2014 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Marco Scutaro	13	508 (495.1)	526 (513.0)	471 (458.3)	545 (532.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Prince Fielder	652	178	473.7
2	Alex Guerrero	485	13	471.6
3	Antoan Richardson	447	17	430.0
4	Shane Victorino	562	133	428.5
5	Brad Snyder	452	34	418.0
6	Matt Wieters	522	112	410.0
7	Gregorio Petit	507	100	407.0
8	Nick Evans	426	23	403.0
9	Dean Anna	426	25	400.5
10	L.J. Hoes	535	136	398.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	100	622	522.0
2	Casey McGehee	233	691	458.0
3	Prince Fielder	623	178	445.0
4	Matt Wieters	552	112	440.0
5	Yangervis Solarte	100	535	435.0
6	Pete Kozma	440	26	414.0
7	Billy Hamilton	217	611	394.0
8	Shane Victorino	525	133	392.0
9	Maicer Izturis	425	38	387.0
10	Dan Uggla	524	157	367.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yangervis Solarte	1	535	534.0
2	Charlie Blackmon	177	648	470.9
3	Prince Fielder	634	178	456.4
4	Ender Inciarte	1	447	446.0
5	Rafael Furcal	475	37	437.9
6	Chris Coghlan	1	432	431.0
7	Rougned Odor	1	417	416.0
8	Shane Victorino	547	133	414.1
9	J.D. Martinez	69	480	410.8
10	Jose Tabata	582	186	395.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Guerrero	665	13	652.0
2	Lane Adams	588	3	585.0
3	Matt Hague	585	2	583.0
4	Gary Brown	573	7	566.0
5	Johnny Giavotella	601	41	560.0
6	Joey Butler	557	6	551.0
7	Carlos Triunfel	564	16	548.0
8	Jemile Weeks	592	45	547.0
9	Maikel Franco	602	58	544.0
10	Jesús Aguilar	580	38	542.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	100	541	622	522.0	81.0	441.0
2	Billy Hamilton	217	576	611	394.0	34.8	359.2
3	Nick Castellanos	218	591	579	361.0	11.6	349.4
4	Xander Bogaerts	234	565	594	360.0	28.8	331.2
5	Danny Santana	100	358	430	330.0	71.5	258.5
6	Jon Singleton	100	335	362	262.0	26.7	235.3
7	Christian Yelich	349	571	660	311.0	88.8	222.2
8	George Springer	100	369	345	245.0	24.1	220.9
9	Casey McGehee	233	453	691	458.0	238.3	219.7
10	Jayson Nix	368	156	91	277.0	65.5	211.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yangervis Solarte	1	284	535	534.0	251.0	283.0
2	Ender Inciarte	1	282	447	446.0	165.0	281.0
3	Rougned Odor	1	282	417	416.0	135.0	281.0
4	Arismendy Alcántara	1	265	300	299.0	35.0	264.0
5	Joe Panik	1	311	287	286.0	24.0	262.0
6	James Jones	1	246	328	327.0	81.5	245.5
7	Kevin Kiermaier	1	245	364	363.0	119.0	244.0
8	Danny Santana	118	358	430	312.0	71.5	240.5
9	Delmon Young	1	268	255	254.0	13.5	240.5
10	José Ramírez	27	267	266	238.9	0.6	238.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joe Panik	621	311	287	334.0	24.0	310.0
2	Nick Ahmed	597	299	75	522.0	224.0	298.0
3	Randal Grichuk	585	293	116	469.0	177.0	292.0
4	Matt Hague	585	293	2	583.0	291.0	292.0
5	Jesús Aguilar	580	290	38	542.0	252.5	289.5
6	Jimmy Paredes	576	288	65	511.0	223.5	287.5
7	Matt Szczur	575	288	66	509.0	222.0	287.0
8	Gary Brown	573	287	7	566.0	280.0	286.0
9	Lane Adams	588	304	3	585.0	300.9	284.1
10	Efren Navarro	592	313	174	418.0	138.8	279.2

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Dozier	0.3386	0.3004 (31.1)	0.3062 (30.9)	0.3001 (31.5)	0.3008 (31.0)
Justin Turner	0.3951	0.2997 (32.6)	0.3100 (31.1)	0.2935 (34.7)	0.3060 (30.7)
Steve Pearce	0.4047	0.3292 (31.1)	0.3155 (38.6)	0.3299 (31.0)	0.3285 (31.5)
Jose Altuve	0.3654	0.3121 (41.8)	0.3092 (47.8)	0.3133 (41.1)	0.3108 (42.9)
Corey Dickerson	0.4024	0.3432 (31.1)	0.3233 (43.2)	0.3440 (30.8)	0.3424 (31.6)
Victor Martinez	0.4235	0.3399 (57.3)	0.3480 (55.7)	0.3415 (56.4)	0.3383 (58.5)
Michael Brantley	0.3904	0.3187 (52.3)	0.3221 (53.9)	0.3180 (53.0)	0.3195 (52.0)
Allen Craig	0.2692	0.3531 (39.4)	0.3642 (42.2)	0.3578 (41.7)	0.3483 (36.9)
Devin Mesoraco	0.3896	0.3176 (34.2)	0.2988 (44.9)	0.3109 (37.3)	0.3244 (31.4)
J.D. Martinez	0.3945	0.3049 (45.8)	0.3049 (48.5)	0.3055 (45.6)	0.3042 (46.2)
Josh Harrison	0.3645	0.3028 (37.1)	0.2937 (45.2)	0.3023 (37.5)	0.3032 (37.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2773	0.3599	38.0
2	Domonic Brown	0.3533	0.2830	33.0
3	Jay Bruce	0.3556	0.2909	32.1
4	Chris Davis	0.3803	0.3141	31.7
5	Nate Schierholtz	0.3303	0.2459	30.1
6	Russell Martin	0.3134	0.3719	29.5
7	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3186	0.2433	29.4
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.3584	0.4000	29.2
9	David Wright	0.3670	0.3117	29.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.3153	0.4179	70.9
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.3295	0.4000	50.5
3	Anthony Rendon	0.3170	0.3607	37.6
4	Justin Morneau	0.3220	0.3751	35.5
5	Chris Coghlan	0.2893	0.3521	32.1
6	Drew Stubbs	0.2936	0.3573	31.8
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3796	0.4139	29.1
8	David Wright	0.3724	0.3117	28.9
9	Derek Jeter	0.3321	0.2752	28.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2807	0.3599	36.6
2	Russell Martin	0.3072	0.3719	32.5
3	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3253	0.2433	32.2
4	Carlos Gómez	0.3232	0.3670	32.1
5	Jay Bruce	0.3547	0.2909	31.5
6	David Wright	0.3704	0.3117	30.9
7	Lucas Duda	0.3217	0.3655	29.7
8	Billy Butler	0.3675	0.3125	29.5
9	Chris Davis	0.3762	0.3141	29.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2740	0.3599	39.5
2	Domonic Brown	0.3615	0.2830	37.1
3	Chris Davis	0.3844	0.3141	33.7
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.3526	0.4000	32.9
5	Jay Bruce	0.3565	0.2909	32.5
6	Nate Schierholtz	0.3346	0.2459	31.7
7	José Abreu	0.3778	0.4179	28.7
8	Andrew McCutchen	0.3778	0.4150	28.0
9	Jean Segura	0.3265	0.2705	27.8

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.3153	0.3811	0.4179	70.9	26.5	44.4
2	Justin Morneau	0.3220	0.3574	0.3751	35.5	12.9	22.6
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.3295	0.3584	0.4000	50.5	29.2	21.3
4	Billy Hamilton	0.3253	0.2932	0.2832	18.7	2.6	16.1
5	Anthony Rendon	0.3170	0.3332	0.3607	37.6	22.7	14.9
6	Casey McGehee	0.2920	0.3073	0.3209	27.9	13.4	14.5
7	Drew Stubbs	0.2936	0.3190	0.3573	31.8	18.7	13.2
8	Curtis Granderson	0.3531	0.3251	0.3208	13.6	1.0	12.6
9	Nolan Arenado	0.3113	0.3325	0.3594	27.8	15.2	12.6
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3796	0.3935	0.4139	29.1	16.7	12.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marlon Byrd	0.3109	0.3241	0.3336	18.3	9.7	8.6
2	Curtis Granderson	0.3136	0.3251	0.3208	8.7	1.0	7.7
3	Norichika Aoki	0.3367	0.3240	0.3153	8.4	1.6	6.8
4	Omar Infante	0.3230	0.3137	0.2794	21.6	16.4	5.2
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.3031	0.3113	0.3382	25.2	20.0	5.2
6	Wilin Rosario	0.3553	0.3425	0.3238	10.5	5.3	5.2
7	David Freese	0.3335	0.3234	0.3140	6.9	1.8	5.0
8	Jimmy Rollins	0.2968	0.3047	0.3191	17.3	12.3	5.0
9	Jason Heyward	0.3634	0.3563	0.3310	17.1	12.7	4.4
10	Jhonny Peralta	0.3098	0.3163	0.3445	25.6	21.3	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Rojas	0.3153	0.2457	0.2150	15.3	4.0	11.2
2	Caleb Joseph	0.3153	0.2903	0.2693	11.0	4.2	6.8
3	Adrián González	0.3482	0.3578	0.3560	9.2	2.7	6.5
4	David Ortiz	0.4071	0.3960	0.3808	12.2	5.7	6.5
5	Brock Holt	0.2831	0.2949	0.3134	17.9	12.0	5.9
6	Billy Hamilton	0.3030	0.2932	0.2832	8.4	2.6	5.8
7	Jason Castro	0.3422	0.3312	0.2908	23.2	17.7	5.5
8	Curtis Granderson	0.3367	0.3251	0.3208	6.4	1.0	5.4
9	Josh Donaldson	0.3329	0.3401	0.3530	18.2	13.0	5.2
10	Adam Eaton	0.3108	0.3197	0.3388	18.3	13.4	4.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.3319	0.2481 (35.8)	0.2215 (48.6)	0.2437 (35.4)	0.2525 (36.2)
Ian Desmond	0.2824	0.2139 (38.8)	0.2131 (39.5)	0.2115 (37.0)	0.2163 (40.7)
Jose Altuve	0.0750	0.1195 (37.7)	0.1345 (48.0)	0.1140 (37.4)	0.1250 (37.8)
Casey McGehee	0.1476	0.2063 (46.6)	0.1888 (34.3)	0.1917 (40.0)	0.2209 (53.0)
Mike Trout	0.2610	0.1865 (46.4)	0.2019 (35.8)	0.1867 (42.6)	0.1863 (50.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marlon Byrd	0.2130	0.2904	43.8
2	Curtis Granderson	0.2677	0.2156	39.8
3	Jason Heyward	0.1979	0.1510	36.1
4	Justin Morneau	0.1614	0.1091	33.6
5	Ike Davis	0.2523	0.1827	33.5
6	Seth Smith	0.2222	0.1670	33.3
7	Adam LaRoche	0.2296	0.1843	31.6
8	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2176	0.1520	31.3
9	Nick Castellanos	0.1797	0.2418	30.9
10	Miguel Montero	0.2192	0.1732	30.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Singleton	0.1985	0.3702	59.1
2	Yangervis Solarte	0.1985	0.1084	52.7
3	Javier Báez	0.1985	0.4148	47.6
4	Marlon Byrd	0.2130	0.2904	44.0
5	Mike Olt	0.2115	0.3876	43.3
6	George Springer	0.1985	0.3304	42.6
7	Justin Morneau	0.1761	0.1091	41.4
8	Ender Inciarte	0.1985	0.1186	39.5
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.1966	0.2680	38.5
10	Jason Heyward	0.2012	0.1510	38.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Curtis Granderson	0.2760	0.2156	48.5
2	Justin Morneau	0.1720	0.1091	42.2
3	Seth Smith	0.2251	0.1670	37.5
4	Miguel Montero	0.2181	0.1732	32.9
5	Torii Hunter	0.1937	0.1519	32.6
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.2011	0.2680	32.5
7	Robinson Canó	0.1368	0.1023	32.2
8	Javier Báez	0.2609	0.4148	32.1
9	Jon Singleton	0.2678	0.3702	32.0
10	Adam LaRoche	0.2241	0.1843	31.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marlon Byrd	0.1947	0.2904	58.8
2	Jason Heyward	0.2175	0.1510	45.3
3	Derek Norris	0.2882	0.1946	42.9
4	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2411	0.1520	38.9
5	Dexter Fowler	0.2833	0.2139	36.8
6	Christian Yelich	0.2585	0.2076	35.8
7	Ike Davis	0.2629	0.1827	35.7
8	Matt Adams	0.2618	0.2025	35.3
9	Nick Castellanos	0.1820	0.2418	32.7
10	Wilin Rosario	0.2447	0.1707	31.7

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yangervis Solarte	0.1985	0.1136	0.1084	52.7	7.5	45.2
2	Jon Singleton	0.1985	0.2974	0.3702	59.1	23.2	35.9
3	Ender Inciarte	0.1985	0.1197	0.1186	39.5	4.4	35.1
4	George Springer	0.1985	0.2953	0.3304	42.6	9.1	33.5
5	Tommy La Stella	0.1985	0.1153	0.1111	34.5	4.6	29.8
6	Joe Panik	0.1985	0.1196	0.1150	26.4	3.8	22.5
7	Javier Báez	0.1985	0.2936	0.4148	47.6	25.8	21.8
8	Mike Olt	0.2115	0.2954	0.3876	43.3	21.5	21.7
9	Tyler Flowers	0.2901	0.3290	0.3597	27.1	9.7	17.3
10	Anthony Gose	0.1985	0.2564	0.2701	17.3	1.4	15.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yasmani Grandal	0.1772	0.2054	0.2596	30.4	20.1	10.3
2	Yoenis Cespedes	0.2172	0.2067	0.1984	21.0	10.9	10.1
3	Jon Singleton	0.2678	0.2974	0.3702	32.0	23.2	8.9
4	Curtis Granderson	0.2760	0.2677	0.2156	48.5	39.8	8.7
5	Justin Morneau	0.1720	0.1614	0.1091	42.2	33.6	8.6
6	Jhonny Peralta	0.1977	0.1893	0.1783	20.9	12.3	8.5
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.1978	0.2167	0.2323	12.3	4.1	8.2
8	Nelson Cruz	0.2327	0.2266	0.2065	27.1	19.5	7.6
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.2011	0.2183	0.2680	32.5	25.1	7.4
10	Denard Span	0.1180	0.1124	0.0973	23.1	15.9	7.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.1710	0.1900	0.2106	22.5	7.4	15.1
2	Marlon Byrd	0.1947	0.2130	0.2904	58.8	43.8	15.0
3	Derek Norris	0.2882	0.2536	0.1946	42.9	29.9	12.9
4	Daniel Robertson	0.1985	0.1330	0.1421	11.8	0.1	11.7
5	James Jones	0.2947	0.2555	0.2043	30.8	19.6	11.1
6	Christian Yelich	0.2585	0.2368	0.2076	35.8	25.1	10.8
7	Khris Davis	0.2604	0.2373	0.2222	22.8	13.0	9.8
8	Matt Adams	0.2618	0.2392	0.2025	35.3	25.6	9.7
9	Robbie Grossman	0.2711	0.2433	0.2488	10.8	1.4	9.5
10	Jason Heyward	0.2175	0.1979	0.1510	45.3	36.1	9.2

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Dozier	0.1259	0.0710 (39.7)	0.0725 (40.1)	0.0724 (39.5)	0.0696 (39.9)
Matt Carpenter	0.1340	0.1033 (22.6)	0.0980 (27.9)	0.1057 (21.7)	0.1008 (23.7)
David Wright	0.0717	0.1115 (22.6)	0.1102 (20.6)	0.1138 (23.3)	0.1091 (21.8)
Victor Martinez	0.1092	0.0759 (22.1)	0.0803 (20.7)	0.0781 (21.5)	0.0736 (22.9)
Adam LaRoche	0.1399	0.1076 (19.6)	0.1091 (20.0)	0.1084 (19.9)	0.1068 (19.5)
Jonathan Lucroy	0.1008	0.0719 (19.7)	0.0720 (21.0)	0.0727 (20.0)	0.0711 (19.5)
Adrian Beltré	0.0928	0.0612 (20.2)	0.0634 (20.1)	0.0638 (19.3)	0.0585 (21.2)
Rubén Tejada	0.1193	0.0640 (23.7)	0.0699 (22.1)	0.0669 (23.0)	0.0612 (24.4)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0876	0.1278 (26.7)	0.1216 (21.0)	0.1306 (27.8)	0.1250 (25.5)
Seth Smith	0.1324	0.0942 (20.5)	0.0944 (21.6)	0.0960 (20.2)	0.0924 (21.0)
Coco Crisp	0.1231	0.0899 (18.4)	0.0882 (20.5)	0.0905 (18.8)	0.0893 (18.2)
Ian Kinsler	0.0399	0.0907 (36.0)	0.0922 (35.5)	0.0908 (35.2)	0.0906 (36.7)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yangervis Solarte	0.0521	0.0991	25.8
2	Brian McCann	0.1023	0.0595	22.4
3	Billy Butler	0.1039	0.0680	21.0
4	Evan Longoria	0.1120	0.0814	20.6
5	Dustin Ackley	0.0975	0.0590	20.2
6	Jason Castro	0.1050	0.0664	19.1
7	Ben Revere	0.0522	0.0208	19.0
8	Aramis Ramirez	0.0754	0.0395	18.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.0966	0.1271	24.0
2	Carlos Santana	0.1385	0.1712	23.8
3	Jonathan Schoop	0.0791	0.0270	23.4
4	Jon Singleton	0.0777	0.1381	23.1
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1148	0.1473	22.9
6	Robbie Grossman	0.0795	0.1303	22.8
7	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.0813	0.1264	21.1
8	Mike Zunino	0.0814	0.0357	20.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yangervis Solarte	0.0548	0.0991	25.0
2	Brian McCann	0.1012	0.0595	21.1
3	Billy Butler	0.1053	0.0680	21.0
4	Ben Revere	0.0554	0.0208	20.2
5	Dustin Ackley	0.0977	0.0590	19.7
6	Mike Napoli	0.1191	0.1560	19.6
7	Aramis Ramirez	0.0788	0.0395	19.6
8	Evan Longoria	0.1117	0.0814	19.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yangervis Solarte	0.0494	0.0991	26.7
2	Brian McCann	0.1034	0.0595	23.5
3	Evan Longoria	0.1122	0.0814	21.4
4	Jason Castro	0.1076	0.0664	21.0
5	Billy Butler	0.1026	0.0680	20.8
6	Dustin Ackley	0.0972	0.0590	20.6
7	John Jaso	0.1364	0.0814	18.8
8	Khris Davis	0.0919	0.0583	18.4

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jon Singleton	0.0777	0.1175	0.1381	23.1	7.9	15.2
2	Rougned Odor	0.0777	0.0423	0.0408	14.0	0.1	13.9
3	Robbie Grossman	0.0795	0.1082	0.1303	22.8	9.8	13.0
4	Derek Norris	0.0984	0.1184	0.1222	12.0	2.2	9.8
5	Jonathan Schoop	0.0791	0.0577	0.0270	23.4	14.2	9.2
6	Danny Santana	0.0777	0.0350	0.0442	13.0	4.4	8.5
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1148	0.1259	0.1473	22.9	14.4	8.5
8	Carlos Santana	0.1385	0.1480	0.1712	23.8	16.1	7.7
9	Dexter Fowler	0.1195	0.1319	0.1307	7.3	0.0	7.3
10	José Ramírez	0.0833	0.0542	0.0489	8.3	1.1	7.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Norris	0.1086	0.1184	0.1222	7.1	2.2	4.8
2	Torii Hunter	0.0632	0.0546	0.0392	12.6	8.3	4.3
3	Jason Heyward	0.1152	0.1087	0.1032	6.2	2.8	3.4
4	José Bautista	0.1452	0.1489	0.1545	7.9	4.6	3.3
5	Dexter Fowler	0.1268	0.1319	0.1307	3.2	0.0	3.2
6	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0944	0.0799	0.0803	3.2	0.4	2.8
7	Casey McGehee	0.0798	0.0821	0.0970	13.5	11.1	2.4
8	Yasiel Puig	0.0796	0.0821	0.1047	17.6	15.2	2.4
9	Yasmani Grandal	0.1160	0.1201	0.1309	7.7	5.3	2.4
10	Mookie Betts	0.0669	0.0765	0.0986	7.3	5.0	2.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Peralta	0.0777	0.0340	0.0460	11.0	4.6	6.4
2	Bobby Abreu	0.0777	0.1199	0.1290	8.0	1.6	6.4
3	Mike Trout	0.1415	0.1345	0.1177	16.6	11.0	5.6
4	Caleb Joseph	0.0777	0.0610	0.0618	4.3	0.6	3.8
5	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0655	0.0799	0.0803	4.1	0.4	3.7
6	Anthony Rendon	0.0994	0.0951	0.0849	9.8	6.1	3.6
7	Tomás Telis	0.0777	0.0320	0.0141	4.5	1.2	3.3
8	Dexter Fowler	0.1370	0.1319	0.1307	3.1	0.0	3.1
9	Juan Carlos Perez	0.0777	0.0415	0.0459	3.4	0.6	2.8
10	Denard Span	0.0644	0.0693	0.0749	7.1	4.5	2.6

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
George Springer	0.0261	0.0099 (5.4)	0.0092 (5.6)	0.0100 (5.3)	0.0099 (5.5)
Mike Zunino	0.0357	0.0136 (10.3)	0.0130 (10.5)	0.0110 (11.5)	0.0163 (9.1)
Leonys Martin	0.0034	0.0122 (5.4)	0.0128 (5.8)	0.0110 (4.8)	0.0133 (6.0)
Carlos Gómez	0.0295	0.0146 (9.2)	0.0148 (9.1)	0.0130 (10.2)	0.0163 (8.3)
Russell Martin	0.0326	0.0141 (8.3)	0.0141 (8.3)	0.0130 (8.7)	0.0153 (7.8)
Derek Dietrich	0.0546	0.0208 (6.1)	0.0185 (6.5)	0.0170 (6.8)	0.0247 (5.4)
Jason Castro	0.0176	0.0053 (6.0)	0.0042 (6.6)	0.0060 (5.6)	0.0046 (6.5)
Jon Jay	0.0427	0.0195 (10.6)	0.0213 (9.8)	0.0180 (11.3)	0.0211 (10.0)
J.P. Arencibia	0.0315	0.0072 (5.3)	0.0082 (5.1)	0.0080 (5.1)	0.0064 (5.5)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0201	0.0100 (6.2)	0.0117 (5.1)	0.0100 (6.1)	0.0101 (6.3)
Matt Holliday	0.0255	0.0134 (7.7)	0.0143 (7.1)	0.0130 (7.9)	0.0139 (7.5)
Devin Mesoraco	0.0273	0.0056 (9.3)	0.0025 (10.7)	0.0060 (9.1)	0.0051 (9.6)
Anthony Rizzo	0.0244	0.0103 (8.3)	0.0101 (8.5)	0.0100 (8.4)	0.0107 (8.2)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0223	0.0093	7.3
2	Grady Sizemore	0.0144	0.0000	5.7
3	Brandon Guyer	0.0197	0.0374	5.1
4	Yan Gomes	0.0146	0.0058	4.8
5	Danny Espinosa	0.0192	0.0330	4.8
6	Chris Iannetta	0.0083	0.0214	4.7
7	Martín Prado	0.0035	0.0122	4.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Guyer	0.0050	0.0374	9.4
2	Yan Gomes	0.0186	0.0058	6.9
3	Grady Sizemore	0.0152	0.0000	6.0
4	Robinson Chirinos	0.0047	0.0207	5.2
5	Chris Iannetta	0.0071	0.0214	5.1
6	Billy Hamilton	0.0092	0.0016	5.0
7	Matt Kemp	0.0077	0.0000	5.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Guyer	0.0160	0.0374	6.1
2	Danny Espinosa	0.0180	0.0330	5.2
3	Matt Kemp	0.0080	0.0000	5.2
4	Adam Eaton	0.0180	0.0093	5.0
5	Alex Gordon	0.0090	0.0171	4.8
6	Chris Iannetta	0.0080	0.0214	4.8
7	Starling Marte	0.0220	0.0312	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0267	0.0093	9.6
2	Grady Sizemore	0.0178	0.0000	6.9
3	Marlon Byrd	0.0228	0.0126	6.8
4	Yan Gomes	0.0172	0.0058	6.1
5	Josh Harrison	0.0162	0.0073	5.1
6	Martín Prado	0.0030	0.0122	5.1
7	Tommy La Stella	0.0159	0.0028	4.8

