 0.2402 0.2324 9.3 6.0 3.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2275 0.2460 0.2891 32.0 22.9 9.0
2 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2303 0.2448 0.2539 9.6 3.6 6.0
3 Jordan Walker 0.2277 0.2378 0.2693 25.2 19.9 5.3
4 Dominic Canzone 0.2290 0.2405 0.2642 16.7 11.7 5.0
5 Garrett Mitchell 0.2195 0.2303 0.2625 20.8 16.2 4.6
6 Jake Bauers 0.2038 0.2135 0.2662 33.9 29.5 4.4
7 Kyle Karros 0.2674 0.2604 0.2530 8.6 4.3 4.3
8 Trea Turner 0.2843 0.2804 0.2419 32.4 28.1 4.2
9 José Ramírez 0.2769 0.2716 0.2347 25.0 21.0 4.0
10 Kody Clemens 0.2199 0.2289 0.2392 9.0 5.0 4.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2317 0.2460 0.2891 29.6 22.9 6.7
2 Matt Olson 0.2373 0.2488 0.2512 7.1 0.5 6.5
3 Ezequiel Duran 0.2284 0.2403 0.2597 16.4 10.6 5.8
4 Sal Stewart 0.2711 0.2654 0.2632 8.1 2.7 5.5
5 Riley Greene 0.2475 0.2588 0.2798 16.9 11.5 5.4
6 Keibert Ruiz 0.2288 0.2442 0.2801 16.8 12.1 4.7
7 J.T. Realmuto 0.2581 0.2503 0.2053 26.4 21.8 4.6
8 Cody Bellinger 0.2473 0.2577 0.2641 7.3 2.7 4.6
9 Steven Kwan 0.2643 0.2735 0.2820 8.9 4.3 4.6
10 Garrett Mitchell 0.2196 0.2303 0.2625 20.8 16.2 4.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.2381 0.2194 0.2070 16.3 7.8 8.5
2 Alex Bregman 0.2429 0.2516 0.2648 16.5 8.1 8.4
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.2212 0.2298 0.2324 9.0 0.6 8.4
4 Josh Naylor 0.2757 0.2614 0.2613 8.3 1.1 7.1
5 Justin Crawford 0.2860 0.2679 0.2635 9.7 2.8 6.9
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.2896 0.2950 0.3157 19.2 13.2 6.0
7 Jeff McNeil 0.2779 0.2607 0.2636 6.6 0.6 5.9
8 Jordan Walker 0.2324 0.2378 0.2693 25.7 19.9 5.8
9 Kevin McGonigle 0.2486 0.2529 0.2777 21.7 16.4 5.4
10 Jo Adell 0.2318 0.2362 0.2405 6.8 1.7 5.1

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Luis Severino 271
716
(444.7)
710
(439.1)
735
(464.0)
678
(407.0)
736
(465.0)
728
(457.3)
745
(473.9)
724
(452.7)
726
(455.1)
596
(325.0)
Yusei Kikuchi 305
715
(410.3)
711
(406.4)
729
(424.0)
697
(392.0)
728
(423.0)
690
(384.8)
748
(443.3)
726
(420.7)
723
(418.4)
649
(344.0)
Jose Quintana 212
568
(355.9)
603
(391.0)
638
(426.0)
589
(377.0)
637
(425.0)
642
(430.3)
668
(455.7)
579
(367.2)
582
(369.9)
545
(333.0)
Peter Lambert 664
60
(603.6)
40
(624.4)
100
(564.0)
167
(497.0)
12
(651.8)
100
(564.0)
4
(659.7)
60
(603.5)
61
(603.4)
100
(564.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 85 669 584.3
2 Walbert Ureña 119 625 505.6
3 Martín Pérez 152 596 444.0
4 Jack Perkins 130 541 410.9
5 Keider Montero 217 625 408.5
6 Payton Tolle 200 603 403.5
7 Shane Drohan 141 528 386.5
8 Jake Bennett 75 455 379.8
9 Justin Wrobleski 224 578 353.6
10 Kris Bubic 578 226 352.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 150 669 519.1
2 Martín Pérez 177 596 419.2
3 Jack Perkins 152 541 388.6
4 Payton Tolle 220 603 383.3
5 Walbert Ureña 244 625 380.6
6 Kris Bubic 575 226 349.3
7 Jake Bennett 131 455 323.8
8 Shane Drohan 207 528 320.9
9 Keider Montero 307 625 318.4
10 Christian Scott 156 474 318.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 108 669 561.0
2 Martín Pérez 39 596 557.0
3 Payton Tolle 138 603 465.0
4 Jack Perkins 102 541 439.0
5 Walbert Ureña 188 625 437.0
6 Cal Quantrill 36 443 407.0
7 Kris Bubic 619 226 393.0
8 Keider Montero 236 625 389.0
9 Jake Bennett 78 455 377.0
10 Cristian Javier 638 276 362.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 100 721 621.0
2 Anthony Kay 106 710 604.0
3 Walbert Ureña 100 625 525.0
4 Andrew Painter 100 552 452.0
5 Connor Prielipp 100 535 435.0
6 Shane Drohan 100 528 428.0
7 Reid Detmers 324 740 416.0
8 Bubba Chandler 261 674 413.0
9 Parker Messick 343 747 404.0
10 Nolan McLean 356 747 391.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 100 721 621.0
2 Anthony Kay 100 710 610.0
3 Brandon Young 108 669 561.0
4 Martín Pérez 39 596 557.0
5 Payton Tolle 137 603 466.0
6 Jack Perkins 101 541 440.0
7 Walbert Ureña 189 625 436.0
8 Cal Quantrill 36 443 407.0
9 Keider Montero 236 625 389.0
10 Kris Bubic 614 226 388.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 85 669 583.7
2 Walbert Ureña 191 625 433.6
3 Shane Drohan 100 528 428.0
4 Jack Perkins 123 541 417.7
5 Payton Tolle 219 603 384.4
6 Christian Scott 106 474 368.1
7 Martín Pérez 231 596 364.8
8 Kris Bubic 587 226 361.4
9 Connor Prielipp 174 535 361.1
10 Cal Quantrill 86 443 357.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 110 669 558.5
2 Martín Pérez 39 596 556.6
3 Payton Tolle 148 603 455.0
4 Jack Perkins 102 541 439.3
5 Walbert Ureña 186 625 438.8
6 Cristian Javier 687 276 410.5
7 Kris Bubic 632 226 406.0
8 Cal Quantrill 37 443 405.8
9 Keider Montero 235 625 389.5
10 Jake Bennett 78 455 377.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 100 669 569.0
2 Walbert Ureña 100 625 525.0
3 Keider Montero 100 625 525.0
4 Colin Rea 100 587 487.0
5 Justin Wrobleski 100 578 478.0
6 Emerson Hancock 100 566 466.0
7 Martín Pérez 154 596 442.3
8 Carmen Mlodzinski 100 537 437.0
9 Connor Prielipp 100 535 435.0
10 Jack Perkins 129 541 411.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 100 669 569.0
2 Walbert Ureña 100 625 525.0
3 Keider Montero 100 625 525.0
4 Colin Rea 100 587 487.0
5 Justin Wrobleski 100 578 478.0
6 Emerson Hancock 100 566 466.0
7 Martín Pérez 156 596 439.9
8 Carmen Mlodzinski 100 537 437.0
9 Connor Prielipp 100 535 435.0
10 Jack Perkins 132 541 408.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 372 721 349.0
2 Stephen Kolek 562 224 338.0
3 Mason Barnett 567 229 338.0
4 Grant Holmes 307 642 335.0
5 Kumar Rocker 313 645 332.0
6 Brandon Young 361 669 308.0
7 Spencer Miles 99 388 289.0
8 Germán Márquez 517 236 281.0
9 Max Fried 705 434 271.0
10 Jack Leiter 623 355 268.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Walbert Ureña 119 244 625 505.6 380.6 125.0
2 Gabriel Hughes 94 204 283 188.8 79.5 109.3
3 Connelly Early 194 300 400 205.5 100.1 105.4
4 JR Ritchie 98 198 326 227.6 127.6 100.0
5 Keider Montero 217 307 625 408.5 318.4 90.0
6 Peyton Gray 73 158 249 175.6 90.7 84.9
7 Mason Barnett 141 226 229 87.6 3.3 84.2
8 Andrew Morris 76 159 321 245.1 162.2 82.9
9 Blade Tidwell 128 209 235 106.7 26.5 80.2
10 Caleb Kilian 116 196 209 93.2 13.0 80.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Martín Pérez 39 177 596 557.0 419.2 137.8
2 Mason Barnett 116 226 229 113.0 3.3 109.7
3 Mitch Farris 39 140 258 219.0 118.0 101.0
4 Cal Quantrill 36 137 443 407.0 306.2 100.8
5 Nathan Eovaldi 715 629 613 102.0 15.7 86.3
6 Payton Tolle 138 220 603 465.0 383.3 81.7
7 Steven Matz 577 498 342 235.0 156.0 79.0
8 Keider Montero 236 307 625 389.0 318.4 70.6
9 Shane McClanahan 568 501 487 81.0 14.1 66.9
10 Randy Dobnak 44 105 321 277.0 215.6 61.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 106 547 710 604.0 162.7 441.3
2 Foster Griffin 100 525 721 621.0 196.4 424.6
3 Andrew Painter 100 480 552 452.0 71.8 380.2
4 Bubba Chandler 261 621 674 413.0 53.4 359.6
5 Nolan McLean 356 643 747 391.0 104.0 287.0
6 Drew Anderson 100 361 456 356.0 95.2 260.8
7 Reid Detmers 324 578 740 416.0 161.9 254.1
8 Braxton Ashcraft 302 554 667 365.0 113.0 252.0
9 Kyle Bradish 328 578 669 341.0 90.9 250.1
10 Patrick Corbin 650 319 360 290.0 40.6 249.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 100 547 710 610.0 162.7 447.3
2 Foster Griffin 100 525 721 621.0 196.4 424.6
3 Martín Pérez 39 177 596 557.0 419.2 137.8
4 Will Dion 16 147 201 185.1 53.9 131.1
5 Mason Barnett 116 226 229 113.0 3.3 109.7
6 Mitch Farris 38 140 258 220.0 118.0 102.0
7 Cal Quantrill 36 137 443 407.0 306.2 100.8
8 Zac Thornton 18 110 337 319.2 227.0 92.2
9 Nathan Eovaldi 715 629 613 102.0 15.7 86.3
10 Payton Tolle 137 220 603 466.0 383.3 82.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Alvarez 197 356 473 275.9 117.5 158.4
2 Travis Adams 100 248 247 147.0 1.5 145.5
3 Lake Bachar 100 230 358 258.0 128.4 129.6
4 Janson Junk 267 387 523 256.4 135.7 120.7
5 JR Ritchie 78 198 326 247.5 127.6 119.9
6 Justin Bruihl 100 218 346 246.0 127.8 118.2
7 Casey Legumina 100 215 305 205.0 90.2 114.8
8 Noah Schultz 48 156 324 276.0 167.6 108.4
9 Shane Drohan 100 207 528 428.0 320.9 107.1
10 Gabriel Hughes 100 204 283 183.0 79.5 103.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Will Dion 4 147 201 196.7 53.9 142.8
2 Martín Pérez 39 177 596 556.6 419.2 137.3
3 Emmet Sheehan 660 550 472 188.5 78.0 110.5
4 Mason Barnett 117 226 229 112.2 3.3 108.8
5 Max Meyer 632 526 462 170.1 63.8 106.2
6 Zac Thornton 4 110 337 332.7 227.0 105.7
7 Cristian Javier 687 583 276 410.5 307.4 103.1
8 Mitch Farris 40 140 258 218.0 118.0 100.0
9 Cal Quantrill 37 137 443 405.8 306.2 99.7
10 Nathan Eovaldi 724 629 613 111.3 15.7 95.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carmen Mlodzinski 100 425 537 437.0 112.2 324.8
2 Colin Rea 100 395 587 487.0 191.6 295.4
3 Emerson Hancock 100 355 566 466.0 211.5 254.5
4 Luis Medina 100 310 317 217.0 6.6 210.4
5 Keider Montero 100 307 625 525.0 318.4 206.6
6 Justin Wrobleski 100 297 578 478.0 280.8 197.2
7 Javier Assad 100 293 378 278.0 84.6 193.4
8 Yoendrys Gómez 100 284 297 197.0 12.9 184.1
9 Brad Lord 100 432 357 257.0 75.0 182.0
10 Ryan Johnson 100 271 437 337.0 165.6 171.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carmen Mlodzinski 100 425 537 437.0 112.2 324.8
2 Colin Rea 100 395 587 487.0 191.6 295.4
3 Emerson Hancock 100 355 566 466.0 211.5 254.5
4 Luis Medina 100 310 317 217.0 6.6 210.4
5 Keider Montero 100 307 625 525.0 318.4 206.6
6 Justin Wrobleski 100 297 578 478.0 280.8 197.2
7 Javier Assad 100 293 378 278.0 84.6 193.4
8 Yoendrys Gómez 100 284 297 197.0 12.9 184.1
9 Brad Lord 100 432 357 257.0 75.0 182.0
10 Ryan Johnson 100 271 437 337.0 165.6 171.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mason Barnett 567 226 229 338.0 3.3 334.7
2 Trevor McDonald 565 308 310 255.0 2.0 253.0
3 Grant Holmes 307 546 642 335.0 96.3 238.7
4 Stephen Kolek 562 329 224 338.0 105.3 232.7
5 Quinn Mathews 450 234 211 239.0 22.8 216.2
6 Jack Kochanowicz 557 356 296 261.0 60.4 200.6
7 Blade Tidwell 456 209 235 221.0 26.5 194.5
8 Tyler Mahle 360 548 614 254.0 66.3 187.7
9 Travis Adams 424 248 247 177.0 1.5 175.5
10 Will Dion 421 147 201 220.0 53.9 166.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 0.3789
0.2664
(73.0)
0.2706
(69.4)
0.2682
(71.3)
0.2628
(79.2)
0.2903
(57.8)
0.2504
(82.8)
0.2529
(80.7)
0.2655
(73.2)
0.2826
(62.2)
0.2860
(60.1)
Gavin Williams 0.3324
0.2394
(67.3)
0.2393
(66.5)
0.2410
(65.5)
0.2373
(73.2)
0.2413
(66.7)
0.2401
(65.9)
0.2381
(66.8)
0.2360
(69.4)
0.2355
(70.3)
0.2448
(63.4)
Zac Gallen 0.1356
0.2247
(43.4)
0.2161
(39.9)
0.2195
(41.3)
0.2314
(43.8)
0.2175
(39.5)
0.2186
(41.1)
0.2195
(41.8)
0.2091
(36.3)
0.2053
(34.2)
0.2181
(40.2)
Cam Schlittler 0.3141
0.2356
(57.6)
0.2348
(57.3)
0.2315
(60.1)
0.2476
(52.8)
0.2483
(48.8)
0.2245
(65.2)
0.2241
(64.9)
0.2314
(60.3)
0.2381
(55.7)
0.2418
(53.0)
Freddy Peralta 0.2137
0.2687
(42.2)
0.2634
(39.2)
0.2616
(37.5)
0.2715
(40.1)
0.2607
(35.6)
0.2606
(37.2)
0.2607
(37.7)
0.2669
(41.4)
0.2643
(39.0)
0.2620
(37.2)
Cade Cavalli 0.2833
0.1949
(60.4)
0.1946
(59.8)
0.1993
(56.8)
0.2092
(54.4)
0.1977
(59.2)
0.1965
(58.5)
0.1965
(57.9)
0.1884
(64.6)
0.1852
(67.3)
0.2027
(55.0)
Merrill Kelly 0.1605
0.2159
(40.9)
0.2097
(37.4)
0.2098
(37.2)
0.2276
(45.2)
0.2072
(34.0)
0.2136
(40.2)
0.2144
(41.3)
0.2029
(32.3)
0.2078
(35.2)
0.2059
(33.8)
Nick Lodolo 0.1708
0.2421
(36.0)
0.2427
(36.9)
0.2414
(36.1)
0.2409
(32.6)
0.2432
(36.0)
0.2403
(35.7)
0.2420
(36.9)
0.2382
(34.5)
0.2513
(40.5)
0.2416
(35.7)
Dylan Cease 0.3489
0.2843
(42.3)
0.2832
(42.3)
0.2796
(45.0)
0.2774
(51.0)
0.2760
(48.8)
0.2850
(41.0)
0.2797
(44.1)
0.2897
(38.2)
0.2884
(39.6)
0.2791
(46.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Framber Valdez 0.2232 0.1781 36.3
2 Grant Holmes 0.2319 0.1791 35.7
3 Eric Lauer 0.2273 0.1545 35.2
4 Mason Montgomery 0.2499 0.3777 34.7
5 Kyle Bradish 0.2610 0.2123 34.5
6 Brady Singer 0.2184 0.1738 34.4
7 Robbie Ray 0.2442 0.1994 33.4
8 George Kirby 0.2413 0.1997 32.9
9 Taj Bradley 0.2280 0.2741 32.4
10 Michael King 0.2493 0.2100 31.8