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Billy Hamilton	0.0092	0.0020	0.0016	5.0	0.5	4.4
2	Brandon Guyer	0.0050	0.0197	0.0374	9.4	5.1	4.3
3	José Abreu	0.0092	0.0197	0.0177	5.0	1.5	3.4
4	Jon Singleton	0.0092	0.0025	0.0028	2.5	0.1	2.4
5	Robinson Chirinos	0.0047	0.0118	0.0207	5.2	2.8	2.4
6	Yan Gomes	0.0186	0.0146	0.0058	6.9	4.8	2.1
7	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.0080	0.0115	0.0150	3.4	1.6	1.9
8	Nick Castellanos	0.0092	0.0061	0.0052	2.6	0.8	1.8
9	Tommy Medica	0.0082	0.0146	0.0154	1.7	0.1	1.7
10	José Ramírez	0.0093	0.0035	0.0038	1.6	0.1	1.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daniel Nava	0.0180	0.0245	0.0245	2.4	0.2	2.2
2	Starling Marte	0.0220	0.0256	0.0312	4.7	2.8	1.9
3	Khris Davis	0.0140	0.0168	0.0182	2.0	0.5	1.5
4	Casey McGehee	0.0060	0.0040	0.0014	3.6	2.1	1.5
5	Tyler Flowers	0.0140	0.0171	0.0181	1.5	0.2	1.3
6	Billy Hamilton	0.0040	0.0020	0.0016	1.8	0.5	1.3
7	Mike Zunino	0.0110	0.0136	0.0357	11.5	10.3	1.2
8	Chris Johnson	0.0090	0.0072	0.0033	3.9	2.7	1.2
9	Kevin Frandsen	0.0200	0.0250	0.0297	2.1	1.0	1.2
10	Reed Johnson	0.0210	0.0269	0.0398	3.7	2.5	1.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marlon Byrd	0.0228	0.0179	0.0126	6.8	3.7	3.0
2	Daniel Nava	0.0309	0.0245	0.0245	2.8	0.2	2.6
3	Adam Eaton	0.0267	0.0223	0.0093	9.6	7.3	2.3
4	José Abreu	0.0223	0.0197	0.0177	3.1	1.5	1.6
5	Chase Utley	0.0220	0.0195	0.0196	1.8	0.3	1.6
6	Rougned Odor	0.0195	0.0158	0.0120	3.3	1.8	1.5
7	Matt Adams	0.0000	0.0025	0.0053	2.8	1.3	1.5
8	Yan Gomes	0.0172	0.0146	0.0058	6.1	4.8	1.3
9	Grady Sizemore	0.0178	0.0144	0.0000	6.9	5.7	1.2
10	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0201	0.0170	0.0118	3.6	2.4	1.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.0775	0.0445 (17.2)	0.0381 (20.8)	0.0457 (16.4)	0.0433 (18.0)
Lucas Duda	0.0783	0.0526 (17.2)	0.0496 (19.6)	0.0496 (18.8)	0.0557 (15.7)
Steve Pearce	0.0798	0.0444 (14.8)	0.0352 (18.7)	0.0419 (15.6)	0.0470 (14.0)
Corey Dickerson	0.0708	0.0430 (14.8)	0.0351 (19.1)	0.0416 (15.3)	0.0446 (14.3)
Victor Martinez	0.0610	0.0282 (23.0)	0.0261 (25.1)	0.0284 (22.6)	0.0280 (23.6)
Casey McGehee	0.0077	0.0338 (15.8)	0.0353 (16.1)	0.0328 (15.4)	0.0348 (16.1)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0495	0.0795 (18.4)	0.0769 (15.9)	0.0777 (17.4)	0.0814 (19.2)
Devin Mesoraco	0.0880	0.0442 (20.7)	0.0372 (24.3)	0.0424 (21.3)	0.0461 (20.1)
J.D. Martinez	0.0717	0.0332 (20.0)	0.0352 (19.5)	0.0351 (18.9)	0.0312 (21.2)
Mike Trout	0.0841	0.0596 (19.5)	0.0583 (21.2)	0.0578 (20.5)	0.0614 (18.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.0564	0.0230	19.6
2	Brian Dozier	0.0268	0.0479	17.2
3	Marlon Byrd	0.0385	0.0611	16.5
4	David Wright	0.0487	0.0187	15.7
5	Domonic Brown	0.0581	0.0259	14.8
6	George Springer	0.0696	0.1093	14.8
7	Brett Gardner	0.0186	0.0386	14.8
8	Chris Carter	0.0907	0.1125	14.3
9	Evan Longoria	0.0673	0.0439	14.1
10	Michael Brantley	0.0183	0.0357	13.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.0339	0.0839	33.8
2	George Springer	0.0339	0.1093	27.5
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.0230	0.0567	23.2
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.0456	0.0777	22.4
5	Chris Carter	0.0819	0.1125	19.9
6	Curtis Granderson	0.0792	0.0467	18.4
7	Mike Olt	0.0347	0.0923	16.0
8	Jon Singleton	0.0339	0.0734	15.9
9	Nelson Cruz	0.0653	0.0837	15.4
10	Oswaldo Arcia	0.0492	0.0813	14.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.0572	0.0230	20.4
2	Brian Dozier	0.0275	0.0479	16.4
3	George Springer	0.0655	0.1093	16.1
4	Marlon Byrd	0.0388	0.0611	16.0
5	Chris Carter	0.0875	0.1125	15.9
6	David Wright	0.0475	0.0187	15.2
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.0347	0.0567	15.2
8	Evan Longoria	0.0682	0.0439	15.1
9	David Ortiz	0.0602	0.0816	14.6
10	Ian Desmond	0.0387	0.0581	14.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.0556	0.0230	18.7
2	Brian Dozier	0.0261	0.0479	18.1
3	Domonic Brown	0.0645	0.0259	17.8
4	Marlon Byrd	0.0382	0.0611	17.0
5	David Wright	0.0500	0.0187	16.1
6	Brett Gardner	0.0183	0.0386	15.3
7	Matt Adams	0.0656	0.0357	14.7
8	Nelson Cruz	0.0660	0.0837	14.5
9	Michael Brantley	0.0180	0.0357	14.5
10	Josh Donaldson	0.0432	0.0602	14.4

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.0339	0.0807	0.0839	33.8	4.0	29.8
2	George Springer	0.0339	0.0696	0.1093	27.5	14.8	12.7
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0863	0.1023	0.0997	11.3	0.4	10.9
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.0456	0.0620	0.0777	22.4	11.6	10.8
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.0230	0.0387	0.0567	23.2	12.9	10.3
6	Javier Báez	0.0339	0.0707	0.0763	10.7	2.0	8.7
7	Curtis Granderson	0.0792	0.0658	0.0467	18.4	10.4	8.0
8	Billy Hamilton	0.0323	0.0141	0.0131	9.1	1.3	7.8
9	Joe Panik	0.0339	0.0087	0.0042	7.3	0.4	6.9
10	Ender Inciarte	0.0339	0.0098	0.0108	8.4	1.9	6.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Ortiz	0.0602	0.0672	0.0816	14.6	10.6	4.0
2	Javier Báez	0.0536	0.0707	0.0763	5.8	2.0	3.8
3	Justin Morneau	0.0543	0.0489	0.0378	7.6	4.3	3.2
4	Yasiel Puig	0.0605	0.0560	0.0366	13.5	10.4	3.1
5	Brandon Moss	0.0689	0.0744	0.0714	3.1	0.1	3.0
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.0315	0.0377	0.0473	9.0	6.2	2.8
7	Jon Singleton	0.0432	0.0499	0.0734	12.0	9.7	2.3
8	Jason Castro	0.0405	0.0453	0.0440	3.2	1.0	2.3
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0347	0.0387	0.0567	15.2	12.9	2.2
10	Albert Pujols	0.0620	0.0594	0.0490	7.1	5.0	2.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.0690	0.0807	0.0839	11.6	4.0	7.6
2	Daniel Robertson	0.0339	0.0090	0.0000	5.9	1.1	4.8
3	Chris Davis	0.1139	0.1061	0.0919	9.6	5.8	3.8
4	Chris Taylor	0.0339	0.0111	0.0000	4.5	1.2	3.3
5	Christian Yelich	0.0380	0.0324	0.0200	9.4	6.1	3.3
6	Miguel Rojas	0.0339	0.0086	0.0082	3.6	0.5	3.1
7	Domonic Brown	0.0645	0.0581	0.0259	17.8	14.8	3.0
8	Adrián González	0.0453	0.0490	0.0551	9.0	6.1	2.8
9	Dexter Fowler	0.0392	0.0331	0.0244	5.6	2.8	2.8
10	Alfonso Soriano	0.0858	0.0736	0.0377	10.5	7.8	2.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lorenzo Cain	0.3795	0.3135 (31.6)	0.3065 (37.3)	0.3157 (29.5)	0.3112 (33.9)
Justin Turner	0.4044	0.2911 (35.5)	0.3008 (33.8)	0.2871 (36.2)	0.2950 (35.0)
Chris Davis	0.2412	0.3252 (45.7)	0.3313 (46.6)	0.3245 (46.3)	0.3260 (44.9)
Danny Santana	0.4026	0.3012 (42.3)	0.2985 (45.3)	0.3011 (41.5)	0.3013 (43.2)
Russell Martin	0.3333	0.2639 (30.5)	0.2570 (35.7)	0.2611 (30.9)	0.2667 (30.3)
Jose Altuve	0.3597	0.3095 (33.4)	0.3108 (35.5)	0.3044 (35.6)	0.3145 (31.4)
David Ortiz	0.2563	0.3026 (29.7)	0.3144 (34.2)	0.3007 (29.7)	0.3045 (29.4)
Stephen Drew	0.1937	0.2925 (30.6)	0.3023 (32.2)	0.2866 (29.4)	0.2983 (31.6)
Tyler Flowers	0.3532	0.2749 (33.2)	0.2762 (34.6)	0.2660 (36.3)	0.2848 (29.9)
José Abreu	0.3562	0.2838 (43.1)	0.2985 (36.7)	0.2796 (44.6)	0.2877 (42.1)
J.D. Martinez	0.3893	0.3070 (38.0)	0.3029 (42.1)	0.3012 (39.9)	0.3129 (36.3)
Josh Harrison	0.3512	0.2885 (32.8)	0.2744 (42.9)	0.2926 (29.5)	0.2845 (36.3)
Juan Uribe	0.3675	0.2757 (35.8)	0.2896 (32.0)	0.2734 (36.0)	0.2780 (35.9)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Choice	0.3209	0.2079	32.5
2	Mike Moustakas	0.2785	0.2198	30.9
3	Allen Craig	0.3234	0.2661	30.5
4	Drew Stubbs	0.3279	0.4008	29.6
5	Casey McGehee	0.2891	0.3346	29.3
6	Mark Reynolds	0.2783	0.2176	27.7
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3069	0.3533	27.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey McGehee	0.2561	0.3346	55.2
2	Drew Stubbs	0.3098	0.4008	39.2
3	Allen Craig	0.3422	0.2661	37.8
4	Adam Eaton	0.2913	0.3571	36.1
5	Brock Holt	0.2818	0.3437	31.1
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2977	0.3439	30.9
7	Scott Van Slyke	0.2732	0.3939	30.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey McGehee	0.2783	0.3346	35.5
2	Allen Craig	0.3293	0.2661	34.4
3	Michael Choice	0.3239	0.2079	33.9
4	Mike Moustakas	0.2766	0.2198	30.9
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3028	0.3533	29.0
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2947	0.3439	28.7
7	J.J. Hardy	0.2617	0.3144	27.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Singleton	0.3293	0.2378	33.4
2	Drew Stubbs	0.3235	0.4008	32.5
3	Michael Choice	0.3178	0.2079	31.0
4	Mike Moustakas	0.2805	0.2198	30.7
5	Mark Reynolds	0.2868	0.2176	30.3
6	Adam Eaton	0.3015	0.3571	29.5
7	Adrian Beltré	0.2978	0.3449	28.4

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Casey McGehee	0.2561	0.2891	0.3346	55.2	29.3	25.8
2	Brock Holt	0.2818	0.3120	0.3437	31.1	14.1	17.0
3	Matt Carpenter	0.3420	0.3157	0.3162	17.4	1.9	15.5
4	Nick Castellanos	0.2903	0.3120	0.3265	21.7	6.6	15.1
5	Luis Valbuena	0.2552	0.2770	0.2934	21.6	7.3	14.3
6	Derek Jeter	0.3275	0.3005	0.2888	23.7	9.4	14.3
7	Josh Donaldson	0.3135	0.2925	0.2781	23.7	12.1	11.5
8	Josh Rutledge	0.2918	0.3211	0.3450	18.6	7.1	11.5
9	Justin Morneau	0.2886	0.3034	0.3303	23.6	13.0	10.6
10	Brandon Moss	0.3094	0.2872	0.2831	14.5	4.2	10.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Jeter	0.3110	0.3005	0.2888	17.2	9.4	7.8
2	Dexter Fowler	0.3051	0.3201	0.3500	20.2	13.5	6.6
3	Casey McGehee	0.2783	0.2891	0.3346	35.5	29.3	6.1
4	Matt Adams	0.2973	0.3094	0.3383	20.3	14.5	5.8
5	Omar Infante	0.3098	0.3016	0.2725	24.3	18.5	5.8
6	Austin Jackson	0.3410	0.3349	0.3246	14.0	8.8	5.2
7	Matt Holliday	0.3176	0.3122	0.2982	16.2	11.3	4.9
8	Ian Kinsler	0.2664	0.2749	0.2869	11.3	6.5	4.8
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.2879	0.2975	0.3368	26.9	22.1	4.7
10	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.2755	0.2860	0.3235	23.0	18.3	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Rojas	0.2985	0.2429	0.2149	13.7	5.0	8.6
2	Billy Hamilton	0.3294	0.3132	0.2980	19.7	11.2	8.5
3	Caleb Joseph	0.2985	0.2706	0.2373	17.0	10.0	7.0
4	Jon Singleton	0.3293	0.3085	0.2378	33.4	26.7	6.7
5	Norichika Aoki	0.2927	0.3024	0.3089	8.5	1.8	6.6
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.3288	0.3160	0.2947	20.7	14.5	6.2
7	Travis d'Arnaud	0.3028	0.2869	0.2581	19.1	13.5	5.7
8	Robinson Canó	0.3035	0.3090	0.3353	20.6	15.4	5.3
9	Miguel Cabrera	0.3240	0.3292	0.3458	14.4	9.2	5.2
10	David Freese	0.3097	0.3172	0.3303	10.2	5.1	5.0

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Leonys Martin	0.2827	0.2271 (30.2)	0.2226 (34.6)	0.2305 (27.7)	0.2236 (32.9)
Bryce Harper	0.2971	0.2162 (30.5)	0.2200 (30.1)	0.2196 (28.7)	0.2126 (32.3)
Chris Davis	0.1790	0.2372 (32.6)	0.2388 (31.8)	0.2363 (32.5)	0.2382 (32.5)
Justin Turner	0.3067	0.2148 (28.4)	0.2195 (27.8)	0.2151 (28.0)	0.2146 (28.8)
Russell Martin	0.2660	0.2047 (26.5)	0.1950 (32.3)	0.2028 (26.9)	0.2067 (26.1)
Stephen Drew	0.1152	0.2036 (27.6)	0.2058 (27.4)	0.2038 (28.0)	0.2034 (27.3)
Casey McGehee	0.2766	0.2159 (39.4)	0.1890 (60.0)	0.2098 (42.9)	0.2222 (35.7)
Tyler Flowers	0.2809	0.2037 (32.4)	0.2000 (35.4)	0.1963 (35.3)	0.2119 (29.3)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.2575	0.2075 (29.5)	0.2168 (25.5)	0.2087 (28.1)	0.2063 (31.0)
Todd Frazier	0.2564	0.1966 (36.9)	0.2011 (35.9)	0.1972 (35.9)	0.1960 (38.1)
Juan Uribe	0.2914	0.2090 (31.7)	0.2189 (29.0)	0.2064 (32.4)	0.2116 (31.2)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Singleton	0.2306	0.1585	27.5
2	Khris Davis	0.2127	0.1680	26.6
3	José Abreu	0.2159	0.2621	26.4
4	Jon Jay	0.2455	0.3038	25.5
5	Adrián González	0.2397	0.2052	25.3
6	Derek Norris	0.1937	0.2543	25.1
7	Mike Zunino	0.2129	0.1641	25.0
8	James Loney	0.2248	0.2669	25.0
9	Michael Choice	0.2498	0.1685	23.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adrián González	0.2488	0.2052	29.3
2	Mike Zunino	0.2228	0.1641	28.3
3	Allen Craig	0.2594	0.2047	28.0
4	Lorenzo Cain	0.2323	0.2881	27.6
5	Danny Santana	0.2259	0.2904	27.4
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1910	0.2342	26.2
7	Mike Trout	0.2624	0.2270	25.5
8	J.J. Hardy	0.2027	0.2482	25.5
9	Adam Eaton	0.2205	0.2685	25.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.2121	0.2621	28.2
2	Adrián González	0.2424	0.2052	27.6
3	James Loney	0.2213	0.2669	26.6
4	Mike Trout	0.2588	0.2270	25.7
5	Khris Davis	0.2093	0.1680	25.2
6	Derek Norris	0.1930	0.2543	25.0
7	Jose Altuve	0.2376	0.2772	24.7
8	Allen Craig	0.2484	0.2047	24.5
9	Dexter Fowler	0.2189	0.2719	24.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Singleton	0.2439	0.1585	31.9
2	Mike Zunino	0.2233	0.1641	29.4
3	Jon Jay	0.2411	0.3038	28.1
4	Khris Davis	0.2164	0.1680	28.0
5	Billy Hamilton	0.2640	0.2252	25.4
6	Derek Norris	0.1946	0.2543	25.2
7	Josh Harrison	0.1983	0.2465	25.1
8	Lorenzo Cain	0.2356	0.2881	25.0
9	José Abreu	0.2194	0.2621	24.9

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Casey McGehee	0.1890	0.2159	0.2766	60.0	39.4	20.6
2	Yasiel Puig	0.2708	0.2426	0.2447	17.2	1.1	16.1
3	Brock Holt	0.2210	0.2479	0.2648	21.2	6.5	14.7
4	Derek Jeter	0.2707	0.2469	0.2490	14.3	1.1	13.2
5	Melky Cabrera	0.2560	0.2350	0.2378	11.8	0.6	11.2
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.2449	0.2600	0.2668	11.4	1.6	9.7
7	Adam Eaton	0.2205	0.2350	0.2685	25.4	16.0	9.4
8	Josh Donaldson	0.2306	0.2144	0.2053	18.1	8.9	9.2
9	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.1985	0.2111	0.2433	23.5	15.2	8.3
10	Danny Santana	0.2259	0.2415	0.2904	27.4	19.4	8.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dexter Fowler	0.2189	0.2425	0.2719	24.4	12.9	11.5
2	Mike Trout	0.2588	0.2492	0.2270	25.7	18.3	7.5
3	Derek Jeter	0.2569	0.2469	0.2490	8.0	1.1	6.9
4	Ian Kinsler	0.1939	0.2021	0.2131	10.5	5.2	5.3
5	Austin Jackson	0.2552	0.2486	0.2462	9.0	4.1	4.9
6	Omar Infante	0.2469	0.2394	0.2210	17.6	12.7	4.9
7	Jimmy Rollins	0.1930	0.2014	0.2061	5.1	0.5	4.6
8	Matt Holliday	0.2358	0.2300	0.2171	15.6	11.1	4.5
9	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.2020	0.2111	0.2433	19.5	15.2	4.3
10	Ben Revere	0.2582	0.2656	0.2903	17.2	13.1	4.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Billy Hamilton	0.2640	0.2514	0.2252	25.4	18.3	7.0
2	Josh Harrison	0.1983	0.2076	0.2465	25.1	19.3	5.7
3	Matt Carpenter	0.2184	0.2251	0.2444	16.5	11.0	5.6
4	Eric Hosmer	0.2547	0.2436	0.2236	18.4	13.0	5.4
5	Brian McCann	0.2268	0.2161	0.1905	21.0	15.8	5.2
6	Derek Jeter	0.2367	0.2469	0.2490	6.1	1.1	5.0
7	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2248	0.2123	0.1774	21.0	16.3	4.8
8	Corey Dickerson	0.2021	0.2105	0.2508	22.0	17.4	4.6
9	Starling Marte	0.2339	0.2410	0.2735	20.1	15.7	4.5
10	Charlie Blackmon	0.2168	0.2225	0.2495	19.5	15.0	4.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.0962	0.0741 (15.8)	0.0724 (18.0)	0.0741 (15.7)	0.0742 (16.0)
Leonys Martin	0.0309	0.0660 (20.3)	0.0640 (18.4)	0.0667 (20.9)	0.0652 (19.7)
Eduardo Escobar	0.1029	0.0540 (22.9)	0.0498 (25.5)	0.0543 (22.7)	0.0537 (23.2)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1373	0.0880 (23.7)	0.0907 (23.1)	0.0877 (23.8)	0.0883 (23.8)
Michael Morse	0.1049	0.0690 (17.4)	0.0704 (17.4)	0.0675 (18.0)	0.0704 (16.9)
Jonathan Lucroy	0.1054	0.0559 (32.5)	0.0591 (31.3)	0.0562 (32.2)	0.0556 (33.0)
Ryan Howard	0.0499	0.0772 (17.5)	0.0860 (22.4)	0.0756 (16.7)	0.0787 (18.3)
Miguel Cabrera	0.1083	0.0774 (21.3)	0.0783 (21.7)	0.0802 (19.3)	0.0746 (23.5)
José Abreu	0.0891	0.0647 (15.3)	0.0658 (15.4)	0.0639 (15.7)	0.0655 (15.0)
Kirk Nieuwenhuis	0.1944	0.0694 (16.3)	0.0615 (17.5)	0.0675 (16.5)	0.0714 (16.1)
Evan Longoria	0.0543	0.0808 (18.4)	0.0792 (16.4)	0.0823 (19.6)	0.0792 (17.0)
Trevor Plouffe	0.0995	0.0664 (19.4)	0.0667 (20.0)	0.0661 (19.5)	0.0667 (19.5)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.0465	0.0891	18.4
2	Mike Trout	0.0760	0.0995	16.7
3	Matt Kemp	0.0732	0.1008	16.6
4	Michael Brantley	0.0595	0.0833	16.2
5	Mark Reynolds	0.0753	0.0377	16.2
6	Chris Iannetta	0.0604	0.1033	16.1
7	Todd Frazier	0.0752	0.0508	16.0
8	Hanley Ramirez	0.0693	0.0992	15.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Harrison	0.0512	0.0884	21.3
2	Steve Pearce	0.0625	0.1074	17.8
3	Matt Carpenter	0.0943	0.0678	17.7
4	J.D. Martinez	0.0657	0.1007	17.5
5	Conor Gillaspie	0.0487	0.0812	17.2
6	Mike Trout	0.0767	0.0995	17.2
7	Devin Mesoraco	0.0596	0.0965	16.9
8	Kole Calhoun	0.0550	0.0824	15.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.0731	0.0995	18.6
2	Danny Santana	0.0492	0.0891	17.2
3	Chris Iannetta	0.0599	0.1033	16.2
4	Khris Davis	0.0726	0.1019	16.1
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.0678	0.0992	16.0
6	Michael Brantley	0.0599	0.0833	15.9
7	Matt Kemp	0.0748	0.1008	15.6
8	Mark Reynolds	0.0733	0.0377	15.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.0437	0.0891	19.8
2	Todd Frazier	0.0795	0.0508	18.6
3	Matt Kemp	0.0717	0.1008	17.8
4	Mark Reynolds	0.0772	0.0377	16.9
5	Michael Brantley	0.0592	0.0833	16.7
6	Conor Gillaspie	0.0488	0.0812	16.7
7	Chris Iannetta	0.0609	0.1033	16.0
8	Carlos Santana	0.0871	0.0636	15.1