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Grant Holmes 0.2341 0.1791 37.9
2 Taj Bradley 0.2216 0.2741 36.3
3 Framber Valdez 0.2212 0.1781 35.7
4 Eric Lauer 0.2249 0.1545 34.7
5 Walbert Ureña 0.1698 0.2272 33.4
6 Mason Montgomery 0.2566 0.3777 32.6
7 Brady Singer 0.2146 0.1738 32.5
8 Robbie Ray 0.2416 0.1994 32.4
9 George Kirby 0.2392 0.1997 32.2
10 Andrew Alvarez 0.1701 0.2410 31.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mason Montgomery 0.2451 0.3777 35.9
2 Brady Singer 0.2196 0.1738 35.8
3 Taj Bradley 0.2257 0.2741 33.5
4 Walbert Ureña 0.1702 0.2272 33.4
5 Griffin Jax 0.3200 0.2527 32.5
6 Andrew Alvarez 0.1696 0.2410 32.1
7 Braxton Ashcraft 0.2077 0.2594 32.1
8 Eric Lauer 0.2186 0.1545 31.5
9 Grant Holmes 0.2246 0.1791 31.5
10 Framber Valdez 0.2155 0.1781 31.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Framber Valdez 0.2359 0.1781 41.6
2 Mason Miller 0.3255 0.4743 41.3
3 Grant Holmes 0.2405 0.1791 37.5
4 Payton Tolle 0.2300 0.2836 34.1
5 Michael Lorenzen 0.2031 0.1454 33.9
6 Eric Lauer 0.2296 0.1545 33.6
7 Kyle Bradish 0.2652 0.2123 33.5
8 Mason Montgomery 0.2605 0.3777 33.4
9 Michael King 0.2569 0.2100 33.2
10 Christian Scott 0.2166 0.2827 32.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Framber Valdez 0.2345 0.1781 44.1
2 Andrew Alvarez 0.1539 0.2410 40.4
3 Grant Holmes 0.2385 0.1791 39.2
4 Grayson Rodriguez 0.2692 0.1914 35.3
5 Walbert Ureña 0.1721 0.2272 33.4
6 Kyle Bradish 0.2593 0.2123 32.6
7 Taj Bradley 0.2288 0.2741 32.6
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.2057 0.1711 32.4
9 George Kirby 0.2416 0.1997 32.3
10 Anthony Kay 0.2253 0.1817 32.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1966 0.2594 39.2
2 Walbert Ureña 0.1620 0.2272 38.3
3 Mason Montgomery 0.2362 0.3777 38.2
4 Framber Valdez 0.2224 0.1781 36.6
5 Eric Lauer 0.2272 0.1545 35.7
6 Grant Holmes 0.2296 0.1791 35.0
7 Sean Burke 0.2059 0.2584 34.7
8 Parker Messick 0.2092 0.2584 33.8
9 Brady Singer 0.2152 0.1738 32.9
10 Taj Bradley 0.2263 0.2741 32.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mason Montgomery 0.2376 0.3777 37.6
2 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1991 0.2594 37.1
3 Framber Valdez 0.2214 0.1781 36.4
4 Eric Lauer 0.2246 0.1545 34.9
5 Brady Singer 0.2168 0.1738 34.6
6 Sean Burke 0.2055 0.2584 34.5
7 Parker Messick 0.2075 0.2584 34.4
8 Andrew Alvarez 0.1655 0.2410 33.5
9 Robbie Ray 0.2422 0.1994 33.3
10 Grant Holmes 0.2254 0.1791 32.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eric Lauer 0.2420 0.1545 42.4
2 Taj Bradley 0.2163 0.2741 40.6
3 Grant Holmes 0.2381 0.1791 40.1
4 Robbie Ray 0.2483 0.1994 36.8
5 Keider Montero 0.2253 0.1712 35.9
6 Colin Rea 0.2253 0.1721 33.3
7 Drew Rasmussen 0.2080 0.2601 32.5
8 Framber Valdez 0.2168 0.1781 31.9
9 MacKenzie Gore 0.2706 0.2320 31.6
10 Jake Irvin 0.1641 0.2340 31.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taj Bradley 0.2023 0.2741 51.6
2 Grant Holmes 0.2506 0.1791 47.7
3 Eric Lauer 0.2360 0.1545 39.3
4 Keider Montero 0.2253 0.1712 35.5
5 Framber Valdez 0.2213 0.1781 34.9
6 Colin Rea 0.2253 0.1721 32.9
7 Jake Irvin 0.1626 0.2340 32.3
8 Drew Rasmussen 0.2100 0.2601 31.6
9 Ian Seymour 0.2267 0.2868 31.5
10 Drew Anderson 0.3164 0.2500 31.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walbert Ureña 0.1623 0.2272 38.9
2 Taj Bradley 0.2204 0.2741 38.1
3 Brady Singer 0.2219 0.1738 36.8
4 Griffin Jax 0.3295 0.2527 36.5
5 Jared Jones 0.2100 0.2964 34.8
6 Mason Montgomery 0.2521 0.3777 34.2
7 Luis Medina 0.1846 0.2934 33.7
8 Christian Scott 0.2111 0.2827 32.7
9 Drew Rasmussen 0.2094 0.2601 32.2
10 Andrew Alvarez 0.1722 0.2410 31.3

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zac Thornton 0.2253 0.1772 0.1869 13.9 1.9 11.9
2 Payton Tolle 0.2410 0.2521 0.2836 24.0 16.6 7.4
3 José Fermin 0.2253 0.2501 0.2605 7.7 1.5 6.2
4 Kyle Harrison 0.2345 0.2429 0.2792 21.2 16.3 4.9
5 Eury Pérez 0.2711 0.2627 0.2576 10.7 6.0 4.8
6 Bailey Ober 0.2183 0.2096 0.1711 28.0 23.8 4.2
7 Jack Perkins 0.2441 0.2507 0.2588 6.4 2.2 4.2
8 Seth Lugo 0.1990 0.1923 0.1784 17.5 13.4 4.2
9 Kyle Bradish 0.2610 0.2538 0.2123 34.5 30.5 4.0
10 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2376 0.2407 0.2695 25.0 21.3 3.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zac Thornton 0.2253 0.1772 0.1869 14.1 1.9 12.2
2 Zack Wheeler 0.2680 0.2827 0.2992 17.8 8.1 9.7
3 Payton Tolle 0.2391 0.2521 0.2836 24.7 16.6 8.1
4 Grant Taylor 0.2623 0.2836 0.3155 16.7 9.4 7.3
5 Chase Burns 0.2777 0.2883 0.2937 7.8 0.9 6.9
6 Chris Sale 0.2925 0.2999 0.3086 8.2 3.1 5.1
7 Ryan Feltner 0.1877 0.1786 0.1679 12.8 8.0 4.8
8 Roki Sasaki 0.2455 0.2266 0.2356 7.0 2.6 4.4
9 Martín Pérez 0.1795 0.1721 0.1711 7.1 2.9 4.2
10 Jared Jones 0.2304 0.2400 0.2964 25.9 21.8 4.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mason Miller 0.3255 0.3949 0.4743 41.3 20.5 20.8
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1817 0.1400 0.1463 21.2 1.6 19.7
3 Payton Tolle 0.2300 0.2521 0.2836 34.1 16.6 17.5
4 Jack Perkins 0.2259 0.2507 0.2588 19.4 2.2 17.1
5 Chase Burns 0.2682 0.2883 0.2937 17.9 0.9 17.0
6 Anthony Kay 0.2170 0.1890 0.1817 23.0 8.0 15.0
7 Jacob deGrom 0.2631 0.2773 0.3009 27.2 13.1 14.1
8 Rhett Lowder 0.2145 0.1851 0.1708 24.6 11.0 13.6
9 Michael Lorenzen 0.2031 0.1758 0.1454 33.9 21.3 12.6
10 Seth Lugo 0.2154 0.1923 0.1784 25.6 13.4 12.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 0.2253 0.1890 0.1817 32.2 8.0 24.2
2 Chase Burns 0.3160 0.2883 0.2937 15.2 0.9 14.3
3 Spencer Miles 0.1912 0.2213 0.2397 18.1 5.6 12.6
4 Andrew Alvarez 0.1539 0.1701 0.2410 40.4 31.7 8.8
5 Kyle Hart 0.1778 0.2080 0.2201 10.9 2.2 8.7
6 Framber Valdez 0.2345 0.2212 0.1781 44.1 35.7 8.4
7 Jack Perkins 0.2377 0.2507 0.2588 10.5 2.2 8.2
8 Jake Bennett 0.1529 0.1685 0.2000 20.6 12.5 8.1
9 AJ Blubaugh 0.2050 0.2219 0.2344 11.1 3.4 7.7
10 Sandy Alcantara 0.2057 0.1952 0.1711 32.4 25.0 7.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Painter 0.1730 0.2003 0.2083 17.3 2.3 15.1
2 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2504 0.2706 0.3789 82.8 69.4 13.4
3 Zac Thornton 0.2253 0.1772 0.1869 14.3 1.9 12.3
4 Chase Burns 0.2688 0.2883 0.2937 13.2 0.9 12.3
5 Joel Kuhnel 0.2253 0.1686 0.1386 18.3 6.8 11.5
6 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1966 0.2121 0.2594 39.2 28.9 10.4
7 Foster Griffin 0.1994 0.2124 0.2191 11.4 2.0 9.4
8 Kyle Leahy 0.1772 0.1926 0.2215 24.0 14.9 9.1
9 Reid Detmers 0.2448 0.2568 0.2851 26.9 18.1 8.8
10 Cam Schlittler 0.2245 0.2348 0.3141 65.2 57.3 7.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Painter 0.1787 0.2003 0.2083 13.7 2.3 11.5
2 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2529 0.2706 0.3789 80.7 69.4 11.2
3 Payton Tolle 0.2341 0.2521 0.2836 27.0 16.6 10.4
4 Chase Burns 0.2742 0.2883 0.2937 9.3 0.9 8.4
5 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1991 0.2121 0.2594 37.1 28.9 8.2
6 Cam Schlittler 0.2241 0.2348 0.3141 64.9 57.3 7.6
7 Shane McClanahan 0.2705 0.2570 0.2177 28.1 21.1 7.0
8 Foster Griffin 0.2028 0.2124 0.2191 8.4 2.0 6.4
9 Tatsuya Imai 0.2193 0.2368 0.2870 21.3 15.6 5.6
10 Kyle Leahy 0.1828 0.1926 0.2215 20.2 14.9 5.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colin Rea 0.2253 0.1899 0.1721 33.3 12.8 20.5
2 Drew Anderson 0.3150 0.2708 0.2500 31.2 11.3 19.9
3 Keider Montero 0.2253 0.1952 0.1712 35.9 17.5 18.5
4 Brandon Young 0.2253 0.2054 0.1988 20.0 7.1 12.9
5 Zac Thornton 0.2253 0.1772 0.1869 14.1 1.9 12.1
6 Javier Assad 0.2253 0.1948 0.1667 23.5 12.1 11.3
7 Ryan Gusto 0.2253 0.1972 0.1888 15.7 4.9 10.8
8 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.2253 0.2061 0.1806 25.8 15.8 10.0
9 José Soriano 0.1978 0.2101 0.2268 19.1 9.5 9.6
10 Shane Drohan 0.2612 0.2429 0.2367 14.7 5.4 9.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Anderson 0.3164 0.2708 0.2500 31.5 11.3 20.2
2 Colin Rea 0.2253 0.1899 0.1721 32.9 12.8 20.1
3 Keider Montero 0.2253 0.1952 0.1712 35.5 17.5 18.0
4 Logan Gilbert 0.3026 0.2799 0.2733 24.0 7.9 16.2
5 José Soriano 0.1905 0.2101 0.2268 25.0 9.5 15.5
6 Taj Bradley 0.2023 0.2216 0.2741 51.6 36.3 15.3
7 Michael Wacha 0.1635 0.1799 0.1946 23.0 8.7 14.3
8 Brandon Young 0.2253 0.2054 0.1988 19.6 7.1 12.5
9 Zac Thornton 0.2253 0.1772 0.1869 13.9 1.9 11.9
10 Javier Assad 0.2253 0.1948 0.1667 23.2 12.1 11.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zack Wheeler 0.2538 0.2827 0.2992 27.6 8.1 19.5
2 Roki Sasaki 0.2701 0.2266 0.2356 19.4 2.6 16.7
3 Jared Jones 0.2100 0.2400 0.2964 34.8 21.8 13.0
4 Grant Taylor 0.2489 0.2836 0.3155 21.5 9.4 12.1
5 Chris Sale 0.2860 0.2999 0.3086 13.0 3.1 9.9
6 Christian Scott 0.2111 0.2292 0.2827 32.7 23.5 9.2
7 Ryan Weathers 0.2124 0.2266 0.2518 20.9 12.0 8.8
8 Andrew Painter 0.2253 0.2003 0.2083 10.8 2.3 8.5
9 Luis Medina 0.1846 0.2073 0.2934 33.7 26.0 7.6
10 Joey Cantillo 0.2585 0.2462 0.2489 8.4 0.9 7.5

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 0.5333
0.2915
(150.1)
0.2893
(147.5)
0.2812
(148.9)
0.1714
(199.4)
0.2885
(147.6)
0.2873
(154.2)
0.2592
(165.4)
0.2914
(153.8)
0.2992
(148.7)
0.3077
(150.6)
Nick Martinez 0.4839
0.2285
(172.7)
0.1983
(190.1)
0.1915
(190.7)
0.1957
(163.3)
0.1704
(209.9)
0.2774
(138.9)
0.1605
(215.1)
0.1670
(221.2)
0.1600
(226.2)
0.2564
(164.8)
Braxton Ashcraft 0.5000
0.1875
(197.6)
0.1948
(188.7)
0.2000
(181.3)
0.1290
(206.0)
0.2128
(176.3)
0.1685
(211.6)
0.1882
(191.0)
0.1909
(199.1)
0.1981
(194.3)
0.2188
(188.1)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.5000
0.3040
(141.7)
0.2810
(155.0)
0.2581
(168.4)
0.2368
(158.5)
0.2285
(195.9)
0.2909
(153.6)
0.2605
(168.7)
0.2846
(161.4)
0.2814
(163.9)
0.3333
(132.0)
Chase Burns 0.5172
0.2562
(154.3)
0.2712
(141.0)
0.2593
(144.7)
0.1000
(223.8)
0.2791
(135.6)
0.2973
(129.6)
0.2654
(142.7)
0.2648
(152.4)
0.2809
(142.2)
0.2593
(163.0)
Foster Griffin 0.4839
0.2336
(168.8)
0.2332
(164.7)
0.2000
(184.3)
0.2302
(138.2)
0.2302
(166.5)
0.2551
(154.7)
0.2323
(163.0)
0.2283
(176.6)
0.2287
(176.3)
0.2222
(189.2)
Sonny Gray 0.6207
0.4186
(127.0)
0.3757
(152.1)
0.3548
(162.3)
0.2821
(188.9)
0.3859
(144.8)
0.3151
(199.1)
0.3754
(150.2)
0.3778
(158.7)
0.3945
(147.2)
0.3704
(171.5)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Wrobleski 0.0969 0.4286 182.4
2 Jake Bennett 0.0601 0.4500 170.1
3 Brandon Young 0.0637 0.3214 161.6
4 Luis Castillo 0.3838 0.1379 155.1
5 Walbert Ureña 0.0604 0.3103 146.1
6 Tanner Bibee 0.3785 0.2121 142.4
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.3431 0.1379 139.5
8 Peter Lambert 0.0501 0.2759 139.2
9 Zac Gallen 0.4150 0.1364 139.2
10 Brady Singer 0.3687 0.1935 138.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Wrobleski 0.0976 0.4286 178.4
2 Jake Bennett 0.0606 0.4500 167.1
3 Luis Castillo 0.3770 0.1379 154.7
4 Brandon Young 0.0890 0.3214 140.6
5 Walbert Ureña 0.0663 0.3103 138.6
6 Logan Henderson 0.2246 0.6111 135.2
7 Drew Rasmussen 0.3095 0.5333 134.9
8 Troy Melton 0.0910 0.4000 134.8
9 Shane Baz 0.3461 0.1935 134.5
10 Aaron Nola 0.3684 0.2121 132.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Wrobleski 0.0952 0.4286 176.3
2 Jake Bennett 0.0556 0.4500 166.6
3 Brandon Young 0.0526 0.3214 160.9
4 Jeffrey Springs 0.3448 0.1379 148.1
5 Zac Gallen 0.4194 0.1364 146.9
6 Walbert Ureña 0.0476 0.3103 146.6
7 Luis Castillo 0.3548 0.1379 145.1
8 Logan Henderson 0.1935 0.6111 144.4
9 Troy Melton 0.0789 0.4000 137.6
10 Martín Pérez 0.5000 0.3000 136.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Rasmussen 0.1905 0.5333 187.9
2 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2683 0.5455 184.3
3 Logan Henderson 0.1562 0.6111 145.7
4 Cam Schlittler 0.1714 0.4242 145.2
5 Cade Cavalli 0.1515 0.4062 136.0
6 Andre Pallante 0.1522 0.4138 135.5
7 Justin Wrobleski 0.1429 0.4286 129.3
8 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2619 0.5000 124.6
9 Kyle Leahy 0.0667 0.3333 121.9
10 Payton Tolle 0.0833 0.3462 121.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Wrobleski 0.0928 0.4286 180.9
2 Jake Bennett 0.0449 0.4500 173.9
3 Luis Castillo 0.3972 0.1379 167.0
4 Aaron Nola 0.3979 0.2121 155.2
5 Logan Henderson 0.1755 0.6111 153.1
6 Brandon Young 0.0701 0.3214 152.9
7 Walbert Ureña 0.0487 0.3103 149.3
8 Shane Baz 0.3618 0.1935 146.9
9 Troy Melton 0.0788 0.4000 140.2
10 Drew Rasmussen 0.3138 0.5333 131.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Wrobleski 0.0755 0.4286 195.9
2 Drew Rasmussen 0.2740 0.5333 164.0
3 Luis Castillo 0.3961 0.1379 161.2
4 Payton Tolle 0.0854 0.3462 148.7
5 Brandon Young 0.0902 0.3214 145.2
6 Troy Melton 0.0823 0.4000 142.7
7 Walbert Ureña 0.0995 0.3103 122.9
8 Eric Lauer 0.0859 0.3636 122.8
9 Shane Baz 0.3390 0.1935 122.8
10 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3896 0.5455 121.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Wrobleski 0.0877 0.4286 182.3
2 Jake Bennett 0.0486 0.4500 171.1
3 Logan Henderson 0.1810 0.6111 150.1
4 Walbert Ureña 0.0450 0.3103 149.9
5 Brandon Young 0.0736 0.3214 148.8
6 Luis Castillo 0.3613 0.1379 147.3
7 Troy Melton 0.0736 0.4000 141.5
8 Shane Baz 0.3449 0.1935 135.9
9 Jeffrey Springs 0.3245 0.1379 133.6
10 Aaron Nola 0.3605 0.2121 129.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Henderson 0.1915 0.6111 151.8
2 Luis Castillo 0.3813 0.1379 150.3
3 Peter Lambert 0.0429 0.2759 147.7
4 Michael Soroka 0.0987 0.4091 141.8
5 Eric Lauer 0.0502 0.3636 141.1
6 Payton Tolle 0.1082 0.3462 137.1
7 Shane Baz 0.3606 0.1935 136.6
8 Drew Rasmussen 0.3214 0.5333 134.7
9 Aaron Nola 0.3765 0.2121 130.2
10 Kyle Leahy 0.1071 0.3333 128.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Henderson 0.1928 0.6111 151.3
2 Peter Lambert 0.0429 0.2759 147.7
3 Michael Soroka 0.0957 0.4091 143.2
4 Drew Rasmussen 0.3095 0.5333 142.7
5 Eric Lauer 0.0506 0.3636 140.9
6 Luis Castillo 0.3617 0.1379 138.7
7 Payton Tolle 0.1088 0.3462 136.7
8 Shane Baz 0.3504 0.1935 128.7
9 Kyle Leahy 0.1120 0.3333 125.6
10 Aaron Nola 0.3665 0.2121 122.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Rasmussen 0.2759 0.5333 172.8
2 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3448 0.5455 172.6
3 Zac Gallen 0.4667 0.1364 155.5
4 Kyle Leahy 0.0816 0.3333 150.5
5 Tanner Bibee 0.3929 0.2121 140.3
6 Justin Wrobleski 0.1935 0.4286 136.3
7 Luis Castillo 0.3571 0.1379 129.3
8 Jake Bennett 0.1667 0.4500 129.3
9 Jeffrey Springs 0.3333 0.1379 122.6
10 Joey Cantillo 0.1562 0.3333 122.2