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Harrison	0.0512	0.0664	0.0884	21.3	12.2	9.1
2	Matt Carpenter	0.0943	0.0802	0.0678	17.7	8.7	9.1
3	Travis d'Arnaud	0.0549	0.0704	0.0710	7.4	0.3	7.1
4	Brandon Barnes	0.0596	0.0803	0.0895	9.8	2.9	6.9
5	Nick Castellanos	0.0581	0.0679	0.0797	13.4	6.9	6.5
6	Ender Inciarte	0.0658	0.0500	0.0493	6.7	0.2	6.5
7	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.0707	0.0599	0.0570	7.7	1.7	6.0
8	Billy Hamilton	0.0733	0.0478	0.0552	10.1	4.7	5.5
9	David Peralta	0.0658	0.0489	0.0456	6.5	1.1	5.4
10	Wil Myers	0.0846	0.0686	0.0606	8.1	2.8	5.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Adams	0.0684	0.0753	0.0840	8.8	5.0	3.8
2	Robinson Canó	0.0856	0.0805	0.0717	9.3	5.7	3.5
3	Corey Dickerson	0.0667	0.0733	0.0857	9.1	6.0	3.1
4	Nick Markakis	0.0653	0.0616	0.0495	11.3	8.5	2.8
5	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.0824	0.0888	0.0893	3.0	0.3	2.7
6	Brian McCann	0.0573	0.0527	0.0376	10.6	8.0	2.6
7	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0468	0.0376	0.0350	3.2	0.7	2.6
8	Adam LaRoche	0.0706	0.0665	0.0516	11.1	8.6	2.5
9	Ben Revere	0.0367	0.0329	0.0233	8.4	5.9	2.5
10	Billy Butler	0.0767	0.0728	0.0708	3.5	1.1	2.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Peralta	0.0658	0.0489	0.0456	6.8	1.1	5.7
2	Jason Castro	0.0981	0.0868	0.0691	14.5	9.0	5.6
3	Dexter Fowler	0.0510	0.0617	0.0656	7.7	2.1	5.6
4	Miguel Rojas	0.0658	0.0358	0.0248	6.5	1.7	4.8
5	Casey McGehee	0.0751	0.0691	0.0561	12.7	8.8	3.9
6	Brock Holt	0.0497	0.0570	0.0648	7.7	3.9	3.8
7	Chris Carter	0.0889	0.0822	0.0719	9.4	5.8	3.6
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.0769	0.0707	0.0679	5.2	1.6	3.6
9	Marlon Byrd	0.0819	0.0762	0.0729	5.3	2.0	3.3
10	Caleb Joseph	0.0658	0.0541	0.0508	3.9	0.8	3.1

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Josh Rutledge	0.0306	0.0105 (7.0)	0.0107 (7.0)	0.0093 (7.2)	0.0118 (6.8)
Hunter Pence	0.0199	0.0081 (8.6)	0.0095 (7.7)	0.0078 (8.4)	0.0085 (9.0)
Rougned Odor	0.0222	0.0079 (6.2)	0.0068 (6.6)	0.0084 (5.6)	0.0073 (6.7)
Alex Rios	0.0200	0.0088 (6.1)	0.0090 (6.0)	0.0092 (5.4)	0.0083 (6.8)
David Peralta	0.0342	0.0026 (11.2)	0.0068 (9.7)	0.0030 (10.8)	0.0068 (10.0)
Michael Bourn	0.0301	0.0146 (7.8)	0.0157 (7.2)	0.0135 (8.0)	0.0158 (7.6)
Andre Ethier	0.0226	0.0033 (7.5)	0.0028 (7.7)	0.0039 (7.0)	0.0027 (8.1)
Josh Reddick	0.0240	0.0090 (6.1)	0.0091 (6.1)	0.0072 (6.5)	0.0108 (5.7)
Brandon Crawford	0.0275	0.0090 (10.6)	0.0079 (11.3)	0.0068 (11.5)	0.0113 (9.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0107	0.0246	7.7
2	Alejandro De Aza	0.0102	0.0225	6.7
3	Matt Adams	0.0012	0.0123	6.5
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0147	0.0237	6.1
5	Yasiel Puig	0.0125	0.0214	6.0
6	Ian Stewart	0.0069	0.0857	5.7
7	Curtis Granderson	0.0140	0.0049	5.6
8	Will Venable	0.0192	0.0068	5.4
9	Elvis Andrus	0.0101	0.0019	5.3
10	Ryan Kalish	0.0024	0.0426	5.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0093	0.0237	9.7
2	Yasiel Puig	0.0072	0.0214	9.4
3	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0070	0.0311	9.0
4	Danny Santana	0.0068	0.0231	7.2
5	Billy Hamilton	0.0067	0.0177	7.0
6	Matt Carpenter	0.0142	0.0041	6.8
7	Chris Owings	0.0060	0.0249	6.4
8	Christian Yelich	0.0044	0.0136	6.4
9	Anthony Rendon	0.0035	0.0121	6.3
10	Will Venable	0.0207	0.0068	6.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yasiel Puig	0.0068	0.0214	9.1
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0118	0.0237	7.5
3	Adam Eaton	0.0110	0.0246	7.1
4	Alejandro De Aza	0.0093	0.0225	6.8
5	B.J. Upton	0.0046	0.0147	5.7
6	Ian Stewart	0.0069	0.0857	5.7
7	Matt Adams	0.0023	0.0123	5.5
8	AJ Pollock	0.0093	0.0282	5.3
9	Elvis Andrus	0.0091	0.0019	5.2
10	Seth Smith	0.0041	0.0143	5.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0103	0.0246	8.4
2	Curtis Granderson	0.0181	0.0049	7.8
3	Matt Adams	0.0000	0.0123	7.7
4	Alejandro De Aza	0.0112	0.0225	6.6
5	Will Venable	0.0218	0.0068	6.2
6	Ian Stewart	0.0068	0.0857	5.8
7	Ryan Kalish	0.0000	0.0426	5.7
8	Starlin Castro	0.0134	0.0024	5.5
9	Jason Kipnis	0.0137	0.0025	5.5
10	Elvis Andrus	0.0111	0.0019	5.5

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Christian Yelich	0.0044	0.0142	0.0136	6.4	0.1	6.3
2	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0070	0.0204	0.0311	9.0	4.1	4.9
3	Billy Hamilton	0.0067	0.0140	0.0177	7.0	2.5	4.5
4	Anthony Rendon	0.0035	0.0090	0.0121	6.3	2.5	3.8
5	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0093	0.0147	0.0237	9.7	6.1	3.6
6	Yasiel Puig	0.0072	0.0125	0.0214	9.4	6.0	3.4
7	Dexter Fowler	0.0222	0.0159	0.0125	4.7	1.5	3.2
8	José Reyes	0.0158	0.0110	0.0075	5.1	2.0	3.1
9	James Jones	0.0068	0.0156	0.0201	4.5	1.6	2.9
10	Danny Santana	0.0068	0.0133	0.0231	7.2	4.4	2.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yasiel Puig	0.0068	0.0125	0.0214	9.1	6.0	3.1
2	Billy Hamilton	0.0094	0.0140	0.0177	4.8	2.5	2.3
3	Peter Bourjos	0.0158	0.0231	0.0266	3.1	1.1	1.9
4	Brett Gardner	0.0146	0.0182	0.0189	2.5	0.7	1.8
5	Christian Yelich	0.0106	0.0142	0.0136	1.8	0.1	1.7
6	Anthony Rendon	0.0061	0.0090	0.0121	3.9	2.5	1.5
7	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0118	0.0147	0.0237	7.5	6.1	1.4
8	Casey McGehee	0.0052	0.0041	0.0019	2.5	1.2	1.3
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0102	0.0130	0.0131	1.5	0.3	1.3
10	Mark Teixeira	0.0034	0.0017	0.0000	1.9	0.6	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Curtis Granderson	0.0181	0.0140	0.0049	7.8	5.6	2.1
2	Christian Yelich	0.0182	0.0142	0.0136	2.2	0.1	2.1
3	Starling Marte	0.0283	0.0246	0.0171	5.4	3.9	1.5
4	Mike Zunino	0.0032	0.0054	0.0076	2.7	1.3	1.4
5	Denard Span	0.0186	0.0158	0.0147	1.8	0.5	1.3
6	Austin Jackson	0.0211	0.0183	0.0131	4.5	3.2	1.3
7	Juan Lagares	0.0172	0.0137	0.0090	3.1	1.9	1.2
8	Chase Utley	0.0154	0.0128	0.0120	1.4	0.3	1.2
9	Jason Kipnis	0.0137	0.0108	0.0025	5.5	4.3	1.2
10	Yasmani Grandal	0.0000	0.0018	0.0040	2.3	1.2	1.1

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Dozier	0.1584	0.1134 (35.2)	0.1105 (38.5)	0.1087 (37.1)	0.1181 (33.4)
Troy Tulowitzki	0.1893	0.1352 (22.1)	0.1368 (22.1)	0.1400 (19.6)	0.1304 (24.7)
Anthony Rendon	0.1625	0.1114 (38.2)	0.1051 (43.7)	0.1092 (38.3)	0.1136 (38.2)
Danny Santana	0.1628	0.0991 (29.4)	0.1094 (25.8)	0.0965 (29.7)	0.1018 (29.2)
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1415	0.1068 (25.7)	0.1168 (20.3)	0.0984 (29.9)	0.1153 (21.6)
Michael Brantley	0.1391	0.1138 (20.3)	0.1099 (24.1)	0.1097 (21.8)	0.1179 (19.0)
Derek Jeter	0.0741	0.1191 (25.5)	0.1300 (31.3)	0.1182 (26.2)	0.1200 (24.6)
Kole Calhoun	0.1676	0.1198 (28.3)	0.1199 (29.1)	0.1214 (26.3)	0.1181 (30.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Pence	0.1223	0.1497	22.8
2	Victor Martinez	0.1087	0.1357	20.4
3	David Ortiz	0.1359	0.0980	19.9
4	Brock Holt	0.1033	0.1382	19.5
5	Yunel Escobar	0.1031	0.0624	19.0
6	Corey Dickerson	0.1206	0.1548	18.6
7	Todd Frazier	0.1102	0.1333	18.4
8	Gregory Polanco	0.1066	0.1603	18.2
9	David Wright	0.1279	0.0922	18.1
10	Denard Span	0.1188	0.1407	17.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1057	0.1445	27.9
2	Curtis Granderson	0.1528	0.1116	22.7
3	Austin Jackson	0.1493	0.1082	22.7
4	David Ortiz	0.1418	0.0980	22.4
5	Allen Craig	0.1318	0.0812	22.3
6	Hunter Pence	0.1264	0.1497	21.1
7	Yunel Escobar	0.1083	0.0624	20.8
8	Christian Yelich	0.1175	0.1424	20.8
9	Luis Valbuena	0.0939	0.1243	20.2
10	Victor Martinez	0.1109	0.1357	20.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Pence	0.1138	0.1497	27.4
2	Josh Harrison	0.0994	0.1400	23.9
3	David Ortiz	0.1404	0.0980	23.8
4	Christian Yelich	0.1111	0.1424	22.5
5	Carlos Gómez	0.1167	0.1475	21.7
6	Gregory Polanco	0.0956	0.1603	21.0
7	Yunel Escobar	0.1037	0.0624	20.4
8	Todd Frazier	0.1062	0.1333	19.8
9	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1484	0.1096	19.0
10	Kendrys Morales	0.1192	0.0698	18.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.1008	0.1357	26.9
2	Corey Dickerson	0.1115	0.1548	24.0
3	Brock Holt	0.0994	0.1382	22.5
4	Denard Span	0.1186	0.1407	19.4
5	Jason Castro	0.1281	0.0840	19.0
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1206	0.1445	19.0
7	Bryce Harper	0.1586	0.1038	18.9
8	Alexei Ramirez	0.1031	0.1248	18.9
9	Nelson Cruz	0.1077	0.1283	18.7
10	David Wright	0.1309	0.0922	18.6

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Curtis Granderson	0.1528	0.1287	0.1116	22.7	8.1	14.6
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.1057	0.1246	0.1445	27.9	15.2	12.7
3	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.1313	0.1062	0.0989	11.2	1.1	10.1
4	Matt Holliday	0.1497	0.1328	0.1244	12.5	2.4	10.1
5	George Springer	0.1094	0.1344	0.1304	9.5	0.3	9.2
6	Justin Morneau	0.1004	0.1209	0.1127	10.4	1.9	8.5
7	José Abreu	0.1094	0.1458	0.1286	16.0	7.7	8.3
8	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0699	0.0826	0.0923	16.6	8.4	8.3
9	Justin Upton	0.1506	0.1366	0.1201	15.3	7.5	7.9
10	Austin Jackson	0.1493	0.1363	0.1082	22.7	15.3	7.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marcell Ozuna	0.0968	0.1143	0.1176	14.5	5.0	9.5
2	Billy Butler	0.1274	0.1143	0.0945	18.2	9.0	9.1
3	Marlon Byrd	0.0988	0.1143	0.1115	9.8	1.2	8.6
4	Josh Harrison	0.0994	0.1145	0.1400	23.9	16.7	7.2
5	Brian McCann	0.1276	0.1165	0.1059	10.1	3.1	7.0
6	Carlos Gómez	0.1167	0.1286	0.1475	21.7	15.3	6.4
7	Christian Yelich	0.1111	0.1225	0.1424	22.5	16.3	6.2
8	James Loney	0.1041	0.0969	0.0906	6.9	0.9	6.0
9	Alex Avila	0.1152	0.1049	0.0963	7.4	1.7	5.6
10	Salvador Perez	0.1123	0.1055	0.0941	9.3	4.0	5.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Curtis Granderson	0.1435	0.1287	0.1116	16.2	8.1	8.2
2	Matt Kemp	0.1537	0.1382	0.1285	10.9	2.9	7.9
3	Yasiel Puig	0.1658	0.1525	0.1437	9.6	2.5	7.1
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.1420	0.1497	0.1474	8.5	1.7	6.8
5	Nelson Cruz	0.1077	0.1151	0.1283	18.7	12.2	6.6
6	Victor Martinez	0.1008	0.1087	0.1357	26.9	20.4	6.5
7	Hanley Ramirez	0.1507	0.1365	0.1250	9.6	3.4	6.1
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.0903	0.0995	0.1097	14.2	8.0	6.1
9	Marlon Byrd	0.1298	0.1143	0.1115	7.2	1.2	6.0
10	Mike Zunino	0.1344	0.1200	0.1071	9.7	3.9	5.8

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lucas Duda	0.1544	0.1136 (28.1)	0.1111 (29.2)	0.1103 (29.3)	0.1169 (27.1)
Kyle Seager	0.1468	0.1144 (25.4)	0.1081 (29.1)	0.1212 (20.1)	0.1077 (30.8)
Corey Dickerson	0.1590	0.1206 (21.4)	0.0924 (34.6)	0.1225 (19.9)	0.1187 (23.1)
Michael Brantley	0.1435	0.1041 (31.0)	0.1065 (29.0)	0.0983 (34.0)	0.1099 (28.1)
Devin Mesoraco	0.1818	0.1225 (28.9)	0.1072 (35.4)	0.1117 (33.1)	0.1333 (24.8)
Justin Upton	0.1591	0.1199 (29.3)	0.1134 (33.0)	0.1267 (24.0)	0.1130 (34.7)
Mike Trout	0.1574	0.1317 (22.7)	0.1289 (24.2)	0.1304 (22.7)	0.1331 (22.8)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Allen Craig	0.1501	0.0911	26.6
2	Victor Martinez	0.1274	0.1607	25.5
3	José Abreu	0.1386	0.1720	24.8
4	Adrián González	0.1456	0.1758	24.1
5	J.D. Martinez	0.1190	0.1583	22.0
6	Freddie Freeman	0.1472	0.1102	21.7
7	Russell Martin	0.1054	0.1457	21.5
8	Brandon Crawford	0.0914	0.1223	21.1
9	Jason Kipnis	0.1179	0.0739	20.9
10	Ian Kinsler	0.1049	0.1267	20.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.1040	0.1720	45.9
2	Allen Craig	0.1638	0.0911	33.8
3	Adam LaRoche	0.1218	0.1570	24.0
4	Dustin Ackley	0.0818	0.1199	23.8
5	James Jones	0.1040	0.0274	23.2
6	Jason Kipnis	0.1194	0.0739	22.1
7	Hunter Pence	0.1412	0.1045	21.9
8	Trevor Plouffe	0.1057	0.1375	21.9
9	Anthony Rendon	0.0954	0.1215	21.8
10	B.J. Upton	0.1031	0.0601	21.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.1211	0.1607	28.7
2	Adrián González	0.1395	0.1758	27.3
3	J.D. Martinez	0.1112	0.1583	25.1
4	Russell Martin	0.1016	0.1457	22.6
5	Ian Kinsler	0.1016	0.1267	22.0
6	Nick Markakis	0.1061	0.0704	21.7
7	James Jones	0.0974	0.0274	21.3
8	Brandon Crawford	0.0909	0.1223	20.6
9	B.J. Upton	0.1002	0.0601	20.3
10	Xander Bogaerts	0.1159	0.0774	19.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.1208	0.1720	36.8
2	Allen Craig	0.1670	0.0911	34.3
3	Mark Teixeira	0.1966	0.1220	33.9
4	Freddie Freeman	0.1557	0.1102	26.6
5	Dustin Ackley	0.0818	0.1199	25.0
6	Mark Reynolds	0.1692	0.1039	24.8
7	Jason Kipnis	0.1259	0.0739	24.5
8	Trevor Plouffe	0.1043	0.1375	23.9
9	Omar Infante	0.0823	0.1148	23.2
10	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1482	0.1053	22.9

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.1040	0.1386	0.1720	45.9	24.8	21.1
2	Curtis Granderson	0.1373	0.1112	0.1009	20.0	2.5	17.5
3	Justin Morneau	0.1215	0.1501	0.1491	18.4	3.0	15.4
4	Corey Dickerson	0.0924	0.1206	0.1590	34.6	21.4	13.2
5	Robinson Canó	0.1471	0.1311	0.1233	12.0	0.9	11.1
6	Ender Inciarte	0.1040	0.0823	0.0604	16.9	6.9	10.0
7	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.1313	0.1099	0.1011	10.6	1.0	9.6
8	Brock Holt	0.1048	0.0861	0.0589	19.7	10.2	9.6
9	Matt Carpenter	0.1132	0.1009	0.0832	17.1	7.9	9.2
10	Drew Stubbs	0.0832	0.1037	0.1014	10.2	1.8	8.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Howard	0.1313	0.1509	0.1466	13.3	1.4	11.9
2	Matt Kemp	0.1340	0.1460	0.1486	11.8	5.4	6.4
3	Jason Heyward	0.1216	0.1138	0.0894	17.6	11.7	5.9
4	Todd Frazier	0.1172	0.1282	0.1212	6.0	0.4	5.6
5	Yangervis Solarte	0.1063	0.0972	0.0897	6.1	0.6	5.5
6	Chase Utley	0.1104	0.1200	0.1175	8.1	2.6	5.5
7	José Reyes	0.0961	0.0890	0.0779	8.6	3.1	5.5
8	Juan Uribe	0.1067	0.1213	0.1337	13.0	7.6	5.4
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.1120	0.1219	0.1389	19.6	14.4	5.2
10	Jhonny Peralta	0.1043	0.1137	0.1194	12.7	7.7	5.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mark Teixeira	0.1966	0.1681	0.1220	33.9	20.1	13.7
2	José Abreu	0.1208	0.1386	0.1720	36.8	24.8	12.0
3	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1482	0.1323	0.1053	22.9	13.4	9.5
4	Ryan Howard	0.1705	0.1509	0.1466	10.3	1.4	8.9
5	Ryan Braun	0.1747	0.1584	0.1397	15.7	7.1	8.6
6	Omar Infante	0.0823	0.0951	0.1148	23.2	15.0	8.2
7	Mark Reynolds	0.1692	0.1489	0.1039	24.8	16.7	8.1
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1374	0.1481	0.1646	22.4	14.6	7.8
9	Allen Craig	0.1670	0.1501	0.0911	34.3	26.6	7.8
10	Daniel Murphy	0.1215	0.1081	0.0888	15.9	8.3	7.6

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Anthony Rendon	0.0983	0.0202 (60.2)	0.0297 (52.4)	0.0245 (56.3)	0.0159 (64.0)
James Jones	0.3553	0.1721 (63.4)	0.0629 (98.6)	0.1862 (58.3)	0.1574 (68.6)
Jordan Schafer	0.4918	0.2540 (59.5)	0.2421 (61.9)	0.2361 (63.5)	0.2727 (55.3)
Ben Revere	0.2737	0.2101 (46.1)	0.2149 (41.9)	0.1945 (55.0)	0.2252 (37.4)
Denard Span	0.1685	0.1073 (47.5)	0.1060 (47.2)	0.1059 (47.6)	0.1088 (47.3)
Lorenzo Cain	0.2121	0.1201 (51.2)	0.1193 (50.7)	0.1091 (56.1)	0.1316 (46.1)
Michael Bourn	0.0820	0.1945 (49.9)	0.2000 (53.5)	0.1843 (45.6)	0.2048 (54.4)
Jose Altuve	0.2679	0.1841 (66.4)	0.1783 (69.1)	0.1728 (73.4)	0.1954 (59.2)
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3699	0.2959 (54.6)	0.2838 (61.3)	0.2925 (56.0)	0.2993 (53.2)
Eric Young Jr.	0.3896	0.2675 (41.8)	0.2593 (43.8)	0.2568 (44.7)	0.2783 (38.7)
Charlie Blackmon	0.1687	0.1039 (48.5)	0.0976 (51.4)	0.0942 (53.9)	0.1140 (42.7)
Mike Trout	0.0879	0.1767 (55.5)	0.1728 (54.1)	0.1536 (40.2)	0.2000 (71.1)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.1724	0.0435	49.6
2	George Springer	0.1940	0.0575	43.6
3	Todd Frazier	0.0644	0.1176	41.8
4	Alcides Escobar	0.1509	0.2039	39.1
5	Carl Crawford	0.1352	0.2300	38.8
6	Jimmy Rollins	0.1303	0.1830	38.2
7	Jean Segura	0.2288	0.1504	38.1
8	Kolten Wong	0.1307	0.2083	37.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	0.2593	0.4088	96.3
2	Danny Santana	0.0629	0.1818	54.6
3	Kolten Wong	0.0926	0.2083	53.6
4	Todd Frazier	0.0480	0.1176	51.3
5	Leury García	0.1311	0.4400	49.1
6	Ender Inciarte	0.0629	0.1624	48.1
7	Coco Crisp	0.2214	0.1293	45.0
8	Anthony Gose	0.0629	0.2055	41.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.1810	0.0435	53.7
2	Billy Hamilton	0.4972	0.4088	48.7
3	Todd Frazier	0.0552	0.1176	47.0
4	George Springer	0.1965	0.0575	45.0
5	Carl Crawford	0.1199	0.2300	43.9
6	Alcides Escobar	0.1422	0.2039	43.7
7	Jimmy Rollins	0.1233	0.1830	41.7
8	Kolten Wong	0.1248	0.2083	39.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Gómez	0.3019	0.2024	56.8
2	Rougned Odor	0.1641	0.0435	45.6
3	Jean Segura	0.2431	0.1504	45.4
4	Rajai Davis	0.4021	0.3000	44.9
5	George Springer	0.1915	0.0575	42.4
6	Ender Inciarte	0.2624	0.1624	39.7
7	Austin Jackson	0.0769	0.1235	37.9
8	Coco Crisp	0.2109	0.1293	37.8

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Billy Hamilton	0.2593	0.4628	0.4088	96.3	26.9	69.4
2	Anthony Gose	0.0629	0.2130	0.2055	41.3	0.7	40.6
3	Danny Santana	0.0629	0.1525	0.1818	54.6	16.9	37.7
4	James Jones	0.0629	0.1721	0.3553	98.6	63.4	35.2
5	Jonathan Villar	0.1807	0.2862	0.3148	41.1	11.2	29.9
6	Gregory Polanco	0.0629	0.2163	0.1772	38.2	9.1	29.1
7	José Ramírez	0.0556	0.1850	0.1613	30.3	3.6	26.6
8	Josh Harrison	0.0968	0.1501	0.1364	26.2	2.1	24.2
9	Arismendy Alcántara	0.0629	0.1850	0.1509	28.9	7.2	21.6
10	Ender Inciarte	0.0629	0.2341	0.1624	48.1	27.6	20.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Billy Hamilton	0.4972	0.4628	0.4088	48.7	26.9	21.8
2	José Abreu	0.0602	0.0359	0.0182	20.7	4.8	16.0
3	José Reyes	0.1465	0.1644	0.1786	26.7	15.9	10.9
4	Ian Desmond	0.1247	0.1419	0.1600	28.5	18.2	10.3
5	Corey Dickerson	0.1062	0.0883	0.0684	13.9	4.7	9.2
6	Ben Revere	0.1945	0.2101	0.2737	55.0	46.1	8.9
7	Derek Jeter	0.0513	0.0660	0.0602	11.2	2.7	8.5
8	Emilio Bonifácio	0.2232	0.2441	0.2500	15.1	6.8	8.3
9	Robbie Grossman	0.1219	0.1048	0.0756	15.9	8.1	7.8
10	Tyler Flowers	0.0471	0.0311	0.0000	17.0	9.3	7.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Carlos Gómez	0.3019	0.2698	0.2024	56.8	36.9	19.9
2	Mike Trout	0.2000	0.1767	0.0879	71.1	55.5	15.6
3	Hanley Ramirez	0.1583	0.1275	0.0993	24.5	9.3	15.2
4	B.J. Upton	0.1933	0.1696	0.1538	16.4	3.4	13.0
5	Rajai Davis	0.4021	0.3750	0.3000	44.9	32.1	12.7
6	Ender Inciarte	0.2624	0.2341	0.1624	39.7	27.6	12.1
7	Coco Crisp	0.2109	0.1886	0.1293	37.8	26.4	11.3
8	Casey McGehee	0.0000	0.0151	0.0190	20.9	9.6	11.3
9	David Wright	0.1156	0.0966	0.0530	30.1	19.7	10.5
10	Matt Kemp	0.1271	0.1087	0.0567	35.4	25.1	10.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Davis	0.1956	0.2672 (36.4)	0.2739 (37.8)	0.2679 (36.6)	0.2665 (36.1)
Justin Turner	0.3403	0.2577 (27.3)	0.2644 (26.5)	0.2542 (28.6)	0.2613 (26.2)
Russell Martin	0.2902	0.2311 (28.3)	0.2294 (31.0)	0.2278 (30.0)	0.2344 (26.7)
Danny Santana	0.3185	0.2563 (27.8)	0.2549 (30.1)	0.2586 (26.9)	0.2540 (28.7)
Jose Altuve	0.3409	0.2831 (42.5)	0.2794 (48.0)	0.2809 (44.4)	0.2853 (40.9)
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2890	0.2489 (27.6)	0.2519 (28.3)	0.2468 (29.2)	0.2510 (26.1)
Casey McGehee	0.2873	0.2453 (30.7)	0.2275 (45.8)	0.2417 (33.4)	0.2489 (28.1)
Michael Brantley	0.3273	0.2750 (36.9)	0.2769 (38.4)	0.2725 (38.9)	0.2776 (35.2)
Allen Craig	0.2148	0.2879 (35.8)	0.3015 (40.5)	0.2920 (37.6)	0.2838 (33.8)
José Abreu	0.3165	0.2706 (30.1)	0.2549 (42.4)	0.2686 (31.5)	0.2725 (28.8)
J.D. Martinez	0.3152	0.2522 (31.3)	0.2507 (34.1)	0.2512 (32.0)	0.2532 (30.8)
Josh Harrison	0.3154	0.2648 (29.1)	0.2520 (38.4)	0.2657 (28.8)	0.2638 (29.6)
Juan Uribe	0.3109	0.2396 (29.7)	0.2474 (28.2)	0.2370 (30.9)	0.2421 (28.7)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.2902	0.3351	30.3
2	Michael Choice	0.2684	0.1818	23.6
3	Lorenzo Cain	0.2569	0.3015	23.6
4	Nate Schierholtz	0.2585	0.1955	23.3
5	Derek Norris	0.2206	0.2701	22.9
6	Justin Morneau	0.2804	0.3187	22.4
7	Adam Eaton	0.2616	0.3004	22.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Morneau	0.2574	0.3187	37.3
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.2420	0.2863	31.2
3	Corey Dickerson	0.2570	0.3119	29.3
4	Jon Singleton	0.2549	0.1677	29.2
5	Adam Eaton	0.2532	0.3004	28.9
6	Kurt Suzuki	0.2376	0.2876	28.4
7	Lorenzo Cain	0.2543	0.3015	26.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.2895	0.3351	31.0
2	Michael Choice	0.2779	0.1818	26.1
3	Kurt Suzuki	0.2422	0.2876	24.2
4	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2575	0.1979	24.1
5	Carlos Gómez	0.2510	0.2840	23.0
6	Todd Frazier	0.2414	0.2730	22.7
7	Nate Schierholtz	0.2573	0.1955	22.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.2909	0.3351	29.8
2	Adam Eaton	0.2505	0.3004	28.1
3	Derek Norris	0.2110	0.2701	27.1
4	Lorenzo Cain	0.2523	0.3015	25.8
5	Nate Schierholtz	0.2597	0.1955	23.7
6	Jon Singleton	0.2330	0.1677	22.8
7	Corey Dickerson	0.2671	0.3119	22.5

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Casey McGehee	0.2275	0.2453	0.2873	45.8	30.7	15.1
2	Justin Morneau	0.2574	0.2804	0.3187	37.3	22.4	14.9
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.2420	0.2600	0.2863	31.2	17.6	13.7
4	Derek Jeter	0.2930	0.2688	0.2565	19.1	6.3	12.8
5	José Abreu	0.2549	0.2706	0.3165	42.4	30.1	12.3
6	Matt Carpenter	0.2987	0.2777	0.2723	14.1	2.2	11.9
7	Nolan Arenado	0.2636	0.2829	0.2870	13.9	3.0	10.9
8	Brandon Moss	0.2629	0.2403	0.2340	13.0	2.3	10.7
9	Drew Stubbs	0.2330	0.2538	0.2887	26.3	15.8	10.6
10	Luis Valbuena	0.2264	0.2397	0.2490	15.8	6.3	9.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marlon Byrd	0.2527	0.2642	0.2640	8.9	1.3	7.6
2	Curtis Granderson	0.2160	0.2264	0.2270	8.9	1.9	7.0
3	Derek Jeter	0.2790	0.2688	0.2565	12.6	6.3	6.3
4	Norichika Aoki	0.2994	0.2892	0.2851	6.3	0.9	5.4
5	Austin Jackson	0.2777	0.2698	0.2563	12.2	7.3	4.9
6	Jhonny Peralta	0.2527	0.2598	0.2625	7.9	3.2	4.7
7	Jimmy Rollins	0.2378	0.2467	0.2435	5.1	0.6	4.6
8	Ian Kinsler	0.2608	0.2659	0.2749	12.2	8.2	4.0
9	Shin-Soo Choo	0.2801	0.2723	0.2418	18.8	14.9	3.9
10	Matt Carpenter	0.2836	0.2777	0.2723	6.1	2.2	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Eaton	0.2505	0.2616	0.3004	28.1	22.1	5.9
2	David Freese	0.2471	0.2587	0.2597	7.6	1.7	5.9
3	Billy Hamilton	0.2644	0.2553	0.2504	7.1	1.5	5.6
4	Miguel Rojas	0.2549	0.2205	0.1812	11.6	6.0	5.6
5	Jimmy Rollins	0.2556	0.2467	0.2435	6.0	0.6	5.4
6	Marlon Byrd	0.2757	0.2642	0.2640	6.0	1.3	4.7
7	Brock Holt	0.2565	0.2660	0.2806	13.0	8.3	4.6
8	Derek Norris	0.2110	0.2206	0.2701	27.1	22.9	4.2
9	Justin Upton	0.2588	0.2654	0.2703	8.8	4.7	4.2
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2568	0.2634	0.2876	21.0	16.9	4.1

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Dozier	0.3452	0.3041 (30.9)	0.3035 (35.1)	0.3048 (31.2)	0.3034 (30.9)
Carlos Gómez	0.3561	0.3089 (32.1)	0.3196 (28.6)	0.3051 (35.3)	0.3128 (29.2)
Russell Martin	0.4017	0.3229 (37.5)	0.3213 (40.7)	0.3197 (39.5)	0.3260 (35.7)
Justin Turner	0.4037	0.3102 (30.9)	0.3230 (28.6)	0.3071 (32.3)	0.3134 (29.7)
Jose Altuve	0.3768	0.3237 (39.4)	0.3219 (44.4)	0.3244 (39.7)	0.3230 (39.4)
Victor Martinez	0.4087	0.3437 (43.3)	0.3556 (39.1)	0.3464 (42.4)	0.3411 (44.6)
Casey McGehee	0.3546	0.3082 (33.8)	0.2888 (50.9)	0.3052 (36.7)	0.3112 (31.2)
Jonathan Lucroy	0.3725	0.3294 (30.0)	0.3352 (29.6)	0.3280 (31.6)	0.3307 (28.6)
Allen Craig	0.2792	0.3434 (31.1)	0.3566 (35.1)	0.3487 (33.2)	0.3380 (28.7)
Michael Brantley	0.3846	0.3314 (37.7)	0.3322 (40.8)	0.3316 (38.4)	0.3312 (37.4)
Anthony Rizzo	0.3864	0.3411 (29.5)	0.3238 (43.4)	0.3462 (27.0)	0.3359 (32.3)
J.D. Martinez	0.3583	0.3020 (28.3)	0.3027 (30.5)	0.3011 (29.3)	0.3030 (27.5)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adrian Beltré	0.3428	0.3876	29.1
2	Danny Santana	0.2877	0.3528	29.1
3	Brian McCann	0.3392	0.2862	27.1
4	Nate Schierholtz	0.3126	0.2428	25.7
5	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3278	0.2654	25.3
6	Josh Harrison	0.3036	0.3467	25.2
7	Jay Bruce	0.3297	0.2812	25.0
8	Nick Swisher	0.3421	0.2775	24.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.3181	0.3826	45.1
2	Jonathan Schoop	0.3239	0.2437	34.8
3	Devin Mesoraco	0.2943	0.3591	32.0
4	Josh Harrison	0.2967	0.3467	31.9
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3548	0.3950	30.7
6	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.2933	0.3428	30.6
7	Kurt Suzuki	0.2922	0.3446	30.4
8	Justin Morneau	0.3216	0.3636	27.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adrian Beltré	0.3444	0.3876	28.8
2	Danny Santana	0.2899	0.3528	28.6
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.4146	0.3708	27.4
4	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3337	0.2654	27.3
5	Devin Mesoraco	0.3029	0.3591	26.4
6	Brian McCann	0.3387	0.2862	26.2
7	Nate Schierholtz	0.3131	0.2428	25.5
8	Kurt Suzuki	0.2980	0.3446	25.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2855	0.3528	29.8
2	Adrian Beltré	0.3411	0.3876	29.7
3	Brian McCann	0.3397	0.2862	27.7
4	Jayson Werth	0.3529	0.3943	27.2
5	Jonathan Schoop	0.3006	0.2437	26.5
6	Nate Schierholtz	0.3122	0.2428	25.8
7	Ian Kinsler	0.3445	0.3071	25.8
8	Josh Harrison	0.3019	0.3467	25.7

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.3181	0.3588	0.3826	45.1	16.4	28.7
2	Casey McGehee	0.2888	0.3082	0.3546	50.9	33.8	17.1
3	Justin Morneau	0.3216	0.3454	0.3636	27.5	11.4	16.1
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.3238	0.3411	0.3864	43.4	29.5	13.9
5	Anthony Rendon	0.3251	0.3394	0.3510	23.1	9.7	13.4
6	Adam Eaton	0.3239	0.3425	0.3619	24.8	11.9	12.9
7	Jason Heyward	0.3354	0.3488	0.3513	15.5	3.3	12.2
8	Drew Stubbs	0.3027	0.3239	0.3389	18.7	7.4	11.3
9	Jonathan Schoop	0.3239	0.2964	0.2437	34.8	24.1	10.7
10	James Jones	0.3181	0.2837	0.2778	10.6	1.1	9.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marlon Byrd	0.3006	0.3126	0.3124	9.9	1.5	8.4
2	Curtis Granderson	0.3066	0.3143	0.3257	15.0	9.1	5.8
3	Omar Infante	0.3270	0.3181	0.2947	16.4	12.0	4.4
4	Jimmy Rollins	0.3065	0.3126	0.3234	12.6	8.2	4.4
5	Adrián González	0.3546	0.3468	0.3348	10.6	6.2	4.4
6	David Freese	0.3413	0.3318	0.3209	8.5	4.2	4.3
7	José Abreu	0.3533	0.3588	0.3826	20.6	16.4	4.2
8	José Bautista	0.3719	0.3767	0.4033	23.6	19.6	4.0
9	Dexter Fowler	0.3412	0.3477	0.3750	19.0	15.1	3.9
10	Austin Jackson	0.3487	0.3418	0.3084	24.0	20.2	3.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Rojas	0.3181	0.2669	0.2422	12.0	3.6	8.4
2	Caleb Joseph	0.3181	0.2920	0.2639	14.4	7.0	7.4
3	Norichika Aoki	0.3365	0.3489	0.3494	8.1	1.7	6.4
4	Jake Lamb	0.3181	0.2726	0.2632	7.1	0.9	6.1
5	Billy Hamilton	0.3189	0.3101	0.2924	15.1	9.2	5.8
6	Jason Heyward	0.3401	0.3488	0.3513	8.5	3.3	5.2
7	Marlon Byrd	0.3246	0.3126	0.3124	6.5	1.5	5.0
8	Matt Carpenter	0.3507	0.3580	0.3748	18.4	13.8	4.6
9	Brock Holt	0.3110	0.3207	0.3306	10.6	6.2	4.4
10	Josh Donaldson	0.3268	0.3336	0.3424	12.2	7.9	4.2

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lucas Duda	0.4805	0.4018 (54.4)	0.4132 (52.7)	0.3912 (60.5)	0.4124 (48.9)
Chris Davis	0.4044	0.5363 (62.6)	0.5310 (55.4)	0.5266 (57.7)	0.5460 (67.0)
Steve Pearce	0.5562	0.4078 (61.7)	0.3865 (73.1)	0.4114 (60.1)	0.4041 (63.6)
Jose Altuve	0.4530	0.3846 (57.3)	0.3796 (66.8)	0.3856 (56.3)	0.3835 (59.0)
Nelson Cruz	0.5253	0.4653 (49.2)	0.4739 (49.1)	0.4615 (51.5)	0.4690 (47.5)
Corey Dickerson	0.5665	0.4702 (52.0)	0.4261 (77.2)	0.4688 (52.5)	0.4717 (51.9)
Victor Martinez	0.5651	0.4259 (97.3)	0.4313 (99.2)	0.4272 (96.2)	0.4246 (98.9)
Michael Brantley	0.5057	0.3881 (88.0)	0.3942 (89.6)	0.3847 (90.1)	0.3915 (86.6)
Allen Craig	0.3145	0.4602 (67.2)	0.4740 (69.9)	0.4664 (70.5)	0.4541 (63.5)
Devin Mesoraco	0.5339	0.4122 (59.0)	0.3781 (77.8)	0.4036 (62.7)	0.4209 (55.8)
J.D. Martinez	0.5533	0.3859 (86.4)	0.3854 (90.7)	0.3898 (84.3)	0.3820 (88.9)
Josh Harrison	0.4904	0.3908 (61.7)	0.3780 (73.4)	0.3822 (66.2)	0.3995 (57.6)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.3423	0.4716	61.0
2	Domonic Brown	0.4770	0.3488	59.2
3	Jay Bruce	0.4834	0.3732	53.2
4	Anthony Rendon	0.4130	0.4731	49.6
5	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3141	0.3777	49.5
6	José Abreu	0.5141	0.5809	49.4
7	David Wright	0.4690	0.3738	48.4
8	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3878	0.2656	46.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.3936	0.5809	129.6
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.4159	0.5267	81.2
3	Anthony Rendon	0.3918	0.4731	69.9
4	Drew Stubbs	0.3552	0.4820	62.7
5	Justin Morneau	0.4067	0.4960	60.7
6	Nolan Arenado	0.4023	0.5000	55.5
7	Chris Coghlan	0.3531	0.4519	51.8
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.3921	0.4549	51.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.3471	0.4716	58.8
2	Anthony Rendon	0.4072	0.4731	53.3
3	Jay Bruce	0.4814	0.3732	52.3
4	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.4007	0.2656	52.0
5	David Wright	0.4712	0.3738	49.9
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3134	0.3777	49.7
7	Evan Longoria	0.4865	0.4038	49.3
8	Domonic Brown	0.4571	0.3488	49.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Domonic Brown	0.4968	0.3488	68.6
2	Danny Santana	0.3375	0.4716	63.6
3	José Abreu	0.4936	0.5809	63.0
4	Jay Bruce	0.4854	0.3732	53.6
5	Nate Schierholtz	0.4530	0.3088	49.9
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3148	0.3777	49.9
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.4638	0.5267	47.3
8	Chris Coghlan	0.3565	0.4519	47.2

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Abreu	0.3936	0.5141	0.5809	129.6	49.4	80.1
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.4159	0.4745	0.5267	81.2	39.9	41.3
3	Justin Morneau	0.4067	0.4682	0.4960	60.7	22.3	38.4
4	Curtis Granderson	0.4746	0.4220	0.3883	42.7	13.8	28.9
5	Brandon Moss	0.5094	0.4563	0.4380	29.2	3.3	25.9
6	Corey Dickerson	0.4261	0.4702	0.5665	77.2	52.0	25.2
7	Robinson Canó	0.5138	0.4693	0.4538	25.9	1.9	24.0
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5145	0.5428	0.5547	39.1	15.6	23.4
9	Nolan Arenado	0.4023	0.4412	0.5000	55.5	33.3	22.1
10	Matt Carpenter	0.4566	0.4177	0.3748	43.1	21.5	21.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Ortiz	0.5060	0.5288	0.5174	14.2	0.7	13.5
2	Marlon Byrd	0.4055	0.4233	0.4450	32.9	21.9	11.1
3	Norichika Aoki	0.3986	0.3803	0.3605	14.3	4.0	10.3
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.3963	0.4134	0.4549	43.3	33.1	10.3
5	Wilin Rosario	0.5045	0.4810	0.4346	23.7	13.9	9.8
6	Carlos Gómez	0.4327	0.4473	0.4774	36.6	27.5	9.1
7	Christian Yelich	0.3898	0.4035	0.4021	16.1	7.3	8.8
8	Jhonny Peralta	0.3836	0.3978	0.4429	44.9	36.2	8.6
9	Billy Hamilton	0.3339	0.3478	0.3552	20.5	12.3	8.2
10	Arismendy Alcántara	0.3489	0.3767	0.3669	9.0	0.9	8.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Rojas	0.3936	0.2789	0.2215	25.6	7.3	18.4
2	Curtis Granderson	0.4444	0.4220	0.3883	27.6	13.8	13.8
3	José Abreu	0.4936	0.5141	0.5809	63.0	49.4	13.5
4	Adam Eaton	0.3483	0.3706	0.4012	36.0	23.2	12.7
5	David Ortiz	0.5517	0.5288	0.5174	12.3	0.7	11.6
6	Jason Castro	0.4386	0.4164	0.3656	30.3	19.6	10.7
7	Adrián González	0.4533	0.4682	0.4822	28.2	17.6	10.7
8	B.J. Upton	0.4131	0.3942	0.3333	38.3	28.1	10.2
9	David Freese	0.3741	0.3920	0.3831	11.7	1.9	9.8
10	Josh Donaldson	0.4239	0.4364	0.4556	31.7	22.1	9.5

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roenis Elías	693	4 (689.0)	100 (593.0)	4 (689.0)	100 (593.0)
Matt Moore	44	739 (695.0)	666 (622.0)	739 (695.0)	739 (694.9)
Iván Nova	96	732 (636.5)	625 (529.0)	739 (643.0)	726 (630.0)
CC Sabathia	209	825 (616.0)	773 (564.0)	807 (598.0)	843 (633.9)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez	637	29	607.9
2	Nick Martinez	5	610	605.0
3	Scott Carroll	5	573	568.0
4	Aaron Harang	322	876	553.5
5	Erik Johnson	651	109	542.0
6	Tyler Chatwood	640	101	538.5
7	Colby Lewis	232	762	530.5
8	Blake Beavan	541	16	525.5
9	José Fernández	721	205	516.0
10	Mike Pelfrey	627	119	507.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Holland	776	145	631.0
2	Lucas Harrell	646	66	580.0
3	Tanner Roark	264	798	534.0
4	Sonny Gray	368	899	531.0
5	Nick Martinez	100	610	510.0
6	Joe Saunders	722	215	507.0
7	Johnny Cueto	463	961	498.0
8	Alfredo Simon	321	818	497.0
9	Drew Hutchison	291	786	495.0
10	Yordano Ventura	297	782	485.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Harang	42	876	834.0
2	Hector Noesí	43	733	690.0
3	Colby Lewis	124	762	638.0
4	Erik Johnson	718	109	609.0
5	Nick Martinez	5	610	605.0
6	Edinson Volquez	210	809	599.0
7	José Fernández	803	205	598.0
8	Mike Pelfrey	717	119	598.0
9	Collin McHugh	43	619	576.0
10	Scott Carroll	5	573	568.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Holland	830	145	684.9
2	Brian Flynn	702	35	667.1
3	Blake Beavan	682	16	665.9
4	Chris Rusin	696	58	638.1
5	Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez	637	29	607.9
6	Jose Alvarez	606	3	602.9
7	Taylor Hill	643	45	598.1
8	Lucas Harrell	661	66	595.0
9	Eric Jokisch	638	66	572.0
10	Edwin Escobar	569	8	561.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sonny Gray	368	773	899	531.0	126.0	405.0
2	Yordano Ventura	297	598	782	485.0	184.0	301.0
3	Tanner Roark	264	563	798	534.0	235.0	299.0
4	Alex Wood	334	608	694	360.0	85.5	274.5
5	Jeremy Hellickson	698	435	281	417.0	154.0	263.0
6	Jarred Cosart	388	648	766	378.0	118.0	260.0
7	Zack Wheeler	485	742	794	309.0	52.5	256.5
8	Marcus Stroman	100	347	534	434.0	187.1	246.9
9	Jake Odorizzi	274	514	719	445.0	204.5	240.5
10	Erik Bedard	615	308	342	273.0	33.5	239.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	TJ House	4	338	429	425.0	91.1	333.9
2	Matt Shoemaker	83	410	543	460.0	132.9	327.1
3	Tyler Matzek	5	306	503	498.0	197.4	300.6
4	Kyle Hendricks	4	304	321	317.0	17.1	299.9
5	Shane Greene	5	301	345	340.0	43.9	296.1
6	Aaron Harang	42	322	876	834.0	553.5	280.5
7	Collin McHugh	43	323	619	576.0	296.0	280.0
8	Jake Arrieta	84	358	614	530.0	256.4	273.6
9	Edinson Volquez	210	474	809	599.0	334.9	264.1
10	Jacob deGrom	43	302	565	522.0	262.5	259.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Lobstein	649	326	164	484.9	162.4	322.5
2	Taylor Hill	643	324	45	598.1	278.6	319.5
3	Eric Jokisch	638	321	66	572.0	255.0	317.0
4	Logan Darnell	633	319	112	521.1	207.1	314.0
5	David Holmberg	667	354	137	530.0	217.5	312.5
6	Jake Buchanan	625	314	154	470.9	160.4	310.5
7	Josh Stinson	621	312	61	559.9	251.4	308.5
8	Andrew Chafin	613	308	60	553.0	248.5	304.5
9	Sean O'Sullivan	604	304	52	551.9	251.9	300.0
10	Liam Hendriks	678	381	143	535.1	238.1	297.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Verlander	0.3318	0.2706 (42.4)	0.2895 (40.4)	0.2816 (35.2)	0.2596 (49.0)
Carlos Carrasco	0.2444	0.3100 (41.9)	0.3371 (47.4)	0.3031 (36.7)	0.3170 (47.5)
Collin McHugh	0.2622	0.3107 (38.4)	0.3590 (58.0)	0.2972 (28.3)	0.3242 (49.0)
Edwin Jackson	0.3771	0.2923 (45.0)	0.3278 (33.1)	0.2955 (44.8)	0.2891 (44.7)
Wade Davis	0.1956	0.2981 (32.4)	0.3317 (37.1)	0.2860 (28.2)	0.3103 (36.8)
Félix Hernández	0.2437	0.2631 (30.1)	0.2904 (39.8)	0.2684 (32.3)	0.2578 (28.6)
Mike Minor	0.3489	0.2813 (34.4)	0.3030 (31.1)	0.2913 (29.8)	0.2712 (38.5)
Garrett Richards	0.2442	0.3035 (49.4)	0.3214 (50.3)	0.3056 (48.9)	0.3013 (50.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.2417	0.3045 (47.0)	0.3270 (50.6)	0.3003 (42.6)	0.3087 (51.8)
Dellin Betances	0.2043	0.3312 (47.9)	0.3271 (40.8)	0.3052 (38.1)	0.3572 (58.0)
Ricky Nolasco	0.3738	0.3024 (40.1)	0.3179 (40.9)	0.3109 (36.2)	0.2939 (43.5)
Justin Masterson	0.3641	0.2857 (38.4)	0.3061 (36.1)	0.2911 (36.9)	0.2804 (39.4)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.3551	0.3184	34.9
2	Johnny Cueto	0.2787	0.2585	32.4
3	David Buchanan	0.3642	0.3170	30.6
4	Franklin Morales	0.3122	0.3730	30.5
5	Zack Britton	0.3195	0.2291	29.6
6	A.J. Burnett	0.2847	0.3297	29.4
7	Tim Lincecum	0.2831	0.3386	28.2
8	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.2841	0.3741	27.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Kluber	0.3263	0.2771	43.9
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.3443	0.2907	40.9
3	Colby Lewis	0.3198	0.3657	37.2
4	Phil Hughes	0.3398	0.2945	36.2
5	Franklin Morales	0.3255	0.3730	32.6
6	Danny Duffy	0.3273	0.2731	31.0
7	Travis Wood	0.3077	0.3443	31.0
8	Johnny Cueto	0.2937	0.2585	30.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.2894	0.2585	40.0
2	A.J. Burnett	0.2774	0.3297	38.9
3	Franklin Morales	0.3028	0.3730	38.4
4	Roenis Elías	0.3552	0.3184	33.0
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.2619	0.2310	31.2
6	David Buchanan	0.3642	0.3170	29.2
7	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.2841	0.3741	28.9
8	Tim Lincecum	0.2859	0.3386	28.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.3152	0.2907	33.8
2	Kyle Gibson	0.3284	0.3026	32.6
3	Eric Stults	0.2778	0.3364	31.6
4	Zack Britton	0.3216	0.2291	31.3
5	Travis Wood	0.2874	0.3443	31.0
6	Tanner Roark	0.2981	0.2805	27.8
7	Tim Lincecum	0.2804	0.3386	27.6
8	Colby Lewis	0.3129	0.3657	27.1