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Trevor Richards 0.2302 0.0448 0.0000 85.0 23.1 61.9
2 Martín Pérez 0.1778 0.2741 0.3000 63.2 2.2 61.0
3 José Fermin 0.2302 0.0598 0.0755 40.7 1.6 39.1
4 Cal Quantrill 0.1489 0.2119 0.2812 51.5 20.9 30.6
5 Brady Singer 0.3687 0.3255 0.1935 138.7 111.8 26.9
6 Ryan Feltner 0.1293 0.1713 0.2692 67.8 41.4 26.4
7 Grayson Rodriguez 0.3827 0.3224 0.2500 66.1 42.0 24.1
8 Shota Imanaga 0.4014 0.3623 0.3438 52.1 28.8 23.3
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.4288 0.3826 0.4074 23.0 1.6 21.5
10 Zac Thornton 0.2302 0.2871 0.3333 29.3 8.1 21.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Martín Pérez 0.5000 0.2741 0.3000 136.0 2.2 133.8
2 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.2119 0.2812 112.1 20.9 91.2
3 Trevor Richards 0.2302 0.0448 0.0000 89.2 23.1 66.0
4 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3750 0.4280 0.5455 121.9 81.6 40.3
5 Matthew Liberatore 0.3214 0.2872 0.1935 105.2 78.2 27.1
6 Jacob Lopez 0.3478 0.3064 0.2593 64.4 38.2 26.1
7 Reid Detmers 0.2500 0.2226 0.2188 44.0 19.3 24.7
8 Jeffrey Springs 0.3448 0.3120 0.1379 148.1 123.7 24.5
9 Zac Gallen 0.4194 0.3758 0.1364 146.9 123.5 23.4
10 Will Warren 0.1860 0.2236 0.3438 87.6 66.3 21.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2619 0.4608 0.5000 124.6 12.0 112.6
2 Cam Schlittler 0.1714 0.3532 0.4242 145.2 37.1 108.0
3 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2683 0.4280 0.5455 184.3 81.6 102.8
4 Drew Anderson 0.2302 0.0819 0.1020 86.7 1.0 85.8
5 Nolan McLean 0.1875 0.3877 0.3871 102.7 17.1 85.7
6 Chase Burns 0.1000 0.2712 0.5172 223.8 141.0 82.8
7 Parker Messick 0.1562 0.3067 0.3750 117.1 34.4 82.6
8 José Soriano 0.1818 0.3318 0.3750 97.7 15.6 82.1
9 Jack Perkins 0.1667 0.0631 0.0811 79.9 2.3 77.6
10 Sandy Alcantara 0.2105 0.3430 0.3611 79.1 3.7 75.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2285 0.2810 0.5000 195.9 155.0 41.0
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2026 0.2548 0.4138 123.6 89.7 33.8
3 David Peterson 0.3983 0.3573 0.2812 92.7 65.2 27.5
4 Erick Fedde 0.1674 0.2112 0.2424 31.6 5.4 26.2
5 Chad Patrick 0.3505 0.2922 0.1579 95.0 69.0 26.0
6 Tyler Glasnow 0.4654 0.3818 0.3846 29.9 5.6 24.3
7 Logan Gilbert 0.4098 0.3804 0.3750 43.3 20.7 22.5
8 Aaron Nola 0.3979 0.3684 0.2121 155.2 132.8 22.3
9 JR Ritchie 0.3829 0.3155 0.0588 113.1 91.0 22.1
10 Zack Littell 0.2439 0.2849 0.3077 22.1 0.3 21.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sean Manaea 0.3359 0.2006 0.1818 109.9 26.8 83.1
2 Trevor Richards 0.2302 0.0448 0.0000 84.3 23.1 61.2
3 Lake Bachar 0.2302 0.0534 0.0377 74.0 13.6 60.4
4 Justin Bruihl 0.2302 0.0517 0.0137 79.8 20.8 58.9
5 Roki Sasaki 0.3392 0.2204 0.1923 84.1 26.3 57.8
6 Bryce Elder 0.1854 0.2613 0.3077 68.5 15.3 53.2
7 Ryan Weathers 0.3398 0.2388 0.2000 87.4 34.7 52.8
8 Ryan Watson 0.2302 0.0549 0.0189 69.2 17.9 51.3
9 Casey Legumina 0.2302 0.0590 0.0364 63.4 13.7 49.7
10 Michael Petersen 0.2302 0.0392 0.0615 49.2 0.0 49.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.2302 0.0532 0.1224 51.7 18.2 33.4
2 Nick Martinez 0.1605 0.1983 0.4839 215.1 190.1 25.1
3 Martín Pérez 0.3186 0.2741 0.3000 26.3 2.2 24.1
4 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.4248 0.4608 0.5000 35.3 12.0 23.3
5 Noah Schultz 0.3022 0.2338 0.2105 37.9 14.7 23.2
6 Eury Pérez 0.3285 0.2988 0.2667 57.6 35.9 21.7
7 Matthew Liberatore 0.3155 0.2872 0.1935 99.3 78.2 21.2
8 Will Warren 0.1913 0.2236 0.3438 86.0 66.3 19.7
9 Aaron Civale 0.3146 0.2795 0.1765 80.6 61.8 18.9
10 Kyle Bradish 0.3727 0.3477 0.2414 104.9 86.0 18.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Trevor Richards 0.2302 0.0448 0.0000 83.1 23.1 59.9
2 Ryan Gusto 0.2302 0.0881 0.0435 77.3 26.2 51.1
3 Bradgley Rodriguez 0.2302 0.0640 0.0588 54.8 8.3 46.5
4 Andrew Morris 0.2302 0.0755 0.0625 57.2 11.3 45.9
5 Gabriel Hughes 0.2302 0.0700 0.0000 68.1 26.1 42.0
6 Yoendrys Gómez 0.2302 0.0775 0.0462 57.8 15.9 41.9
7 Edgardo Henriquez 0.2302 0.0574 0.0656 42.4 3.4 39.0
8 Anthony Nunez 0.2302 0.0690 0.0577 46.7 8.6 38.1
9 José Fermin 0.2302 0.0598 0.0755 39.3 1.6 37.8
10 Brad Lord 0.2302 0.0921 0.1250 41.3 3.8 37.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Trevor Richards 0.2302 0.0448 0.0000 83.1 23.1 59.9
2 Ryan Gusto 0.2302 0.0881 0.0435 77.3 26.2 51.1
3 Bradgley Rodriguez 0.2302 0.0640 0.0588 54.8 8.3 46.5
4 Andrew Morris 0.2302 0.0755 0.0625 57.2 11.3 45.9
5 Gabriel Hughes 0.2302 0.0700 0.0000 68.1 26.1 42.0
6 Yoendrys Gómez 0.2302 0.0775 0.0462 57.8 15.9 41.9
7 Edgardo Henriquez 0.2302 0.0574 0.0656 42.4 3.4 39.0
8 Anthony Nunez 0.2302 0.0690 0.0577 46.7 8.6 38.1
9 José Fermin 0.2302 0.0598 0.0755 39.3 1.6 37.8
10 Brad Lord 0.2302 0.0921 0.1250 41.3 3.8 37.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Anderson 0.3077 0.0819 0.1020 93.4 1.0 92.4
2 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3448 0.4280 0.5455 172.6 81.6 91.0
3 Jack Perkins 0.2381 0.0631 0.0811 84.5 2.3 82.2
4 Patrick Sandoval 0.3529 0.1327 0.0667 91.6 28.3 63.3
5 Tanner Gordon 0.2609 0.1085 0.0417 103.3 42.1 61.2
6 AJ Blubaugh 0.2414 0.0703 0.0781 65.1 5.8 59.4
7 Didier Fuentes 0.3182 0.0922 0.1207 58.4 1.9 56.6
8 Andrew Morris 0.2727 0.0755 0.0625 67.2 11.3 55.9
9 Grant Holmes 0.1538 0.2115 0.3226 108.8 57.0 51.9
10 Ryan Gusto 0.2400 0.0881 0.0435 76.7 26.2 50.5

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Gregory Soto 0.2319
0.0677
(43.4)
0.0416
(50.1)
0.0312
(52.8)
0.0385
(58.6)
0.0312
(52.8)
0.0000
(61.0)
0.0335
(52.1)
0.0655
(44.7)
0.0655
(44.7)
0.0323
(53.5)
Yoendrys Gómez 0.3385
0.0001
(96.9)
0.0000
(96.2)
0.0000
(96.0)
0.0667
(84.3)
0.0000
(96.0)
0.0000
(95.2)
0.0000
(95.9)
0.0318
(88.3)
0.0318
(88.3)
0.0000
(96.9)
Kodai Senga 0.2581
0.0000
(69.6)
0.0000
(68.9)
0.0000
(68.7)
0.0294
(68.1)
0.0000
(68.7)
0.0000
(68.0)
0.0000
(68.7)
0.0000
(70.3)
0.0000
(70.3)
0.0000
(69.6)
Jacob Latz 0.5172
0.0002
(136.9)
0.0000
(136.3)
0.0000
(136.0)
0.0250
(136.7)
0.0000
(136.0)
0.0000
(135.3)
0.0000
(136.0)
0.0000
(137.6)
0.0000
(137.6)
0.0000
(136.9)
Louis Varland 0.4930
0.0741
(124.9)
0.0439
(133.4)
0.0299
(137.5)
0.0233
(147.9)
0.0299
(137.5)
0.0000
(145.9)
0.0308
(137.2)
0.0702
(126.9)
0.0702
(126.9)
0.0417
(134.8)
Sandy Alcantara 0.0833
0.0000
(63.8)
0.0000
(61.6)
0.0000
(60.9)
0.0263
(61.8)
0.0000
(60.9)
0.0000
(58.5)
0.0000
(60.7)
0.0000
(66.0)
0.0000
(66.0)
0.0000
(63.7)
Riley O'Brien 0.5758
0.2425
(88.6)
0.2297
(91.5)
0.2063
(97.8)
0.0968
(135.5)
0.2063
(97.7)
0.2315
(90.1)
0.2029
(98.6)
0.2370
(90.9)
0.2370
(90.9)
0.2549
(85.2)
Mason Montgomery 0.2571
0.0284
(60.3)
0.0293
(59.3)
0.0333
(58.0)
0.0270
(67.3)
0.0333
(58.0)
0.0000
(66.5)
0.0358
(57.3)
0.0353
(59.0)
0.0353
(59.0)
0.0444
(55.8)
Bryan Baker 0.6308
0.0403
(141.2)
0.0365
(141.5)
0.0476
(138.6)
0.0435
(146.2)
0.0476
(138.6)
0.0000
(149.5)
0.0512
(137.6)
0.0329
(143.6)
0.0329
(143.6)
0.0500
(138.8)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.2978 0.0000 142.2
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.4426 0.0845 108.1
3 Dennis Santana 0.3833 0.0526 85.7
4 Taylor Rogers 0.2771 0.0308 71.3
5 Tanner Scott 0.0813 0.3623 67.5
6 Victor Vodnik 0.2848 0.0755 58.9
7 Kevin Ginkel 0.2245 0.0405 53.9
8 Seranthony Domínguez 0.3692 0.1791 52.5
9 JoJo Romero 0.1953 0.0000 49.3
10 Abner Uribe 0.2789 0.0984 45.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.2314 0.0000 112.9
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.4252 0.0845 103.7
3 Dennis Santana 0.3704 0.0526 83.0
4 Taylor Rogers 0.2878 0.0308 74.9
5 Tanner Scott 0.0724 0.3623 69.2
6 Victor Vodnik 0.3204 0.0755 69.0
7 Trevor Megill 0.2453 0.4762 52.4
8 JoJo Romero 0.1812 0.0000 46.5
9 Abner Uribe 0.2694 0.0984 43.4
10 Alex Lange 0.0006 0.1695 42.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Hoffman 0.4127 0.0845 100.3
2 Griffin Jax 0.1765 0.0000 88.0
3 Dennis Santana 0.3676 0.0526 82.6
4 Taylor Rogers 0.3115 0.0308 81.7
5 Victor Vodnik 0.3594 0.0755 79.6
6 Trevor Megill 0.1667 0.4762 71.2
7 Tanner Scott 0.0635 0.3623 71.2
8 Michael Soroka 0.0962 0.0000 52.7
9 JoJo Romero 0.1875 0.0000 48.2
10 Cade Smith 0.4286 0.5942 44.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Smith 0.1091 0.5942 146.7
2 Kyle Finnegan 0.3778 0.0317 90.2
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.2600 0.6604 87.9
4 Clay Holmes 0.2143 0.0000 84.7
5 Mason Miller 0.2955 0.5758 79.5
6 David Bednar 0.3265 0.5469 65.1
7 Camilo Doval 0.2549 0.0152 62.2
8 Hogan Harris 0.0588 0.2297 56.9
9 Raisel Iglesias 0.3725 0.5763 51.6
10 Jhoan Duran 0.3462 0.5410 48.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Hoffman 0.4127 0.0845 100.3
2 Griffin Jax 0.1765 0.0000 88.0
3 Dennis Santana 0.3676 0.0526 82.6
4 Taylor Rogers 0.3115 0.0308 81.7
5 Victor Vodnik 0.3594 0.0755 79.6
6 Trevor Megill 0.1667 0.4762 71.2
7 Tanner Scott 0.0635 0.3623 71.2
8 Michael Soroka 0.0962 0.0000 52.7
9 JoJo Romero 0.1875 0.0000 48.3
10 Cade Smith 0.4286 0.5942 44.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.1852 0.0000 93.2
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.3858 0.0845 93.2
3 Dennis Santana 0.3086 0.0526 68.5
4 Tanner Scott 0.0772 0.3623 67.1
5 Raisel Iglesias 0.3086 0.5763 59.7
6 Trevor Megill 0.2315 0.4762 54.9
7 Aroldis Chapman 0.3858 0.6604 54.7
8 Paul Sewald 0.1235 0.3871 53.8
9 Taylor Rogers 0.1852 0.0308 47.5
10 Victor Vodnik 0.2315 0.0755 46.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Hoffman 0.4147 0.0845 100.9
2 Griffin Jax 0.1793 0.0000 89.4
3 Taylor Rogers 0.3164 0.0308 83.1
4 Dennis Santana 0.3682 0.0526 82.7
5 Victor Vodnik 0.3642 0.0755 80.9
6 Trevor Megill 0.1630 0.4762 72.1
7 Tanner Scott 0.0601 0.3623 72.0
8 Michael Soroka 0.0936 0.0000 51.6
9 JoJo Romero 0.1939 0.0000 49.8
10 Cade Smith 0.4277 0.5942 44.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.3048 0.0000 144.3
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.4499 0.0845 109.5
3 Dennis Santana 0.3876 0.0526 86.1
4 Taylor Rogers 0.2811 0.0308 71.7
5 Tanner Scott 0.0811 0.3623 68.2
6 Victor Vodnik 0.2895 0.0755 59.4
7 Kevin Ginkel 0.2326 0.0405 55.4
8 Seranthony Domínguez 0.3707 0.1791 52.3
9 JoJo Romero 0.1968 0.0000 49.1
10 Abner Uribe 0.2807 0.0984 44.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.3048 0.0000 144.3
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.4499 0.0845 109.5
3 Dennis Santana 0.3876 0.0526 86.1
4 Taylor Rogers 0.2811 0.0308 71.7
5 Tanner Scott 0.0811 0.3623 68.2
6 Victor Vodnik 0.2895 0.0755 59.4
7 Kevin Ginkel 0.2326 0.0405 55.4
8 Seranthony Domínguez 0.3707 0.1791 52.3
9 JoJo Romero 0.1968 0.0000 49.1
10 Abner Uribe 0.2807 0.0984 44.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Soroka 0.2083 0.0000 104.2
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.4262 0.0845 103.3
3 Victor Vodnik 0.4259 0.0755 96.4
4 Taylor Rogers 0.3654 0.0308 95.7
5 Dennis Santana 0.3906 0.0526 87.5
6 Griffin Jax 0.1765 0.0000 86.5
7 Tanner Scott 0.0635 0.3623 72.0
8 Trevor Megill 0.2245 0.4762 58.0
9 JoJo Romero 0.1967 0.0000 49.7
10 Brad Lord 0.1500 0.0250 48.9

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Griffin Jax 0.2978 0.2314 0.0000 142.2 112.9 29.4
2 Kevin Ginkel 0.2245 0.1286 0.0405 53.9 28.2 25.7
3 Bryan Abreu 0.1856 0.1260 0.1364 16.4 1.1 15.3
4 Andrés Muñoz 0.5596 0.4957 0.4590 27.0 12.3 14.7
5 Seranthony Domínguez 0.3692 0.3264 0.1791 52.5 42.0 10.5
6 Zac Thornton 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 14.8 4.9 9.9
7 Kyle Finnegan 0.0992 0.0707 0.0317 21.5 14.4 7.1
8 Zach Agnos 0.0829 0.0653 0.0488 18.8 12.6 6.2
9 Hunter Gaddis 0.0735 0.0520 0.0147 18.2 13.3 4.9
10 José Fermin 0.0318 0.0000 0.0189 5.9 1.1 4.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Peter Lambert 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 31.2 9.6 21.6
2 Trevor Megill 0.1667 0.2453 0.4762 71.2 52.4 18.8
3 Jhoan Duran 0.4143 0.4654 0.5410 26.3 14.4 11.9
4 Bryan Abreu 0.0735 0.1260 0.1364 12.8 1.1 11.7
5 Mason Miller 0.4848 0.5263 0.5758 20.6 9.5 11.1
6 Zac Thornton 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 15.8 4.9 11.0
7 Michael Soroka 0.0962 0.0738 0.0000 52.7 41.7 11.0
8 Victor Vodnik 0.3594 0.3204 0.0755 79.6 69.0 10.6
9 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.0833 0.0521 0.0299 17.9 9.6 8.4
10 Cade Smith 0.4286 0.4557 0.5942 44.4 36.6 7.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Smith 0.1091 0.4557 0.5942 146.7 36.6 110.1
2 Clay Holmes 0.2143 0.0023 0.0000 84.7 7.0 77.7
3 Kyle Finnegan 0.3778 0.0707 0.0317 90.2 14.4 75.8
4 Mason Miller 0.2955 0.5263 0.5758 79.5 9.5 70.0
5 David Bednar 0.3265 0.5195 0.5469 65.1 3.6 61.4
6 Aroldis Chapman 0.2600 0.4956 0.6604 87.9 32.0 55.8
7 Camilo Doval 0.2549 0.0588 0.0152 62.2 15.9 46.3
8 Hogan Harris 0.0588 0.1753 0.2297 56.9 12.4 44.5
9 Riley O'Brien 0.0968 0.2297 0.5758 135.5 91.5 44.0
10 Clayton Beeter 0.0435 0.2481 0.2400 43.6 4.7 38.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Foster Griffin 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 33.9 10.4 23.5
2 Anthony Kay 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 33.4 10.2 23.2
3 Trevor Megill 0.1667 0.2453 0.4762 71.2 52.4 18.8
4 Jhoan Duran 0.4143 0.4654 0.5410 26.3 14.4 11.9
5 Bryan Abreu 0.0735 0.1260 0.1364 12.8 1.1 11.7
6 Mason Miller 0.4848 0.5263 0.5758 20.6 9.5 11.0
7 Michael Soroka 0.0962 0.0738 0.0000 52.7 41.7 11.0
8 Victor Vodnik 0.3594 0.3204 0.0755 79.6 69.0 10.6
9 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.0833 0.0521 0.0299 17.9 9.6 8.4
10 Cade Smith 0.4286 0.4557 0.5942 44.4 36.6 7.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Paul Sewald 0.1235 0.2408 0.3871 53.8 28.9 24.9
2 Peter Lambert 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 33.0 9.6 23.4
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.3858 0.4956 0.6604 54.7 32.0 22.7
4 Raisel Iglesias 0.3086 0.4024 0.5763 59.7 38.1 21.6
5 Hogan Harris 0.1080 0.1753 0.2297 32.3 12.4 19.9
6 Tyler Phillips 0.0000 0.0364 0.0541 19.5 1.7 17.8
7 Mason Miller 0.4630 0.5263 0.5758 25.8 9.5 16.3
8 Jake Bennett 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 22.6 6.6 16.0
9 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0439 0.4930 145.9 133.4 12.4
10 Andrew Kittredge 0.0000 0.0598 0.2000 39.0 26.9 12.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Trevor Megill 0.1630 0.2453 0.4762 72.1 52.4 19.7
2 Jhoan Duran 0.4087 0.4654 0.5410 27.6 14.4 13.1
3 Mason Miller 0.4790 0.5263 0.5758 22.1 9.5 12.6
4 Victor Vodnik 0.3642 0.3204 0.0755 80.9 69.0 11.9
5 Bryan Abreu 0.0787 0.1260 0.1364 11.3 1.1 10.2
6 Michael Soroka 0.0936 0.0738 0.0000 51.6 41.7 9.8
7 Taylor Rogers 0.3164 0.2878 0.0308 83.1 74.9 8.2
8 Cade Smith 0.4277 0.4557 0.5942 44.6 36.6 8.0
9 Riley O'Brien 0.2029 0.2297 0.5758 98.6 91.5 7.1
10 Grant Taylor 0.0613 0.0832 0.1667 30.2 23.2 7.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Griffin Jax 0.3048 0.2314 0.0000 144.3 112.9 31.4
2 Kevin Ginkel 0.2326 0.1286 0.0405 55.4 28.2 27.2
3 Brandon Young 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 27.6 9.7 18.0
4 Walbert Ureña 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 25.8 9.0 16.8
5 Justin Wrobleski 0.0318 0.0005 0.0000 23.9 8.6 15.2
6 Emerson Hancock 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 23.4 8.2 15.2
7 Bryan Abreu 0.1854 0.1260 0.1364 15.7 1.1 14.6
8 Connor Prielipp 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 22.1 7.7 14.4
9 Andrés Muñoz 0.5601 0.4957 0.4590 26.5 12.3 14.3
10 Christian Scott 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 19.6 6.8 12.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Griffin Jax 0.3048 0.2314 0.0000 144.3 112.9 31.4
2 Kevin Ginkel 0.2326 0.1286 0.0405 55.4 28.2 27.2
3 Brandon Young 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 27.6 9.7 18.0
4 Walbert Ureña 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 25.8 9.0 16.8
5 Justin Wrobleski 0.0318 0.0005 0.0000 23.9 8.6 15.2
6 Emerson Hancock 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 23.4 8.2 15.2
7 Bryan Abreu 0.1854 0.1260 0.1364 15.7 1.1 14.6
8 Connor Prielipp 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 22.1 7.7 14.4
9 Andrés Muñoz 0.5601 0.4957 0.4590 26.5 12.3 14.3
10 Christian Scott 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 19.6 6.8 12.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Soroka 0.2083 0.0738 0.0000 104.2 41.7 62.5
2 Clayton Beeter 0.4167 0.2481 0.2400 39.4 4.7 34.7
3 Victor Vodnik 0.4259 0.3204 0.0755 96.4 69.0 27.4
4 Brad Lord 0.1500 0.0747 0.0250 48.9 22.9 26.0
5 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.1389 0.0521 0.0299 31.6 9.6 22.0
6 Taylor Rogers 0.3654 0.2878 0.0308 95.7 74.9 20.8
7 Peter Lambert 0.0318 0.0000 0.0000 29.1 9.6 19.5
8 Tyler Phillips 0.0811 0.0364 0.0541 21.0 1.7 19.3
9 Bryan Abreu 0.0725 0.1260 0.1364 13.9 1.1 12.8
10 Zach Agnos 0.0976 0.0653 0.0488 24.8 12.6 12.2