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Collin McHugh	0.3590	0.3107	0.2622	58.0	38.4	19.6
2	Chase Whitley	0.3096	0.3500	0.3637	18.8	0.0	18.8
3	Corey Kluber	0.3263	0.2901	0.2771	43.9	25.3	18.6
4	Christian Bergman	0.3096	0.3643	0.3888	20.5	2.7	17.7
5	Jeff Samardzija	0.3169	0.2806	0.2851	25.3	8.1	17.2
6	Scott Kazmir	0.3246	0.2867	0.2885	25.7	9.2	16.5
7	Chase Anderson	0.3096	0.3253	0.3398	16.1	0.4	15.7
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.3443	0.3095	0.2907	40.9	26.2	14.7
9	Edinson Volquez	0.3356	0.3021	0.2994	26.8	13.2	13.7
10	Adam Wainwright	0.2948	0.2641	0.2592	29.3	16.7	12.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hector Noesí	0.2978	0.3154	0.3385	21.9	6.9	15.0
2	Roberto Hernandez	0.2923	0.3055	0.3267	17.0	5.4	11.6
3	Rubby De La Rosa	0.2988	0.3194	0.3544	19.8	9.4	10.4
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.2619	0.2463	0.2310	31.2	21.7	9.5
5	A.J. Burnett	0.2774	0.2847	0.3297	38.9	29.4	9.5
6	Jered Weaver	0.3058	0.2859	0.3032	11.8	3.2	8.6
7	Franklin Morales	0.3028	0.3122	0.3730	38.4	30.5	7.9
8	TJ House	0.3652	0.3440	0.3316	19.1	11.2	7.9
9	Kyle Lohse	0.3124	0.3001	0.2977	20.8	13.1	7.7
10	Johnny Cueto	0.2894	0.2787	0.2585	40.0	32.4	7.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jered Weaver	0.2660	0.2859	0.3032	17.7	3.2	14.4
2	Christian Bergman	0.3096	0.3643	0.3888	15.4	2.7	12.7
3	Chase Whitley	0.3096	0.3500	0.3637	12.1	0.0	12.1
4	Collin McHugh	0.3242	0.3107	0.2622	49.0	38.4	10.6
5	Dellin Betances	0.3572	0.3312	0.2043	58.0	47.9	10.1
6	Trevor Bauer	0.3468	0.3366	0.3280	23.9	14.7	9.2
7	Tim Hudson	0.2645	0.2795	0.3118	23.8	14.8	9.0
8	Shane Greene	0.3476	0.3272	0.3222	14.7	6.4	8.3
9	Jake Peavy	0.2759	0.2890	0.3236	25.9	17.8	8.1
10	Eric Stults	0.2778	0.2917	0.3364	31.6	23.7	7.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Carlos Carrasco	0.2647	0.1720 (43.3)	0.1731 (46.4)	0.1809 (39.0)	0.1632 (48.5)
Justin Verlander	0.1781	0.2367 (61.9)	0.2354 (54.7)	0.2234 (49.5)	0.2500 (73.0)
Shelby Miller	0.1662	0.2308 (57.5)	0.2228 (46.2)	0.2300 (56.4)	0.2317 (57.5)
Wade Davis	0.3907	0.1966 (51.2)	0.1936 (53.9)	0.2065 (48.6)	0.1867 (54.2)
Garrett Richards	0.2419	0.1548 (51.8)	0.1703 (45.9)	0.1564 (51.1)	0.1532 (53.5)
Jake Arrieta	0.2720	0.1894 (44.1)	0.1974 (43.4)	0.1965 (40.1)	0.1822 (49.1)
Brandon McCarthy	0.2093	0.1493 (41.2)	0.1601 (37.9)	0.1477 (43.1)	0.1508 (40.7)
Corey Kluber	0.2829	0.2066 (62.3)	0.2096 (65.9)	0.1985 (70.7)	0.2148 (55.4)
Dellin Betances	0.3959	0.2071 (60.7)	0.2109 (61.7)	0.2342 (51.7)	0.1801 (70.2)
Johnny Cueto	0.2518	0.1834 (55.4)	0.1922 (53.5)	0.1897 (50.0)	0.1771 (62.4)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	0.1614	0.2549	46.8
2	Josh Collmenter	0.2120	0.1599	45.2
3	Collin McHugh	0.1720	0.2536	43.9
4	Jake Odorizzi	0.1716	0.2420	42.9
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.2526	0.3191	41.8
6	Matt Shoemaker	0.1408	0.2284	41.7
7	Franklin Morales	0.2052	0.1548	39.5
8	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1942	0.2885	38.5
9	Zach Duke	0.1483	0.3109	36.1
10	Brad Boxberger	0.2652	0.4211	35.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.2036	0.1117	54.9
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.2463	0.3191	51.6
3	Brad Boxberger	0.2143	0.4211	50.1
4	Nick Martinez	0.2036	0.1262	49.6
5	Collin McHugh	0.1709	0.2536	48.8
6	Nick Tepesch	0.1907	0.1043	48.5
7	David Price	0.2188	0.2686	46.3
8	Andrew Miller	0.2350	0.4256	45.2
9	Jon Lester	0.1985	0.2486	40.9
10	Aroldis Chapman	0.3258	0.5248	39.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Franklin Morales	0.2154	0.1548	45.6
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.2494	0.3191	44.6
3	David Price	0.2149	0.2686	44.0
4	Jon Lester	0.1907	0.2486	42.3
5	A.J. Burnett	0.2363	0.2032	40.3
6	Josh Collmenter	0.2046	0.1599	39.3
7	Matt Shoemaker	0.1460	0.2284	39.3
8	Brad Boxberger	0.2556	0.4211	38.4
9	Jacob deGrom	0.1787	0.2549	37.4
10	Shane Greene	0.1173	0.2348	37.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.2036	0.1117	58.3
2	Jacob deGrom	0.1441	0.2549	57.0
3	Collin McHugh	0.1559	0.2536	54.4
4	Nick Martinez	0.2036	0.1262	53.2
5	Josh Collmenter	0.2195	0.1599	49.9
6	Jake Odorizzi	0.1629	0.2420	49.9
7	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1757	0.2885	47.5
8	Matt Shoemaker	0.1357	0.2284	45.0
9	Zach Duke	0.1253	0.3109	41.9
10	Tyson Ross	0.1811	0.2404	40.2

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Carroll	0.2036	0.1122	0.1117	54.9	6.4	48.5
2	Nick Martinez	0.2036	0.1178	0.1262	49.6	1.4	48.2
3	David Buchanan	0.2036	0.1527	0.1412	33.4	11.2	22.1
4	David Hale	0.2064	0.1512	0.1149	36.5	18.0	18.5
5	Tanner Roark	0.1970	0.1564	0.1729	22.3	4.6	17.7
6	Sonny Gray	0.2201	0.1938	0.2036	18.4	0.9	17.5
7	Aroldis Chapman	0.3258	0.3982	0.5248	39.4	23.4	16.0
8	Andrew Miller	0.2350	0.2930	0.4256	45.2	29.5	15.7
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.2036	0.1490	0.1464	19.6	4.3	15.3
10	Christian Bergman	0.2036	0.1365	0.1245	20.7	5.7	15.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1951	0.2144	0.2601	29.8	19.0	10.8
2	Hector Noesí	0.1741	0.1590	0.1678	12.0	1.4	10.5
3	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1902	0.2040	0.2172	12.0	1.8	10.3
4	Max Scherzer	0.2575	0.2683	0.2788	10.1	0.2	9.9
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1789	0.1675	0.1663	19.4	10.2	9.2
6	Rubby De La Rosa	0.2120	0.1911	0.1678	23.9	15.0	8.9
7	David Price	0.2149	0.2228	0.2686	44.0	35.3	8.7
8	Tommy Kahnle	0.2650	0.2340	0.2211	15.4	6.7	8.6
9	Corey Kluber	0.1985	0.2066	0.2829	70.7	62.3	8.4
10	David Robertson	0.2648	0.2958	0.3707	24.8	16.6	8.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Carroll	0.2036	0.1122	0.1117	58.3	6.4	51.8
2	Nick Martinez	0.2036	0.1178	0.1262	53.2	1.4	51.8
3	David Buchanan	0.2036	0.1527	0.1412	36.3	11.2	25.1
4	Christian Bergman	0.2036	0.1365	0.1245	22.1	5.7	16.5
5	Tanner Roark	0.1414	0.1564	0.1729	17.3	4.6	12.7
6	Nick Greenwood	0.2036	0.1165	0.1172	13.9	1.4	12.5
7	Ken Giles	0.2036	0.2735	0.3855	28.6	16.8	11.8
8	Justin Verlander	0.2500	0.2367	0.1781	73.0	61.9	11.1
9	Collin McHugh	0.1559	0.1720	0.2536	54.4	43.9	10.5
10	Jacob deGrom	0.1441	0.1614	0.2549	57.0	46.8	10.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Phil Hughes	0.0187	0.0635 (35.7)	0.0671 (40.4)	0.0641 (36.9)	0.0628 (35.1)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.1364	0.0747 (19.9)	0.0717 (20.3)	0.0763 (19.2)	0.0731 (20.4)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.0504	0.0898 (31.1)	0.0878 (30.9)	0.0924 (33.9)	0.0873 (28.9)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1392	0.0997 (23.5)	0.1011 (21.7)	0.0993 (23.4)	0.1001 (23.3)
Roberto Hernandez	0.1011	0.0626 (30.0)	0.0670 (25.4)	0.0644 (28.1)	0.0608 (31.3)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	0.1434	0.0905	33.1
2	Dellin Betances	0.1515	0.0704	26.7
3	Tyler Matzek	0.1421	0.0875	25.9
4	Jeff Samardzija	0.0782	0.0489	23.1
5	Jake Arrieta	0.1045	0.0668	21.3
6	Wily Peralta	0.1012	0.0728	21.3
7	TJ House	0.1019	0.0513	20.4
8	Justin Masterson	0.0853	0.1166	20.3
9	Francisco Liriano	0.0910	0.1172	20.2
10	Jim Johnson	0.0603	0.1331	19.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0846	0.0489	30.3
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0637	0.0296	23.4
3	David Price	0.0597	0.0377	21.0
4	A.J. Burnett	0.0814	0.1027	21.0
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.0748	0.0495	20.9
6	James Shields	0.0697	0.0469	20.4
7	Jon Lester	0.0784	0.0542	20.3
8	Wei-Yin Chen	0.0722	0.0453	19.9
9	John Danks	0.0646	0.0865	19.8
10	Tim Hudson	0.0692	0.0431	19.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0848	0.0489	29.5
2	Tyler Matzek	0.1439	0.0875	27.2
3	Trevor Bauer	0.1285	0.0905	23.7
4	TJ House	0.1071	0.0513	23.0
5	Wily Peralta	0.0996	0.0728	20.6
6	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0596	0.0296	19.6
7	Justin Masterson	0.0860	0.1166	19.4
8	Jim Johnson	0.0616	0.1331	19.4
9	A.J. Burnett	0.0843	0.1027	19.4
10	Dellin Betances	0.1292	0.0704	19.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	0.1583	0.0905	42.9
2	Dellin Betances	0.1739	0.0704	34.2
3	Rubby De La Rosa	0.1428	0.0794	26.6
4	Tyler Matzek	0.1402	0.0875	25.0
5	Jake Arrieta	0.1093	0.0668	24.2
6	Francisco Liriano	0.0866	0.1172	23.3
7	Wily Peralta	0.1028	0.0728	22.6
8	Jake Peavy	0.0511	0.0739	22.1
9	Justin Masterson	0.0845	0.1166	20.8
10	Wade Miley	0.0659	0.0866	20.6

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0762	0.0464	0.0387	19.7	2.5	17.1
2	Matt Shoemaker	0.0792	0.0557	0.0442	18.4	4.6	13.8
3	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0742	0.0522	0.0477	11.7	0.7	11.0
4	Daniel Webb	0.0827	0.1196	0.1419	17.9	7.5	10.4
5	Alex Torres	0.0844	0.1288	0.1369	12.9	2.7	10.2
6	Seth Maness	0.0675	0.0399	0.0347	10.0	0.7	9.3
7	Maikel Cleto	0.0750	0.1403	0.1667	12.8	4.1	8.8
8	Edinson Volquez	0.1072	0.0985	0.0878	14.8	6.2	8.6
9	Brandon McCarthy	0.0516	0.0436	0.0395	9.2	0.9	8.3
10	Dallas Keuchel	0.0831	0.0749	0.0594	18.2	10.0	8.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corey Kluber	0.0756	0.0654	0.0536	18.7	8.3	10.4
2	Hector Noesí	0.0632	0.0738	0.0764	11.3	4.1	7.2
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0848	0.0782	0.0489	29.5	23.1	6.5
4	Marcus Stroman	0.0791	0.0682	0.0524	13.0	6.8	6.2
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.0700	0.0540	0.0467	6.7	1.4	5.4
6	Chris Archer	0.1008	0.0953	0.0876	9.0	3.9	5.1
7	Julio Teheran	0.0717	0.0670	0.0577	10.4	5.5	4.8
8	Collin McHugh	0.0598	0.0714	0.0662	5.4	1.3	4.1
9	Jason Vargas	0.0693	0.0650	0.0519	11.9	8.0	4.0
10	Yordano Ventura	0.1013	0.0970	0.0882	8.5	4.5	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Bauer	0.1583	0.1434	0.0905	42.9	33.1	9.8
2	Rubby De La Rosa	0.1428	0.1208	0.0794	26.6	16.9	9.7
3	Dellin Betances	0.1739	0.1515	0.0704	34.2	26.7	7.6
4	Collin McHugh	0.0829	0.0714	0.0662	8.4	1.3	7.1
5	Dustin McGowan	0.1226	0.1036	0.0932	9.3	2.6	6.7
6	Nick Martinez	0.0762	0.0870	0.0902	10.4	3.8	6.6
7	Roenis Elías	0.0762	0.1052	0.0924	13.3	6.9	6.5
8	Zack Wheeler	0.0906	0.0974	0.0995	9.5	4.0	5.4
9	Jake Diekman	0.1522	0.1356	0.1118	11.7	6.5	5.2
10	Jake Odorizzi	0.1010	0.0949	0.0821	11.4	7.0	4.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Julio Teheran	0.0045	0.0139 (8.2)	0.0136 (8.7)	0.0135 (8.3)	0.0143 (8.1)
Oliver Pérez	0.0273	0.0057 (5.6)	0.0044 (5.7)	0.0072 (5.1)	0.0043 (6.1)
Jeremy Guthrie	0.0162	0.0095 (5.9)	0.0091 (5.5)	0.0095 (5.5)	0.0095 (6.3)
John Lackey	0.0012	0.0113 (8.4)	0.0109 (8.7)	0.0115 (8.9)	0.0112 (7.8)
Ian Kennedy	0.0047	0.0128 (6.8)	0.0136 (8.1)	0.0122 (6.6)	0.0135 (6.9)
Bud Norris	0.0204	0.0079 (8.6)	0.0085 (7.7)	0.0080 (8.2)	0.0079 (9.0)
Scott Carroll	0.0209	0.0064 (8.4)	0.0090 (6.4)	0.0064 (8.1)	0.0090 (7.2)
Charlie Morton	0.0285	0.0180 (7.1)	0.0190 (5.9)	0.0156 (8.3)	0.0203 (5.9)
Héctor Santiago	0.0055	0.0175 (6.5)	0.0189 (7.6)	0.0148 (5.3)	0.0202 (7.7)
A.J. Burnett	0.0171	0.0104 (6.4)	0.0110 (5.0)	0.0102 (6.1)	0.0107 (6.6)
Mike Leake	0.0144	0.0071 (6.7)	0.0068 (6.2)	0.0077 (5.7)	0.0065 (7.7)
Edinson Volquez	0.0173	0.0074 (8.1)	0.0070 (7.8)	0.0080 (7.2)	0.0068 (9.0)
Justin Masterson	0.0253	0.0152 (6.1)	0.0161 (5.0)	0.0139 (6.5)	0.0164 (5.6)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Gibson	0.0118	0.0026	6.8
2	R.A. Dickey	0.0096	0.0153	5.3
3	Aaron Harang	0.0069	0.0011	5.0
4	Jacob deGrom	0.0107	0.0018	5.0
5	Yordano Ventura	0.0128	0.0064	4.9
6	Jarred Cosart	0.0102	0.0039	4.7
7	C.J. Wilson	0.0084	0.0145	4.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Gibson	0.0132	0.0026	8.5
2	Aaron Harang	0.0079	0.0011	6.5
3	Jimmy Nelson	0.0060	0.0257	5.9
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.0115	0.0058	5.6
5	David Holmberg	0.0073	0.0438	4.9
6	Brandon McCarthy	0.0086	0.0036	4.8
7	Yu Darvish	0.0104	0.0033	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shelby Miller	0.0099	0.0026	5.8
2	Aaron Harang	0.0073	0.0011	5.7
3	R.A. Dickey	0.0097	0.0153	4.8
4	David Holmberg	0.0087	0.0438	4.8
5	Darren O'Day	0.0118	0.0295	4.7
6	Stephen Strasburg	0.0106	0.0058	4.5
7	Johnny Cueto	0.0105	0.0156	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Gibson	0.0156	0.0026	9.3
2	Jacob deGrom	0.0142	0.0018	6.7
3	Yordano Ventura	0.0146	0.0064	6.0
4	R.A. Dickey	0.0096	0.0153	5.8
5	Bartolo Colon	0.0000	0.0059	5.5
6	Jarred Cosart	0.0116	0.0039	5.4
7	C.J. Wilson	0.0082	0.0145	5.2

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jimmy Nelson	0.0060	0.0133	0.0257	5.9	3.9	2.0
2	Allen Webster	0.0094	0.0180	0.0270	4.4	2.4	2.0
3	Trevor Bauer	0.0095	0.0132	0.0166	4.3	2.3	1.9
4	Brandon Cumpton	0.0067	0.0138	0.0194	3.7	1.8	1.9
5	Corey Kluber	0.0103	0.0092	0.0063	4.5	2.7	1.8
6	Kyle Gibson	0.0132	0.0118	0.0026	8.5	6.8	1.7
7	Aaron Harang	0.0079	0.0069	0.0011	6.5	5.0	1.5
8	Mark Buehrle	0.0080	0.0070	0.0047	3.4	1.9	1.5
9	Tyson Ross	0.0124	0.0114	0.0111	1.6	0.1	1.5
10	J.A. Happ	0.0058	0.0045	0.0030	2.4	1.0	1.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0059	0.0042	0.0028	2.5	0.9	1.6
2	Shelby Miller	0.0099	0.0083	0.0026	5.8	4.3	1.6
3	Scott Atchison	0.0075	0.0038	0.0000	2.2	1.0	1.2
4	Charlie Morton	0.0156	0.0180	0.0285	8.3	7.1	1.2
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.0054	0.0044	0.0027	2.4	1.2	1.2
6	Chris Tillman	0.0065	0.0057	0.0046	2.0	0.9	1.1
7	Miles Mikolas	0.0078	0.0124	0.0157	1.9	0.9	1.0
8	Sonny Gray	0.0054	0.0071	0.0078	1.8	0.8	1.0
9	Félix Hernández	0.0080	0.0074	0.0055	2.6	1.6	1.0
10	Corey Kluber	0.0097	0.0092	0.0063	3.6	2.7	1.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Odorizzi	0.0147	0.0105	0.0070	5.1	2.4	2.7
2	Kyle Gibson	0.0156	0.0118	0.0026	9.3	6.8	2.5
3	Alfredo Simon	0.0193	0.0160	0.0147	3.3	1.0	2.3
4	Bartolo Colon	0.0000	0.0020	0.0059	5.5	3.4	2.2
5	Jesse Chavez	0.0153	0.0117	0.0081	4.1	2.2	1.9
6	Francisco Liriano	0.0029	0.0050	0.0058	2.4	0.6	1.8
7	Jacob deGrom	0.0142	0.0107	0.0018	6.7	5.0	1.7
8	David Buchanan	0.0090	0.0118	0.0159	3.8	2.1	1.6
9	Vidal Nuño	0.0127	0.0099	0.0088	2.2	0.6	1.6
10	Dustin McGowan	0.0184	0.0135	0.0085	3.3	1.8	1.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Aaron Harang	0.0233	0.0465 (16.4)	0.0389 (11.1)	0.0485 (17.2)	0.0446 (15.8)
Jose Quintana	0.0167	0.0387 (14.5)	0.0350 (12.8)	0.0422 (16.6)	0.0352 (12.7)
Marco Estrada	0.0644	0.0475 (13.4)	0.0437 (14.7)	0.0507 (12.0)	0.0442 (14.6)
Jake Arrieta	0.0124	0.0376 (12.7)	0.0440 (17.7)	0.0365 (11.4)	0.0387 (14.2)
Phil Hughes	0.0247	0.0464 (14.7)	0.0478 (17.3)	0.0491 (16.2)	0.0436 (13.4)
Juan Nicasio	0.0605	0.0379 (11.1)	0.0347 (11.7)	0.0417 (10.0)	0.0342 (12.0)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Stroman	0.0506	0.0179	15.1
2	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0502	0.0241	13.5
3	Mark Buehrle	0.0405	0.0218	12.1
4	Eric Stults	0.0321	0.0431	11.9
5	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0399	0.0795	11.8
6	Jason Hammel	0.0343	0.0455	11.3
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.0319	0.0398	10.8
8	Chris Tillman	0.0491	0.0323	10.7
9	Brad Boxberger	0.0375	0.0756	10.5
10	Brandon McCarthy	0.0322	0.0400	10.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.0396	0.0181	15.0
2	Eric Stults	0.0278	0.0431	13.8
3	Ervin Santana	0.0468	0.0280	13.0
4	Vidal Nuño	0.0343	0.0502	12.7
5	J.J. Hoover	0.0343	0.0774	12.6
6	Garrett Richards	0.0316	0.0110	12.0
7	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0377	0.0795	12.0
8	Brandon McCarthy	0.0287	0.0400	11.8
9	Chris Archer	0.0372	0.0211	10.9
10	Brad Boxberger	0.0351	0.0756	10.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0372	0.0795	12.8
2	Mark Buehrle	0.0411	0.0218	11.9
3	Stephen Strasburg	0.0317	0.0398	11.8
4	Chris Tillman	0.0508	0.0323	11.3
5	Hector Noesí	0.0413	0.0507	10.9
6	Brad Boxberger	0.0375	0.0756	10.8
7	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0467	0.0241	10.7
8	Jason Hammel	0.0363	0.0455	10.5
9	Marcus Stroman	0.0430	0.0179	10.5
10	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0364	0.0106	10.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Stroman	0.0583	0.0179	19.9
2	Eric Stults	0.0241	0.0431	16.9
3	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0537	0.0241	16.5
4	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0429	0.0174	14.1
5	Jason Vargas	0.0509	0.0309	13.3
6	Mark Buehrle	0.0399	0.0218	12.8
7	Todd Redmond	0.0633	0.0222	11.9
8	Jason Hammel	0.0323	0.0455	11.7
9	Johnny Cueto	0.0255	0.0344	11.7
10	Ervin Santana	0.0454	0.0280	11.6