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 1.8034
4.0636
(1419.8)
3.9685
(1330.2)
4.0000
(1406.2)
4.2398
(1600.8)
3.4097
(1026.9)
4.4070
(1568.5)
4.1054
(1481.2)
4.0837
(1367.6)
3.8602
(1219.5)
3.8560
(1300.4)
Kodai Senga 7.3370
3.9417
(996.3)
4.0483
(977.3)
3.8182
(1019.0)
3.4197
(1116.9)
3.9930
(963.9)
4.3229
(922.3)
3.9187
(988.5)
4.2023
(950.4)
4.2203
(945.1)
3.7471
(1043.4)
Cam Schlittler 1.9518
3.9065
(1392.3)
4.0276
(1454.3)
4.0500
(1534.3)
3.6437
(1265.3)
3.6848
(1271.5)
4.2608
(1570.8)
4.0145
(1512.9)
4.2699
(1593.8)
4.0602
(1434.8)
3.9984
(1483.6)
Jack Perkins 6.0992
3.9010
(1256.9)
3.9100
(1273.5)
3.7500
(1315.3)
4.1270
(1082.8)
4.2001
(1061.0)
3.9010
(1321.7)
3.7592
(1306.3)
3.5323
(1509.7)
4.1426
(1179.1)
3.9368
(1222.4)
Eduardo Rodriguez 2.8946
4.4083
(1094.2)
4.4889
(1126.5)
4.1955
(960.5)
4.4840
(1229.4)
4.6685
(1349.0)
4.4967
(1069.6)
4.2813
(1034.0)
4.6857
(1235.2)
4.7552
(1290.5)
4.1316
(898.3)
Luis Castillo 5.8546
3.8977
(1232.6)
4.0675
(1155.5)
3.8571
(1231.0)
3.6479
(1323.7)
3.7942
(1256.5)
4.3639
(1027.4)
3.8643
(1222.4)
4.1901
(1117.9)
4.5099
(928.0)
3.8643
(1235.7)
Michael Lorenzen 7.2094
5.1689
(1340.6)
5.3022
(1282.6)
5.0979
(1357.8)
4.1320
(1923.0)
5.3228
(1206.3)
4.7580
(1669.0)
5.2670
(1248.5)
5.6701
(1091.4)
6.0302
(867.9)
4.9334
(1468.9)

Individual Misses for ERA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 4.4014 5.8471 1138.9
2 Jeffrey Springs 4.5610 6.1822 1100.3
3 Walbert Ureña 4.7892 2.9730 1056.8
4 Kyle Freeland 5.1214 6.6502 1013.9
5 Parker Messick 4.0058 2.5599 986.5
6 Grayson Rodriguez 3.9814 6.0203 960.9
7 Cal Quantrill 5.1389 2.8636 952.5
8 Sean Burke 4.7902 3.3424 947.0
9 Zac Gallen 4.1950 6.0665 942.4
10 Paul Blackburn 4.4405 1.6941 880.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 4.5097 5.8471 1089.1
2 Walbert Ureña 4.8491 2.9730 1069.5
3 Parker Messick 4.1372 2.5599 1055.1
4 Grayson Rodriguez 3.9283 6.0203 1002.0
5 Kyle Freeland 5.2022 6.6502 988.7
6 Jeffrey Springs 4.8152 6.1822 965.1
7 Martín Pérez 4.8005 3.0423 949.7
8 Zac Gallen 4.2625 6.0665 929.3
9 Sean Burke 4.7787 3.3424 910.4
10 Nick Martinez 4.5100 3.1000 899.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 5.6250 2.8636 1186.9
2 Walbert Ureña 4.9286 2.9730 1170.9
3 Jeffrey Springs 4.4451 6.1822 1146.1
4 Brady Singer 4.3684 5.8471 1131.5
5 Kyle Freeland 5.0062 6.6502 1058.1
6 Parker Messick 4.0465 2.5599 1049.2
7 Zac Gallen 4.0549 6.0665 988.1
8 Grayson Rodriguez 3.9823 6.0203 941.3
9 Sean Burke 4.7234 3.3424 930.1
10 Paul Blackburn 4.3548 1.6941 866.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 3.9806 6.1822 1405.4
2 Rhett Lowder 3.6000 5.7375 1306.5
3 Brady Singer 4.1590 5.8471 1245.1
4 Dylan Cease 4.1667 2.3964 1192.6
5 Kyle Freeland 4.8342 6.6502 1131.1
6 Seth Lugo 3.7275 5.1702 1105.5
7 Reid Detmers 4.7809 3.3568 1032.2
8 Cal Quantrill 5.1467 2.8636 998.5
9 Paul Blackburn 4.6531 1.6941 984.4
10 Paul Skenes 2.5102 3.8203 953.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Grayson Rodriguez 3.4126 6.0203 1185.4
2 Martín Pérez 5.0802 3.0423 1177.6
3 Michael Wacha 4.8131 3.3189 1162.9
4 Brady Singer 4.3179 5.8471 1153.7
5 Parker Messick 4.1042 2.5599 1107.1
6 Walbert Ureña 4.7655 2.9730 1081.5
7 Cal Quantrill 5.0628 2.8636 946.7
8 Paul Blackburn 4.5695 1.6941 945.3
9 Zac Gallen 4.2087 6.0665 906.2
10 Matthew Liberatore 3.9829 5.2258 879.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 4.5947 6.6502 1410.2
2 Brady Singer 4.3511 5.8471 1262.2
3 Parker Messick 4.3078 2.5599 1122.7
4 Walbert Ureña 4.9934 2.9730 1109.7
5 Nick Martinez 4.8439 3.1000 1082.3
6 Jeffrey Springs 4.7625 6.1822 1048.7
7 Sean Burke 4.9866 3.3424 1001.9
8 Grayson Rodriguez 4.0107 6.0203 1001.0
9 Tanner Gordon 4.8140 6.6849 1000.8
10 Martín Pérez 4.8396 3.0423 925.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 4.3682 5.8471 1126.3
2 Parker Messick 4.0813 2.5599 1080.8
3 Jeffrey Springs 4.6197 6.1822 1031.4
4 Grayson Rodriguez 3.8169 6.0203 1011.4
5 Sean Burke 4.8066 3.3424 995.0
6 Kyle Freeland 5.1505 6.6502 965.1
7 Cal Quantrill 4.9794 2.8636 904.2
8 Michael Wacha 4.5036 3.3189 901.4
9 Zac Gallen 4.2437 6.0665 895.5
10 Martín Pérez 4.5952 3.0423 881.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Parker Messick 4.3538 2.5599 1172.9
2 Sean Burke 5.0699 3.3424 1076.7
3 Nick Martinez 4.7793 3.1000 1050.9
4 Martín Pérez 5.0005 3.0423 1033.8
5 Paul Blackburn 4.8461 1.6941 983.9
6 Grayson Rodriguez 4.0503 6.0203 974.0
7 Brady Singer 4.7499 5.8471 957.7
8 Cal Quantrill 5.0923 2.8636 888.2
9 Paul Skenes 2.8098 3.8203 878.8
10 Logan Webb 3.2601 4.3133 853.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 5.1014 3.1000 1284.1
2 Martín Pérez 5.3139 3.0423 1221.0
3 Michael Wacha 4.8503 3.3189 1062.4
4 Parker Messick 4.1163 2.5599 996.1
5 Grayson Rodriguez 4.0196 6.0203 987.3
6 Paul Blackburn 4.6469 1.6941 917.2
7 Drew Rasmussen 4.2398 2.6686 902.0
8 Cal Quantrill 5.0881 2.8636 886.7
9 Zac Gallen 4.4199 6.0665 882.4
10 Logan Webb 3.2601 4.3133 852.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walbert Ureña 5.2627 2.9730 1370.4
2 Jeffrey Springs 4.2038 6.1822 1307.6
3 Kyle Freeland 4.8416 6.6502 1168.3
4 Brady Singer 4.4370 5.8471 1092.7
5 Zac Gallen 3.8571 6.0665 1088.6
6 Paul Blackburn 4.8972 1.6941 1043.6
7 Parker Messick 3.9919 2.5599 997.2
8 Cal Quantrill 5.1299 2.8636 960.9
9 Mike Burrows 3.9130 5.9894 919.4
10 Logan Webb 3.0600 4.3133 902.1

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Abbott 4.1112 4.3757 4.6084 453.7 289.8 163.9
2 Seth Lugo 4.4138 4.6347 5.1702 662.1 525.9 136.2
3 Jeffrey Springs 4.5610 4.8152 6.1822 1100.3 965.1 135.2
4 Payton Tolle 4.1581 3.9978 3.0269 606.6 486.1 120.6
5 Peter Lambert 4.5795 4.4654 3.8158 423.9 321.9 102.1
6 Anthony Kay 4.4230 4.6126 4.4430 103.1 3.4 99.7
7 Janson Junk 4.5814 4.4313 4.2210 123.0 23.8 99.2
8 Didier Fuentes 4.6323 4.3408 2.4545 609.6 511.3 98.3
9 Will Warren 4.2864 4.1852 3.9231 161.2 65.9 95.3
10 Taj Bradley 4.3962 4.3117 3.7346 401.2 308.4 92.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Quantrill 5.6250 5.0416 2.8636 1186.9 891.8 295.1
2 Jeffrey Springs 4.4451 4.8152 6.1822 1146.1 965.1 181.0
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 5.1652 5.4519 5.3650 184.9 51.1 133.8
4 Christian Scott 4.2188 4.0230 3.8455 138.1 6.0 132.0
5 Chase Burns 3.7009 3.5837 2.8575 479.7 353.8 126.0
6 Aaron Ashby 3.7895 3.5781 3.1231 223.8 111.1 112.7
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.4258 3.3506 2.5297 576.3 464.5 111.8
8 Edgardo Henriquez 4.5000 4.1231 2.8500 379.4 268.2 111.2
9 Payton Tolle 4.0909 3.9978 3.0269 592.1 486.1 106.0
10 Anthony Kay 4.3714 4.6126 4.4430 109.1 3.4 105.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sandy Alcantara 4.7951 4.2142 3.8692 801.6 161.1 640.5
2 Michael Lorenzen 4.1320 5.3022 7.2094 1923.0 1282.6 640.4
3 Seth Lugo 3.7275 4.6347 5.1702 1105.5 525.9 579.6
4 Andrew Abbott 3.4550 4.3757 4.6084 862.2 289.8 572.3
5 Tomoyuki Sugano 4.4601 5.4519 5.3650 612.8 51.1 561.7
6 Chase Burns 4.3281 3.5837 2.8575 908.1 353.8 554.4
7 Reid Detmers 4.7809 4.1865 3.3568 1032.2 492.1 540.1
8 Rhett Lowder 3.6000 4.5991 5.7375 1306.5 785.8 520.7
9 Dylan Cease 4.1667 3.6120 2.3964 1192.6 719.8 472.8
10 Grant Taylor 4.4421 3.2397 2.2500 726.7 277.2 449.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 3.9962 4.6126 4.4430 361.4 3.4 358.0
2 Andrew Alvarez 4.9968 4.3681 3.4349 709.4 363.5 345.9
3 Michael Wacha 4.8131 4.5368 3.3189 1162.9 855.1 307.8
4 Jake Bennett 5.1450 4.6111 3.6529 650.6 361.0 289.6
5 Noah Cameron 4.6579 4.3742 4.1109 361.8 73.5 288.3
6 Ranger Suarez 4.0555 3.7508 3.2157 475.9 226.6 249.3
7 Michael McGreevy 4.4445 4.2046 3.9486 304.5 64.0 240.5
8 Martín Pérez 5.0802 4.8005 3.0423 1177.6 949.7 227.9
9 Drew Anderson 4.3077 3.9224 3.6667 264.0 41.5 222.5
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 4.6685 4.4889 2.8946 1349.0 1126.5 222.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Freeland 4.5947 5.2022 6.6502 1410.2 988.7 421.5
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 4.9428 5.4519 5.3650 437.6 51.1 386.5
3 Michael Lorenzen 4.7580 5.3022 7.2094 1669.0 1282.6 386.4
4 Gabriel Hughes 3.9962 5.0839 6.3281 729.2 398.8 330.5
5 Ryan Feltner 4.7410 5.2437 5.4000 495.3 175.9 319.4
6 Tanner Gordon 4.8140 5.3829 6.6849 1000.8 693.8 307.0
7 Jacob Misiorowski 4.4070 3.9685 1.8034 1568.5 1330.2 238.3
8 Emerson Hancock 4.8511 4.4418 3.5697 586.6 400.3 186.3
9 Nick Martinez 4.8439 4.5100 3.1000 1082.3 899.0 183.2
10 Braxton Ashcraft 4.2661 3.9146 3.6472 249.5 68.4 181.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 4.1388 4.6126 4.4430 269.0 3.4 265.6
2 David Peterson 3.6491 3.9953 4.7933 808.0 638.3 169.7
3 Braxton Ashcraft 4.0768 3.9146 3.6472 236.8 68.4 168.4
4 Jacob Misiorowski 4.1054 3.9685 1.8034 1481.2 1330.2 151.0
5 Sean Manaea 3.8228 4.1265 4.7788 673.0 533.5 139.5
6 Christian Scott 3.6223 4.0230 3.8455 141.1 6.0 135.1
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.4509 3.3506 2.5297 599.4 464.5 134.8
8 Chase Burns 3.7061 3.5837 2.8575 487.6 353.8 133.9
9 Miles Mikolas 4.6790 5.0119 5.8190 604.9 484.0 120.9
10 Payton Tolle 4.0849 3.9978 3.0269 593.0 486.1 106.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 6.2001 5.4519 5.3650 401.0 51.1 349.9
2 Gabriel Hughes 3.9962 5.0839 6.3281 723.3 398.8 324.5
3 Colin Rea 3.9962 4.4627 4.3358 330.7 22.2 308.5
4 Anthony Kay 5.0568 4.6126 4.4430 276.9 3.4 273.6
5 Davis Martin 5.2398 4.7864 3.9452 660.7 417.4 243.4
6 Jack Perkins 3.5323 3.9100 6.0992 1509.7 1273.5 236.2
7 Noah Schultz 3.9962 4.5712 5.5695 582.2 376.8 205.4
8 Kyle Leahy 4.7931 4.3898 3.6643 539.5 334.2 205.3
9 JR Ritchie 3.9962 4.5660 4.9091 370.5 165.6 205.0
10 Albert Suárez 5.5714 4.8342 3.8571 390.5 212.8 177.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martinez 5.1014 4.5100 3.1000 1284.1 899.0 385.0
2 Gabriel Hughes 3.9962 5.0839 6.3281 723.0 398.8 324.3
3 Colin Rea 3.9962 4.4627 4.3358 330.2 22.2 308.0
4 Sandy Alcantara 4.5797 4.2142 3.8692 436.0 161.1 274.8
5 Martín Pérez 5.3139 4.8005 3.0423 1221.0 949.7 271.3
6 Drew Rasmussen 4.2398 3.8081 2.6686 902.0 652.1 249.9
7 Brennan Bernardino 5.7114 4.7280 2.8125 714.5 467.4 247.0
8 Anthony Kay 5.0120 4.6126 4.4430 245.7 3.4 242.3
9 Davis Martin 5.2100 4.7864 3.9452 642.8 417.4 225.5
10 Michael Wacha 4.8503 4.5368 3.3189 1062.4 855.1 207.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jeffrey Springs 4.2038 4.8152 6.1822 1307.6 965.1 342.5
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 4.8891 5.4519 5.3650 375.9 51.1 324.8
3 Walbert Ureña 5.2627 4.8491 2.9730 1370.4 1069.5 300.8
4 J.T. Ginn 4.5446 4.1186 3.7084 428.6 142.3 286.3
5 Andrew Abbott 3.9201 4.3757 4.6084 572.6 289.8 282.7
6 Christian Scott 4.5212 4.0230 3.8455 274.3 6.0 268.2
7 Ryan Weathers 4.4844 4.0927 3.6044 444.7 183.8 260.9
8 Tanner Bibee 3.6545 4.0448 4.3564 623.2 371.6 251.6
9 Merrill Kelly 3.7987 4.2041 4.9444 875.0 637.2 237.8
10 Jesús Luzardo 3.9130 3.6796 2.8553 701.3 481.5 219.8

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 0.8015
1.2746
(306.7)
1.2890
(312.3)
1.2815
(305.6)
1.2741
(319.6)
1.2702
(299.0)
1.3806
(371.0)
1.3428
(335.8)
1.2974
(325.6)
1.2523
(296.3)
1.2082
(267.1)
Michael Lorenzen 1.8848
1.4485
(277.4)
1.4751
(264.7)
1.4545
(278.9)
1.2841
(366.9)
1.4833
(260.3)
1.4161
(303.3)
1.4917
(265.8)
1.5067
(237.9)
1.5582
(205.3)
1.4252
(287.6)
Parker Messick 1.0626
1.2867
(158.6)
1.3013
(164.9)
1.3023
(163.9)
1.2915
(177.0)
1.3151
(174.4)
1.3608
(206.9)
1.3249
(168.8)
1.2979
(171.1)
1.2504
(136.4)
1.2742
(154.3)
Cam Schlittler 0.9191
1.2711
(258.8)
1.2815
(262.2)
1.2833
(261.7)
1.2551
(261.8)
1.2773
(258.1)
1.3259
(293.4)
1.3056
(266.4)
1.2917
(278.8)
1.2523
(249.7)
1.2471
(245.8)
George Kirby 1.3969
1.1058
(224.5)
1.1110
(225.1)
1.1156
(223.5)
1.1469
(179.3)
1.0801
(248.9)
1.1467
(201.2)
1.1195
(232.5)
1.0960
(227.6)
1.1194
(209.5)
1.1104
(216.1)
Kyle Bradish 1.4581
1.1825
(192.2)
1.2059
(180.7)
1.2055
(182.6)
1.1543
(197.8)
1.1980
(186.7)
1.1950
(190.2)
1.2361
(172.8)
1.2063
(172.6)
1.2445
(146.3)
1.1800
(189.4)
Luis Castillo 1.4923
1.1903
(185.8)
1.2158
(174.3)
1.2198
(173.4)
1.1918
(173.2)
1.1895
(190.6)
1.2374
(163.5)
1.2219
(181.6)
1.2060
(173.2)
1.2534
(144.5)
1.2134
(168.1)
Drew Rasmussen 0.9128
1.1522
(152.3)
1.1880
(172.2)
1.1875
(170.2)
1.1162
(141.5)
1.1726
(161.1)
1.1925
(172.9)
1.2209
(181.8)
1.1943
(184.1)
1.2430
(217.5)
1.1435
(151.0)
Brady Singer 1.5924
1.2933
(225.4)
1.3154
(213.7)
1.2982
(228.0)
1.2816
(219.5)
1.3039
(222.9)
1.3156
(216.0)
1.3239
(221.0)
1.3425
(185.7)
1.3516
(178.2)
1.2781
(231.4)

Individual Misses for WHIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keider Montero 1.3497 1.0387 187.0
2 Reid Detmers 1.2871 1.0378 175.7
3 Walbert Ureña 1.5113 1.2270 170.3
4 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1119 0.8703 162.7
5 Merrill Kelly 1.2444 1.4568 157.9
6 Cal Quantrill 1.3948 1.0364 153.5
7 Andrew Abbott 1.2542 1.4518 152.7
8 Nick Lodolo 1.1853 1.4816 149.7
9 Jacob Latz 1.3582 0.8056 146.6
10 Michael Wacha 1.2943 1.1063 143.1