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vidal Nuño	0.0343	0.0509	0.0502	12.7	2.6	10.1
2	Chris Young	0.0413	0.0554	0.0503	8.2	0.4	7.8
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.0396	0.0322	0.0181	15.0	7.7	7.3
4	Ervin Santana	0.0468	0.0400	0.0280	13.0	6.1	7.0
5	Tyler Skaggs	0.0460	0.0352	0.0262	7.9	2.1	5.8
6	Jake Arrieta	0.0440	0.0376	0.0124	17.7	12.7	5.0
7	Jered Weaver	0.0348	0.0416	0.0417	8.6	4.0	4.6
8	Nick Martinez	0.0320	0.0412	0.0379	5.4	0.8	4.6
9	Chase Anderson	0.0320	0.0428	0.0472	8.8	4.4	4.4
10	Sonny Gray	0.0312	0.0283	0.0236	4.3	0.1	4.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Roberto Hernandez	0.0280	0.0371	0.0355	9.4	2.2	7.3
2	A.J. Burnett	0.0274	0.0324	0.0316	9.1	3.4	5.6
3	Travis Wood	0.0496	0.0427	0.0362	6.1	1.5	4.6
4	Jake Peavy	0.0473	0.0420	0.0370	4.1	0.4	3.7
5	Josh Collmenter	0.0467	0.0407	0.0321	6.6	2.9	3.6
6	Justin Verlander	0.0408	0.0360	0.0271	7.3	3.9	3.4
7	Ian Kennedy	0.0449	0.0400	0.0283	9.4	6.0	3.3
8	Clayton Kershaw	0.0329	0.0277	0.0189	6.4	3.3	3.1
9	Hector Noesí	0.0413	0.0446	0.0507	10.9	7.8	3.1
10	Zach McAllister	0.0437	0.0346	0.0255	4.8	1.7	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ervin Santana	0.0454	0.0400	0.0280	11.6	6.1	5.6
2	Jered Weaver	0.0342	0.0416	0.0417	9.5	4.0	5.4
3	Eric Stults	0.0241	0.0321	0.0431	16.9	11.9	5.1
4	Marcus Stroman	0.0583	0.0506	0.0179	19.9	15.1	4.8
5	Nick Martinez	0.0320	0.0412	0.0379	5.6	0.8	4.8
6	Jason Vargas	0.0509	0.0465	0.0309	13.3	8.7	4.6
7	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0429	0.0370	0.0174	14.1	9.5	4.6
8	Julio Teheran	0.0305	0.0368	0.0342	6.1	1.8	4.3
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.0351	0.0322	0.0181	11.1	7.7	3.4
10	John Danks	0.0502	0.0477	0.0389	7.0	3.7	3.3

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Trevor Cahill	0.3497	0.2875 (28.1)	0.2918 (27.2)	0.2939 (26.7)	0.2812 (29.4)
Johnny Cueto	0.2382	0.2800 (45.7)	0.2774 (40.9)	0.2895 (51.4)	0.2708 (40.6)
Travis Wood	0.3195	0.2729 (31.9)	0.2625 (41.9)	0.2787 (30.2)	0.2673 (33.3)
Edwin Jackson	0.3521	0.2948 (32.6)	0.3062 (26.9)	0.2945 (35.0)	0.2951 (29.9)
Jacob Turner	0.3542	0.2883 (30.1)	0.2824 (34.2)	0.2987 (26.7)	0.2780 (33.3)
Félix Hernández	0.2580	0.2944 (38.5)	0.3066 (47.5)	0.2952 (36.0)	0.2936 (41.3)
Adam Wainwright	0.2669	0.2933 (28.9)	0.3051 (37.4)	0.2948 (27.1)	0.2917 (31.0)
Jorge De La Rosa	0.2632	0.2964 (30.0)	0.2975 (29.0)	0.2978 (28.3)	0.2951 (31.9)
Colby Lewis	0.3394	0.2848 (37.2)	0.2814 (41.6)	0.2886 (37.0)	0.2809 (37.3)
Ricky Nolasco	0.3515	0.3023 (30.2)	0.3053 (29.7)	0.3044 (31.2)	0.3001 (29.0)
Edinson Volquez	0.2628	0.2945 (30.3)	0.3061 (37.8)	0.2972 (29.7)	0.2918 (31.3)
Chris Young	0.2383	0.2763 (30.1)	0.2823 (32.6)	0.2776 (28.6)	0.2750 (31.9)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Duffy	0.2873	0.2388	32.9
2	Roenis Elías	0.3347	0.2941	32.1
3	David Buchanan	0.3387	0.2842	30.3
4	Yu Darvish	0.2824	0.3343	27.9
5	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2837	0.2040	27.1
6	Justin Verlander	0.2814	0.3173	26.9
7	Collin McHugh	0.2948	0.2587	25.9
8	Brandon McCarthy	0.2922	0.3283	25.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Duffy	0.3045	0.2388	41.9
2	Ervin Santana	0.2665	0.3189	40.0
3	Collin McHugh	0.3198	0.2587	39.9
4	Doug Fister	0.3070	0.2621	31.9
5	Yu Darvish	0.2806	0.3343	30.4
6	Zack Britton	0.3080	0.2154	27.4
7	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2784	0.3251	27.0
8	Mike Minor	0.2771	0.3229	27.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.2807	0.3173	30.7
2	Roenis Elías	0.3350	0.2941	29.9
3	David Buchanan	0.3389	0.2842	28.6
4	Brandon McCarthy	0.2920	0.3283	28.5
5	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2904	0.2040	28.1
6	Tommy Kahnle	0.3363	0.2404	27.9
7	Max Scherzer	0.2822	0.3150	27.6
8	Scott Carroll	0.2551	0.3052	27.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Duffy	0.2941	0.2388	39.4
2	Collin McHugh	0.3025	0.2587	33.1
3	Yu Darvish	0.2754	0.3343	29.8
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.2729	0.3153	28.4
5	Ervin Santana	0.2768	0.3189	26.5
6	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2768	0.2040	26.1
7	Mike Minor	0.2734	0.3229	25.3
8	Zack Britton	0.2943	0.2154	25.2

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Kazmir	0.3147	0.2881	0.2855	25.4	6.5	18.8
2	Ervin Santana	0.2665	0.2858	0.3189	40.0	22.3	17.7
3	Collin McHugh	0.3198	0.2948	0.2587	39.9	25.9	14.0
4	Bud Norris	0.3111	0.2888	0.2792	24.2	10.6	13.6
5	Alex Wood	0.3114	0.2893	0.2954	13.5	0.2	13.2
6	Lance Lynn	0.3093	0.2920	0.2901	19.6	6.7	12.8
7	TJ House	0.2952	0.3215	0.3323	14.5	2.1	12.3
8	Chase Whitley	0.2952	0.3296	0.3529	17.9	5.8	12.1
9	Tim Hudson	0.2783	0.2908	0.3002	14.6	2.8	11.8
10	Rick Porcello	0.3188	0.3032	0.2978	20.4	9.3	11.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Matzek	0.2721	0.2888	0.3118	18.8	8.6	10.2
2	Shane Greene	0.2509	0.2747	0.3303	26.6	17.2	9.4
3	Phil Hughes	0.2920	0.2963	0.3244	25.8	19.0	6.7
4	Max Scherzer	0.2822	0.2850	0.3150	27.6	21.9	5.8
5	Johnny Cueto	0.2895	0.2800	0.2382	51.4	45.7	5.7
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.2833	0.2718	0.2778	5.8	0.2	5.7
7	Jesse Hahn	0.3247	0.3027	0.2704	17.3	11.6	5.7
8	Tsuyoshi Wada	0.3305	0.3081	0.2956	10.8	5.3	5.5
9	Corey Kluber	0.2964	0.2985	0.3159	16.4	11.0	5.4
10	Tommy Kahnle	0.3363	0.3158	0.2404	27.9	23.1	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chase Whitley	0.2952	0.3296	0.3529	15.9	5.8	10.1
2	TJ House	0.2990	0.3215	0.3323	10.1	2.1	8.0
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.2640	0.2765	0.2962	19.7	12.2	7.5
4	Mike Bolsinger	0.2952	0.3297	0.3554	12.0	4.7	7.3
5	Collin McHugh	0.3025	0.2948	0.2587	33.1	25.9	7.2
6	Hector Noesí	0.2937	0.2880	0.2901	9.7	2.7	7.0
7	Henderson Alvarez	0.2776	0.2905	0.3036	12.6	5.7	6.9
8	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2661	0.2792	0.2871	8.1	1.5	6.5
9	Danny Duffy	0.2941	0.2873	0.2388	39.4	32.9	6.5
10	Rick Porcello	0.3066	0.3032	0.2978	15.4	9.3	6.1

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roberto Hernandez	0.1899	0.2929 (27.6)	0.2253 (27.9)	0.2971 (28.1)	0.2887 (29.1)
Félix Hernández	0.1993	0.2944 (27.7)	0.2422 (42.1)	0.2952 (25.2)	0.2936 (32.6)
Daisuke Matsuzaka	0.1507	0.2839 (24.6)	0.2208 (26.4)	0.2831 (23.1)	0.2846 (27.1)
Jorge De La Rosa	0.1936	0.2964 (29.3)	0.2265 (27.8)	0.2978 (27.6)	0.2951 (33.0)
R.A. Dickey	0.1786	0.2795 (33.1)	0.2078 (29.7)	0.2867 (36.4)	0.2722 (32.1)
Johnny Cueto	0.1799	0.2800 (34.1)	0.2165 (38.3)	0.2895 (39.8)	0.2708 (31.2)
Chris Young	0.1548	0.2763 (39.1)	0.2010 (34.0)	0.2776 (37.6)	0.2750 (42.5)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.3347	0.2179	36.1
2	David Buchanan	0.3387	0.2237	25.3
3	Shane Greene	0.2747	0.2805	24.3
4	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.2243	0.2196	24.3
5	Jenrry Mejia	0.2938	0.2868	24.1
6	Jacob Turner	0.2883	0.2708	23.7
7	Drew Hutchison	0.2918	0.1973	23.5
8	Edinson Volquez	0.2945	0.2011	23.2
9	Danny Duffy	0.2873	0.1844	23.2
10	Marco Estrada	0.2800	0.1781	23.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Wood	0.1853	0.2368	37.7
2	Colby Lewis	0.2060	0.2500	31.0
3	Aaron Harang	0.2090	0.2468	30.2
4	Jacob Turner	0.2112	0.2708	28.2
5	Mike Minor	0.1996	0.2466	27.9
6	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2015	0.2490	27.5
7	Adam Wainwright	0.2293	0.2040	25.7
8	Henderson Alvarez	0.2079	0.2442	25.5
9	Danny Duffy	0.2227	0.1844	25.2
10	Wade Miley	0.2172	0.2496	25.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.3350	0.2179	33.9
2	Shane Greene	0.2509	0.2805	33.7
3	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.2243	0.2196	25.7
4	Scott Carroll	0.2551	0.2301	24.8
5	Jenrry Mejia	0.2974	0.2868	24.0
6	David Buchanan	0.3389	0.2237	23.6
7	Jesse Chavez	0.2888	0.2585	23.5
8	Tommy Kahnle	0.3363	0.1858	23.4
9	Brandon McCarthy	0.2920	0.2517	23.3
10	Drew Hutchison	0.2945	0.1973	22.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.2243	0.2301	36.8
2	Roenis Elías	0.2243	0.2179	36.1
3	Chase Whitley	0.2243	0.2731	35.4
4	Danny Duffy	0.2941	0.1844	31.1
5	David Buchanan	0.2243	0.2237	29.1
6	Adam Wainwright	0.2917	0.2040	26.3
7	Drew Hutchison	0.2890	0.1973	26.2
8	Edinson Volquez	0.2918	0.2011	26.1
9	Jacob Turner	0.2780	0.2708	25.7
10	Marco Estrada	0.2777	0.1781	25.7

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Travis Wood	0.1853	0.2729	0.2368	37.7	22.4	15.3
2	Félix Hernández	0.2422	0.2944	0.1993	42.1	27.7	14.4
3	Aaron Harang	0.2090	0.2930	0.2468	30.2	16.2	14.0
4	Brad Peacock	0.2000	0.2915	0.2367	19.7	5.9	13.8
5	Doug Fister	0.2426	0.2909	0.2194	17.6	4.5	13.1
6	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2015	0.2904	0.2490	27.5	14.5	13.0
7	TJ House	0.2243	0.3215	0.2710	18.6	6.1	12.6
8	Chase Whitley	0.2243	0.3296	0.2731	15.0	2.7	12.3
9	Tom Koehler	0.2087	0.2917	0.2284	13.2	1.2	12.0
10	Jarred Cosart	0.2103	0.2933	0.2350	16.4	4.9	11.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shane Greene	0.2509	0.2747	0.2805	33.7	24.3	9.4
2	Hector Noesí	0.2823	0.2880	0.2347	15.1	8.4	6.7
3	Phil Hughes	0.2920	0.2963	0.2468	19.7	13.0	6.7
4	Chase Anderson	0.3216	0.3046	0.2353	8.8	2.2	6.6
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.2833	0.2718	0.2051	7.5	1.5	6.0
6	Johnny Cueto	0.2895	0.2800	0.1799	39.8	34.1	5.7
7	Max Scherzer	0.2822	0.2850	0.2248	9.7	4.0	5.7
8	Jesse Hahn	0.3247	0.3027	0.2041	16.0	10.4	5.7
9	Tsuyoshi Wada	0.3305	0.3081	0.1970	18.9	13.4	5.5
10	Tommy Kahnle	0.3363	0.3158	0.1858	23.4	18.6	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chase Whitley	0.2243	0.3296	0.2731	35.4	2.7	32.7
2	Evan Marshall	0.2243	0.3188	0.2612	20.0	1.5	18.5
3	Nick Martinez	0.2243	0.2574	0.2035	23.0	6.6	16.4
4	Mike Bolsinger	0.2243	0.3297	0.2470	19.3	4.3	15.0
5	Scott Carroll	0.2243	0.2553	0.2301	36.8	22.6	14.2
6	Tyler Matzek	0.3055	0.2888	0.2163	15.5	3.9	11.6
7	Aaron Poreda	0.2243	0.3302	0.2727	10.4	0.7	9.7
8	Dominic Leone	0.2243	0.2881	0.2118	12.5	3.2	9.3
9	Collin McHugh	0.3025	0.2948	0.2090	21.8	13.1	8.7
10	Rick Porcello	0.3066	0.3032	0.2284	16.6	8.5	8.1

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Jackson	0.1033	0.0000 (25.0)	0.0775 (16.3)	0.0000 (25.0)	0.0000 (26.4)
Drew Hutchison	0.0918	0.0000 (22.0)	0.0700 (17.1)	0.0000 (22.0)	0.0000 (23.7)
Mark Buehrle	0.0832	0.0000 (16.6)	0.0657 (14.9)	0.0000 (16.7)	0.0000 (18.5)
Max Scherzer	0.0867	0.0000 (20.7)	0.0685 (16.5)	0.0000 (20.8)	0.0000 (22.7)
John Danks	0.0809	0.0000 (14.6)	0.0625 (15.7)	0.0000 (14.7)	0.0000 (16.5)
A.J. Burnett	0.0832	0.0000 (18.1)	0.0649 (17.1)	0.0000 (18.2)	0.0000 (20.1)
Ryan Vogelsong	0.0846	0.0000 (16.2)	0.0627 (17.0)	0.0000 (16.2)	0.0000 (17.9)
Doug Fister	0.0350	0.0000 (19.1)	0.0570 (14.6)	0.0000 (19.1)	0.0000 (17.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.0642	0.0439	34.0
2	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0435	18.2
3	Yovani Gallardo	0.0000	0.0439	16.3
4	Jeremy Guthrie	0.0000	0.0459	15.5
5	J.A. Happ	0.0000	0.0860	14.9
6	Collin McHugh	0.0000	0.0398	14.9
7	Sergio Santos	0.0000	0.2037	14.8
8	Carlos Villanueva	0.0000	0.1070	14.8
9	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0827	14.7
10	Tyson Ross	0.0000	0.0460	14.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.0761	0.0398	22.5
2	Stephen Strasburg	0.0499	0.0721	19.2
3	Hector Noesí	0.0729	0.0477	18.5
4	Jeremy Guthrie	0.0662	0.0459	17.6
5	Justin Verlander	0.0608	0.0789	16.1
6	Carlos Carrasco	0.0717	0.0429	15.3
7	Jake Odorizzi	0.0733	0.0521	15.3
8	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0717	0.0526	15.3
9	Vance Worley	0.0789	0.0464	14.9
10	Sergio Santos	0.0693	0.2037	14.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.0642	0.0439	34.0
2	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0435	18.2
3	Yovani Gallardo	0.0000	0.0439	16.2
4	Jeremy Guthrie	0.0000	0.0459	15.5
5	J.A. Happ	0.0000	0.0860	15.0
6	Collin McHugh	0.0000	0.0398	14.8
7	Sergio Santos	0.0000	0.2037	14.8
8	Carlos Villanueva	0.0000	0.1070	14.8
9	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0827	14.8
10	Tyson Ross	0.0000	0.0460	14.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0642	0.0741	35.9
2	Scott Carroll	0.0642	0.0638	35.6
3	David Buchanan	0.0642	0.0553	35.5
4	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.0642	0.0439	33.1
5	Nick Martinez	0.0642	0.0766	30.1
6	Dominic Leone	0.0642	0.0529	19.8
7	Chase Whitley	0.0642	0.0672	19.3
8	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0827	16.4
9	J.A. Happ	0.0000	0.0860	16.4
10	Mike Leake	0.0000	0.0798	16.3

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Stephen Strasburg	0.0499	0.0721	19.2	7.2	12.0
2	Bartolo Colon	0.0525	0.0643	9.9	0.4	9.5
3	Edinson Volquez	0.0755	0.0600	12.6	3.1	9.5
4	Hiroki Kuroda	0.0744	0.0588	12.8	4.1	8.7
5	Collin McHugh	0.0761	0.0398	22.5	14.9	7.7
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0547	0.0676	10.2	3.0	7.2
7	Vance Worley	0.0789	0.0464	14.9	8.0	7.0
8	Jake Odorizzi	0.0733	0.0521	15.3	8.5	6.9
9	Hector Noesí	0.0729	0.0477	18.5	11.8	6.7
10	Scott Kazmir	0.0736	0.0645	7.2	0.5	6.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Pedro Báez	0.0642	0.0152	10.4	4.5	5.9
2	David Price	0.0000	0.0701	6.4	6.4	0.1
3	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0769	12.5	12.5	0.1
4	James Shields	0.0000	0.0675	3.5	3.5	0.1
5	A.J. Burnett	0.0000	0.0832	18.2	18.1	0.1
6	R.A. Dickey	0.0000	0.0766	11.7	11.6	0.1
7	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.0867	20.8	20.7	0.0
8	Mike Leake	0.0000	0.0798	14.4	14.4	0.0
9	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0789	13.6	13.5	0.0
10	Jon Lester	0.0000	0.0721	7.4	7.4	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Carroll	0.0642	0.0638	35.6	0.0	35.5
2	David Buchanan	0.0642	0.0553	35.5	4.3	31.2
3	Roenis Elías	0.0642	0.0741	35.9	7.1	28.8
4	Nick Martinez	0.0642	0.0766	30.1	7.8	22.3
5	Chase Whitley	0.0642	0.0672	19.3	1.1	18.2
6	Dominic Leone	0.0642	0.0529	19.8	3.0	16.9
7	Mario Hollands	0.0642	0.0556	14.3	1.7	12.7
8	Mike Bolsinger	0.0642	0.0723	12.7	2.0	10.7
9	Nick Greenwood	0.0642	0.0513	10.8	1.8	9.0
10	Carlos Frías	0.0642	0.0515	10.2	1.7	8.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gio Gonzalez	0.0166	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0041 (8.1)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.6)
Justin Verlander	0.0139	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0057 (7.3)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.7)
Juan Gutierrez	0.0352	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0065 (7.7)	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0000 (7.7)
Rick Porcello	0.0154	0.0000 (7.4)	0.0038 (9.8)	0.0000 (7.4)	0.0000 (7.5)
Tim Lincecum	0.0243	0.0000 (11.9)	0.0081 (10.9)	0.0000 (11.9)	0.0000 (12.0)
Chase Anderson	0.0186	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0067 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.9)
Mike Bolsinger	0.0361	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0067 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0067 (5.5)
Grant Balfour	0.0357	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0060 (8.0)	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.9)
Tim Hudson	0.0179	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0071 (8.6)	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0000 (9.1)
Justin Masterson	0.0184	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0040 (8.5)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Cole Hamels	0.0000	5.5
2	Travis Wood	0.0000	5.2
3	C.J. Wilson	0.0000	5.1
4	Chris Perez	0.0320	5.1
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0194	4.9
6	Ricky Nolasco	0.0136	4.8
7	Christian Bergman	0.0253	4.6
8	Alex Cobb	0.0000	4.5
9	Garrett Richards	0.0000	4.5
10	Jered Weaver	0.0016	4.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0105	0.0018	7.1
2	Jorge De La Rosa	0.0023	0.0113	6.9
3	Lance Lynn	0.0124	0.0051	6.3
4	Max Scherzer	0.0104	0.0035	6.2
5	Jonathon Niese	0.0043	0.0121	6.1
6	Gerrit Cole	0.0029	0.0134	6.0
7	Eric Stults	0.0095	0.0017	6.0
8	Alfredo Simon	0.0089	0.0017	5.9
9	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0054	0.0123	5.5
10	Danny Duffy	0.0136	0.0047	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Cole Hamels	0.0000	5.5
2	Travis Wood	0.0000	5.2
3	C.J. Wilson	0.0000	5.1
4	Chris Perez	0.0320	5.1
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0194	4.9
6	Ricky Nolasco	0.0136	4.8
7	Christian Bergman	0.0253	4.6
8	Alex Cobb	0.0000	4.5
9	Garrett Richards	0.0000	4.5
10	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0123	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0067	0.0022	7.6
2	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0000	5.3
3	Chris Perez	0.0000	0.0320	5.1
4	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0194	5.0
6	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0136	5.0
7	C.J. Wilson	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
8	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0123	4.7
9	Jake Peavy	0.0000	0.0117	4.5
10	Jonathon Niese	0.0000	0.0121	4.4