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walbert Ureña 1.5590 1.2270 196.3
2 Keider Montero 1.3394 1.0387 176.8
3 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1297 0.8703 171.0
4 Reid Detmers 1.2728 1.0378 160.7
5 Grayson Rodriguez 1.2373 1.5608 151.6
6 Michael Wacha 1.3099 1.1063 150.8
7 Cal Quantrill 1.3943 1.0364 150.7
8 Jacob Latz 1.3629 0.8056 146.2
9 Andrew Abbott 1.2699 1.4518 145.7
10 Nick Lodolo 1.2015 1.4816 144.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 1.5000 1.0364 196.4
2 Keider Montero 1.3455 1.0387 179.0
3 Walbert Ureña 1.5238 1.2270 172.8
4 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1161 0.8703 159.7
5 Jacob Latz 1.4043 0.8056 156.7
6 Reid Detmers 1.2603 1.0378 149.6
7 Nick Lodolo 1.2039 1.4816 144.8
8 Grayson Rodriguez 1.2655 1.5608 140.2
9 Sean Burke 1.4113 1.1954 140.1
10 Andrew Abbott 1.2848 1.4518 136.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reid Detmers 1.3546 1.0378 240.4
2 Merrill Kelly 1.1734 1.4568 193.8
3 Keider Montero 1.3358 1.0387 190.7
4 Seth Lugo 1.2158 1.4739 187.8
5 Cal Quantrill 1.4296 1.0364 177.8
6 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.0969 0.8703 166.2
7 Andrew Abbott 1.2272 1.4518 157.9
8 Cade Cavalli 1.3561 1.1552 147.5
9 Logan Henderson 1.2299 0.8441 146.2
10 Payton Tolle 1.3306 1.0964 146.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walbert Ureña 1.5456 1.2270 187.2
2 Michael Wacha 1.3447 1.1063 178.2
3 Cal Quantrill 1.4561 1.0364 177.5
4 Keider Montero 1.3407 1.0387 176.9
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1357 0.8703 174.5
6 Grayson Rodriguez 1.1904 1.5608 172.9
7 Jake Bennett 1.4604 1.1029 154.0
8 Andrew Abbott 1.2619 1.4518 152.3
9 Nick Lodolo 1.1940 1.4816 149.0
10 Matthew Liberatore 1.2761 1.4710 144.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walbert Ureña 1.6732 1.2270 265.7
2 Reid Detmers 1.3157 1.0378 189.9
3 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1569 0.8703 187.9
4 Jacob Latz 1.4337 0.8056 164.5
5 Keider Montero 1.3204 1.0387 162.8
6 Nick Martinez 1.3307 1.0944 155.3
7 Cal Quantrill 1.4069 1.0364 154.7
8 Logan Henderson 1.2762 0.8441 152.5
9 Grayson Rodriguez 1.2388 1.5608 152.4
10 Sean Burke 1.4244 1.1954 148.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.2060 0.8703 212.0
2 Keider Montero 1.3319 1.0387 160.6
3 Reid Detmers 1.2904 1.0378 160.0
4 Walbert Ureña 1.5148 1.2270 157.2
5 Grayson Rodriguez 1.2498 1.5608 154.2
6 Jacob Latz 1.4093 0.8056 153.8
7 Cal Quantrill 1.4187 1.0364 153.3
8 Michael Wacha 1.3288 1.1063 151.1
9 Gavin Williams 1.3507 1.1121 150.9
10 Tanner Gordon 1.3833 1.6592 147.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reid Detmers 1.2961 1.0378 186.5
2 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1288 0.8703 178.6
3 Andrew Abbott 1.2506 1.4518 151.2
4 Gavin Williams 1.3190 1.1121 149.7
5 Grayson Rodriguez 1.2315 1.5608 149.0
6 Merrill Kelly 1.2585 1.4568 144.0
7 Michael Wacha 1.2893 1.1063 143.5
8 Cal Quantrill 1.3663 1.0364 143.4
9 Simeon Woods Richardson 1.2923 1.7576 142.9
10 Jacob Latz 1.3352 0.8056 141.8

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1502 0.8703 194.5
2 Nick Martinez 1.3632 1.0944 190.4
3 Michael Wacha 1.3396 1.1063 185.3
4 Reid Detmers 1.2808 1.0378 176.0
5 Gavin Williams 1.3335 1.1121 161.3
6 Grayson Rodriguez 1.2277 1.5608 150.2
7 Cal Quantrill 1.3700 1.0364 145.6
8 Keider Montero 1.2700 1.0387 141.4
9 Framber Valdez 1.1831 1.3621 139.6
10 Martín Pérez 1.5104 1.2746 137.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keider Montero 1.3544 1.0387 194.2
2 Walbert Ureña 1.5424 1.2270 194.0
3 Jacob Latz 1.3802 0.8056 154.4
4 Andrew Abbott 1.2462 1.4518 153.5
5 Zac Gallen 1.2286 1.5475 152.9
6 Merrill Kelly 1.2468 1.4568 151.4
7 Nick Lodolo 1.1818 1.4816 148.2
8 Matthew Liberatore 1.2576 1.4710 147.2
9 Mike Burrows 1.2245 1.5528 141.0
10 Simeon Woods Richardson 1.2999 1.7576 140.2

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Dylan Cease 1.2190 1.1960 1.1006 73.0 53.1 19.9
2 Bryce Elder 1.3920 1.3668 1.2685 70.7 50.9 19.8
3 Nathan Eovaldi 1.1228 1.1610 1.2151 63.9 44.2 19.7
4 Noah Schultz 1.5075 1.4530 1.3318 53.1 33.5 19.6
5 Andrew Morris 1.2559 1.3181 1.3710 40.8 22.8 18.0
6 Mason Montgomery 1.3415 1.2858 1.0340 82.2 65.0 17.2
7 José Fermin 1.2700 1.3427 1.3789 28.7 12.9 15.8
8 Kevin Gausman 1.1977 1.2246 1.2720 64.6 49.0 15.6
9 Walker Buehler 1.4290 1.4115 1.3471 45.6 30.3 15.3
10 Reid Detmers 1.2871 1.2728 1.0378 175.7 160.7 15.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Quantrill 1.5000 1.3943 1.0364 196.4 150.7 45.7
2 Randy Dobnak 1.3000 1.4213 1.3991 38.3 1.4 37.0
3 Andrew Morris 1.2500 1.3181 1.3710 45.4 22.8 22.6
4 Aaron Ashby 1.3947 1.3413 1.3097 24.8 5.3 19.5
5 Dustin May 1.2883 1.3122 1.3181 31.1 14.8 16.3
6 Ryan Weathers 1.2941 1.2649 1.2233 28.7 13.5 15.2
7 Kyle Leahy 1.3333 1.3562 1.3429 17.8 2.7 15.1
8 Aaron Nola 1.2056 1.2225 1.3460 119.6 105.2 14.4
9 Brady Singer 1.2982 1.3154 1.5924 228.0 213.7 14.2
10 Michael Lorenzen 1.4545 1.4751 1.8848 278.9 264.7 14.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Lorenzen 1.2841 1.4751 1.8848 366.9 264.7 102.2
2 Reid Detmers 1.3546 1.2728 1.0378 240.4 160.7 79.7
3 Seth Lugo 1.2158 1.3462 1.4739 187.8 109.3 78.5
4 Payton Tolle 1.3306 1.2410 1.0964 146.1 76.4 69.7
5 Chase Burns 1.2871 1.1572 1.1663 81.2 17.0 64.2
6 Dylan Cease 1.2593 1.1960 1.1006 114.2 53.1 61.1
7 Jesús Luzardo 1.2366 1.1805 1.0742 124.4 64.6 59.9
8 Zebby Matthews 1.4055 1.2305 1.2583 84.6 24.9 59.7
9 Ryan Feltner 1.3611 1.4949 1.5081 76.1 17.0 59.1
10 Kyle Leahy 1.2382 1.3562 1.3429 57.6 2.7 54.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 1.2700 1.4136 1.3734 86.9 15.8 71.1
2 Chase Burns 1.1026 1.1572 1.1663 52.1 17.0 35.1
3 Spencer Miles 1.4530 1.3706 1.0976 130.5 99.0 31.5
4 Jake Bennett 1.4604 1.3908 1.1029 154.0 122.8 31.2
5 Andrew Alvarez 1.4627 1.3990 1.2959 69.9 40.3 29.6
6 Michael Wacha 1.3447 1.3099 1.1063 178.2 150.8 27.3
7 Noah Cameron 1.3531 1.3156 1.2293 78.1 51.0 27.1
8 Cal Quantrill 1.4561 1.3943 1.0364 177.5 150.7 26.9
9 Kyle Leahy 1.3157 1.3562 1.3429 27.5 2.7 24.8
10 George Kirby 1.0801 1.1110 1.3969 248.9 225.1 23.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Walbert Ureña 1.6732 1.5590 1.2270 265.7 196.3 69.4
2 Jacob Misiorowski 1.3806 1.2890 0.8015 371.0 312.3 58.7
3 Gabriel Hughes 1.2700 1.4746 1.4375 53.4 5.4 48.0
4 Parker Messick 1.3608 1.3013 1.0626 206.9 164.9 42.0
5 Michael Lorenzen 1.4161 1.4751 1.8848 303.3 264.7 38.6
6 Drew Anderson 1.1936 1.2682 1.2685 43.8 8.3 35.5
7 Ryan Feltner 1.4337 1.4949 1.5081 52.4 17.0 35.4
8 Chad Patrick 1.3462 1.2691 1.2358 39.3 6.8 32.6
9 Nolan McLean 1.3263 1.2798 1.1688 101.8 69.5 32.3
10 Logan Henderson 1.2762 1.1876 0.8441 152.5 120.8 31.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.2060 1.1297 0.8703 212.0 171.0 41.0
2 Trevor Rogers 1.3472 1.2854 1.1847 88.2 57.9 30.3
3 Randy Dobnak 1.3378 1.4213 1.3991 31.3 1.4 30.0
4 Tanner Gordon 1.3833 1.4223 1.6592 147.7 120.5 27.2
5 Christian Scott 1.1636 1.2013 1.2727 69.0 42.3 26.6
6 Sandy Alcantara 1.3166 1.2692 1.2290 45.8 19.9 25.9
7 Andrew Morris 1.2602 1.3181 1.3710 47.3 22.8 24.5
8 Ryan Gusto 1.3137 1.3575 1.4432 65.0 40.6 24.4
9 Jesse Scholtens 1.2460 1.3412 1.3427 27.8 4.0 23.7
10 Jacob Misiorowski 1.3428 1.2890 0.8015 335.8 312.3 23.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 1.5217 1.4614 1.3153 131.3 84.1 47.2
2 Gabriel Hughes 1.2700 1.4746 1.4375 49.2 5.4 43.7
3 Anthony Kay 1.4622 1.4136 1.3734 58.6 15.8 42.7
4 Andrew Painter 1.2604 1.3487 1.4132 87.8 45.4 42.3
5 Luis Medina 1.2700 1.4043 1.3973 42.3 3.4 38.9
6 JR Ritchie 1.2700 1.3916 1.4727 68.1 32.3 35.8
7 Albert Suárez 1.5103 1.3961 1.2222 73.8 40.9 33.0
8 Davis Martin 1.4203 1.3801 1.3151 61.1 29.1 32.0
9 Ryan Gusto 1.2700 1.3575 1.4432 70.3 40.6 29.7
10 Zach Agnos 1.3646 1.4492 1.5055 59.9 30.2 29.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martinez 1.3632 1.3016 1.0944 190.4 136.6 53.7
2 Martín Pérez 1.5104 1.4343 1.2746 137.5 84.5 53.0
3 Andrew Painter 1.2518 1.3487 1.4132 91.9 45.4 46.5
4 Drew Rasmussen 1.2430 1.1880 0.9128 217.5 172.2 45.3
5 Sandy Alcantara 1.3052 1.2692 1.2290 63.6 19.9 43.7
6 Gabriel Hughes 1.2700 1.4746 1.4375 48.8 5.4 43.4
7 Anthony Kay 1.4559 1.4136 1.3734 55.0 15.8 39.1
8 Luis Medina 1.2700 1.4043 1.3973 41.9 3.4 38.5
9 Tanner Bibee 1.2827 1.2337 1.2234 42.2 6.0 36.3
10 JR Ritchie 1.2700 1.3916 1.4727 67.7 32.3 35.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Dustin May 1.2348 1.3122 1.3181 54.8 14.8 40.1
2 Ryan Weathers 1.3210 1.2649 1.2233 52.6 13.5 39.2
3 Kyle Leahy 1.2803 1.3562 1.3429 40.3 2.7 37.6
4 Zack Wheeler 1.1267 1.0814 1.0494 46.6 9.1 37.5
5 Jared Jones 1.3155 1.2428 1.0820 94.8 59.3 35.5
6 Sonny Gray 1.2377 1.2006 1.1479 57.9 23.8 34.2
7 Tatsuya Imai 1.2207 1.3302 1.4217 69.6 37.0 32.6
8 Gage Jump 1.2477 1.3336 1.5203 121.3 89.4 31.9
9 Aaron Ashby 1.4095 1.3413 1.3097 36.3 5.3 31.0
10 Michael King 1.2721 1.2466 1.1784 67.2 38.1 29.0