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lance Lynn	0.0124	0.0051	6.3	1.4	5.0
2	Danny Duffy	0.0136	0.0047	5.4	1.2	4.2
3	Max Scherzer	0.0104	0.0035	6.2	2.8	3.4
4	Jorge De La Rosa	0.0023	0.0113	6.9	3.5	3.4
5	David Price	0.0020	0.0060	3.9	0.7	3.2
6	Edinson Volquez	0.0105	0.0018	7.1	4.0	3.1
7	Kyle Lohse	0.0037	0.0067	2.4	0.0	2.4
8	Rick Porcello	0.0038	0.0154	9.8	7.4	2.4
9	Ervin Santana	0.0038	0.0072	2.8	0.4	2.3
10	Chris Tillman	0.0040	0.0079	3.4	1.1	2.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Pedro Báez	0.0067	0.0000	1.2	0.6	0.6
2	Ryan Feierabend	0.0067	0.0000	0.5	0.2	0.2
3	Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez	0.0067	0.0000	0.4	0.2	0.2
4	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0082	1.4	1.4	0.0
5	James Shields	0.0000	0.0103	3.4	3.4	0.0
6	R.A. Dickey	0.0000	0.0080	1.2	1.2	0.0
7	Félix Hernández	0.0000	0.0084	1.6	1.6	0.0
8	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0139	6.5	6.5	0.0
9	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0083	1.4	1.4	0.0
10	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0079	1.1	1.1	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Roenis Elías	0.0067	0.0022	7.6	3.1	4.5
2	David Buchanan	0.0067	0.0053	4.0	0.7	3.3
3	Nick Martinez	0.0067	0.0088	2.7	1.3	1.4
4	Evan Marshall	0.0067	0.0000	2.8	1.4	1.4
5	Mario Hollands	0.0067	0.0069	1.3	0.1	1.2
6	Ken Giles	0.0067	0.0000	2.2	1.1	1.1
7	Nick Greenwood	0.0067	0.0000	1.9	1.0	0.9
8	Chris Bassitt	0.0067	0.0000	1.8	0.9	0.9
9	Carlos Frías	0.0067	0.0000	1.8	0.9	0.9
10	Aaron Sanchez	0.0067	0.0000	1.6	0.8	0.8

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Buchholz	0.1465	0.1099 (30.3)	0.1005 (34.9)	0.1189 (24.8)	0.1009 (35.1)
Dellin Betances	0.0440	0.1310 (28.1)	0.1172 (24.5)	0.1129 (21.5)	0.1490 (35.1)
Travis Wood	0.1408	0.1126 (25.6)	0.1043 (29.6)	0.1176 (22.8)	0.1075 (27.6)
Justin Verlander	0.1277	0.0942 (33.9)	0.0949 (30.4)	0.1007 (29.5)	0.0878 (37.4)
Edwin Jackson	0.1659	0.1140 (35.7)	0.1236 (27.6)	0.1194 (33.2)	0.1086 (37.5)
Robbie Ross Jr.	0.1781	0.0987 (30.6)	0.0959 (30.5)	0.0982 (31.4)	0.0993 (29.5)
Garrett Richards	0.0752	0.1220 (28.7)	0.1213 (30.3)	0.1246 (29.4)	0.1194 (28.6)
Jake Arrieta	0.0749	0.1197 (24.7)	0.1338 (35.3)	0.1173 (22.3)	0.1220 (27.7)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0879	0.1271 (28.1)	0.1336 (35.8)	0.1219 (22.7)	0.1323 (34.3)
Corey Kluber	0.0757	0.1136 (31.7)	0.1186 (39.5)	0.1154 (32.0)	0.1118 (32.4)
A.J. Burnett	0.1305	0.1065 (26.6)	0.1076 (22.7)	0.1061 (28.4)	0.1068 (24.0)
Justin Masterson	0.1520	0.1070 (29.3)	0.1087 (26.4)	0.1107 (28.0)	0.1033 (30.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Carrasco	0.1271	0.0756	24.9
2	Tanner Roark	0.1149	0.0802	24.1
3	Aaron Harang	0.1318	0.1005	23.5
4	Chris Young	0.1401	0.1017	23.3
5	Dan Haren	0.1059	0.1302	22.3
6	Trevor Cahill	0.1124	0.1523	22.2
7	Jim Johnson	0.0959	0.1749	22.0
8	Jacob Turner	0.1232	0.1617	21.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.1491	0.0856	38.4
2	Edinson Volquez	0.1281	0.0927	27.6
3	Carlos Carrasco	0.1282	0.0756	27.1
4	Wade Davis	0.1218	0.0287	25.6
5	Adam Wainwright	0.1001	0.0713	24.7
6	Henderson Alvarez	0.1172	0.0842	24.5
7	Kevin Correia	0.1176	0.1514	24.2
8	Jacob Turner	0.1155	0.1617	23.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.1079	0.0718	28.9
2	Tanner Roark	0.1174	0.0802	24.9
3	Franklin Morales	0.1088	0.1393	23.6
4	Dan Haren	0.1063	0.1302	23.2
5	Aaron Harang	0.1325	0.1005	22.8
6	Chris Young	0.1407	0.1017	22.7
7	Edinson Volquez	0.1256	0.0927	21.8
8	Hector Noesí	0.1105	0.1337	21.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Carrasco	0.1344	0.0756	30.0
2	Collin McHugh	0.1360	0.0856	29.9
3	Aaron Harang	0.1310	0.1005	25.0
4	Wade Davis	0.1203	0.0287	25.0
5	Jacob Turner	0.1147	0.1617	24.5
6	Chris Young	0.1394	0.1017	24.5
7	Tanner Roark	0.1124	0.0802	24.1
8	C.J. Wilson	0.0958	0.1248	23.6

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Collin McHugh	0.1491	0.1231	0.0856	38.4	20.4	18.0
2	Vidal Nuño	0.1046	0.1314	0.1311	18.9	2.8	16.1
3	Scott Carroll	0.1074	0.1336	0.1414	20.2	7.0	13.2
4	Ian Kennedy	0.1173	0.1045	0.1005	13.1	0.4	12.8
5	Nick Martinez	0.1074	0.1304	0.1295	14.3	2.2	12.1
6	Kevin Correia	0.1176	0.1376	0.1514	24.2	12.5	11.6
7	Jake Arrieta	0.1338	0.1197	0.0749	35.3	24.7	10.6
8	Jeff Samardzija	0.1132	0.1044	0.0978	12.3	1.8	10.5
9	Roberto Hernandez	0.1341	0.1226	0.1163	11.8	1.3	10.5
10	Christian Bergman	0.1074	0.1537	0.1486	10.6	0.2	10.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hector Noesí	0.1105	0.1272	0.1337	21.4	8.0	13.4
2	Jered Weaver	0.1154	0.1038	0.0980	10.1	1.2	8.9
3	Jarred Cosart	0.1368	0.1239	0.1044	20.2	11.4	8.7
4	Johnny Cueto	0.1079	0.0982	0.0718	28.9	21.1	7.8
5	Sonny Gray	0.1174	0.1072	0.0934	16.2	8.4	7.8
6	Alfredo Simon	0.1176	0.1072	0.0978	11.3	4.0	7.3
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.0881	0.0776	0.0561	19.5	12.7	6.8
8	Vidal Nuño	0.1231	0.1314	0.1311	9.5	2.8	6.7
9	Franklin Morales	0.1088	0.1174	0.1393	23.6	17.0	6.5
10	Roberto Hernandez	0.1119	0.1226	0.1163	7.5	1.3	6.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Carroll	0.1074	0.1336	0.1414	20.6	7.0	13.6
2	Nick Martinez	0.1074	0.1304	0.1295	14.7	2.2	12.5
3	Christian Bergman	0.1074	0.1537	0.1486	10.8	0.2	10.6
4	Roberto Hernandez	0.1333	0.1226	0.1163	10.8	1.3	9.5
5	Collin McHugh	0.1360	0.1231	0.0856	29.9	20.4	9.5
6	Chase Whitley	0.1074	0.1388	0.1333	9.2	0.3	8.9
7	Tim Hudson	0.0915	0.1035	0.1090	15.4	7.9	7.5
8	Rubby De La Rosa	0.1398	0.1254	0.1156	9.8	2.3	7.4
9	Brett Oberholtzer	0.1442	0.1349	0.1172	15.6	8.3	7.3
10	Mike Bolsinger	0.1074	0.1398	0.1513	10.9	3.8	7.1

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Buchholz	0.1370	0.1017 (29.9)	0.0932 (33.6)	0.1096 (24.5)	0.0937 (34.7)
Justin Verlander	0.1165	0.0873 (30.8)	0.0848 (29.8)	0.0923 (26.8)	0.0822 (33.9)
Edwin Jackson	0.1564	0.1059 (35.3)	0.1124 (29.0)	0.1098 (33.2)	0.1020 (36.8)
Robbie Ross Jr.	0.1479	0.0905 (22.9)	0.0849 (23.7)	0.0888 (23.8)	0.0922 (21.7)
Garrett Richards	0.0723	0.1128 (24.0)	0.1076 (22.8)	0.1144 (24.6)	0.1113 (24.0)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0804	0.1177 (25.9)	0.1221 (32.3)	0.1116 (20.4)	0.1238 (32.0)
Corey Kluber	0.0673	0.1053 (31.2)	0.1082 (37.3)	0.1061 (31.3)	0.1045 (31.9)
Edinson Volquez	0.0803	0.1135 (22.5)	0.1212 (31.6)	0.1158 (23.9)	0.1111 (21.9)
Jon Lester	0.0678	0.1002 (24.1)	0.1062 (32.4)	0.1042 (27.0)	0.0962 (21.9)
Justin Masterson	0.1419	0.0985 (28.8)	0.1020 (24.7)	0.1007 (27.9)	0.0963 (29.2)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dellin Betances	0.1216	0.0411	25.7
2	Aaron Harang	0.1235	0.0925	22.6
3	Jacob Turner	0.1150	0.1537	22.0
4	A.J. Burnett	0.0983	0.1166	22.0
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.1176	0.0718	21.5
6	Johnny Cueto	0.0908	0.0635	21.2
7	Ernesto Frieri	0.0754	0.1848	21.1
8	Jake Arrieta	0.1111	0.0717	21.0
9	Collin McHugh	0.1149	0.0759	20.9
10	Chris Young	0.1324	0.0974	20.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.1382	0.0759	37.4
2	Jake Arrieta	0.1272	0.0717	33.0
3	Henderson Alvarez	0.1101	0.0712	28.7
4	Jacob Turner	0.1029	0.1537	26.3
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.1218	0.0718	25.5
6	Lance Lynn	0.1024	0.0716	25.2
7	Félix Hernández	0.0892	0.0614	23.8
8	Tyson Ross	0.1054	0.0752	23.0
9	Dellin Betances	0.1094	0.0411	22.7
10	Wade Davis	0.1118	0.0287	22.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0982	0.0635	27.7
2	A.J. Burnett	0.0965	0.1166	24.3
3	Franklin Morales	0.1005	0.1316	23.9
4	Aaron Harang	0.1242	0.0925	22.6
5	Ernesto Frieri	0.0718	0.1848	21.9
6	Henderson Alvarez	0.1039	0.0712	20.7
7	Chris Young	0.1333	0.0974	20.7
8	Hector Noesí	0.1023	0.1241	20.3
9	Tyson Ross	0.1057	0.0752	20.0
10	Jim Johnson	0.0899	0.1597	19.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dellin Betances	0.1387	0.0411	32.0
2	Collin McHugh	0.1277	0.0759	29.8
3	Carlos Carrasco	0.1248	0.0718	26.1
4	Jacob Turner	0.1077	0.1537	24.9
5	Jake Arrieta	0.1141	0.0717	23.8
6	Aaron Harang	0.1227	0.0925	23.3
7	Ricky Nolasco	0.1079	0.1367	22.5
8	Wade Davis	0.1124	0.0287	22.3
9	C.J. Wilson	0.0900	0.1156	22.3
10	Travis Wood	0.0999	0.1242	21.8

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Collin McHugh	0.1382	0.1149	0.0759	37.4	20.9	16.6
2	Vidal Nuño	0.0962	0.1223	0.1208	17.9	2.5	15.4
3	Scott Carroll	0.0985	0.1252	0.1204	13.6	0.3	13.3
4	Jake Arrieta	0.1272	0.1111	0.0717	33.0	21.0	12.0
5	Nick Martinez	0.0985	0.1222	0.1164	12.0	0.3	11.6
6	Kevin Correia	0.1091	0.1282	0.1354	19.3	8.5	10.8
7	Jeff Samardzija	0.1050	0.0967	0.0830	17.8	7.4	10.4
8	Lance Lynn	0.1024	0.0939	0.0716	25.2	14.8	10.4
9	Christian Bergman	0.0985	0.1432	0.1446	11.9	1.6	10.3
10	Colby Lewis	0.1038	0.1207	0.1286	20.2	10.1	10.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hector Noesí	0.1023	0.1183	0.1241	20.3	8.1	12.2
2	Jarred Cosart	0.1270	0.1156	0.0966	18.7	10.6	8.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.1079	0.0993	0.0834	16.7	9.6	7.1
4	Alfredo Simon	0.1084	0.0993	0.0917	8.8	2.0	6.9
5	Johnny Cueto	0.0982	0.0908	0.0635	27.7	21.2	6.5
6	Rubby De La Rosa	0.1025	0.1166	0.1134	7.4	0.9	6.5
7	Zack Wheeler	0.1094	0.1007	0.0919	9.2	2.8	6.4
8	Franklin Morales	0.1005	0.1092	0.1316	23.9	17.8	6.0
9	Kyle Lohse	0.1173	0.1095	0.0955	13.0	7.1	5.9
10	Clayton Kershaw	0.0795	0.0710	0.0521	16.1	10.3	5.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Carroll	0.0985	0.1252	0.1204	14.6	0.3	14.4
2	Nick Martinez	0.0985	0.1222	0.1164	13.1	0.3	12.8
3	Christian Bergman	0.0985	0.1432	0.1446	12.4	1.6	10.7
4	Roberto Hernandez	0.1255	0.1135	0.1039	12.9	3.2	9.7
5	Chase Whitley	0.0985	0.1290	0.1333	12.7	3.2	9.5
6	Collin McHugh	0.1277	0.1149	0.0759	29.8	20.9	8.9
7	Jered Weaver	0.0866	0.0971	0.0957	11.3	3.4	7.9
8	Mike Bolsinger	0.0985	0.1295	0.1345	9.4	2.4	7.0
9	Brett Oberholtzer	0.1348	0.1260	0.1124	11.7	5.2	6.4
10	Tim Hudson	0.0858	0.0955	0.0951	10.2	3.8	6.4

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alfredo Simon	0.4688	0.0880 (315.6)	0.1000 (256.6)	0.1004 (293.1)	0.0784 (328.0)
Dallas Keuchel	0.4138	0.2090 (169.6)	0.1579 (162.2)	0.1939 (169.6)	0.2333 (154.4)
Wily Peralta	0.5312	0.3425 (162.4)	0.2195 (215.1)	0.3175 (170.7)	0.3667 (146.9)
Clayton Kershaw	0.7778	0.5041 (208.8)	0.3590 (272.4)	0.4649 (226.8)	0.5455 (182.0)
Tanner Roark	0.4839	0.2755 (170.3)	0.2083 (175.9)	0.2561 (173.8)	0.2941 (159.9)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.3448	242.5
2	Collin McHugh	0.0811	0.4400	225.3
3	Josh Collmenter	0.0747	0.3333	189.6
4	Jacob deGrom	0.0857	0.4091	185.6
5	Garrett Richards	0.2452	0.5000	176.2
6	Phil Hughes	0.3141	0.5000	163.3
7	Corey Kluber	0.3653	0.5294	160.9
8	Johnny Cueto	0.4296	0.5882	157.4
9	Jake Peavy	0.4052	0.2188	154.5
10	David Buchanan	0.0000	0.3000	153.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Shoemaker	0.1111	0.5926	231.5
2	Yordano Ventura	0.1071	0.4516	226.3
3	Corey Kluber	0.2432	0.5294	219.7
4	Johnny Cueto	0.3077	0.5882	216.7
5	Garrett Richards	0.1333	0.5000	211.2
6	Tyson Ross	0.1053	0.4194	210.0
7	Adam Wainwright	0.3415	0.6250	205.1
8	Phil Hughes	0.2105	0.5000	200.4
9	Doug Fister	0.2895	0.6400	195.6
10	Jarred Cosart	0.1290	0.4333	190.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.0539	0.4400	232.8
2	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.3448	232.0
3	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.4286	203.4
4	Jacob deGrom	0.0548	0.4091	194.5
5	Johnny Cueto	0.3778	0.5882	192.6
6	Josh Collmenter	0.0623	0.3333	187.7
7	Vidal Nuño	0.3298	0.0645	186.9
8	Jake Peavy	0.3946	0.2188	158.4
9	Adam Wainwright	0.4390	0.6250	158.0
10	Jeff Samardzija	0.3783	0.2121	154.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Garrett Richards	0.1750	0.5000	227.6
2	Corey Kluber	0.3462	0.5294	184.4
3	Phil Hughes	0.2963	0.5000	183.3
4	Kyle Gibson	0.1905	0.4194	181.3
5	Josh Collmenter	0.0926	0.3333	180.8
6	Francisco Liriano	0.5000	0.2414	171.3
7	Matt Shoemaker	0.2963	0.5926	166.7
8	Tyson Ross	0.2258	0.4194	165.6
9	Jarred Cosart	0.2308	0.4333	163.3
10	Jake Peavy	0.4167	0.2188	159.5

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sonny Gray	0.2000	0.4239	0.4242	152.1	4.8	147.2
2	Yordano Ventura	0.1071	0.3189	0.4516	226.3	107.7	118.6
3	John Lackey	0.2500	0.4389	0.4516	122.0	14.8	107.2
4	Matt Shoemaker	0.1111	0.3426	0.5926	231.5	138.5	93.0
5	Chris Sale	0.2558	0.4836	0.4615	103.2	11.6	91.5
6	Tyson Ross	0.1053	0.2757	0.4194	210.0	120.6	89.4
7	Scott Kazmir	0.2051	0.3802	0.4688	162.0	72.7	89.3
8	Jake Odorizzi	0.1200	0.3016	0.3548	129.2	41.9	87.3
9	Jon Lester	0.2821	0.4378	0.5000	144.1	59.5	84.6
10	Adam Wainwright	0.3415	0.4917	0.6250	205.1	124.3	80.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.4420	0.4286	203.4	4.0	199.4
2	Jesse Hahn	0.0000	0.3471	0.5000	149.9	48.3	101.6
3	Tyler Matzek	0.0000	0.4564	0.3000	145.9	76.1	69.8
4	Shane Greene	0.0000	0.4727	0.3333	111.5	46.3	65.2
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.3557	0.2653	0.2000	87.7	31.9	55.8
6	Jose Quintana	0.3666	0.3179	0.2812	79.2	26.2	53.0
7	Vidal Nuño	0.3298	0.2679	0.0645	186.9	134.6	52.3
8	David Phelps	0.3343	0.2513	0.1562	93.5	44.7	48.8
9	Trevor Bauer	0.3082	0.2517	0.1923	83.5	36.0	47.5
10	Andrew Cashner	0.3804	0.3156	0.2632	64.4	24.0	40.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chase Anderson	0.2000	0.4420	0.4286	116.3	4.0	112.2
2	Jesse Hahn	0.0769	0.3471	0.5000	132.7	48.3	84.4
3	Ross Detwiler	0.3043	0.0990	0.0426	68.8	14.1	54.7
4	Rafael Montero	0.4000	0.1145	0.1000	56.1	1.8	54.3
5	Brad Hand	0.2400	0.1243	0.0938	64.3	12.1	52.2
6	Garrett Richards	0.1750	0.2452	0.5000	227.6	176.2	51.4
7	Yusmeiro Petit	0.2500	0.1271	0.1282	51.2	2.8	48.4
8	Kyle Gibson	0.1905	0.2481	0.4194	181.3	133.5	47.9
9	Justin Grimm	0.2667	0.0976	0.0685	54.8	7.0	47.7
10	Brandon Workman	0.2903	0.1591	0.0526	85.8	38.3	47.5

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alfredo Simon	0.3125	0.0799 (193.7)	0.1000 (125.4)	0.1075 (164.6)	0.0588 (205.3)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	TJ House	0.8691	0.1579	303.3
2	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.4138	289.7
3	Nick Martinez	0.0000	0.4138	255.0
4	Scott Carroll	0.0000	0.3846	222.8
5	Hector Noesí	0.0875	0.3636	205.5
6	David Buchanan	0.0000	0.4000	203.3
7	Shane Greene	0.8131	0.2667	187.0
8	Josh Collmenter	0.0445	0.2727	167.1
9	Collin McHugh	0.0961	0.3600	166.0
10	Chris Tillman	0.3627	0.1765	158.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Burnett	0.2432	0.5294	212.2
2	Eric Stults	0.2250	0.5312	188.5
3	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2000	0.5417	176.0
4	Jake Odorizzi	0.1200	0.4194	172.7
5	Colby Lewis	0.2105	0.4828	162.4
6	Drew Smyly	0.0488	0.3571	154.0
7	Drew Hutchison	0.1600	0.4062	147.0
8	Jimmy Nelson	0.1176	0.6429	144.9
9	Julio Teheran	0.1750	0.3939	141.2
10	Jarred Cosart	0.1290	0.3667	136.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.4138	284.2
2	Tyler Matzek	0.0000	0.5500	274.8
3	Nick Martinez	0.0000	0.4138	250.1
4	Hector Noesí	0.0438	0.3636	231.7
5	Scott Carroll	0.0000	0.3846	218.2
6	David Buchanan	0.0000	0.4000	199.3
7	Collin McHugh	0.0432	0.3600	193.8
8	Chris Tillman	0.3826	0.1765	182.8
9	Jimmy Nelson	0.0884	0.6429	171.3
10	Edinson Volquez	0.4264	0.2188	171.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Shoemaker	0.4444	0.1481	162.4
2	A.J. Burnett	0.3571	0.5294	158.5
3	Tyson Ross	0.2581	0.4516	154.7
4	Josh Collmenter	0.0556	0.2727	154.2
5	Chris Tillman	0.3438	0.1765	148.1
6	Colby Lewis	0.2857	0.4828	148.1
7	Mike Minor	0.2581	0.4800	139.6
8	Eric Stults	0.3462	0.5312	139.1
9	Justin Verlander	0.2188	0.3750	137.1
10	Alex Wood	0.1176	0.3143	134.6

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Odorizzi	0.1200	0.3701	0.4194	172.7	38.5	134.2
2	Drew Smyly	0.0488	0.3242	0.3571	154.0	23.0	131.0
3	Jarred Cosart	0.1290	0.3591	0.3667	136.7	9.0	127.7
4	Kyle Gibson	0.1935	0.3823	0.3871	101.7	6.9	94.9
5	Ryan Vogelsong	0.2000	0.3840	0.4062	114.7	20.7	94.1
6	Zack Wheeler	0.1765	0.3440	0.3438	85.8	3.1	82.7
7	Julio Teheran	0.1750	0.3297	0.3939	141.2	60.5	80.7
8	Kevin Correia	0.2895	0.4652	0.5312	125.5	48.3	77.1
9	Yordano Ventura	0.1429	0.3047	0.3226	94.3	17.3	77.0
10	Drew Hutchison	0.1600	0.3202	0.4062	147.0	71.0	76.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Matzek	0.0000	0.6935	0.5500	274.8	70.0	204.7
2	Yohan Pino	0.0000	0.5042	0.4545	116.3	11.7	104.6
3	Garrett Richards	0.3802	0.2675	0.1538	156.0	74.2	81.8
4	Chris Young	0.4528	0.3573	0.3000	107.7	36.5	71.2
5	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.5213	0.3333	160.2	89.3	70.9
6	Jarred Cosart	0.4662	0.3591	0.3667	79.1	9.0	70.1
7	Zack Wheeler	0.4300	0.3440	0.3438	71.5	3.1	68.3
8	Johnny Cueto	0.3798	0.3185	0.2647	114.2	47.7	66.5
9	Kyle Lohse	0.4274	0.3610	0.2903	115.1	54.3	60.8
10	Clayton Kershaw	0.3060	0.2455	0.1111	148.7	97.5	51.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yusmeiro Petit	0.3500	0.1224	0.1282	103.5	4.7	98.9
2	Wade Davis	0.3333	0.0940	0.0282	85.9	17.2	68.7
3	Jose Quintana	0.2121	0.2986	0.3438	107.0	41.0	66.0
4	Justin Grimm	0.3000	0.0835	0.0274	80.4	15.1	65.3
5	Chris Capuano	0.3200	0.1755	0.1000	95.6	30.6	65.0
6	Jarred Cosart	0.2692	0.3591	0.3667	72.5	9.0	63.5
7	Ross Detwiler	0.3043	0.0823	0.0638	66.7	3.9	62.7
8	Zack Wheeler	0.2667	0.3440	0.3438	59.0	3.1	55.9
9	Dominic Leone	0.2394	0.0496	0.0351	56.3	2.8	53.5
10	Dellin Betances	0.2353	0.0910	0.0000	81.2	29.6	51.6

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Héctor Rondón	0.4531	0.0000 (114.2)	0.0323 (112.4)	0.0000 (114.2)	0.0000 (108.6)
Mark Melancon	0.4583	0.0624 (108.2)	0.1633 (87.2)	0.0615 (108.5)	0.0000 (119.4)
Jenrry Mejia	0.4444	0.0000 (183.1)	0.0370 (178.2)	0.0000 (183.1)	0.0000 (174.0)
Francisco Rodríguez	0.6377	0.0755 (149.2)	0.1395 (138.8)	0.0769 (148.9)	0.0000 (163.6)
Zack Britton	0.5211	0.0000 (147.0)	0.0400 (142.8)	0.0000 (147.0)	0.0000 (140.8)
Fernando Rodney	0.6957	0.3629 (93.7)	0.4200 (84.5)	0.3692 (91.8)	0.0000 (191.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jim Johnson	0.4576	0.0370	112.0
2	Sean Doolittle	0.0185	0.3607	79.5
3	Jason Grilli	0.5231	0.1935	78.7
4	Huston Street	0.3514	0.6721	72.2
5	Josh Fields	0.3800	0.0741	71.9
6	Santiago Casilla	0.0291	0.3519	69.2
7	Jose Veras	0.3562	0.0217	69.0
8	Danny Farquhar	0.2446	0.0152	68.1
9	Grant Balfour	0.4200	0.1846	65.0
10	Jake Petricka	0.0000	0.2090	62.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0435	0.6250	185.2
2	David Robertson	0.0392	0.6190	155.3
3	Jim Johnson	0.4902	0.0370	113.9
4	Kenley Jansen	0.2778	0.6471	104.3
5	Steve Cishek	0.2745	0.5821	90.1
6	Greg Holland	0.3673	0.7077	86.5
7	Cody Allen	0.0417	0.3158	82.0
8	Sean Doolittle	0.0426	0.3607	79.8
9	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2889	0.0175	79.7
10	Chris Perez	0.4091	0.0204	73.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jim Johnson	0.4462	0.0370	109.0
2	Sean Doolittle	0.0182	0.3607	79.6
3	Jason Grilli	0.5231	0.1935	78.7
4	Jose Veras	0.3692	0.0217	71.6
5	Santiago Casilla	0.0308	0.3519	68.8
6	Huston Street	0.3692	0.6721	68.2
7	Grant Balfour	0.4308	0.1846	67.9
8	Josh Fields	0.3538	0.0741	65.8
9	Jake Petricka	0.0000	0.2090	62.5
10	Danny Farquhar	0.2154	0.0152	59.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.6250	184.1
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.7460	175.4
3	Kenley Jansen	0.6471	166.1
4	Greg Holland	0.7077	163.3
5	David Robertson	0.6190	153.3
6	Steve Cishek	0.5821	152.6
7	Huston Street	0.6721	147.7
8	Jonathan Papelbon	0.5909	146.0
9	Joe Nathan	0.5645	139.2
10	Glen Perkins	0.5397	133.2

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0435	0.5246	0.6250	185.2	29.3	155.9
2	David Robertson	0.0392	0.5082	0.6190	155.3	27.4	128.0
3	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2889	0.0189	0.0175	79.7	2.1	77.6
4	Steve Cishek	0.2745	0.5128	0.5821	90.1	17.6	72.5
5	Chris Perez	0.4091	0.0000	0.0204	73.8	3.0	70.7
6	Koji Uehara	0.1458	0.4079	0.4062	69.8	1.7	68.1
7	Kenley Jansen	0.2778	0.4923	0.6471	104.3	40.1	64.2
8	Brandon League	0.2391	0.0000	0.0000	59.9	1.4	58.4
9	Glen Perkins	0.2917	0.4906	0.5397	69.7	11.4	58.3
10	LaTroy Hawkins	0.1042	0.3031	0.4035	72.1	21.5	50.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sergio Romo	0.5077	0.4564	0.3594	35.3	23.5	11.8
2	Addison Reed	0.4769	0.5038	0.5161	8.6	1.8	6.8
3	Koji Uehara	0.4308	0.4079	0.4062	7.4	1.7	5.7
4	Trevor Rosenthal	0.5077	0.5246	0.6250	34.5	29.3	5.2
5	Greg Holland	0.5231	0.5401	0.7077	43.0	39.0	4.1
6	Wade Davis	0.0175	0.0292	0.0423	5.4	2.2	3.2
7	Aroldis Chapman	0.8667	0.8521	0.6667	41.5	38.5	2.9
8	Grant Balfour	0.4308	0.4200	0.1846	67.9	65.0	2.9
9	Jose Veras	0.3692	0.3562	0.0217	71.6	69.0	2.6
10	Pedro Báez	0.0283	0.0000	0.0000	3.1	0.5	2.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.5246	0.6250	184.1	29.3	154.8
2	Steve Cishek	0.5128	0.5821	152.6	17.6	135.0
3	Joe Nathan	0.5184	0.5645	139.2	10.6	128.6
4	Kenley Jansen	0.4923	0.6471	166.1	40.1	126.1
5	David Robertson	0.5082	0.6190	153.3	27.4	125.9
6	Craig Kimbrel	0.5338	0.7460	175.4	50.5	124.9
7	Greg Holland	0.5401	0.7077	163.3	39.0	124.4
8	Glen Perkins	0.4906	0.5397	133.2	11.4	121.8
9	Jonathan Papelbon	0.4920	0.5909	146.0	24.2	121.8
10	Addison Reed	0.5038	0.5161	123.2	1.8	121.4

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Wilson	0.3607	0.0000 (68.9)	0.1000 (66.2)	0.0000 (68.9)	0.0000 (69.3)
Dellin Betances	0.3143	0.0000 (89.6)	0.0714 (95.2)	0.0000 (89.6)	0.0000 (90.2)
Tyler Clippard	0.5333	0.0000 (133.9)	0.3269 (67.5)	0.0000 (133.9)	0.0000 (134.4)
Wade Davis	0.4648	0.0000 (115.3)	0.0750 (118.9)	0.0000 (115.3)	0.0000 (115.8)
J.P. Howell	0.3971	0.0000 (68.8)	0.1224 (61.9)	0.0000 (68.8)	0.0000 (69.1)
Adam Warren	0.3333	0.0000 (91.3)	0.0667 (98.2)	0.0000 (91.3)	0.0000 (91.9)
Carlos Martinez	0.2982	0.0000 (95.2)	0.1364 (76.5)	0.0000 (95.2)	0.0000 (95.9)
Jeurys Familia	0.3026	0.0000 (80.8)	0.0588 (90.2)	0.0000 (80.9)	0.0000 (81.4)
Brad Ziegler	0.4265	0.0000 (105.3)	0.1607 (84.9)	0.0000 (105.4)	0.0000 (105.8)
Will Smith	0.3846	0.0000 (95.2)	0.1600 (74.6)	0.0000 (95.3)	0.0000 (95.8)
Pat Neshek	0.3521	0.0000 (76.6)	0.0909 (75.9)	0.0000 (76.6)	0.0000 (77.1)
Tony Watson	0.4359	0.0000 (117.2)	0.2500 (67.8)	0.0000 (117.2)	0.0000 (117.8)
Joba Chamberlain	0.4203	0.0000 (97.0)	0.1515 (80.2)	0.0000 (97.0)	0.0000 (97.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Darren O'Day	0.3676	85.7
2	Casey Fien	0.3562	79.2
3	Bryan Shaw	0.3000	77.8
4	Jonathan Broxton	0.3710	73.8
5	Brett Cecil	0.3636	73.0
6	Luke Gregerson	0.3056	72.1
7	Kelvin Herrera	0.2857	66.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Franklin Morales	0.1852	0.0000	96.2
2	David Robertson	0.3922	0.0000	92.2
3	Drew Smyly	0.2195	0.0357	91.1
4	Tanner Roark	0.1250	0.0000	70.8
5	Trevor Rosenthal	0.2826	0.0278	67.3
6	Evan Marshall	0.0519	0.3333	66.7
7	Zach Putnam	0.0714	0.3265	62.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Darren O'Day	0.3676	85.7
2	Casey Fien	0.3562	79.2
3	Bryan Shaw	0.3000	77.8
4	Jonathan Broxton	0.3710	73.8
5	Brett Cecil	0.3636	73.0
6	Luke Gregerson	0.3056	72.1
7	Kelvin Herrera	0.2857	66.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Darren O'Day	0.0000	0.3676	86.1
2	Casey Fien	0.0000	0.3562	79.6
3	Bryan Shaw	0.0000	0.3000	78.3
4	Jonathan Broxton	0.0000	0.3710	74.2
5	Brett Cecil	0.0000	0.3636	73.4
6	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3056	72.6
7	Roenis Elías	0.0519	0.0000	70.5

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Drew Smyly	0.2195	0.0357	91.1	9.8	81.3
2	David Robertson	0.3922	0.0000	92.2	13.4	78.8
3	Franklin Morales	0.1852	0.0000	96.2	33.3	62.8
4	Trevor Rosenthal	0.2826	0.0278	67.3	7.3	60.0
5	Francisco Rodríguez	0.2326	0.0000	52.6	13.8	38.8
6	Sean Doolittle	0.2979	0.0820	42.4	7.2	35.2
7	Tanner Roark	0.1250	0.0000	70.8	41.2	29.6
8	Edward Mujica	0.2041	0.0469	30.6	1.2	29.4
9	Matt Belisle	0.2593	0.0909	37.2	11.1	26.1
10	Chad Qualls	0.2083	0.0345	29.3	3.6	25.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez	0.0519	0.0000	3.0	1.5	1.5
2	Alex Wood	0.0000	0.0571	3.9	3.9	0.0
3	Nick Martinez	0.0000	0.0690	10.6	10.6	0.0
4	Jerome Williams	0.0000	0.0541	1.3	1.2	0.0
5	David Phelps	0.0000	0.1562	52.0	52.0	0.0
6	Samuel Deduno	0.0000	0.0571	2.5	2.5	0.0
7	Chris Capuano	0.0000	0.1000	20.8	20.8	0.0
8	Carlos Torres	0.0000	0.1644	45.7	45.7	0.0
9	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.2982	95.2	95.2	0.0
10	David Hale	0.0000	0.0889	14.3	14.3	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Roenis Elías	0.0519	0.0000	70.5	35.7	34.7
2	Scott Carroll	0.0519	0.0000	58.3	29.6	28.7
3	David Buchanan	0.0519	0.0000	51.2	25.9	25.2
4	Chase Whitley	0.0519	0.0000	33.6	17.0	16.5
5	Christian Bergman	0.0519	0.0000	25.3	12.8	12.5
6	Mike Bolsinger	0.0519	0.0000	24.2	12.3	11.9
7	Nick Martinez	0.0519	0.0690	20.0	10.6	9.4
8	Nick Greenwood	0.0519	0.0526	7.1	0.2	7.0
9	Chris Bassitt	0.0519	0.0000	13.9	7.1	6.9
10	Mario Hollands	0.0519	0.0600	8.5	1.7	6.8

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Buchholz	5.3366	3.9460 (1193.2)	3.4589 (1392.3)	4.2556 (949.4)	3.6364 (1413.7)
Justin Verlander	4.5437	3.2649 (1345.9)	3.1439 (1260.3)	3.4566 (1155.7)	3.0734 (1507.7)
Edwin Jackson	6.3341	4.1117 (1551.3)	4.3531 (1261.3)	4.2320 (1461.7)	3.9896 (1622.1)
Robbie Ross Jr.	6.2043	3.4754 (1079.4)	3.2243 (1091.9)	3.3549 (1115.6)	3.6000 (1030.1)
Garrett Richards	2.6146	4.4736 (1105.6)	4.1667 (1044.5)	4.4795 (1123.9)	4.4676 (1108.5)
Jake Arrieta	2.5277	4.4470 (1038.3)	4.9245 (1464.6)	4.2615 (937.4)	4.6385 (1162.2)
Jim Johnson	7.0875	3.3236 (1050.0)	3.2432 (1014.1)	3.3964 (1025.2)	3.2500 (1066.6)
Dallas Keuchel	2.9250	4.6664 (1222.5)	4.8111 (1514.7)	4.3291 (967.1)	5.0192 (1516.0)
Corey Kluber	2.4441	4.0458 (1306.0)	4.1147 (1577.7)	4.0667 (1346.0)	4.0248 (1295.9)
Edinson Volquez	3.0363	4.5233 (1018.2)	4.8363 (1446.9)	4.5647 (1068.9)	4.4809 (992.3)
Justin Masterson	5.8756	3.8349 (1343.3)	3.8997 (1176.6)	3.8901 (1298.1)	3.7788 (1370.4)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dellin Betances	5.1387	1.4000	1197.0
2	Jon Lester	3.8716	2.4583	1048.7
3	Chris Young	5.3563	3.6545	1013.7
4	Collin McHugh	4.5819	2.7349	1001.9
5	Carlos Carrasco	4.6707	2.5522	999.9
6	Aaron Harang	4.9087	3.5677	974.7
7	A.J. Burnett	3.8016	4.5913	951.9
8	Aaron Brooks	4.8960	43.8750	941.0
9	Johnny Cueto	3.4546	2.2531	935.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	5.4633	2.7349	1681.7
2	Jon Lester	4.0514	2.4583	1399.8
3	Carlos Carrasco	4.7832	2.5522	1174.1
4	Henderson Alvarez	4.1642	2.6471	1162.3
5	Jacob Turner	3.9767	6.1327	1085.9
6	Félix Hernández	3.2815	2.1356	1034.6
7	Travis Wood	3.7140	5.0269	1034.4
8	Lance Lynn	3.9019	2.7398	996.4
9	Colby Lewis	3.9017	5.1781	981.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	3.7401	2.2531	1229.9
2	Jon Lester	4.0092	2.4583	1189.3
3	A.J. Burnett	3.6675	4.5913	1057.4
4	Franklin Morales	3.9476	5.3747	1055.7
5	Chris Young	5.3804	3.6545	1044.9
6	Aaron Harang	4.8953	3.5677	981.5
7	Jarred Cosart	5.1529	3.6932	959.5
8	Aaron Brooks	4.8987	43.8750	940.4
9	Henderson Alvarez	4.0276	2.6471	905.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dellin Betances	6.2358	1.4000	1574.7
2	Collin McHugh	5.2500	2.7349	1421.9
3	Carlos Carrasco	5.0737	2.5522	1218.5
4	Travis Wood	3.8789	5.0269	1066.8
5	Mike Minor	3.4051	4.7683	1007.2
6	Chris Young	5.3321	3.6545	1004.2
7	Jacob Turner	4.3484	6.1327	1003.2
8	Aaron Harang	4.9224	3.5677	995.7
9	Ricky Nolasco	4.2037	5.3774	967.2

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Collin McHugh	5.4633	4.5819	2.7349	1681.7	1001.9	679.8
2	Vidal Nuño	3.6508	4.8236	4.5649	628.5	20.6	608.0
3	Kevin Correia	4.1873	5.1091	5.4351	865.1	380.8	484.3
4	Jeff Samardzija	4.0081	3.6972	2.9909	884.0	420.1	463.9
5	Colby Lewis	3.9017	4.6997	5.1781	981.4	538.5	442.8
6	Edinson Volquez	4.8363	4.5233	3.0363	1446.9	1018.2	428.7
7	Jake Arrieta	4.9245	4.4470	2.5277	1464.6	1038.3	426.3
8	Lance Lynn	3.9019	3.6349	2.7398	996.4	577.4	419.0
9	Jesse Chavez	4.5951	4.2024	3.4521	702.7	324.2	378.5
10	Adam Wainwright	3.4039	3.2051	2.3789	910.2	536.9	373.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hector Noesí	3.9597	4.7191	4.7524	732.9	191.8	541.1
2	Jarred Cosart	5.1529	4.7273	3.6932	959.5	617.2	342.3
3	Alfredo Simon	4.2252	3.8696	3.4380	474.5	166.3	308.2
4	Sonny Gray	4.1729	3.8607	3.0822	794.4	494.6	299.7
5	Johnny Cueto	3.7401	3.4546	2.2531	1229.9	935.2	294.7
6	Kyle Lohse	4.5358	4.1981	3.5395	644.8	351.5	293.3
7	Zack Wheeler	4.3052	3.9610	3.5450	439.1	149.0	290.1
8	Clayton Kershaw	2.9264	2.5881	1.7697	711.2	441.9	269.3
9	Franklin Morales	3.9476	4.3808	5.3747	1055.7	789.6	266.2
10	Jordan Zimmermann	3.8121	3.5476	2.6594	756.4	527.9	228.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Collin McHugh	5.2500	4.5819	2.7349	1421.9	1001.9	420.0
2	Roberto Hernandez	5.0218	4.4552	4.0992	508.7	92.1	416.6
3	Jered Weaver	3.2385	3.6757	3.5859	502.1	123.1	379.0
4	Dellin Betances	6.2358	5.1387	1.4000	1574.7	1197.0	377.6
5	Rubby De La Rosa	5.6332	4.7890	4.4262	436.1	59.3	376.8
6	Scott Carroll	3.8107	5.6340	4.8015	692.7	346.2	346.5
7	Christian Bergman	3.8107	5.1570	5.9268	581.2	248.5	332.6
8	Tim Hudson	3.2787	3.6709	3.5651	398.0	96.7	301.3
9	Dallas Keuchel	5.0192	4.6664	2.9250	1516.0	1222.5	293.4
10	Brett Oberholtzer	5.4622	5.0131	4.3852	535.2	248.9	286.3

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Johnny Cueto	0.9603	1.2123 (210.5)	1.1713 (207.5)	1.2507 (252.0)	1.1739 (174.2)
Carlos Carrasco	0.9851	1.4146 (209.9)	1.4406 (243.6)	1.3576 (182.2)	1.4744 (241.8)
Justin Verlander	1.3981	1.1649 (237.5)	1.1783 (191.8)	1.1947 (206.7)	1.1352 (263.6)
Garrett Richards	1.0375	1.4246 (240.2)	1.3721 (230.2)	1.4178 (238.7)	1.4317 (245.3)
Jake Arrieta	0.9894	1.4214 (245.1)	1.3491 (223.9)	1.3837 (224.8)	1.4603 (269.3)
Jim Johnson	1.9500	1.2144 (202.1)	1.2312 (187.7)	1.2479 (192.0)	1.1806 (210.9)
Colby Lewis	1.5205	1.3238 (175.0)	1.2139 (229.9)	1.3398 (159.2)	1.3077 (186.8)
Dellin Betances	0.7778	1.6663 (291.8)	1.3758 (205.6)	1.4383 (215.6)	1.9235 (379.7)
Justin Masterson	1.6321	1.3105 (209.9)	1.2999 (193.7)	1.3303 (195.3)	1.2903 (221.5)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Jackson	1.3256	1.6422	221.2
2	Collin McHugh	1.3838	1.0216	203.9
3	Travis Wood	1.3168	1.5317	193.5
4	Tyler Matzek	1.7981	1.3938	186.8
5	Trevor Bauer	1.6932	1.3791	186.5
6	Dallas Keuchel	1.4260	1.1750	176.3
7	Tanner Roark	1.3433	1.0923	174.1
8	Félix Hernández	1.1390	0.9153	174.1
9	Mike Minor	1.2030	1.4381	170.6
10	Robbie Ross Jr.	1.2644	1.6979	170.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	1.4696	1.0216	280.5
2	Dallas Keuchel	1.4683	1.1750	241.0
3	Félix Hernández	1.1743	0.9153	240.8
4	Travis Wood	1.2210	1.5317	238.7
5	Corey Kluber	1.3135	1.0948	212.8
6	Jeff Samardzija	1.3013	1.0653	211.9
7	Edinson Volquez	1.4824	1.2301	208.1
8	Phil Hughes	1.3588	1.1304	199.6
9	Jon Lester	1.3130	1.1017	191.4
10	Franklin Morales	1.3306	1.6230	185.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Jackson	1.3214	1.6422	220.8
2	Franklin Morales	1.3525	1.6230	192.9
3	Félix Hernández	1.1514	0.9153	189.8
4	Tyler Matzek	1.7685	1.3938	174.3
5	A.J. Burnett	1.2517	1.4087	173.1
6	Robbie Ross Jr.	1.2524	1.6979	172.9
7	Clayton Kershaw	1.1146	0.8571	171.8
8	Jon Lester	1.3231	1.1017	171.0
9	Tanner Roark	1.3335	1.0923	170.0
10	Corey Kluber	1.2986	1.0948	167.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	1.5076	1.0216	280.8
2	Trevor Bauer	1.8196	1.3791	270.7
3	Travis Wood	1.2711	1.5317	228.7
4	Edwin Jackson	1.3299	1.6422	218.1
5	Dallas Keuchel	1.4679	1.1750	210.6
6	Tyler Matzek	1.8270	1.3938	201.7
7	Mike Minor	1.1613	1.4381	196.9
8	Ricky Nolasco	1.2831	1.5157	184.2
9	Danny Duffy	1.4468	1.1116	183.6
10	Tanner Roark	1.3534	1.0923	182.6

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brett Oberholtzer	1.2125	1.4181	1.3782	100.1	4.4	95.8
2	Masahiro Tanaka	1.2884	1.1607	1.0562	128.5	38.8	89.7
3	Scott Carroll	1.2884	1.5540	1.4845	109.6	21.0	88.6
4	Jeff Samardzija	1.3013	1.2419	1.0653	211.9	126.4	85.5
5	Rick Porcello	1.3680	1.3106	1.2313	119.0	39.0	80.0
6	Corey Kluber	1.3135	1.2705	1.0948	212.8	135.9	76.9
7	Collin McHugh	1.4696	1.3838	1.0216	280.5	203.9	76.5
8	Scott Kazmir	1.3276	1.2707	1.1611	133.2	59.6	73.6
9	Doug Fister	1.2444	1.1746	1.0793	112.6	41.3	71.3
10	Félix Hernández	1.1743	1.1390	0.9153	240.8	174.1	66.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hector Noesí	1.2851	1.4021	1.3694	82.4	0.2	82.2
2	Tim Hudson	1.3362	1.2718	1.2306	61.1	6.6	54.5
3	Hisashi Iwakuma	1.2297	1.1577	1.0503	107.3	52.9	54.4
4	Rubby De La Rosa	1.3734	1.5443	1.4852	61.7	11.6	50.2
5	Clayton Kershaw	1.1146	1.0538	0.8571	171.8	122.7	49.1
6	Kyle Lohse	1.3172	1.2631	1.1496	113.9	65.9	48.0
7	Madison Bumgarner	1.1752	1.1271	1.0905	49.4	3.3	46.1
8	Alfredo Simon	1.3419	1.2915	1.2071	87.2	42.2	45.1
9	Johnny Cueto	1.2507	1.2123	0.9603	252.0	210.5	41.5
10	Jordan Zimmermann	1.2262	1.1817	1.0718	101.0	61.6	39.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Carroll	1.2884	1.5540	1.4845	130.9	21.0	109.9
2	Hector Noesí	1.5263	1.4021	1.3694	91.3	0.2	91.1
3	Dellin Betances	1.9235	1.6663	0.7778	379.7	291.8	87.9
4	Trevor Bauer	1.8196	1.6932	1.3791	270.7	186.5	84.2
5	Rubby De La Rosa	1.7322	1.5443	1.4852	94.6	11.6	83.1
6	Nick Martinez	1.2884	1.5680	1.4608	124.9	45.3	79.6
7	Collin McHugh	1.5076	1.3838	1.0216	280.8	203.9	76.9
8	Jered Weaver	1.1259	1.1990	1.2094	102.8	38.4	64.4
9	Chase Whitley	1.2884	1.4300	1.4802	74.0	27.4	46.6
10	Jake Diekman	1.6129	1.4734	1.4225	49.5	5.6	43.8